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Wild Card Weekend DiscussionWho ya GOT?!


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#1 ludawg23

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 11:59 AM

Some very solid matchups this weekend...

Bengals/Texans:

Texans: Seem to be reeling right now.  Giving up big plays in the secondary but they do play at home.

Bengals: Defense playing at a very high level.  Can Dalton play well on the road?

Prediction: Bengals 24-21

Vikings/Packers:

Vikings: AP should get his but can Ponder play well enough away from the dome?

Packers: Rodgers should have a full arsenal at his disposal this week..

Prediction: Packers roll 38-17, the Vikings had to play a perfect game last week and had a lot go their way.  I just don't see them beating the Packers 2 weeks in a row...especially at Lambeau.

Colts/Ravens

Colts - Luck playing well but also away from the dome.  Pagano-strong? Still a lot of holes in that defense

Ravens: Surprisingly, Flacco has started 9 playoff games and has won 5 of them.  The return of Ray Lewis?

Prediction: Ravens 28-17

Seahawks/Redskins

Hawks - Is there a hotter team in the NFL? Playing well on both sides of the ball but also playing away from home

Redskins - Another team on a roll leaning on RGIII and Morris

Prediction - Seahawks 21-17

Battle of the rookies and I think this is a low scoring affair.  Both teams in the bottom half in offensive snaps so I think it'll be a grind.  But RGIII doesn't look 100% which may be the deciding factor against a ferocious defense.

Edited by ludawg23, 04 January 2013 - 12:05 PM.

12 team 5x5 H2H League

C - Lucroy
1st - V-Mart
2nd - Kipnis
SS - Castro
3rd - Aramis
OF - Trout, Choo, Bautisa
UTIL - Pujols, Panda, Lind
BENCH - Mesoraco, R. Davis, Taveras

SP - Anibal, Shields, Iwakumi, Cashner, Samardzija, E. Santana, Masterson, Hudson, McHugh
RP - Soria, Doolittle, Casilla, McGee

#2 Cmilne23

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 12:18 PM

Houston - 28 - 24
Packers - 31 - 20
Ravens - 28 - 17
Seahawks - 35 - 17

Maybe I'm a homer but that Redskin D stinks.  I think the Hawks eat them alive.

#3 ludawg23

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 12:22 PM

View PostCmilne23, on 04 January 2013 - 12:18 PM, said:

Houston - 28 - 24
Packers - 31 - 20
Ravens - 28 - 17
Seahawks - 35 - 17

Maybe I'm a homer but that Redskin D stinks.  I think the Hawks eat them alive.

Their secondary is awful but they are excellent at stopping the run.  The Seahawks are a power running team and they grind it out which plays into the Redskins' strength.  I think they would roll at home but away from SEA, anything goes and the home team should be fired up for this game.  Can't wait...
12 team 5x5 H2H League

C - Lucroy
1st - V-Mart
2nd - Kipnis
SS - Castro
3rd - Aramis
OF - Trout, Choo, Bautisa
UTIL - Pujols, Panda, Lind
BENCH - Mesoraco, R. Davis, Taveras

SP - Anibal, Shields, Iwakumi, Cashner, Samardzija, E. Santana, Masterson, Hudson, McHugh
RP - Soria, Doolittle, Casilla, McGee

#4 cbe_88

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 12:45 PM

View PostCmilne23, on 04 January 2013 - 12:18 PM, said:

Houston - 28 - 24
Packers - 31 - 20
Ravens - 28 - 17
Seahawks - 35 - 17

Maybe I'm a homer but that Redskin D stinks.  I think the Hawks eat them alive.

I don't know man, I think Luck gives Baltimore a serious run for their money. I'd love to see Luck pullout a playoff win in his rookie year, would be great to see IMO. And yeah I don't see how Wash pulls it out AT SEA...Luck and Wilson look like the better bets in terms or rookie QB's advancing.

I agree about Houston and Green Bay

#5 rraayy3

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:02 PM

Seattle is going to the SB. Their defense is just ridiculous and Wilson/Lynch are playing like men possessed.

"It's a passing league bro no way."

It's funny how people forget a couple different bounces last year and the SB would've been SF/BAL. Defense/running the football still matter ... and Seattle does both as well as anyone. And they have a very good QB that can make plays on his own.

AFC it's pretty much DEN/NE i don't see any other team winning that conference.

[i am not a seahawks fan]

and GB/SEA/HOU/BAL win this week ... although i would love to see an Indy/Denver matchup at some point.

Edited by rraayy3, 04 January 2013 - 01:06 PM.


#6 ludawg23

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:09 PM

View Postcbe_88, on 04 January 2013 - 12:45 PM, said:

View PostCmilne23, on 04 January 2013 - 12:18 PM, said:

Houston - 28 - 24
Packers - 31 - 20
Ravens - 28 - 17
Seahawks - 35 - 17

Maybe I'm a homer but that Redskin D stinks.  I think the Hawks eat them alive.

