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Aaron Rodgers 2012 Season Outlook


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#1 lax4life528

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 10:21 AM

Where do you take the man who could have single-handedly won leagues for many people?

If there's ever been a time to take a QB with the first overall pick, this is probably it, especially with all the uncertainty at running back and the depth at WR. If there's ever been a QB worthy of the first overall pick, it has to be the guy who's been a top 2 QB for four straight years.

For the most part Rodgers is coming back into the same situation he was in last year. Expect some natural regression on the passing TDs, but at the same time Randall Cobb is becoming more experienced and Jermichael Finley is further removed from his ACL tear in 2010. In a way, Rodgers has an even more dangerous receiving core than last year.

Is anyone out there pulling the trigger on this certified stud ahead of Foster, Rice, and McCoy?

#2 Br0kenB

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 10:27 AM

I would. He is the only certified, money in the bank player in the entire pool. He will finish in the top 2 at his position. He is the best player at his position in the league and he has proven it consistently. I play in 6 pt/TD leagues, and if I was not, I would not take him at 1.
Bullets Fantasy Hall of Fame;
2013 - Retirement
2012 - Greg Zuerlein [K - STL]
2011 - Calvin Johnson [WR - DET]
2010 - Mike Williams [WR - TBB]
2009 - Ray Rice [RB - BAL]
2008 - Matt Forte [RB - CHI]
2007 - Brian Westbrook [RB - PHI]
2006 - Steven Jackson [RB - STL]
2005 - Rudi Johnson [RB - CIN]
2004 - Muhsin Muhammad [WR - CAR]
2003 - Peyton Manning [QB - IND]
2002 - Priest Holmes [RB - KC]

#3 kgizzle

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 10:39 AM

taking him almost assures that you make the playoffs provided you are good at drafting. In 14 team mocks sometimes I go Julio in the 2nd and still end up with Bradshaw and Jackson as my RBs with Spiller as a flex. I'd take my chances with that team.

#4 jtaylor39

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 10:39 AM

I would not as I'm in a 4pt throw td ppr league. Give me one of those stud rbs please.

Edited by jtaylor39, 18 July 2012 - 10:41 AM.

NABL 12 team ppr $$ League
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2012 3rd Place
2013 2nd Place


FFAH League
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I cash checks.

#5 cbe_88

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 10:42 AM

If Rice Mccoy and Foster our gone (namely Foster and McCoy), he's probably the guy I go with, say if I get a pick in the 3-5 range. unless I really want to take a chance on CJ1K. If so, I'll try and go Murray/Bradshaw.

#6 Holben

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 11:01 AM

I cannot personally get him in my league since I'm in Wisconsin and someone will undoubtedly pay around $100 for him. For other leagues where you can get him for a decent price $50-$75. I think he sees regression this year.

I think we will see last year and all the record breakings as an outlier year that was the result of offenses being able to outperform defenses that weren't geling together around the league yet.

I take a look at my Packers defense particularly and we did next to nothing last year that we had done in previous years. We saw barely any sacks from our big playmakers, turnovers were far fewer from other big playmakers. It was a real crapshoot and the only thing that held us up was the fact our defense was able to score 25-35 points a game over much softer defenses.

For the first time i had a chance to take a look at our schedule today.

I don't like it at all.

Week 01 - San Francisco at Lambeau
Week 02 - Chicago at Lambeau
Week 03 - Seattle at CenturyLink
Week 04 - New Orleans at Lambeau
Week 05 - Colts at Lucas Oil
Week 06 - Houston at Reliant Stadium
Week 07 - Rams at Edward Jones
Week 08 - Jacksonville Jaguars at Lambeau
Week 09 - Cardinals at Lambeau
Week 10 - Bye
Week 11 - Detroit at Ford Field
Week 12 - New York Giants at Met Life
Week 13 - Minnesota at Lambeau
Week 14 - Detroit at Lambeau
Week 15 - Bears at Soldier Field
Week 16 - Titans at Lambeau
Week 17 - Vikings at Mall of America Field

