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#4798311 Josh Gordon 2014 Season Outlook 2.0

Posted by amcsoldier on 09 September 2014 - 05:46 PM

Posted Image
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#4655792 2014 Worst Trade Proposals

Posted by owenmills on 11 July 2014 - 02:15 PM

My wife said she'd double the amount of sex we have if I gave up fantasy football this year. DECLINE!
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#4446676 Why fantasy basketball takes no skill, just luck.

Posted by BigStuck on 31 March 2014 - 05:13 AM

cool story bro
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#4437731 2014 Offseason Closers Thread

Posted by FearTheBeard on 26 March 2014 - 02:14 PM

Time to update this beast due to some more shake ups in the carousel, so here's an updated team by team breakdown of closer situations if the season started today. All of the following is my opinion, and on jobs that aren't concrete I'll list my reasoning. GREEN = SAFE,ORANGE = LOW SECURITY, RED = NO SECURITY or CBC. Please do not quote ungodly long post, just comment, or quote a section.


AL EAST

Boston Red Sox: CLOSER - Koji Uehara. No further discussion needed.

Tampa Bay Rays: CLOSER - Grant Balfour. While I certainly liked Balfour more in the spacious Oakland Coliseum due to his loud contact and fly ball ways, no reason to believe he won't continue to strike guys out and be at least adequate in Tampa. Balfour has been incredibly consistent over the past 4 seasons, keeps himself in excellent condition, and has been generating more K's and SwStr% due to throwing his slider more. Personally - I'm not worried about what the O's found given their fine tooth comb physicals. It was incredibly hard for me to wrap my head around the super savvy Rays hand the ball to Heath Bell in the 9th. The thought of Heath Bell pitching in AL East ballparks, Vs AL East lineups is frightening. He has had success the last couple years in lower leverage roles. He needs to develop a change up, and at age 36 it probably won't happen. Guy is a loud contact machine between HRs and LD's - hitters simply sit dead red on his FB, and only offer at his CB(which he doesn't command as well) if they're down in the count. Maddon likes Joel Peralta as his fireman, so I don't think he's in the contender realm at the time. Juan Carlos Oviedo could enter picture if Balfour falters but he has major steps to take in return from injury. He has had success in the role, and I think Hickey can keep his mechanics consistent - his FB/CU combo is nasty when it's on. I love Jake McGee, excellent swing and miss stuff, handles hitters from both sides but he has also faltered out of his 7th inning role, and was melt down prone in '13. I like McGee, but think the Rays like using him how they have been. Shaping up to what could be an excellent bullpen.

Baltimore Orioles: CLOSER - Tommy Hunter, CONTENDERS - Darren O'Day, Kevin Gausman, Ryan Webb. I can't say I was wrong that they would go Balfour or Rodney, definitely tried but it didn't shake out. If the O's plan is now to go with what they have, a CBC approach may be the best answer. Hunter and O'Day keep guys off base but LHB hurt them, Hunter also gives up a lot of FB's in a HR friendly park. Webb handles LHB and RHB, keeps ball on ground, but lacks swing and miss stuff, in addition to questionable command at times. I'm starting to really like the idea of Kevin Gausman in the closer role since he lost out on the #5 spot, dude was DOMINANT out of the pen last year. Matusz is outstanding Vs LHB, but he'll be given a chance to start again per Baltimore Sun.

New York Yankees: CLOSER - David Robertson. Congrats D Rob - You've graduated to GREEN. My biggest hangup with D Rob prior was simply the risk of the Yankees bringing in Balfour or Rodney. Robertson has been an outstanding high leverage RP over the past 3 seasons and I happy he's getting a crack at the role baring a trade. However, I'm still not sold that the Yankees believe he's their future 9th inning guy given the courting of high priced established closers, or that they just like using D Rob in his current role. He was given first chance to close in '12 when Mo went down, had a few hiccups and they quickly turned to Soriano. I don't see Robertson having any in house competition at this point, I mean Shawn Kelley, Matt Thornton, really? That's a pretty rough bullpen in the Bronx. I still could see the Yanks bringing in someone to fill the role.

Toronto Blue Jays: CLOSER - Casey Janssen. Not sexy, but consistent and continues to do a very good job, but there's always some concern when other late inning options have such electric stuff, Sergio Santos and Steve Delabar. If you draft Janssen it's a real good idea to handcuff him, had shoulder issues last spring, offseason shoulder surgery, more shoulder issues this spring. He has logged ONE spring inning recently, topped at 86mph.

AL CENTRAL

Detroit Tigers: CLOSER - Joe Nathan. Next.

Cleveland Indians: CLOSER - John Axford. CONTENDERS - Cody Allen, Bryan Shaw, Vinnie Pestano. The only reason I have The Ax Man in orange and not red is I think it's 100% concrete he has been brought to Cleveland to close and will indeed have to falter a few times in the role to give it up. He's as good of a candidate as anyone to get supplanted, and is known to start seasons in a mechanical mess. He did look pretty good when I saw him in Arizona this year, maybe the Cardinals did fix him. However, Axford's implosions are beyond ugly, K rate fell off last year, and he has two years running with a LD% over 24% and really high HR/FB%(guy can throw some total meat), his command can be all over the place due to mechanical issues, and he goes through stretches where to completely telegraphs his hook. My money to take the job is on Cody Allen, 11.26 K/9, 11.5 SwStr%, command is good enough, filthy FB/CB combo, handles hitters from both sides. Can't rule out Vinnie Pestano, he was clearly never right last season so I'd be him in the fold unless he looks '13 again. Bryan Shaw is a dude that has been discussed as a possible closer the last 3 years but hasn't gotten a look, def solid, keeps ball on ground, owns RHB - I just like Allen more.

Kansas City Royals : CLOSER - Greg Holland. Stud, plenty of other good options in case Holland's elbow explodes from throwing that wipeout slider. A good thing to keep in mind with Holland, last few years it has taken him 3 weeks to a month to find his groove/command.

Minnesota Twins : CLOSER - Glen Perkins. Dude's money, move on.

