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Pedro Alvarez 2013 Outlook


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#1 2ndCitySox

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 10:32 PM

What are you guys thinking this year?
I project a .320 OBP, 30 HR, 75 R, 85 RBI campaign.
I think Pedro is more palatable in OBP leagues, but I'm not sure if his value is any better than say, Todd Frazier

I've got more hits than Sadaharu Oh.

#2 Slatykamora

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 10:53 PM

He is just your prototypcal power hitter with a High K rate. He will likely drain your BA, but you're getting around 30 Bombs and 70-90 RBIs, but not very many runs. Because frankly there really is no one besides himself that's going drive him in when he actually gets on base. (at a reliable clip anyways) And of course his OBP is "tolerable" at times but not that great either.

You need Home Runs? He's you're man considering his ADP will be fairly low (hopefully) But don't be banking on much else besides some modest RBIs..

He's a young player who should improve, but unless he cuts down the strikeouts (which i doubt) He is who he is, with maybe a little more development in his power.

#3 yoda

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Posted 29 January 2013 - 08:18 AM

I believe Pedro's production will spike one of these years.  Given how thin 3B is this year, Pedro appears be very attractive later in the draft.
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#4 Zumayaaaa

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Posted 29 January 2013 - 08:31 AM

Right now he is just a very bad hitter with bigtime power. He could put up a season similar to 2012 (I really can't see much better) or he could hit so poorly he loses PT like 2011. Until he starts putting the bat on the ball at a higher rate he'll never be on one of my teams. (Unless its a daily league and he's on a scorching hot stretch of course)

#5 klove42

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Posted 29 January 2013 - 09:15 AM

He's basically the new mark Reynolds. I like that he plays third, and that Pitt lineup I think will actually be pretty decent so he could have some more RBI opportunities. I think it all depends how he starts off the year. Last year he started off pretty bad but they stuck with him and he had an okay fantasy year for a 3b. If you draft him expect the ba to be low, but then get other guys that will help bring your batting average up
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#6 David.WReynolds

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Posted 01 February 2013 - 06:19 PM

View Postklove42, on 29 January 2013 - 09:15 AM, said:

He's basically the new mark Reynolds. I like that he plays third, and that Pitt lineup I think will actually be pretty decent so he could have some more RBI opportunities. I think it all depends how he starts off the year. Last year he started off pretty bad but they stuck with him and he had an okay fantasy year for a 3b. If you draft him expect the ba to be low, but then get other guys that will help bring your batting average up

Mark Reynolds gave us pop & sprinkled in some stolen bases. Pedro gives us no speed.

#7 lightning1233

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Posted 02 February 2013 - 07:12 PM

30-35 HRs...crap average...if you can build high ave. around him, then by all means. I don't think he will ever be a .260 hitter

#8 lightning1233

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Posted 02 February 2013 - 07:13 PM

On the plus side...he is young and can hopefully play 150+ games

#9 ballfan4141

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Posted 03 February 2013 - 05:52 AM

a pirates 3B with power. trade him to the bluejays for 50 HRs.

#10 klove42

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Posted 03 February 2013 - 07:42 AM

View PostDavid.WReynolds, on 01 February 2013 - 06:19 PM, said:

View Postklove42, on 29 January 2013 - 09:15 AM, said:

He's basically the new mark Reynolds. I like that he plays third, and that Pitt lineup I think will actually be pretty decent so he could have some more RBI opportunities. I think it all depends how he starts off the year. Last year he started off pretty bad but they stuck with him and he had an okay fantasy year for a 3b. If you draft him expect the ba to be low, but then get other guys that will help bring your batting average up

Mark Reynolds gave us pop & sprinkled in some stolen bases. Pedro gives us no speed.

Besides that one year he got 24 he only got over ten once when he got 11. There really isn't that much difference between them. So if you used to find value in drafting Reynolds then Alvarez is basically the same thing minus a few SBs. Alvarez also has some upside
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#11 baltimore_boy

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Posted 03 February 2013 - 02:30 PM

Alvarez is just a very bad hitter, but when he hits the ball, it usually flies. I never watched him play last year, but I read somewhere that he struggles with any pitch that isn't a fastball. Not sure if this really is true or not, but if he can get enough fastballs, then he can put up another 30. If he ever learns how to be a hitter, he could be very good. Right now, he is just a swinger that can hit it far. A Mark Reynolds or Chris Davis type of hitter.
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#12 Jay85

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 11:14 AM

ADP???

#13 jojoh07

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Posted 05 April 2013 - 11:18 PM

sucks that i waited so long for  3b and now  stuck with this bum :(

#14 mevins31

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Posted 06 April 2013 - 12:48 AM

Pedro Awfulrez


(I dont own him)
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#15 njfoses

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Posted 06 April 2013 - 06:06 AM

View Postjojoh07, on 05 April 2013 - 11:18 PM, said:

sucks that i waited so long for  3b and now  stuck with this bum :(

Agree 100%! Was planning on landing Moustakas or Frazier late but stuck with Alvarez instead.  Hopefully the power will at least be there in the end.

#16 LogicLIker

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Posted 06 April 2013 - 06:27 AM

These all or nothing types are streaky. Just gotta burn a bench spot and wait for the power surge.

#17 baltimore_boy

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 09:07 PM

Maybe one of these days Alvarez will get another hit. Sigh.
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#18 Zumayaaaa

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 09:25 PM

He would fit in perfect with the Astros, make it happen MLB gods.

#19 FantasyShmantasy

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 09:27 PM

As long as he isn't your starting 3B (shame on you if he is), he is the type you bench until he starts to show signs of life.  He's 30HRs in the bank.
12-Team H2H Re-Draft 6x6 (Runs, AVG, HRs, RBIs, BBs, Steals) (Ws, Ls, Ks, ERA, WHIP, Saves)

C Russell Martin ©
1B Adrian Gonzalez (1B) || Adam Dunn (1B, LF) || Mitch Moreland (1B)
2B Howie Kendrick (2B)
3B Nolan Arenado (3B) || Hanley Ramirez (3B, SS) || Will Middlebrooks (3B)
SS Jimmy Rollins (SS)
LF Carlos Gonzalez (LF) || Michael Saunders (LF, CF, RF)
CF Mike Trout (LF, CF) || Dexter Fowler (CF)
RF Jose Bautista (RF) || Daniel Nava (LF, RF)

SP Cole Hamels || Jeff Samardzija || Lance Lynn || Mike Minor || Jeff Locke || Jeremy Hellickson || David Phelps || Bartolo Colon || Kevin Gausman
RP Tom Wilhelmsen || Glen Perkins

My credentials: Data analyst as my day job, have played fantasy baseball for two seasons, first-place in 10-team Roto my first season and first-place in 12-team H2H my second season.

#20 Zumayaaaa

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 09:32 PM

View PostFantasyShmantasy, on 08 April 2013 - 09:27 PM, said:

As long as he isn't your starting 3B (shame on you if he is), he is the type you bench until he starts to show signs of life.  He's 30HRs in the bank.

Hyperbole. Got to love it.




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