I would personally prefer last years schedule. It seems a little softer.
Wes Welker Poppin' Miley - 12 Team 1 PPR Auction (QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex:RB/WR/TE, D, K)
QB-Nick Foles
RB-Knile Davis, Rashad Jennings, Ahmad Bradshaw, Jamaal Charles, Joique Bell
WR-Antonio Brown, Andrew Hawkins, Pierre Garcon, Roddy White, Josh Gordon, Allen Hurns
TE-Larry Donnell
D-Colts (Stream)
K-Dan Carpenter

Hakeem in like a Wrecking Ball - 12 Team 1 PPR Auction (QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, Flex:RB/WR/TE, D, K)
QB-Matt Ryan, Jay Cutler
RB-DeMarco Murray, Arian Foster, CJ Spiller, Maurice Jones-Drew, Ahmad Bradshaw
WR-Golden Tate, Vincent Jackson, Julian Edelman, Josh Gordon
TE-Greg Olsen, Larry Donnell
D-Bears (Stream)
K-Dan Carpenter

#7 JaNelson38

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 11:54 AM

Im taking him #1 without a second thought.

We're in a passing league. In my view, having a stud RB have taken a backseat to having a stud QB and 2 quality WR.

#8 cbe_88

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 03:31 PM

Im taking him #1 without a second thought.

We're in a passing league. In my view, having a stud RB have taken a backseat to having a stud QB and 2 quality WR.


I've been toying with this idea myself JaNelson, and I think this theory must be considered. The only thing is comparing the drop-off from Rodgers to Romo, or Stafford to Rivers. I understand your point, I'm considering getting a QB with my ever so valuable first round pick for the first time as a fantasy owner.

Getting a Rodgers or a Stafford or a Brady/Brees, and settling for lower tier RB's is hard for me to do, but I realize it must be considered because the NFL is evolving into a passing league. Remember, you have to start two RB's in fantasy tho, so you better jump on RB's the next two rounds if you go Rodgers in the first.

#9 Finally Detroit Wins

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Posted 18 July 2012 - 03:42 PM

Rodgers is a beast, but I only own him in one league. (yes, i'm an early drafter) In an auction draft I paid $89 for him. Call me old fashioned, but in a normal league, I just cant bring myself to draft a QB in the first round.

"experts" do not exist.

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#10 Robrain

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Posted 23 August 2012 - 06:58 PM

Felt this was appropriate:


Faux John Madden@FauxJohnMadden

Genies rub Aaron Rodgers and he grants them three wishes.

2014 Rotoworld Mock Draft Real League - 14-Team 0.5 PPR + ALL TDs = 6PTs:

_____STARTING LINEUP_______________.............._____BENCH_______________________
QB : Matthew Stafford.......(03.13)............. WR - Malcom Floyd.........(14.14)
RB1: Montee Ball............(01.13)............. WR - John Brown...........(UD.FA)
RB2: Arian Foster...........(01.11)............. WR - Cody Latimer.........(13.09)
WR1: Brian Quick............(14.08)............. RB - Toby Gerhart.........(02.02)
WR2: Allen Hurns............(UD.FA)............. RB - Bernard Pierce.......(07.14)
TE : Kyle Rudolph...........(06.02)............. RB - Latavius Murray......(13.12)
FLEX1: Justin Forsett.......(UD.FA)............. RB - Devonta Freeman......(09.01)
FLEX2: Steven Jackson.......(04.02)............. RB - CJ Anderson..........(09.11)

#11 Winky

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Posted 23 August 2012 - 07:27 PM

6-52 with 2TDs rushing tonight... wtf?
As if he didn't already have the #1 QB ranking...
This post is rated "G".

#12 rraayy3

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Posted 23 August 2012 - 07:37 PM

I think hes gonna be good this year

/thread.

#13 ZidaneValor

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Posted 23 August 2012 - 09:13 PM

Aaron Rodgers leads the Packers in rushing this preseason. That's really all you need to know about their RB situation.

