Jonathan Lucroy 2013 Outlook

Started by ballfan4141 , Jan 16 2013 10:03 AM

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#1 ballfan4141

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Posted 16 January 2013 - 10:03 AM

He improved on his numbers from 2011 eventhough missed a lot of the season. when he cameback he kept hitting like he was before. same numbers? increase? or expect to be another catcher to be kurt suzuki like who has a good first year improve second then nothing.

#2 David.WReynolds

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Posted 01 February 2013 - 11:16 PM

I would think with his his numbers & missed time from last year. A improvement in his statistics is in play for next year. Then again he is a catcher, so who cares.

On a side note, I would think he would like to get face the Cubs every game. Last year he hit 4 HR, 20 RBI with a .350 AVG.

#3 Point Shaver

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Posted 03 February 2013 - 04:34 PM

He's a good hitter I like him on my team, but if his ADP starts to rise closer to the start of the season. I may look at other Cs.

#4 jb_power

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Posted 03 February 2013 - 04:40 PM

Point Shaver, on 03 February 2013 - 04:34 PM, said:

He's a good hitter I like him on my team, but if his ADP starts to rise closer to the start of the season. I may look at other Cs.

I like Lucroy to have his best year yet for counting stats. I think he has a solid chance of finishing in the 2 - 5 range of N.L. catchers (behind Posey) along with Molina, McCann, Montero, Rosario

I was able to snag him in the last round of Mock Draft #1 but he went in the 12th round in Mock Draft #2. I don't know if his stock is climbing or he just fell thru the cracks on MDI.

#5 uspsjeter2

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Posted 03 February 2013 - 09:13 PM

Draft him in the 12th round every chance you get, the breakout is for real. Plus no timeshare with G. Kottaras this year.

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#6 MrMartyBarrett

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Posted 04 February 2013 - 08:27 PM

Lucroy provides immense value for where he's likely to go during drafts. Sure, he will likely bat 7th for the Brewers this year, but should have plenty of opportunity to drive in runs. I'd temper power expectations, and I don't think he'll hit anywhere near his .320 clip from last year. However, I fully expect him to be in the neighborhood of .295/15/75 this year....and that combination should provide for immense value in mixed leagues.

#7 Blood Brother

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Posted 04 February 2013 - 11:09 PM

That's what I'm hoping for. Would be extremely happy if he provides a .280+ BA, 15-18 HR and 70+ RBI's from the catcher spot for me

16 team H2H Dynasty league 6x6(R, HR, RBI, SB, BB, AVG / W, S, K's, Hld, ERA, WHIP)
Hitters:
C - Jonathan Lucroy (MIL - C)
1B - Allen Craig (StL - 1B, LF, RF)
2B - Robinson Cano (NYY - 2B)
3B - Pablo Sandoval (SF - 1B, 3B)
SS - Starlin Castro (CHC - SS)
LF - Carlos Gonzalez (COL - LF)
CF - Mike Trout (LAA - LF, CF)
RF - Josh Hamilton (LAA - LF, CF, RF)
Util - Desmond Jennings (TB - LF, CF)
BN - Matt Carpenter (StL - 1B, 2B, 3B, RF)
Pitchers:
Starters: Clayton Kershaw, Cole Hamels, Cliff Lee, James Shields, Jordan Zimmermann, Jon Niese, Jason Vargas, Garrett Richards, Matt Garza(DL), Scott Baker(DL), Rubby De La Rosa(NA), Kyle Drabek(DL)
Relievers: Craig Kimbrel, Tom Wilhelmsen,Sean Doolittle, Vinnie Pestano, Jared Burton
Farm System(10 Max): Joe Ross(SD - SP), George Springer(HOU - OF), Daniel Norris(TOR - SP), Ronald Guzman(TEX - 1B/OF), Dan Vogelbach(CHC - 1B), Tyrell Jenkins(StL - SP), Anthony Garcia(StL - OF), Blake Snell(TB - SP), Adam Morgan(PHI - SP), Kolten Wong(StL - 2B)

#8 Phina11y

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Posted 26 March 2013 - 12:35 PM

I picked him as my starter in one league, but I'm gonna cuff him up with JP Arencibia. I'll take a shot and see what happens. I can see something like .275, 14HR, 70RBI. Let's hope last year wasn't a fluke.

12 Team H2H MLB Redraft $ League 3rd Place (R,HR,RBI,SB,AVG,OPS,W,SV,K,ERA,WHIP,QS)
C J.P. Arencibia
1B R. Howard
2B C. Utley
SS J. Rollins
3B M. Trumbo
OF J. Hamilton
OF J. Bautista
OF Y. Cespedes
Util S. Choo, S. Marte
SP M. Harvey, G. Gonzalez, H. Iwakuma, B. Morrow, T. Lincecum, H. Bailey, H. Ryu, H. Santiago, S. Kazmir
RP G. Holland, E. Frieri, B. Parnell, D. Hernandez
DL B.Beachy
NA Y. Puig

#9 thchango

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Posted 26 March 2013 - 12:57 PM

http://www.fangraphs...tions-for-2013/

Prediction number 1 is interesting and makes me very hopeful for Lucroy this year.

#10 ballfan4141

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Posted 26 March 2013 - 01:17 PM

his numbers were great. if he didnt get injured he could have been a top 5ish guy.

#11 Great8vechkin

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Posted 26 March 2013 - 01:19 PM

Batting after Braun and Aramis is gonan be great!

#12 dzemens

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Posted 26 March 2013 - 01:28 PM

Great8vechkin, on 26 March 2013 - 01:19 PM, said:

Batting after Braun and Aramis is gonan be great!

Should be plenty of ducks on the pond.

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#13 Djop20

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 10:11 AM

There are a couple things that I love about Lucroy including his 20%+ LD% and the 87% contact rate he displayed last year. However, he doesn't walk as much as I would like ~6%.

based on his batted ball profile I can see him maintaining a 285+ average with 15+hr and 75rbi's (depending on where he hits in the order) which for where you are getting him is a steal.

When I look at his underlying numbers I see Yadier Molina (walks slightly more) but his contact rates and LD/GB/FB splits are similar.

I would gladly wait and take Lucroy several rounds later.

Edited by Djop20, 28 March 2013 - 10:11 AM.

#14 peelpub94

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 10:34 AM

14th round, pick 166 is where I snagged him. Couldn't be happier looking at my catcher position who has the potential to hit high 200s, or even low 300s with some power and perfect positioning in the line up.