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Adam Laroche 2013 Outlook


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#1 Stanford410

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Posted 05 February 2013 - 11:44 PM

We all know Laroche was one of the best Free Agent pickups of 2012 because of his outburst. Some may say it was his only big power year however he has always hit 20+ home runs.

[for those who don't know, babip is batting average on balls in play]

in 2004(rookie season and had platooned with Julio Franco) 13 hr in 324 ab's(atl)
2005- 20 hr in 452 ab(atl) .328 babip
2006- 32 hr in 557 ab(atl) .319 babip
2007- 21 hr in 563 ab(pit) .318 babip
2008- 25 hr in 492 ab(pit) .308 babip
2009- 25 hr in 555 ab(3 teams) .328 babip
2010-25 hr in 560 ab(arz) .330 babip
2011-3 hr in 151 ab(wash, injured for 3/4 of season)
2012- 33 hr in 571 ab(wash) .298 babip

He had the lowest babip of his career last season, however hit the most home runs of his career last season as well. The power is there no doubt, but can he hit 30+ and return to the top tier of first baseman (top 5)?will he slide down to the edge of top 10, or be irrelevant for fantasy play this season? anyone have some projections? I dont see a big fallout + i think he will finish as the #7 or #8 1st basemen for 2013.

Im thinking around .265-.272 27-32 hr 99-107 rbi and 560+ ab's

Edited by Stanford410, 05 February 2013 - 11:45 PM.

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#2 The King Maker

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 01:39 AM

I have Laroche in every single one of my H2H leagues because he's a second half monster.

His career average OPS in the second half is .886, which from last year's overall numbers would put him right between David Wright and Josh Willingham from last year, or 13th overall. Last year, his numbers were slightly below average for him, for his second half, but still a very good number.

Another factor is the parks. He first really broke out with Atlanta, which plays neutral to LH batters in terms of power, but after being traded to Pitsburgh, his numbers took a hit because that is an extreme pitcher's park. I think he woud've been a consistent 30 HR guy, had he played outside of Pitt.

I think his overall value is as a good 1B, but he has exceptional value in the second half, especially for the price you are paying. And as long as he isn't hurt, he is consistent about the second half. The difference last year was really the fact that his first half wasn't horrible, which led to the across the board numbers spike. Given that he's in a good lineup, in a good park, I think he should replicate the numbers from last year.

#3 Stanford410

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 11:25 PM

I have Laroche in every single one of my H2H leagues because he's a second half monster.

His career average OPS in the second half is .886, which from last year's overall numbers would put him right between David Wright and Josh Willingham from last year, or 13th overall. Last year, his numbers were slightly below average for him, for his second half, but still a very good number.

Another factor is the parks. He first really broke out with Atlanta, which plays neutral to LH batters in terms of power, but after being traded to Pitsburgh, his numbers took a hit because that is an extreme pitcher's park. I think he woud've been a consistent 30 HR guy, had he played outside of Pitt.

I think his overall value is as a good 1B, but he has exceptional value in the second half, especially for the price you are paying. And as long as he isn't hurt, he is consistent about the second half. The difference last year was really the fact that his first half wasn't horrible, which led to the across the board numbers spike. Given that he's in a good lineup, in a good park, I think he should replicate the numbers from last year.

Im hoping he does. Im not really one to keep guys over the age of 30, but he may be the first.
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#4 BigPapi44

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 11:27 PM

Hitting clean-up with a good supporting cast, provided he stays healthy, I think he can equal his stats from last year.

#5 klove42

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Posted 07 February 2013 - 08:31 AM

ESPN is raking him so low... I think he is one of my must drafts this year. Even if his stats fall to .270 25 90 that is still great value for where he is being ranked.
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#6 ballfan4141

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Posted 10 April 2013 - 10:27 AM

no one cares about his 2 HRs.

#7 yaw62

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Posted 10 April 2013 - 12:01 PM

Apparently not...I was happy to have him in the lineup, even with a normal first half slump I will take anything positive in the first few months
10 Team Mixed - Category League 8X8 Scoring

"Precious Cargo..."


