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Albert Pujols 2013 Outlook


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#1 yort1919

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Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:12 PM

Does Albert Pujols turn it up a notch this coming season? 2nd year with LAA could be a good thing. Projected numbers?
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#2 dzemens

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Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:22 PM

Barring another atrocious start to the season, I would anticipate something in the .295-.305 range with 35HR 115RBI close to 100 runs and hopefully a mid .900 OPS. I think expectations are down some as he has shown signs of decline but what he did from after the first month or so on is probably a good barometer.
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#3 ChrisFarley

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Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:23 PM

After the slow start for almost 2 months, he became the animal he is.

June .326/.409/.568
July .330/.411/.660
Aug .312/.350/.677

Check out those slugging #s.  It took him awhile to adjust to the AL, but he's still a beat.

*Played hurt in September with a bad leg, numbers slipped.

For 2013, I would be comfortable in predicting 90-100 R, 35-40 HR, 110-120 RBI, .300+ avg

#4 baltimore_boy

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Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:27 PM

He should be back to the old reliable Pujols this year. He depends on knowing every pitcher's weaknesses and how they pitch around him. He basically lost most of that advantage when he switched leagues last year. He should be much more consistent this year now that he has an idea of most of the AL pitchers that he will face this year.
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#5 ChrisFarley

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Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:39 PM

View Postbaltimore_boy, on 06 December 2012 - 04:27 PM, said:

He should be back to the old reliable Pujols this year. He depends on knowing every pitcher's weaknesses and how they pitch around him. He basically lost most of that advantage when he switched leagues last year. He should be much more consistent this year now that he has an idea of most of the AL pitchers that he will face this year.

View Postbaltimore_boy, on 06 December 2012 - 04:27 PM, said:

He should be back to the old reliable Pujols this year. He depends on knowing every pitcher's weaknesses and how they pitch around him. He basically lost most of that advantage when he switched leagues last year. He should be much more consistent this year now that he has an idea of most of the AL pitchers that he will face this year.

Excellent point.

#6 brockpapersizer

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Posted 06 December 2012 - 04:53 PM

I think he's going to have a monster year and could fall to you in the middle or end of the 1st. Buying.  Would anyone really be that shocked if he was the #1 player this year? I wouldnt.
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#7 LyondellBasell

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Posted 08 December 2012 - 10:15 AM

i'm torn. logic says he is on the downside, but in my gut i feel like he has one monster year left, and this will be it. if you get him back of the first, it's a smart pick. he may not win you the league, but he won't kill you.
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#8 Red Sox Nation

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Posted 09 December 2012 - 02:11 AM

Pujols is in the Kobe mold where if he has a down year and you count him out, no matter what his age is, he will come back and just DOMINATE. I hope his price is reasonable in my auction this year, because I think he is going to go bananas. He will also have a full season of on-base machine Mike Trout ahead of him, and as mentioned will now be more settled in as he starts his second season in LA. He will still be a 1st round pick so it's not like you will get a massive discount, but I project around .310ave/38hr/120rbi/10sb

#9 mevins31

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 05:07 PM

What do you guys think for the mighty Pujols?

.290/33/110/10 sound okay?
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#10 phillyloveslee

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Posted 13 February 2013 - 09:47 PM

View Postmevins31, on 13 February 2013 - 05:07 PM, said:

What do you guys think for the mighty Pujols?

.290/33/110/10 sound okay?
I think he outperforms those numbers - if you take away the first month and a half he was adjusting to a new league, he had a monster 4-5 months last year. Add Hamilton to that lineup, and there's no reason to think his numbers won't go up. I think closer to .310/38/110/110/5 (I think he runs less with Hamilton behind him, we'll see). This is the first year in a while that he will be a bargain at his current ADP.

#11 battle2heaven

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Posted 17 February 2013 - 04:07 PM

What do I think. One word to describe Albert, SAFE.

That's what you want in a first round pick. I would love him anywhere from picks 4-7.
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#12 malta69

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Posted 18 February 2013 - 10:47 AM

I'm picking eighth in my H2H pts league next year, and unlike past seasons, I think it's really a great spot

View Postbattle2heaven, on 17 February 2013 - 04:07 PM, said:

What do I think. One word to describe Albert, SAFE.

That's what you want in a first round pick. I would love him anywhere from picks 4-7.

