After a great 2011 season: .295/.389/.506, 19 hr, 82 rbi, 2012 was a loud thud: .243/.352/.384, 9 hr 48 rbi.
After some research, Avila apparently had a lot of nagging injuries including a concussion.
Are you optimistic on his 2013 outlook?
0
Alex Avila 2013 OutlookCan he come close to his 2011 numbers?
Started by
ChrisFarley
, Nov 29 2012 09:19 PM
12 replies to this topic
#2
LyondellBasell
-
- Established Members
-
- 4,022 posts
On the Ballot
- Gender:Male
- Location:Bronx
- Interests:Mets - Knicks
Posted 30 November 2012 - 09:57 PM
he just doesn't elicit any excitement on my end. i'd take him if he drops. that's about it.
twelve team h2h, 3 keepers
avg/ops/hr/r/rbi/sb * k/w/whip/era/sv
C/ M. Montero
1B/ Butler
2B/ Pedroia
SS/ Cozart
MI/ Prado
3B/ Machado
CI/ Craig
OF/ CarGo
OF/ J Upton
OF/ Ellsbury
Ut/ Konerko
SP/ Latos, Anibal, De La Rosa, Gallardo, Parker, Fernandez,
Cashner, Detwiler, Parker, Kazmir, Beckett
DL/ Anderson, Hudson
avg/ops/hr/r/rbi/sb * k/w/whip/era/sv
C/ M. Montero
1B/ Butler
2B/ Pedroia
SS/ Cozart
MI/ Prado
3B/ Machado
CI/ Craig
OF/ CarGo
OF/ J Upton
OF/ Ellsbury
Ut/ Konerko
SP/ Latos, Anibal, De La Rosa, Gallardo, Parker, Fernandez,
Cashner, Detwiler, Parker, Kazmir, Beckett
DL/ Anderson, Hudson
#3
ChrisFarley
-
- Established Members
-
- 2,022 posts
Superstar
Posted 04 January 2013 - 09:13 PM
2012 was an injury riddled year for Alex Avila. Recent reports indicate he is 100% healthy and has been working out with Miguel Cabrera.
Assuming Alex Avila is indeed healthy heading into 2013, do you think he can come close to replicating his 2011 season? .295/.389/.506
Assuming Alex Avila is indeed healthy heading into 2013, do you think he can come close to replicating his 2011 season? .295/.389/.506
#4
Dissection
-
- Members
-
- 77 posts
Triple-A
- Gender:Male
- Interests:Psychology,Prog Rock,Poker.
Posted 08 January 2013 - 10:08 AM
He was injured whole season,that's the reason for these awful numbers.One of the guys I'll be definitely targeting.
#5
klove42
-
- Established Members
-
- 3,826 posts
On the Ballot
- Gender:Male
- Location:Jersey
Posted 08 January 2013 - 10:21 AM
I honestly completely forgot about him, but I think 2013 will be a mix of 2012 and 2011. I think his average will be around the .250-260 area, but the power numbers will bounce back a little bit.
No Days Off
#6
Dissection
-
- Members
-
- 77 posts
Triple-A
- Gender:Male
- Interests:Psychology,Prog Rock,Poker.
Posted 08 January 2013 - 12:10 PM
I personally think that his average will be .265 in worst case scenario.
#7
Nick Mitchell
-
- Established Members
-
- 1,801 posts
Superstar
- Gender:Male
- Location:Chicago
- Interests:skydiving; making cake.
Posted 08 January 2013 - 06:08 PM
I actually really think he has a nice chance to have a bounce-back year. He should be a better play in OBP>AVG leagues, though. His OBP was still pretty good despite all things last season.
15 HR and a BA north of .265, an OBP around .360 maybe? Depending on where he hits in the order, 60-75 RBI seems about right. I think he could fall and be a nice value pick... catcher is very deep this year, though. So if he doesn't stay healthy or sputters out of the gate (should I wind up drafting him), he would be a guy I wouldn't hang onto for long. There are always nice catchers on the wire early in the year. A.J. went undrafted in my league last year, and I don't think anyone took him seriously until about May. There are a lot of other examples.
I wouldn't spend a lot, but I wouldn't overlook him, either.
15 HR and a BA north of .265, an OBP around .360 maybe? Depending on where he hits in the order, 60-75 RBI seems about right. I think he could fall and be a nice value pick... catcher is very deep this year, though. So if he doesn't stay healthy or sputters out of the gate (should I wind up drafting him), he would be a guy I wouldn't hang onto for long. There are always nice catchers on the wire early in the year. A.J. went undrafted in my league last year, and I don't think anyone took him seriously until about May. There are a lot of other examples.
I wouldn't spend a lot, but I wouldn't overlook him, either.