Chicago White Sox : CLOSER - Nate Jones, CONTENDERS - Matt Lindstrom, Daniel Webb. Ventura fooled everyone a couple years ago going with Hector Santiago, so really who knows. I'm going Jones based on stuff, and the fact the White Sox have him listed as their closer on their depth chart. Personally, Jones is a guy I plan to target in every league as a ADP value closer that can pay out well above his drafted spot. His '13, was marred by really crappy luck and his underlying metrics indicate dominance. Guy throws upper 90's, 10.27 K/9, solid command, 2.64 SIERA, 13.2 SwStr%, keeps the ball on the ground in that band box, no extreme splits - YES PLEASE! Jones has also fared well this spring. I feel like we've seen the Matt Lindstrom closer dance 3-4 times(well, we have). Aside from experience and also being a GB guy I see nothing he does better than Jones, he struggles Vs lefties, has very hittable gas, worse command, low K rate, meh. Lindstrom has recently returned to the mound. Daniel Webb is an interesting candidate, GB guy, misses bats, ok command, no extreme splits - I just think Jones is a little better across the board

AL WEST

Oakland Athletics : CLOSER - Jim Johnson. Chalk this up as an offseason move I just didn't understand, it was very Un-A's IMO. Now I have no doubt Oakland will be able to fix JJ, get him back on top of his sinker, and stop coming off the side but 10 million for a guy who isn't a K pitcher, struggled late last year, declining velocity, and his style doesn't take advantage of that huge park/foul ground - I don't get it. Especially when you have Sean Doolittle and Ryan Cook in house, and were able to acquire Luke Gregerson via trade. With Doolittle and Cook breathing down his neck, JJ has gotta perform outta the gate.

Texas Rangers : CLOSER - Joakim Soria, CONTENDERS - Alexei Ogando, Neftali Feliz, Tanner Scheppers. Well as I said in my last update, the winner in Surprise would get the job. RonWash announced last week Soria would be his guy, he pitched well, and Feliz is getting back arm strength and command. Soria will need to log a few saves to enter GREEN for me. Ogando isn't really a huge threat a very well may enter the rotation at some point. Biggest contender to me is Neftali if he can get his mojo back and Soria falters. Scheppers currently in the rotation could get a look if he gets bounced. I'm thinking Soria is pretty safe.

Los Angeles Angels : CLOSER - Ernesto Frieri. Hold on tight, the Ernesto Rollercoaster is ready to depart. He's definitely the guy, but man can he be stressful to own. The life on his FB, release pt, velo make him a tough dude to handle (15.8% SwStr). Lapse's in command, out of sync mechanics can often spell trouble at different points of the year. The signing of Joe Smith was a good one for the Angels to step in during periods where Frieri loses it, Smith is steady, without extreme splits.

Seattle Mariners : CLOSER - Fernando Rodney. Well - called this one too. Just didn't seem like the M's had faith in Farquhar due to courting every FA closer this season. The Rodney signing may be rather pointless for this organization, and sure - he's overpaid, but as a M's fan I can say the bullpen as a whole is better today than yesterday. It isn't my money - and 2 yrs doesn't hamstring anyone for future moves/growth. No debating Rodney's stuff, the dude is filth. It' just that whole command thing. '12 was definitely the outlier, but all in all - '13 Rodney is a pretty solid closer with encouraging underlying numbers minus BB%.You would think with Farquhar's success in the final months he'd be given a no doubt chance to close with some leash in '14. From 7/21 on he was absolutely dominate, with exception of two outings. Eye test, and metrics support that opinion working with an excellent cutter, FB that can hit 97, and a solid hook. I still think this organization has a love fest with Tom Wilhelmsen , so who knows if he can recapture his curveball and command. They've also tabbed Stephen Pryor as "closer of the future", but him being out til mid season may have been the new intel that encouraged them to get another quality bullpen arm.

Houston Astros : CLOSER - CBC. CONTENDERS - Josh Fields, Chad Qualls, Matt Albers, Jesse Crain. Bo Porter recently said the Astros are using a CBC approach, in baseball speak to me that means he has a guy in mind but doesn't want to put pressure on them, and he's also not committed to anyone. If the determination is based on spring training, Josh Fields would be the guy - he has looked terrific posting 7IP, 6H, 1ER, 6K - and most importantly - NO WALKS! Fields probably has the best pure stuff but his command has been a nightmare since he broke into the league. If it's based off expierence, it's Chad Qualls, who quietly had an excellent '13 in Miami. Qualls has been pretty much a coin flip the last 6 years in regards to how he throws. But last season he saw a uptick in velo, SwStr%, induced a lot of weak contact, continued to be a GB machine, good command. Spring hasn't treated Qualls nearly as well, he was my initial pick but now I'm thinking Fields. No doubt year in year out Crain has been the best RP of the bunch, but given his shaky status and how tricky shoulders are - you might not see him pitch 10 innings this year.

NL EAST

Atlanta Braves : CLOSER - Craig Kimbrel. Game, set, match.

Washington Nationals : CLOSER - Rafael Soriano. Soriano would be one of my top bets for a "safe closer" that will lose his job by May. He has always outperformed his underlying numbers but a lot of other things turned there head last season. K rate plummeted, SwStr% plummeted, 2nd year in a row he gave up a ton of loud contact(really bad mix with the decline in K rate), velo decline, contact rates went up, he's turning into just a guy that throws a fat cutter. STAY AWAY. He's been HORRIBLE this spring as well. There's a new sheriff in town, and Soriano has more talented guys pitching the 7th and 8th with Clippard and Storen. Clippard has been announced the 8th inning guy, and I'll always have a soft spot in my heart for Storen.

New York Mets : CLOSER - Bobby Parnell. Got the neck fixed, has been good this spring and velocity is coming back - now hitting 94, was down early. Dude had a damn good year, not a lot of opportunities but he thrived. Sacrificed some K's for better command but it worked out nicely. I gotta say though - anyone else find it slightly concerning the Mets were also courting the high price FA closers. Makes me think they aren't as confident in his neck or his future as the news lets on.

