We already have one for 3B and 1B is always one of the most interesting to discuss given how deep it always is... what are everyone rankings heading into 2013? Who goes off the board first after Pujols, Fielder and Votto?
Here are my early rankings for 2013 (Didn't include guys like Posey, Mauer or Santana because no one should be drafting those guys to play 1B):
4. A. Gonzalez
17. I. Davis
19. C. Davis
24. G. Jones
He's also swinging at more pitches outside of the strike zone and making contact with less pitches inside the strike zone than ever before
Compare his .345 wOBA (Which, considering the trend of it getting worse for 5 straight years, you can't expect to improve much in 2013) to some of the names I had above him, Goldschmidt (.363), LaRoche (.361), Swisher (.363) and I think I have him ranked appropriately.
"Choosing between stats and scouting is like choosing between beer and tacos. In other words, its a choice nobody should have to make, since both are great and are perhaps even better when consumed together."
Leading The War against WAR, because somebody has to!
I like Rizzo ahead of Freeman but not Goldy. Freeman just doesn't excite me. Mediocore power in a big ballpark. I think Goldy's 10-15 bags and at least 100 more ABs this year put him in the top ten. Rizzo is interesting as I feel the HR's will be there but RBI opportunities not so much. I see RIzzo hitting .290/28/85/75. I see Goldy topping 100 RBI's this year.
I think Brandon Belt has a breakout year and should be ranked around 20ish.
Ive got him for a buck in my 13-team league...he is right on the bubble as one of my keepers. I like him for a bit of a breakout too (20-80-10) and one thing I really like is that he gets some bags, I could see him being top 3-4 stolen base leaders for 1B. Looking at this list, which I dont take too much objection too and not seeing him on there makes me think maybe he isnt worthy of a keeper, from the standpoint I can just get him back for a buck.
Seems everybody's jogging or heavy into health s?&t, don't tell me that I otta get rolfed, cause I love Cajun martinis and playing afternoon golf-JB from we are the people are parents warned us about
I will probably wait till February until I actually start ranking players, but a couple of my thoughts on the 1b.
There is no clear-cut #1 1b. Votto's knee is a concern as he had absolutely no power when he came back. Will it bother him this year? He also has only 1 season with over 30 homers. Pujols was awesome in the 4 middle months, not so awesome in April or September. His 2nd year in LA will he make a strong comeback? Personally, I think so. Fielder is great and has that same "settled in with his team for his second season" deal, and it's possible he improves this year. Last year he didn't score many runs but with V-Mart and Hunter potentially to hit behind him, his runs may climb. The #1 debate is between them 3, most likely, and I'd put them Pujols, Fielder, Votto.
With Teixeira, you are basically guaranteed big time power stats if he is healthy. Average can change year to year based on a little luck, so while his average looks like a dead weight he could easily hit .275+ as he has numerous times in years past. I would put him MUCH higher.
A-Gonz power seems to have evaporated, however with Crawford Kemp Either Hanley around him, he'll have plenty of rbi chances and maybe his 2nd year (and 1st full year) in LA helps regenerate him. .300/25/115 seems do-able.
I will be one of the people that either kicks himself for passing on Edwin Encarnacion, or smiling for staying away.
Goldschmidt is a .300+ hitter waiting to happen. He has a very high line-drive rate and babip. He hit .300+ at every stop in the minors (remember, he skipped over triple AAA). He may great strides cutting down his k-rate last year. You're better off penciling him in for 12-15 steals than around 20, but a .310 average with 25 homers could happen.
Eric Hosmer may suck this year, but he will be undervalued. Very rarely do players do what he did in 2011, at the age of 21, and then just start sucking. He has a pedigree to go with that success. There is no positive trend from last year to carry to this year, and his fly ball rate is terrible, as well as his average vs lefties. However, if is ADP creeps down to #20 overall 1b range, you need to take a chance on his talent.
20 team, 4 keepers, standard score league:
RB- Ryan Mathews
W/R- Allen Hurns BN- Knile Davis BN-BenJarvus Green-Ellis BN-John Brown BN- Jake Locker
K-Dan Bailey, Greg The Leg
Def- Denver, New York Giants