Team #1:
14-team/25-man (mixed) roster roto-auction redraft league [3rd Season, Defending Champ] (standard 5x5 scoring w/ OBP in place of AVG)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Brandon Belt, 2B Kelly Johnson, 3B Miguel Cabrera, SS Starlin Castro, IF Elvis Andrus, OF (4 starting OF slots, not position-specific) OF Gerardo Parra, OF Denard Span, OF Domonic Brown, OF Raul Ibanez, UTL Eric Chavez
BN: C,1B,3B Jordan Pacheo, 1B James Loney, 3B Juan Franncisco, OF Oswalda Arcia, OF Wil Myers [N/A]
P (8- any kind) SP Felix Hernandez, SP Hisashi Iwakuma, SP Shelby Miller, SP Mike Minor, R.A. Dickey, SP Johnny Cueto, MR Bobby Parnell, MR Jim Henderson
BN: SP Tim Lincecum
DL: (2 allotted slots at once): MR Ryan Madson
----
Team #2:
14-team/28-man (mixed) roster roto-snake redraft league [Inaugural Season] (7x7 scoring <R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, & SLG / W, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, & QS> and var. position-specific starting slots)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Adam Dunn, 2B Jason Kipnis, 3B Ryan Zimmerman, SS Jean Segura, CI Todd Frazier, MI Everth Cabrera, LF Gerardo Parra, CF Andrew McCutchen, RF Lucas Duda, OF Adam Jones, UTL Lorenzo Cain
BN: C,3B,1B Jordan Pacheo, 1B Lyle Overbay, RF Marcell Ozuna, LF,CF,RF Michael Saunders LF,CF,RF Justin Ruggiano
SP (2): Felix Hernandez (SP), Jose Fernandez (SP); RP (3): Joe Nathan (RP), Fernando Rodney (RP), Ernesto Frieri (RP); P (4- any kind) P Lance Lynn (SP,RP), P Brandon League (RP), P Kevin Gregg (RP), P Cory Gearrin (RP)
BN: Mike Minor (SP), Hisashi Iwakuma (SP,RP)
DL: (3 allotted slots at once) SP Brandon Beachy, CF Cameron Maybin
14-team/25-man (mixed) roster roto-auction redraft league [3rd Season, Defending Champ] (standard 5x5 scoring w/ OBP in place of AVG)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Brandon Belt, 2B Kelly Johnson, 3B Miguel Cabrera, SS Starlin Castro, IF Elvis Andrus, OF (4 starting OF slots, not position-specific) OF Gerardo Parra, OF Denard Span, OF Domonic Brown, OF Raul Ibanez, UTL Eric Chavez
BN: C,1B,3B Jordan Pacheo, 1B James Loney, 3B Juan Franncisco, OF Oswalda Arcia, OF Wil Myers [N/A]
P (8- any kind) SP Felix Hernandez, SP Hisashi Iwakuma, SP Shelby Miller, SP Mike Minor, R.A. Dickey, SP Johnny Cueto, MR Bobby Parnell, MR Jim Henderson
BN: SP Tim Lincecum
DL: (2 allotted slots at once): MR Ryan Madson
----
Team #2:
14-team/28-man (mixed) roster roto-snake redraft league [Inaugural Season] (7x7 scoring <R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, & SLG / W, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, & QS> and var. position-specific starting slots)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Adam Dunn, 2B Jason Kipnis, 3B Ryan Zimmerman, SS Jean Segura, CI Todd Frazier, MI Everth Cabrera, LF Gerardo Parra, CF Andrew McCutchen, RF Lucas Duda, OF Adam Jones, UTL Lorenzo Cain
BN: C,3B,1B Jordan Pacheo, 1B Lyle Overbay, RF Marcell Ozuna, LF,CF,RF Michael Saunders LF,CF,RF Justin Ruggiano
SP (2): Felix Hernandez (SP), Jose Fernandez (SP); RP (3): Joe Nathan (RP), Fernando Rodney (RP), Ernesto Frieri (RP); P (4- any kind) P Lance Lynn (SP,RP), P Brandon League (RP), P Kevin Gregg (RP), P Cory Gearrin (RP)
BN: Mike Minor (SP), Hisashi Iwakuma (SP,RP)
DL: (3 allotted slots at once) SP Brandon Beachy, CF Cameron Maybin
#8
octapuss
-
- Established Members
-
- 530 posts
Allstar
- Gender:Male
Posted 01 March 2013 - 09:13 PM
How is spring training going for this guy? I am excited to see what he can do.
16 Team Dynasty League / Weekly Head 2 Head / 14 by 14 Roto
Batting - 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, R, RBI, SB, HBP, IBB, / (negative points) K, GIDP, CS, E
Pitching - IP, W, SV, K, HD, CG, SO / (negative points) BB, HB, ER, L, BS, H, WP
C- Ruiz
1B - Hosmer, Dunn
2B - Hill,
3B - Freese
SS - Reyes
LF - Jennings, Soriano
CF - BJ Upton
RF - Markikis, Bautista
DL - Luebke
SP - Peavy, Kuroda, A. Sanchez, T. Hudson, Dempster, Niese, Kennedy
RP - Benoit, Street, Perkins
Batting - 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, R, RBI, SB, HBP, IBB, / (negative points) K, GIDP, CS, E
Pitching - IP, W, SV, K, HD, CG, SO / (negative points) BB, HB, ER, L, BS, H, WP
C- Ruiz
1B - Hosmer, Dunn
2B - Hill,
3B - Freese
SS - Reyes
LF - Jennings, Soriano
CF - BJ Upton
RF - Markikis, Bautista
DL - Luebke
SP - Peavy, Kuroda, A. Sanchez, T. Hudson, Dempster, Niese, Kennedy
RP - Benoit, Street, Perkins
#9
MrMartyBarrett
-
- Established Members
-
- 526 posts
Allstar
- Gender:Male
Posted 01 March 2013 - 09:24 PM
As others have said, this is a guy that I'll be targeting if he drops....and very likely to target in a 2 C league. But he doesn't excite me at all.