Philadelphia Phillies : CLOSER - Jonathan Papelbon. As Philly stands now this clown is ultra safe, that's one of the worst bullpens in baseball and he's really their only option. Adams hasn't been right for awhile, and Bastardo is all over the place. No surprise the Phillies are trying to run out from this contract, but they waited to late unless they want to eat a huge portion of the deal. I'll be honest - my eye test tells me Papelbon was awful last year, but his underlying numbers suggest he wasn't that bad(not as good, but not as bad as I thought). The main issue was Papelbon was just more hittable - K rate dropped, velo dropped a few ticks, SwStr% dropped, chase rate dropped, O-Contact% went up. These are all red flags he ain't returning to the Papelbon of previous years, but they also stayed relatively good. His command stayed very good, xBABIP shows a lot of weak contact, etc. SIERA on par with ERA. Definitely some decline, but I was expecting far worse.

Miami Marlins : CLOSER - Steve Cishek. Guy had crap for opportunities and struggled a little bit from a front line statistical point of view til early June. But if you were patient, his metrics stayed positive, he demonstrated better command, and was more effective Vs lefties. Ended with a very solid 34 saves on a awful team that should improve some come '14. If dealt - AJ Ramos may finally get his day in the sun.

NL Central

St Louis Cardinals : CLOSER - Trevor Rosenthal. Absolute flamethrower, and Cards confirmed he will be closing in '14. So no SP testing out phase to worry about. Even if he struggles initially, fellow flame throwing Carlos Martinez could emerge as a threat. Jason Motte will probably go through his own peaks and valleys returning from TJ, and his exact return date is in question.

Pittsburgh Pirates : CLOSER - Jason Grilli. I love Jason Grilli as a pitcher, and he's just a really good dude. That being said, he's another closer on the "safe list" I'm not touching. Forearm, UCL strains are no joke and often signs of bad things to come. He also didn't exactly set the world on fire when he returned, his velo was down and stuff was flat. Just make sure if you draft Grilli that would back him up with Mark Melancon - what a year that guy had.

Cincinnati Reds : CLOSER - JJ Hoover (temp), CLOSER - Aroldis Chapman (May return) CONTENDERS - Jonathan Broxton & The Band. Well, that was one scary event. Right now it looks like Chapman will return at some point in May - after he heals and gets game ready. We all know who he is - ridiuclously nasty, and one of the most entertaining RP's in baseball. Hoover looks to be sliding into closer role by default, and he has been horrible this spring. Broxton and Sean Marshall are both just starting to get back in games, Broxton looked good when I saw him in Arizona. They may return Mid April if Hoover falters. There's various other mix and match guys as well(Parra). Hopefully Aroldis heals quickly and isn't gun shy - getting your face crushed by a ball traveling 100+mph is damn scary.

Milwaukee Brewers : CLOSER - Jim Henderson. How much did Hendo owners love K Rod last year? Hahaha - it was pretty funny seeing how butt hurt owners were. I'm not that big on Henderson, he definitely out performed his underlying numbers. Few things concern me - very low BABIP esp given his xBABIP - the dude gave up over 28% LD's, LOL. Extremely high strand rate. History of poor command and difficulty with LHB, due to no CU, arm slot, and a FB that flattens out. That all being said - he gets K's, misses bats, and his main competition is K-Rod (currently KO'ed by stepping on Cactus) - he could be a factor and Brandon Kintzler - who's solid, but doesn't scare me if I'm a Henderson owner.

Chicago Cubs : CLOSER - Jose Veras. CONTENDERS - Pedro Strop. Veras had a nice year last year between Houston and Detroit, and I think the Cubs definitely brought him in to close. But he's still a low security closer to me, and I really have no clue what Veras will show up in '14. Jose Veras with '13 command is a damn good RP, but I can't ignore all those years of 4.5 to 5.5 BB/9. He also induced a ton of weak contact last year based on his xBABIP, and I think his K rate falling some was fluky - he had a career high SwStr%, increased his O-Swing%, while decreasing contact rates. Veras has been AWFUL thus far this spring. The Cubs seemed to want to transition to Pedro Strop as a closer towards the end of last season but he has his own issues, and can be a complete command rollercoaster and kind of has a Marmol'ly flavor to him - with the good slider, pretty blah everything else, and bad command. My darkhorse is Arodys Vizcaino. Watch out for this guy if Veras' command gets bad, he throws absolute filth and was a highly touted prospect in the Braves organization. All reports of him throwing this offseason have been stellar and described as "98, and electric.", he also looked outstanding in Arizona this spring. Never count out the Cubs love for the Closer Cockroach, styling his goggles and airboots, he just has that mentality, and experience -Kevin Gregg.

NL WEST

Los Angeles Dodgers : CLOSER - Kenley Jansen. This should be another "Yawn" "Stud" "Game.Set.Match" closer in regards to security but you never know with the Dodgers. Jansen is unbelievable, outstanding command, ridiculous K %, can be a little prone to loud contact, but his underlying numbers are outstanding. I would draft Jansen without hesitation but I do have concern due to a few issues - 1) Mattingly has previously acknowledged he likes using Jansen when stakes are highest, 2) They forked a lot of money to Brian Wilson 3) Jansen doesn't typically have his best months early on, 4) Heart condition does still present some concern - as people need their meds adjusted frequently. I love the pitcher, but it may be wise to handcuff him with Wilson.

Arizona Diamondbacks : CLOSER - Addison Reed. This was another odd transaction for me, but the DBacks always seem to surprise me with how bonehead they can be. Why the hell deal your only MiLB power bat that's MLB ready for a average closer? I'm not hating on Reed, he gets the job done more times than not, missing some bats, etc - but has far as closers go - he's pretty run of the mill. I don't ever see him being elite, just kind of a middle of the road guy. The DBacks already had a few options with Brad Ziegler, JJ Putz, and David Hernandez. The move just seemed unnecessary, and rumor is they are now trying to shop Putz -whom could be a nice short term chip for a team in need of a closer baring his health. Ziegler is a guy that Gibson likes having freedom with, and save to destroy RHB and get groundballs. Hernandez has solid stuff, just had a really bad up and down '13 but underlying numbers don't show much has changed.