I don't know man, I think Luck gives Baltimore a serious run for their money. I'd love to see Luck pullout a playoff win in his rookie year, would be great to see IMO. And yeah I don't see how Wash pulls it out AT SEA...Luck and Wilson look like the better bets in terms or rookie QB's advancing.

I agree about Houston and Green Bay

Game is @ WAS

Edited by ludawg23, 04 January 2013 - 01:09 PM.

12 team 5x5 H2H League

C - Lucroy
1st - V-Mart
2nd - Kipnis
SS - Castro
3rd - Aramis
OF - Trout, Choo, Bautisa
UTIL - Pujols, Panda, Lind
BENCH - Mesoraco, R. Davis, Taveras

SP - Anibal, Shields, Iwakumi, Cashner, Samardzija, E. Santana, Masterson, Hudson, McHugh
RP - Soria, Doolittle, Casilla, McGee

#7 rraayy3

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:13 PM

seattle is a wildcard ... the game is in washington ... this is the only thing keeping me from betting a ton of money on the seahawks.

i'm confident the hawks will win, but traveling east for bob's first playoff game/first redskins division title since color TV was invented should have that place going nuts ... too many what ifs for me to put a lot of money on the hawks.

#8 cbe_88

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:17 PM

That's my mistake, it is at WASH as division winners despite a worse record. I still think Seattle takes it to 'em. Seattle will make it to the divisional round

#9 TheJRod2006

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:17 PM

Bengals
Packers
Ravens
Seahawks
Do you really care who is on my team? I have Mike Trout and Arian Foster in keeper leagues in their respective sports.

Twitter: @MrJaredMoore

#10 MonsterMan

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:18 PM

During the regular season, teams traveling from the West Coast to the East Coast usually don't fare well.  However, this is the Playoffs and Seattle should be well prepared, with that said, I can see them win in Washington, but the following week they play Atlanta on Saturday (assumes GB wins).

Do the Seahawks stay on the East Coast or do they fly back to turn around and fly East?

#11 rraayy3

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:34 PM

it'd be smart to stay out on the east coast ... but idk how that works. probably fly back and forth.

i honestly think they matchup perfectly with ATL ... their secondary can shutdown that passing game, turner will do nothing on that front 7 ... and they don't have a chance of stopping Lynch [controlling the clock, keeping ATL's offense on the sidelines...]

this is why i like seattle to go on a postseason run, assuming they get past washington first. they really do matchup perfectly with ATL when you look at the individual match ups.

Edited by rraayy3, 04 January 2013 - 01:35 PM.


#12 malta69

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:36 PM

Sat

I love the Bengals catching 4 1/2 pts in last year's rematch.
You want to talk about two teams going in opposite directions - I wouldn't be suprised to see a double digit win

GB wins, but I can't see it being a route.   9 1/2 is high

Sun

Think Baltimore is a nice value and I can see Luck struggling in the cold.

Seattle/Wash is the ultimate coin flip game.   I see tons of running and love the under
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#13 DOMESKI

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:38 PM

The last time Seattle was a 3 point favorite, for an away game, was Week 13 at Miami. They ended up losing 24-21.

Sunday's spread at Washington? SEA-3.0.

edit: I'll take the Skins, 27-24.

Edited by DOMESKI, 04 January 2013 - 01:41 PM.


#14 rraayy3

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:51 PM

could bet $1,000 on SEA straight up. pays out ~1500 if seattle wins outright ... i wanna bet more ... [anyone use sportsbook? legit?]

RG3 limited, Sherman erases Garcon, SEA's front 7 holds Morris in check, Wilson gets that putrid secondary and Lynch should keep the defense more than honest ...

i really wanna put 10G on SEA ... someone talk me out of it ... winning 5G on sunday would be nice ... losing 10G on sunday would really ... really ... really ruin my weekend.

i can buy an extra 3 points to make the line pick 'em ... i'm pretty much certain SEA is gonna win, but i don't love that they are road favorites [it could very easily be a 3 point game ... which would screw a lot of people].

obviously the payouts are much higher if i bet at -3... but pick 'em seems like a lock to me. Any reason to think Washington has an edge in this matchup? [aside from home field?]

#15 ToO_BaD

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:51 PM

Not really going to give any explanations, because they are really just gut feelings.  So here are my somewhat bold/somewhat predicted picks:

Houston 27-20

Green Bay 34-17

Indy 24-17

Seattle 31-21
RW Mock Draft Real League: 14-team, 0.5 PPR, 6pt all TDs

QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Matt Forte
RB: Trent Richardson
WR: Pierre Garçon
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
W/R/T: T.Y. Hilton
W/R/T: Mike Evans
TE: Vernon Davis
DEF: Denver D/ST
K: Stephen Gostkowski

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#16 ToO_BaD

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 01:56 PM

View Postrraayy3, on 04 January 2013 - 01:51 PM, said:

could bet $1,000 on SEA straight up. pays out ~1500 if seattle wins outright ... i wanna bet more ... [anyone use sportsbook? legit?]