#14 MrArmageddon

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Posted 23 August 2012 - 10:37 PM

Week 01 - San Francisco at Lambeau
Week 02 - Chicago at Lambeau
Week 03 - Seattle at CenturyLink
Week 04 - New Orleans at Lambeau
Week 05 - Colts at Lucas Oil
Week 06 - Houston at Reliant Stadium
Week 07 - Rams at Edward Jones
Week 08 - Jacksonville Jaguars at Lambeau
Week 09 - Cardinals at Lambeau
Week 10 - Bye
Week 11 - Detroit at Ford Field
Week 12 - New York Giants at Met Life
Week 13 - Minnesota at Lambeau
Week 14 - Detroit at Lambeau
Week 15 - Bears at Soldier Field
Week 16 - Titans at Lambeau
Week 17 - Vikings at Mall of America Field

I would personally prefer last years schedule. It seems a little softer.


I look at that schedule and see some high scoring games. The Packers defense isn't that good. The offense is.

Look at the first 9 weeks. San Francisco has a good defense, but they can score on them. Houston might be the toughest game there given the capabilities of Houston's offense. Detroit? C'mon. Rams. Jaguars. Cardinals. What worries you there?

The one team he always struggles with is the Bears, but he didn't last year. Whether or not that's the new normal remains to be seen. Is Urlacher going to be healthy by week 2?

My biggest concern with Rodgers is concussions. And if he misses time they are going to tank because they have zero QB depth and Cedric Benson has enough trouble carrying the ball, let alone the team.
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RB Adrian Peterson
RB Matt Forte
RB/WR/TE Julius Thomas
WR Jordy Nelson
WR Pierre Garcon
TE Jordan Cameron
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BE Josh Gordon
BE Bernard Pierce
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#15 PhD Gator

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Posted 28 August 2012 - 06:32 PM

In a league that is 6 points per passing TD (giving them the same value as rushing and receiving TD's), does this make him a lock pick if he is still available at #2?
I have Crabs and VD!
10 Team ESPN league - 6 points for all touchdowns (including passing)

QB - Drew Brees
RB1 - Eddie Lacy
RB2 - Giovani Bernard
RB/WR - Fred Jackson
WR1 - Keenan Allen
WR2 - Michael Crabtree
WR3 - Cordarrelle Patterson
TE - Vernon Davis
LB - Luke Kuechly
DL - JJ Watt
D/ST - Buccaneers
K - Steven Hauschka (until Prater is off suspension)
HC - 49ers (10 points if team wins, 0 otherwise)

Bench - Terrance Williams (WR), Bernard Pierce (RB), Mike Evans (WR), Matt Prater (K - SUSPENDED), James Starks (RB), Justin Forsett (RB)

#16 njfoses

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Posted 28 August 2012 - 06:35 PM

In a league that is 6 points per passing TD (giving them the same value as rushing and receiving TD's), does this make him a lock pick if he is still available at #2?


No. You take one of the 3 backs.

#17 Br0kenB

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Posted 28 August 2012 - 07:13 PM

In a league that is 6 points per passing TD (giving them the same value as rushing and receiving TD's), does this make him a lock pick if he is still available at #2?


If it is standard, yes. If it is PPR you need to consider Rodgers and Rice.
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2013 - Retirement
2012 - Greg Zuerlein [K - STL]
2011 - Calvin Johnson [WR - DET]
2010 - Mike Williams [WR - TBB]
2009 - Ray Rice [RB - BAL]
2008 - Matt Forte [RB - CHI]
2007 - Brian Westbrook [RB - PHI]
2006 - Steven Jackson [RB - STL]
2005 - Rudi Johnson [RB - CIN]
2004 - Muhsin Muhammad [WR - CAR]
2003 - Peyton Manning [QB - IND]
2002 - Priest Holmes [RB - KC]

#18 holyBrowns

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Posted 14 September 2012 - 07:33 AM