San Diego Padres - CLOSER - Huston Street. This' an interesting one for me. After the Benoit signing the Padres GM Josh Byrnes came out and said Street is absolutely their closer for '14, but '15 is up in the air. Street was excellent in '12, but WAAY outperformed his underlying numbers in '13. He understands how to pitch, and I can't believe he has the success in which he does. The crap he gets people to chase is unbelievable - evidenced by a yearly healthy O-Swing%. He isn't sexy, but when that guy finds his groove and soup can command he'll go 2-3 months with nothing but 5-8 pitch clean saves. He rarely walks people, and uses that huge ballpark to his advantage. But when Street is off - WATCH OUT!! How he doesn't get whip lash I have no clue, and is a complete cardiac closer. One thing we do know is Street will go through a slump, and he'll see the DL once, maybe twice. When that happens and Benoit takes over do they go back to Street? Benoit is getting paid a ton of dough, has equally great command, gets K's, misses bats, and will also take advantage of spacious Petco Park with his flyball tendencies. Every year I think the Padres will deal Street, but it doesn't happen. Safe to say - if you have Street, you better handcuff with Benoit.

San Francisco Giants : CLOSER - Sergio Romo. Well, he's the guy. Not as dominate in '13, but still damn good and the metrics agree. Lefties still get at him, but he absolutely dominates RHB. Doesn't hurt himself, has impeccable command, gets K's. His slider is such an outstanding pitch, gets a O-Swing% over 40%(wow), misses a lot of bats. One concern with Romo is the elbow due to so many sliders and some previous discomfort in the joint, but there's no clear cut replacement. Heath Hembree was insane during his cup of tea last season and has been given that future closer label. While he showed far better command in '13 than in the past, he was rather generic in AAA Fresno. I do like Hembree to take over as much as anyone - but I think Bochy will go CBC with the same group of dudes he has prior.

Colorado Rockies : CLOSER - LaTroy Hawkins. CONTENDER - Rex Brothers. Rockies management has already said Hawkins has been signed to close, but he's without a doubt in the low security category - this could be red, but they've at least announced their plans. The ultimate battle between Sexy Vs UnSexy. I get the move on Colorado's part, Hawkins had a really nice year in '13 and they got an affordable one yr deal done. Hawkins scares me in Colorado and I'll be steering clear, but he has excellent command, leans towards being a GB pitcher, increased his K rate from awful to OK, is effective Vs L & R hitters. He's basically a boring veteran that was brought in for two reason, 1) They don't trust Brothers, 2) And like Brothers Vs LHB in high leverage situations. Brothers has a nice K rate, dominates LHB, gets weak contact but lets face - the dude is WILD!!! I tuned into him throwing on numerous occasions last year and either said, "Damn that guy is filthy" or "Damn, that guy has absolutely no clue where the ball is going." Brothers also lost a couple ticks last season which probably caused the K rate/SwStr% to drop a tad. Personally - I have very little faith in Hawkins in Coors, or Brothers command(which hasn't improved in 3 years). This spring Hawkins has been hittable and Brothers has been wild - SHOCKER!
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#3969593 Percy Harvin 2013 Season Outlook

Posted by Cmilne23 on 22 October 2013 - 03:39 PM

Well that was one of the most awesome experiences of my life. I got to go in the VMAC (Virgina Mason Athletic Center) where the Seahawks practice, tour the facility, and have lunch there. Got to meet some of the players. Everyone was awesome. I had been there a few other times, but never got to go past the main offices in the building.

Unfortunately due to the Monday Night Game the Seahawks are practicing later today. I was picking everyones brains there though. The general consensus was that if his body feels fine after practices he may be ready to play in MNF. He really wants to play and thinks he is ready, if he doesn't play its the teams decision. If you put a gun to my head I would say he will be back in week 9 at the absolute latest if he does not suit up this week. He is going to be a full go at practice today, and everyone I talked to said he has had no setbacks at all, he has been running and lifting normally over the past few weeks. I have to stop by again Thursday to drop off a few more things (I own a technology company I supply members of the Seahawks with ipads, TV's etc.) so that is basically my connection with them. If I hear anything else I will pass it along. Wish I could of seen practice today, was looking forward to that!
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#5014006 Signs You're Taking Fantasy Football Too Seriously?

Posted by Prezkot on 24 October 2014 - 05:56 PM

When I use 5 sites to cross-reference who I should play in my FLEX spot, but use Wikipedia to help me on a reference paper in grad school.
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#4571668 BC/CSB Content Stops Now: PLEASE READ

Posted by The Harsh on 26 May 2014 - 12:36 AM

With baseball season in full swing, and an ever growing Forum population, we'd like to remind the posters that the Main Forum (Fantasy Baseball Talk) is for discussion for general purposes. This means team-specific issues, rosterbating, cool-story-bro moments - while they mean a lot to the poster posting - they don't fit the bill. There are threads for celebration, venting, cool-story-bro posts - and there is a separate Forum to post roster or team/league-specific issues - the Bench Coach (BC) Help Forum.

As RW Forums posting volume has increased, so has the number of these types of posts. While it's understandable if it's happened unintentionally, it's also becoming clear Fantasy Baseball Talk is becoming overrun with BC posts, and the other aforementioned posts which are hijacking player discussion. Again, if it's someone learning for the first time, or if it's done inadvertently, we get that - but too many veterans are contributing to the problem. We cannot stress this enough: this problem tends to grow exponentially because too many people see others doing it and think it's okay, but this only worsens the issue. Lead by example and use the appropriate threads!

Fantasy Baseball Talk is to help promote general fantasy discussion that's usable for the entire community. To keep this focus, for those who can't stop - harsher penalties, including temporary disabling of posting privileges (or longer in the case of repeat offenders following prior penalties) will be applied. Hopefully, this won't be necessary - but as all posters agree to abide by the CoC and Posting Rules when they join, notice that BC posting will need to be done in the BC Forum is clearly necessary.

Given that the rules are well-known to returning members, we trust this reminder will help returning members keep Main Forum discussion for the community at large and away from AC/team content, and help new members avoid future problems as well.