+1

I'm picking eighth in my H2H points league draft next month and for the first time in a LONG time, am thrilled with picking in the back end.  Based on the likelihood of Miggy and the top 4 OFs all going in the first 6 or so picks, the fact that you are almost guaranteed a shot to nab Pujols, Votto or to a slightly lesser degree Prince in this range gives you a fantastic shot for success.
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#13 cyberer

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Posted 19 February 2013 - 01:42 PM

Hard to throw out his first "adjustment" month, because he has started slow 2-3 years in a row now- he led the league in GIDPs in may 2011, and then struggled again in 2012 early.

I think he will have a good season, but I think last years roto line is a fair projection because i don't buy into ignoring his slow starts
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#14 Patrick Bateman

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 12:03 PM

He's a wobbler.....I'm having a tough time picturing this.....Still thinks he'll be ready for the opener.

According to FOX Sports' Jon Paul Morosi, Albert Pujols (knee) "wobbled as he ran Wednesday."
Pujols has finally been cleared to run the bases in live games, but it's obvious to everyone who has watched him this spring that he is not at 100 percent. The 33-year-old slugger underwent knee surgery in October and is being limited to DH duties for the time being in the Cactus League. There's no timetable for his debut at first base.
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#15 bigge2win

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 12:17 PM

View Postbattle2heaven, on 17 February 2013 - 04:07 PM, said:

What do I think. One word to describe Albert, SAFE.

That's what you want in a first round pick. I would love him anywhere from picks 4-7.

Prince Fielder is safer than Pujols. Similar upside, but you don't deal with the headache of the injury recovery or the slow start. IMO, those worries aren't worth 10 SBs, which comes out to fewer than 1 every 2 weeks if you play in H2H.

#16 cymbaline

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 01:56 PM

His OBP trend is a concern for people in that kind of format.

2008: .462
2009: .443
2010: .414
2011: .366
2012: .343

BA is in similar decline -- 4 consecutive years of drops.

He's still awesome but at this point I'd rather take a guy in the first round who doesn't show this kind of slope.

Edited by cymbaline, 14 March 2013 - 02:02 PM.


#17 Suikoden

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 06:29 PM

Monster year upcoming.
20 team, 4 keepers, standard score league:
QB-Ben Roethlisberger
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#18 gbill2004

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 09:13 PM

Just remember, MLB is testing for HGH this season.  Previous years Pujols was such a quick healer...wonder why it's taking so long this year.

Edited by gbill2004, 14 March 2013 - 09:14 PM.

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RB/FLEX (2) - DeMarco Murray, Doug Martin, Ray Rice, Steven Jackson, Jeremy Miller, Carlos Hyde, Terrance West
WR (4) - Calvin Johnson, Michael Crabtree, Rueben Randle, Josh Gordon, Marcus Wheaton, Kenny Britt, Marquise Lee
TE (2) - Rob Gronkowski, Heath Miller, Jared Cook, Travis Kelce
K (2) - Shayne Graham, Connor Barth

DEF (2) - Cleveland, New Orleans
IDP (4) - Lavonte David, Jared Mayo, Alec Ogletree, Ryan Shazier

#19 clutchcityfan

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 09:30 PM

View Postgbill2004, on 14 March 2013 - 09:13 PM, said:

Just remember, MLB is testing for HGH this season.  Previous years Pujols was such a quick healer...wonder why it's taking so long this year.

Did you really just like your own post?

#20 WhiteSoxFan4Life

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 09:48 PM

View Postclutchcityfan, on 14 March 2013 - 09:30 PM, said:

View Postgbill2004, on 14 March 2013 - 09:13 PM, said:

Just remember, MLB is testing for HGH this season.  Previous years Pujols was such a quick healer...wonder why it's taking so long this year.

Did you really just like your own post?

Funny stuff.  But to answer the question:  he's getting older.  Healing slower happens to all of us as we get older.  There's no need to try and cast dirt on Albert.
C:  Brian McCann
1B: Albert Pujols
2B: Ian Kinsler
3B:  Will Middlebrooks
SS: Jonathan Villar
OF1: Melky Cabrera
OF2:  Adam Eaton
OF3:  Kole Calhoun
Util:  Abraham Almonte
Bench:  Colby Rasmus, Marcus Semien,  Ryan Goins, Logan Morrison

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