#10
octapuss
-
- Established Members
-
- 530 posts
Allstar
- Gender:Male
Posted 02 March 2013 - 10:30 AM
Will Victor Martinez steal any of his starts at catcher?
16 Team Dynasty League / Weekly Head 2 Head / 14 by 14 Roto
Batting - 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, R, RBI, SB, HBP, IBB, / (negative points) K, GIDP, CS, E
Pitching - IP, W, SV, K, HD, CG, SO / (negative points) BB, HB, ER, L, BS, H, WP
C- Ruiz
1B - Hosmer, Dunn
2B - Hill,
3B - Freese
SS - Reyes
LF - Jennings, Soriano
CF - BJ Upton
RF - Markikis, Bautista
DL - Luebke
SP - Peavy, Kuroda, A. Sanchez, T. Hudson, Dempster, Niese, Kennedy
RP - Benoit, Street, Perkins
Batting - 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, R, RBI, SB, HBP, IBB, / (negative points) K, GIDP, CS, E
Pitching - IP, W, SV, K, HD, CG, SO / (negative points) BB, HB, ER, L, BS, H, WP
C- Ruiz
1B - Hosmer, Dunn
2B - Hill,
3B - Freese
SS - Reyes
LF - Jennings, Soriano
CF - BJ Upton
RF - Markikis, Bautista
DL - Luebke
SP - Peavy, Kuroda, A. Sanchez, T. Hudson, Dempster, Niese, Kennedy
RP - Benoit, Street, Perkins
#11
cymbaline
-
- Established Members
-
- 2,189 posts
Superstar
- Gender:Male
Posted 02 March 2013 - 01:21 PM
I owned the clown last year. I ended up putting him a vs-RHP platoon for much of the year. If used in that way and paired with a run-of-the-mill scrub .260 BA catcher it is possible to create a decent line for virtually no cost. It does require a fair amount of juggling and daily maintenance, as well as an extra roster spot.
Anyway, the relevant split is handedness with Avila:
Career OPS v LHP: .682
Career OPS v RHP: .821 (that's tasty)
2012 OPS v LHP: .539 (only 15 hits all year, wow).
2012 OPS v RHP: .796
There's enough data to say he is very playable against RHP and practically unownable against LHP. As mentioned above, he's much better in OBP leagues. Where he hits in the lineup is also an ongoing concern.
Anyway, the relevant split is handedness with Avila:
Career OPS v LHP: .682
Career OPS v RHP: .821 (that's tasty)
2012 OPS v LHP: .539 (only 15 hits all year, wow).
2012 OPS v RHP: .796
There's enough data to say he is very playable against RHP and practically unownable against LHP. As mentioned above, he's much better in OBP leagues. Where he hits in the lineup is also an ongoing concern.
Edited by cymbaline, 02 March 2013 - 01:22 PM.
#12
Zumayaaaa
-
- Established Members
-
- 3,904 posts
On the Ballot
- Gender:Male
- Location:Burlington, ON
Posted 02 March 2013 - 10:07 PM
ChrisFarley, on 04 January 2013 - 09:13 PM, said:
2012 was an injury riddled year for Alex Avila. Recent reports indicate he is 100% healthy and has been working out with Miguel Cabrera.
Assuming Alex Avila is indeed healthy heading into 2013, do you think he can come close to replicating his 2011 season? .295/.389/.506
Assuming Alex Avila is indeed healthy heading into 2013, do you think he can come close to replicating his 2011 season? .295/.389/.506
He had a hit percentage of 38% in 2011, for a catcher that's insane, his xBA was .264. I think his power is legit and he can have another 15 HR season but expect the average to be in the .250 - .260 range.
#13
AdamDunnSlobGut
-
- Members
-
- 55 posts
Triple-A
- Gender:Not Telling
Posted 29 March 2013 - 03:33 PM
He was hurt last year (knee tendonitis, which afaik isn't a one year fluke thing and could creep up this year on him again) and now he's back and seemingly healthy in a more potent lineup. He'll have the everyday catching job with Pena backing him up, but will get plenty of at bats if he stays healthy.
I don't see him as a 290 hitter but wouldn't be surprised if he turned in 275 or so this year.
I don't see him as a 290 hitter but wouldn't be surprised if he turned in 275 or so this year.
0 user(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users