Also, for the newest members:

PROBATIONARY MEMBERS - for those of you who have just joined, welcome! While you are in a probationary status, please note two important differences from other members. First, you can't send PM's or receive PM's until you move up to regular member (10+ posts). Secondly, as of 2013, Probationary Members can reply to existing threads, but can't create new threads in the following Forums:

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Please note that probationary members can still create threads in the other Forums, and can reply to existing threads in the above Forums. This will allow probationary members to get their feet wet in the Main Forums, and also help new members avoid posting Assistant Coach / Bench Coach threads in the wrong Forum.

As always, take a moment to read the RW Baseball Forum Posting Rules, RW Football Forum Posting Guidelines and RW Basketball Forum Posting Guidelines as this will cover all the areas of posting for RW members. Welcome aboard!
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#4967215 Joseph Randle 2014 Season Outlook

Posted by Sine_cera on 14 October 2014 - 02:08 PM

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#4613892 RIP Tony Gwynn

Posted by Golden Spikes on 16 June 2014 - 02:13 PM

my personal Tony story from the UTsandiego forum discussion on his passing

My fondest moment on a personal level of Tony Gwynn would have to have come in 1993.

I was playing JUCO at Grossmont, and was working for the San Diego School of Baseball at the time as an assistant (shag balls, set up, clean up, basically do whatever they ask). One afternoon after one of the hitting clinics was over, there were 2 of us assistants hanging around getting things cleaned up. Tony stayed late to sign autographs for every kid in attendance (well over 1000). I had spoken quite a bit to Tony over the year, he knew me, he addressed me by name, he never made me feel like just a random person, anyways as he was walking out one day, he asked me how my season was going. I was doing pretty good, and had been working on taking the ball the other way (as a lefty) so I brought up my approach to him.

He put down his stuff and went into the cage with me, asking me to show him rather than tell him. For about 15 mins he sat and watched as I attempted to replicate his 5.5 approach. I was a pretty good "slappy" type hitter, your prototypical 80's 90's style no 2 hitter. Anyways he didnt say anything for 15 mins, which I thought was odd. I always was used to a mouth in my ear every time I hit. From my Dad, to my high school coach, up to Eddie Olsen at GC.

After I was done he took a few swings, and showed me a couple tips. It was amazing. When he hit in the cage, he wasnt that 5.5 guy, and he explained to me that when he is at the plate his approach is always to hit it through the pitchers legs, cause there is nobody there to get you out. So while hitting he proceeded to hit 10 consecutive pitches right back through the hole in the net where the ball came out (roughly the size of a softball) I was in shock. He told me also that if you work on hitting the ball the other way in the cages, when you get in the game that pitch is going to be coming a little faster, and you are going to foul alot of pitches off, which made sense.

To wrap up, I thanked Tony and started about my cleanup, he said goodbye and was walking to his car, when I saw that 32-30 still leaned against the cage with a pair of brand new Franklin batting gloves on it (the ones he wore that day at the camp) I grabbed them and chased him to his car, saying Tony you forgot your stuff, to which he replied.

"Those aren't mine D."

That summer I played in a wood bat league and stupidly although successfully used Tony's bat to the tune of a .432 BA, but broke it during the last game of the season. I kept it in shards for a couple years, but after a few moves it disappeared.

I will always have that memory of Tony. What a man, what a hitter, what a human being
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#4464343 4/7/14 -- Lineups and Weather

Posted by posty on 07 April 2014 - 12:02 PM

Post #10,000...

REDS (vs. M. Wacha - R)
1. Billy Hamilton (S) CF
2. Brandon Phillips ® 2B
3. Joey Votto (L) 1B
4. Jay Bruce (L) RF
5. Ryan Ludwick ® LF
6. Todd Frazier ® 3B
7. Zack Cozart ® SS
8. Brayan Pena (S) C
9. Tony Cingrani (L) P

CARDINALS (vs. T. Cingrani - L)
1. Matt Carpenter (L) 3B
2. Peter Bourjos ® CF
3. Matt Holliday ® LF
4. Allen Craig ® RF
5. Yadier Molina ® C
6. Matt Adams (L) 1B
7. Jhonny Peralta ® SS
8. Kolten Wong (L) 2B
9. Michael Wacha ® P
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#4302629 Ryan Anderson 2013-2014 Season Outlook

Posted by Queequeg on 07 January 2014 - 12:46 PM

He's owned by my main rival in one of my leagues and I couldn't be any happier. It's the necessary evil in fantasy lol. I'm sorry for you guys in the rotoworld forums community though, you all get one big virtual hug from me > :)<


I'm not an Anderson owner, but this is the kind of remark you should keep to yourself.
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#4127371 Top 5 Mistakes Fantasy Basketball Players Make

Posted by ReyesMurphyWright on 20 November 2013 - 02:23 PM

These are based on my observations not only among people in the Rotoworld forum, but also amongst my own fantasy basketball friends, and even many fantasy basketball "experts".

#1 - Exaggerating the differences between Roto and H2H

I see this one get made over and over again. People have the belief that "well-rounded" players are useful in the Roto format, but not as useful in the Head-to-Head format. This is simply false. The only way in which this argument has any truth to it is that it is easier to punt a category in H2H. So if you're punting a category, you then re-evaluate every player without that category. For the remaining categories that you are playing for, all of the remaining categories still count equally. Any way you slice it, "well rounded" players aren't less valuable in H2H than in Roto.

#2 - Overvaluing Points, Rebounds, and Assists. (Hence undervaluing Steals, Blocks, 3PMs, FG%, FT% and Turnovers)

This is easily one of the most common mistakes people make. Even when people understand that it's a 9 (or 8) category game and that all these categories count equally... inevitably people always tend to overrate these categories. In particular, people have a tendency to overrate the importance. of Rebounds for big men and overrate the importance of Assists for point guards. Since these are the categories that these players are "supposed" to get, people tend to overrate the importance of these categories. For example, last year Asik was a very popular fantasy player - people saw him as a double-doubles machine. They probably didn't realize that Asik was the 170th ranked player last year.

#3 - Not fully understanding the impact of %s

I find it's something people don't pay enough attention to in general. For example, 75% is a big psychological number for people with FT%. People will usually feel fine with their player as long as they shoot over 75% from the line. But there's actually a colossal difference in value between a 76% FT shooter and an 83% FT shooter - it just doesn't feel like there is to people. People also often forget to pay attention to the impact of FG and FT attempts on a player's value.