Is he going to bust this season? Seriously, what's going on? He never had a game like the first two all last season.
14 Team Total Points - Weekly Lineup Locks [hitting scoring] 1 pt per single, run, rbi, bb, sb, hbp - 2 pts per double - 3 pts per triple - 4 pts per home run [pitching scoring] 15 pts per win, 3 pts per QS, 2 pts per CG, 1 pt per K, 10 pts per no hitter, 5 pts per perfect game, 8 pts per save, relief win
C: Yan Gomes
1B: Anthony Rizzo
2B: Dustin Pedroia
3B: Kyle Seager
SS: Starlin Castro
OF: Mike Trout
OF: Giancarlo Stanton
OF: Alex Rios
DH: David Ortiz
SP: Zack Greinke
SP: Jered Weaver
SP: Johnny Cueto
RP: Jason Grilli
Bench: Bogaerts, Polanco, Morneau, Iwakuma, Peavy, Colon, Simon, Buehrle, Kelly, Chavez

#19 Baron von Smooth

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Posted 14 September 2012 - 07:48 AM

No, he's not going to be a bust. He's on a potent offense and faced two of the toughest defenses these past two weeks (and played the Bears on a short week). He's got Nelson, Finley, Cobb, Jones, and apparently Driver. He'll be fine.

But your comment gets me excited at the possibility of a buy low trade with panicked Rodgers owners who didn't draft a RB/WR in the first round...just don't be one of the owners to fall for offers like that.
Team #1 - 12 team PPR (QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, Flex, 6 Bench)

QB - N. Foles

RB - Z. Stacy, R. Bush, J. Bell, L. Miller, M. Ingram

WR - D. Bryant, A. Brown, T. Smith, J. Hunter, J. Gordon

TE - J. Reed, T. Kelce // K - (streaming) // DST - (streaming)

Team #2 - 12 team PPR (QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, Flex, 6 Bench)

QB - R. Wilson

RB - A. Ellington, S. Vereen, T. Gerhart, P. Thomas, L. Miller, J. Dwyer

WR - D. Bryant, B. Marshall, M. Evans, K. Benjamin, J. Gordon

TE - J. Cameron // K - (streaming) // DST - (streaming)

Team #3 - 12 team 0.5 PPR (QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, TE, 2 Flex, 6 Bench)

QB - R. Griffin III

RB - A. Foster, R. Jennings, B. Pierce, M. Ingram, M. Asiata

WR - J. Jones, A.J. Green, T. Smith, J. Edelman, M. Evans, A. Dobson, J. Gordon

TE - T. Kelce // K - (streaming) // DST - (streaming)

Team #4 - 8 team 0.5 PPR (2 QBs, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, TE, Flex, 9 Bench)

QB - M. Ryan, T. Romo

RB - J. Charles, M. Ball, G. Bernard, A. Ellington, J. Bell, P. Thomas, J. Hill

WR - D. Thomas, K. Allen, M. Floyd, K. Wright, R. Randle, K. Benjamin, J. Hunter, J. Gordon

TE - K. Rudolph // K - (streaming) // DST - (streaming)


#20 rraayy3

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Posted 14 September 2012 - 07:49 AM

I'll say it.

You are not getting your return on investment this year. Bust? No, hes a lock for top 5 QB. GBs defense will be better and they actually have something that resembles a running game.


I know a lot of people took him top 3-5. Benson looks really good (and I hate Benson), and the defense with Williams healthy should be improved ... I just don't think Rodgers is going ro be blowing away the other stud QBs like last year

I only own him in ppr and will be trying to package him in a deal for another elite RB. (I didnt draft him, traded for him with my excess RB depth)

Hoping the 10 days off will make ppl forget how awful they looked and I can get top dollar for him

I like him this year. No doubt he's going to be "elite" ... i just dont think he's gonna be as dominant week to week as he was last year. I was completely wrong about Benson, and they obviously plan on giving him a decent workload.