RG3 limited, Sherman erases Garcon, SEA's front 7 holds Morris in check, Wilson gets that putrid secondary and Lynch should keep the defense more than honest ...

i really wanna put 10G on SEA ... someone talk me out of it ... winning 5G on sunday would be nice ... losing 10G on sunday would really ... really ... really ruin my weekend.

i can buy an extra 3 points to make the line pick 'em ... i'm pretty much certain SEA is gonna win, but i don't love that they are road favorites [it could very easily be a 3 point game ... which would screw a lot of people].

obviously the payouts are much higher if i bet at -3... but pick 'em seems like a lock to me. Any reason to think Washington has an edge in this matchup? [aside from home field?]

Sportsbook is pretty legit, but all betting sites are offshore, so you might have to notify your bank or they might not let a payment go through.  Also, it is much easier if you have Visa.  I really don't see Washington having an edge outside of home field.  Seattle is used to cold/outdoor conditions playing in a city that rarely sees sunlight.  They play outdoors, but the sound at that place is like being in a dome, it is LOUD.  So crowd noise shouldn't really bother them too much.  NFC West is reppin' strong in the postseason.
RW Mock Draft Real League: 14-team, 0.5 PPR, 6pt all TDs

QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Matt Forte
RB: Trent Richardson
WR: Pierre Garçon
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
W/R/T: T.Y. Hilton
W/R/T: Mike Evans
TE: Vernon Davis
DEF: Denver D/ST
K: Stephen Gostkowski

Bench:
DeAngelo Williams, Stepfan Taylor, Marvin Jones, Kelvin Benjamin, Allen Robinson, Antonio Gates

#17 predator_05

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 02:23 PM

Bengals @ Texans: Texans win 24-21. Bengals are much improved from last year but Houston D will force enough mistakes from mediocre Dalton to win the game. Bengals D will keep it close.

Vikings @ Packers: Packers win 34-31 in OT. The Vikes have impressed against the Packers and will dominate that weak offensive line, putting Rodgers on the ground a few times. The Pack will focus on nothing else but stopping AP and will allow Ponder to beat them, which should allow him to have an above average game but will also result in a point scoring turnovers. Both teams match-up well against each other and it will be a very close contest.

Colts @ Ravens: Ravens win 24-13. The Ravens will play their hearts out for Ray Lewis and try to give him a perfect send-off. Indy's fairytale season will come to an end, a game too big for a talented but inexperienced team. Luck will throw three picks, Ravens D comes out with a vintage performance. Easy win for the Ravens.

Seahawks @ Redskins: Seahawks win 21-20 in OT. Too close to call, its not even close to the blowout that some might be predicting. That said, the Seahawks have a full strength team and are peaking at the right time. The Skins are far from full strength but a super accurate RG3 and a physical WR like Garcon will still find a way to move the ball on the Hawks and put the points on the board. Low-scoring struggle that will be decided by a few key moments. Consider the CONDITIONS: the FedEX field is a nasty, scuffed up grass.

Edited by predator_05, 04 January 2013 - 02:25 PM.

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#18 ludawg23

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 03:00 PM

$10K sweat on the Seahawks...do it rraayy3
12 team 5x5 H2H League

C - Lucroy
1st - V-Mart
2nd - Kipnis
SS - Castro
3rd - Aramis
OF - Trout, Choo, Bautisa
UTIL - Pujols, Panda, Lind
BENCH - Mesoraco, R. Davis, Taveras

SP - Anibal, Shields, Iwakumi, Cashner, Samardzija, E. Santana, Masterson, Hudson, McHugh
RP - Soria, Doolittle, Casilla, McGee

#19 NYR Fan 116894

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 03:08 PM

Texans/Bengals

Texans win 21-16.

Ravens/Colts

Ravens win 27-17.

Seahawks/Redskins

Seahawks win 24-20.

Packers/Vikings

Packers win 31-20.

No reason for the scores for me. Just what my mind is telling me.
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#20 DocJ

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Posted 04 January 2013 - 03:53 PM

Houston: 31 - 24
Packers: 34 - 24
Ravens: 27 - 17
Redskins: 35 - 24

Yes I'm a Vikes fan but I'm a realist, this is a tall order for them, it all depends on what version of Ponder shows up.
Many of you are way higher on SEA than I think is warranted.
2014 RW Mock Real League: 14-team, 0.5 PPR, All TDs 6 pts

Draft currently in progress in "Your League" Forum

QB: Nick Foles (8.09)
RB1: Frank Gore (5.06)
RB2: Danny Woodhead (6.09)
WR1: Calvin Johnson (1.06)
WR2: Julio Jones (2.09)
W/R/T: Keenan Allen (3.06)
W/R/T: Cordarrelle Patterson (4.09)
TE: Heath Miller (10.09)
DEF: CLE DST (15.06)
K:

Bench: Golden Tate (7.06), LeGarrette Blount (9.06), Harry Douglas (11.06), James White (12.09), Eli Manning (13.06), KaDeem Carey (14.09)