#4 - Not understanding how to handle FT% killers

I see this happen over and over again. People want to put FT% killers on their team and still hope to compete in FT%. People usually overestimate the value of their FT% killer because they do not properly understand just how big a negative impact such a player has on their FT%. More people need to be punting FT% when such players are owned. Punting can be a great strategy for a team when done properly. If however people are not punting, they should at least have a better understanding of exactly how valuable their FT% killer is for them.

#5 - Not taking advantage of Player Raters

I find that many people are more skeptical of player raters than they should be. The player rater really is a great resource of fantasy basketball players. You can compare the value of players on a per game basis. You can find hidden potential hidden gems by seeing which players have great value on a per minute basis and have the potential to see increased playing time. You can make your own sensible adjustments to player rater value, if for example a player with a proven track record is underperforming in a certain in a small sample size. The player rater is your friend as a fantasy basketball player.
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#4988867 Jerick McKinnon 2014 Season Outlook

Posted by JoshKnows46 on 19 October 2014 - 03:56 PM

Josh please respond. 

 

I was completely wrong, not the first time, and probable wont be the last, apologies to all mckinnion owners...Mckinnion is the MAN indeed!!

 

**walks out of mckinnion thread in shame**


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#5013907 Signs You're Taking Fantasy Football Too Seriously?

Posted by sportsguy21792 on 24 October 2014 - 05:22 PM

Cheering for an opposing player's TD against your favorite real-life team.


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#4889363 Matt Asiata 2014 Season Outlook

Posted by 93_Confirmed on 26 September 2014 - 08:53 PM

Can't wait till he goes off one week and Roto has to write something like this.

 

Matt Asiata plodded his way to 125 yards on 19 carries against the Green Bay Packers this afternoon. Asiata looked much ploddier than usual and broke 3 tackles as he plodded his way to 22 yard TD in the 2nd quarter. Early in the 4th, Asiata caught a screen pass and plodded through a crowd of defenders who struggled to catch up as ran for the ploddiest receiving TD of his career. He'll be no more than a RB7 next week at home against the struggling Jaquars defense. Continue to stash McKinnon who had 4 carries for -18 yards and 1 catch for -22 yards. He's due to breakout very soon. We swear.


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#3764943 ROTOWORLD'S FOOTBALL FORUM'S POSTING GUIDELINES

Posted by Tarheels_2433 on 11 September 2013 - 07:00 PM

With football season in full swing, and an ever growing Forum population, we'd like to remind the posters that the Main Forum is for posting on discussion for general purposes. This means team-specific issues, rosterbating, cool-story-bro moments - while they mean a lot to the poster posting - they don't fit the bill. There are threads for celebration, venting, cool-story-bro posts - and there is a separate Forum to post roster or team/league-specific issues - the Assistant Coach (AC) Forum.

As RW Forums posting volume has increased, so has the # of these types of posts. While it's understandable if it's happened unintentionally - it's also becoming clear the Main Forum is becoming overrun with AC posts, and the above types of posts which are hijacking player discussion. Again, if it's someone learning for the first time, or inadvertent, we get that - but too many veterans are contributing to the problem. We cannot stress this enough, this problem tends to grow exponentially because too many people see others doing it and think it's okay, but this only worsens the issue. Lead by example and use the appropriate threads!

The Main Forum is to help promote general fantasy discussion that's usable for the entire community. To keep this focus, for those who can't stop - harsher penalties, including temporary disabling of posting privileges (or longer in the case of repeat offenders following prior penalties) . Hopefully, this won't be necessary - but as all posters agree to abide by the CoC and Posting Rules when they join, notice that AC posting will need to be done in the AC Forum is clearly necessary.

Given that the rules are well-known to returning members, we trust this reminder will help returning members keep Main Forum discussion for the community at large and away from AC/team content, and help new members avoid future problems as well.

Also, for the newest members:

PROBATIONARY MEMBERS - for those of you who have just joined, welcome! While you are in a probationary status, please note two important differences from other members. First, you can't send PM's or receive PM's until you move up to regular member (10+ posts). Secondly, as of 2013, Probationary Members can reply to exisiting threads, but can't create new threads in the following Forums:

Main Football Forum (Fantasy Football Talk)
IDP Football Forum (IDP Forum)
Main Baseball Forum (Fantasy Baseball Talk)
MILB Baseball Forum (MILB Forum)
Main Basketball Forum (Fantasy Basketball Talk)

Please note that probationary members can still create threads in the other Forums, and can reply to existing threads in the above Forums. This will allow probationary members to get their feet wet in the Main Forums, and also help new members avoid posting Assistant Coach / Bench Coach threads in the wrong Forum.

As always, take a moment to read the RW Baseball Forum Posting Rules, RW Football Forum Posting Guidelines and RW Basketball Forum Posting Guidelines as this will cover all the areas of posting for RW members. Welcome aboard!
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#4529986 2014 May Closers Thread

Posted by hailtoyourvictor on 06 May 2014 - 12:50 AM

Frieri:

Posted Image
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#4494958 Trevor Bauer 2014 Outlook

Posted by RotoRaysfan on 20 April 2014 - 10:46 PM

The thing about Bauer is that right now, he costs a WW pickup for a stash. That's a ridiculously low price for a guy who has both the pedigree of skills, and clear evidence that he's finally deciding to listen to his coaches (what a novel idea - being bull-headed and thinking you can live up in the zone in the MLB disappears pretty quickly after being torched for a full season in AAA/MLB).

3 plus-pitches (and there are probably 2 others, but he's finally decided to focus on 3), and regained velo - the K potential is amazing here, and more importantly, signs of maturity to match the skills. As we've learned with him, you can't expect young ace-level performance - but as a WW add & stash, getting SP3 level WHIP/ERA performance and ace-level K's as a ceiling is almost impossible to find. Plus, unlike most rookies, Bauer's had the post-hype phenomenon hit him already - in leagues where Syndergaard, Walker & Bradley are auto-stashed awaiting the callup, he's on most owners' WW. But, that's not going to last for long. I don't think he's going to be a true ace long-term because the FB is his least effective pitch (and true aces work off the FB which then plays up the offspeed), but unlike those rookies, I think he's likely to get a longer look this year - which has way more value in redraft leagues.

Now, one reason why CLE may be stalling - the old service time angle. Bauer pitched in 4 games last year - and was up for 1 day each time. That counts as 4 days of MLB service time. He was up for 25 days in 2012 with ARI for his 4-start stint, so that's 25 days. So, he's up a total of 29 days so far, and he's been up for 1 day this year - so we are at 30 days. Because service time is calculated at 172 days, but seasons generally go 182-183 days in length (depending on when MLB says the season begins, Sunday March 30th or Monday March 31st for all teams). So, assuming he's called up for good, he needs to be up for 141 days or less to have less than 1 full year of service time (171 days - not counted as a full year). That's key, because then even if he's up for good, at Year 6 of his tenure with the Tribe - at 5.99 years, the Tribe gets another year before free agency. When you include the 12 extra days built in to the schedule, and the day he already played - that means he needs to be down a total of 42 days from March 30 - which is Sunday, May 11th. Coincidentally, while weather may change the schedule, that happens to be the 20th game from now, which you'd think is when Carrasco is up again (they have an off day the next day, FYI).

Heres' where you can see the time spent on MLB rosters:

ESPN's 2013 CLE page - http://espn.go.com/m...eveland-indians
ESPN's 2012 ARI page - http://espn.go.com/m...na-diamondbacks

Add it all up, and I think the Tribe give Carrasco 3 more shots to right the ship - and then they have Bauer locked under control for another year before FA (avoiding Super-2 is a pipe dream, with 30 extra days in, as we're talking into July to get that).

With how badly the rotation is pitching, and how well he's pitching, the buzz is building. If you can afford a 3-4 week stash, I'd do it now (just did myself). He's not going to be the next ace - but huge K's and SP3 upside is there for a free WW claim - the payoff is well worth the risk.

One final point - you want the K's from Bauer - what I'm finding watching the Indians is that their D is bad enough that they can hurt contact-heavy pitchers, which explains how they would underperform their FIP/xERA. The one out that takes away the D factor - K's.
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#4449967 2014 April Closers Thread

Posted by JFS171 on 01 April 2014 - 10:14 AM

Let's take a shot a surveying the damage from Monday... Here's a rundown of the situations I'm personally watching closely. I've somewhat listed them in order of prioritization -- think of this as my effort at a waiver wire complement to FTB's excellent breakdowns, which I hope he keeps going all year.

Make Your Move:
Brewers -- The first curve ball of the day, courtesy of Ron Roenicke. Henderson's velocity was way down this spring, but no one was talking about it -- most of us never heard about it. It was just assumed it was ST and this was Hendo's job. RR said Henderson can get the job back when he's throwing the way he did last year. I wasn't a pitcher, but I know bright red flags when I see them, and going from 97-98 down to 89-91 is a big one. Could be a mechanics thing, but you'd think they'd sort that out given they're the same team that managed to get Henderson to that point in the first place. There's no real pedigree here with Hendo, and once K-Rod gets rolling, he'll likely just keep this. He'd be my top add of all of yesterday's carnage and speculation, and it's not really close IMO (considering Santos was very likely added over the weekend). I'd rather own K-Rod than Santos, personally -- timing is important here. If K-Rod rolls off clean saves the next few weeks, he may never look back.

White Sox -- Robin's still dealing with post-Nolan brain trauma apparently, bypassing Jones and his elite skills for Lindstrom's experience. Lindstrom's the guy until he coughs it up... or Ventura changes his mind and informs someone else they'll be closing. Who knows? Opportunity is half the battle though (sometimes a lot more). Last year I thought I'd be *above* the saves chase and only grab guys I thought could be impact RPs, or at least safe... then Moonboots and Goggles reeled of 30+ saves with respectable ratios. This year it's back to grabbing the guy and sorting it out later -- that's Lindstrom in a nutshell. It likely won't be pretty, but there's the rub with small sample sizes. Lindstrom could be clean the next 3 weeks and end up with quite a leash. In other words, it's not just that the implosion is likely coming, it's the timing of said implosion, and whether the leash will be long enough to survive. He's a grab for now, but I won't be cutting Jones just yet. That being said, Jones may not get a shot anytime soon... timing is crucial.

Blue Jays -- This is Santos' gig for the foreseeable future, unless, of course, he struggles (I don't necessarily expect, but he's not been right for a few years now, and shoulder issues are very tricky. Janssen better hurry back, or he's not going to have a job to come back to. We've seen the Blue Jays move on and stick with the guy on a roll in an injury situation already -- that's how we ended up with Janssen. Now, as FTB points out, there's not just Santos gunning for the job, but Delabar is one heckuva RP in his own right. Either guy could be a very good closer, and if Janssen isn't back in a few weeks and Santos or Delabar is on a roll, well.... It's Santos for now, we all know that. Let's see how it plays out. Don't hesitate to jump on Delabar at the first sign of trouble. As for Janssen - stash him in your DL and hope he's back soon. I'm convinced the shoulder is a huge troll to fantasy owners, but his other issues... who knows? I'd also watch for compensation injuries as he returns (in fact, the back could already be a compensation injury from shoulder problems)... just sayin.

Astros -- Bo Porter tells us it’s CBC, but they’d like a guy to emerge. Chad Qualls has been quite the enigma throughout his career, mixing solid stretches with some BP sessions. I believe Fields has the best skills here, and is the guy I think has a chance to run with this. It’ll be telling if he gets the first chance after such a great spring. Fields’ stuff is excellent, but he’s got to keep that control in check. Spring suggests he may be learning to do so, but time will tell. Solid DL speculation play in Jesse Crain as well, but it seems like there’s always something with that guy. For now, I’m rostering Fields where I need saves.

Reds -- They’re at the bottom of the Make Your Move section for me because I have no idea who’s going to close for the first few months. Logic says it would be Broxton, but he’s gotta get healthy first. Meanwhile it will likely go to Hoover first, but I’m not sure I really trust him coming off such a brutal spring. He’s on the wire in a lot of my more competitive save-chasing leagues, which I find telling. I’d stash Broxton in a DL slot if you had that ability… think he could pay off for a few months. Chapman should be fine and ready to go sometime in May, but again… while we’ve had a lot of positives from his camp and the Reds, and while I wish the guy nothing but the best off such a brutal injury, we have no idea how this mentally will affect him. Catching a rocket with your melon likely tends to play with your thoughts…. It’s worth monitoring.

Rockies -- They likely deserve their own section as a potential mess we could be be tracking for a while. Gut says Hawkins gets the gig unless he’s totally ineffective/uncomfortable with it. Brothers could be nasty... if he could stop walking people. No idea when that will happen. I list them here because there's a chance either guy is floating on a wire in a few leagues, and Betancourt continues to train at the Rockies ST facility. He thinks he’ll be ready to pitch in August… who knows. He’s a name to file away in the back of your mind should both these guys struggle. I’d probably rather roster Brothers, but Hawkins has the opportunity. Moonboots and Goggles is likely doomed to be my year long mantra, I guess. Possession of the gig is key.

Keep an Eye On:
Indians -- I haven’t trusted Axford for a few seasons now, and though he secured the save last night, quite a few reports in here saying he didn’t look awesome doing so. Messy saves are part of Axford’s MO… in addition to serving up cheese and walking dudes. I personally have Cody Allen rostered in a lot of leagues. It’s not going to help Ax-man when the guys behind him are seriously nasty… thinking this one’s only a matter of time, though as I’ve mentioned earlier with timing, it’d be better for those speculating on Allen if Axford just imploded right out of the chute. It could happen – I have zero faith in that guy.

Orioles -- Hunter got the save, but I still can’t look at those splits and see this ending well. Had the Red Sox sent up someone other than JBJ, we may be talking about another blown save on Day 1. Meek would appear to have some faith from Buck, and I like hearing FTB say he was impressed by a guy, even if he was a little wild. The cutter can overcome some of his velocity loss, and we’ve seen this guy succeed before. Now he’s a reinvented version of his former self, but IMO he’s the most interesting arm in that pen for the non-Hunter speculation plays. Probably not a need to jump just yet, but absolutely worth keeping an eye on.

Mets -- Parnell blew the save yesterday, but I was encouraged that his velocity was up from ST. I think he’s still working back a bit. Papa Fat a** managed to finagle his way into yet another path to saves… much like a cockroach – he just won’t go away. I refuse to roster that guy, even if he gets saves. Cannot imagine it possibly ending well. He had a clean inning yesterday, and Parnell didn’t. But IMO, Parnell didn’t look terrible – as others have commented, he was a bit too predictable, needed to change up his sequencing, and be a bit sharper. I’m not bailing just yet. We’ll see how this one plays out. In fact, if a Parnell owner was panicking, I’d be buying. But, I also trust myself to replace him should the bottom fall out. I just don’t think the bottom is falling out yet, or any time soon.

Giants -- I ONLY list them because Romo's elbow is constantly barking, he threw zero sliders this spring, and generally didn't look great. Most, myself included, dismissed it because he wasn't using his best weapon. Still, there's some smoke here... it's a little like when Wilson first struggled a few years ago... then poof, he's gone. Just something to keep an eye on, but I believe we may get the fun-time CBC should Romo go down... though I believe Casilla would get first shot as he did when Wilson's elbow gave out. Hembree or Law could be a long-term option, but both are currently in the minors.

Nationals -- Soriano is the guy, and will be the guy until there’s cause to make a change. I list him because I believe that cause could be coming sooner than we might think. He could very well skate through a few months without issues, but the peripherals don’t point to this ending as well as it did last year, and leashes always seem shorter on teams with big-time post-season aspirations. The question behind Soriano is whether Williams likes having Clippard in his usual fireman role and would elevate former stud closer Storen, OR whether he simply slides everyone back an inning and gives Clippard a shot. It’s a situation worth monitoring.

Athletics -- Jim Johnson very likely has a huge leash here… he’s had 50+ saves the past two years with a sub-3.00 ERA. I know he doesn’t strike anyone out, but he’s been pretty damn solid. I don’t own him anywhere, but I’d think he has to completely fall off the cart before the saves chase begins. With regard to who’s next in line… good luck. Cook would be the obvious guy (I think) but he’s on the DL. Doolittle has been pretty nasty, but he’s a lefty. Gregerson has been a great set-up man for a long time… may be a free for all if Johnson continues to struggle, but again I think we need to see 5 or 6 of these before we’re really talking.

Diamondbacks -- Reed serves up a bomb, but I think the leash is pretty long here... they gave up quite a bit to get him. If it's not him, with no Hernandez you have to think it'd go to Putz. No clue how he threw this spring, but... guess he's the one to watch if Reed's troubles persist.

Move Along, Nothing to See Here (yet—interesting next-in-lines in parentheses):
AL EAST -- Boston, Tampa, New York (Tazawa/Mujica should Koji succumb to father time, Heath Bell I guess)
AL CENTRAL -- Detroit, Kansas City, Minnesota (Jared Burton could be interesting in the second half if Perkins is shopped)
AL WEST -- Los Angeles, Texas, Seattle (Lord Fahrquar if Rodney blows, but he’s got a fat paycheck; Feliz in theory - not buying)
NL EAST -- Atlanta, Miami, Philadelphia (AJ Ramos could be intriguing should Cishek be shopped mid-year)
NL CENTRAL -- St. Louis, Pittsburgh, Chicago (Melancon in Pittsburgh is a priority guy – first sign of Grilli struggles; Strop in CHC)
NL WEST -- Los Angeles, San Diego (Benoit … when Street pulls his annual DL stint or sucks for a while, I’m not sure he’ll get it back)
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#4521800 Carlos Gonzalez 2014 Outlook

Posted by beerman0303 on 02 May 2014 - 01:34 PM

Gonzalez, who’s finger was not wrapped or splinted after the game, with the swelling down, said: “I’ll just keep an eye on it.”


Expect to see him on the DL with eye fatigue.
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