C - J. Lucroy
1B - J. Abreu
2B - N. Walker

SS - J. Lowrie
3B - E. Encarnacion
OF - C. Dickerson, J. Upton, C. Yelich
UTIL - W. Myers (OF)
UTIL - M. Betts (SS/OF)

BN - J. Lagares (OF)
DL - C. Gonzalez


SP - M. Bumgarner, J. Zimmerman, J. Shields, J. Samardzija, C. Kluber, J. deGrom, C. Carrasco, J. Cossart, C. McHugh
RP - M. Melancon, C. Allen, J. McGee, W. Davis

#8 Jay85

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Posted 10 April 2013 - 03:02 PM

Apparently not...I was happy to have him in the lineup, even with a normal first half slump I will take anything positive in the first few months

no one cares about his 2 HRs.


Hope he can continue and produce a good power for next few weeks so i can trade him..

TEAM A - 10 team H2H - 6pt Td League
QB - Andrew Luck WR -Demaryius Thomas, Brandon Marshall
RB - Zac Stacy & Toby Gerhart TE - Larry Donnell
W/T - Michael Floyd  W/R - Brandin Cooks  K - Adam Vinatieri  DEF - New England
BN - Jay Cutler, Sammy Watkins, Eddie Royal, Fred Jackson, Stream, Stream 

 

TEAM B - 12 Team H2H - 4pt Passing Td League 

QB - Jay Cutler  WR - Alshon Jeffery, DeAndre Hopkins 
RB - Jamaal Charles & LeSean McCoy TE Stream
W/T - Brandin Cooks  W/R - Eric Decker  K - Stream  DEF - New England 

BN - Chris Johnson, Alfred Blue, Carlos Hyde, Darrin Reaves, Stream. 


#9 Jmadtown

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 10:29 AM

This dude just hit the wire in my 10 teamer. He had 33 homeruns last year... Is he really sucking that bad?

Yahoo 12 Team Football- .5 PPR

Matt Ryan

DeMarco Murray

Lamar Miller

Demaryius Thomas

Keenan Allen

Jordan Cameron

Flex: Terrance Williams

Bench: Kelce, Reuben Randle, Benny Cunningham, Moreno, Ridley-Waivers Pending  :wacko: 

2012 Fantasy Baseball Champion-10 Team-H2H-5x5
2013 Fantasy Basketball Champion 10 Team-H2H-9-Cat
2013 Fantasy Baseball Champion-10 Team-H2H-5x5

2104 Fantasy Baseball Champion-14 Team-H2H-6x6


#10 SkinsNoles21

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 10:37 AM

I've watched a lot of Nats games so far and he's been hitting lasers all year. Before the 2HR game, he had a couple balls that would have easily been home runs in the warm weather (announcers said he could easily have 4 by now).

When he hit his first home run ... Showed a coach saying "about time" because he has been hitting well, just unlucky.

I like Laroche to repeat something similar to last year. Batting cleanup for one of, if not, the best team in baseball and feeling comfortable.

Weekly 12 Team 6x6 H2H Keeper

Bats:
C: Yan Gomes 1B: Victor Martinez 2B: Jose Altuve (K) 3B: Miguel Cabrera (K) SS: Ben Zobrist OF: Andrew McCutchen (K), Chris Carter, Starling Marte, Util: Josh Donaldson B: Yoenis Cespedes

Arms:
SPs: Corey Kluber (K), Jake Arrieta (K) RPs: Aroldis Chapman, Sean Doolittle Ps: Jeff Samardjiza, James Paxton, Danny Duffy B: Hisashi Iwakuma, James Shields, Wei Yen Chen, Shelby Miller, Yusmeiro Petit 


#11 bturn10

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 11:00 AM

yea i've watched most of his at bats...he's had a lot of good at bats and has hit a lot of balls hard, but right at people...he'll be fine and should be good for close to 30 homers and 100 rbi again, provided he stays healthy.

Edited by bturn10, 11 April 2013 - 11:00 AM.

12 Team H2H League

C - Salvador Perez
1B - Victor Martinez
2B - Daniel Murphy
3B - Pablo Sandoval
SS - Ian Desmond
OF - Mike Trout / Yasiel Puig / Hunter Pence / Alex Gordon
Util - Adrian Gonzalez / Corey Dickerson
BN - Christian Yelich, AJ Pollock, Ryan Zimmerman


SP - Chris Sale / Gio Gonzalez / Mat Latos / Jered Weaver / Kyle Lohse / Hiroki Kuroda / Ian Kennedy / Mike Leake
RP - Dellin Betances / Joaquin Benoit / Pat Neshek

#12 champy41

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Posted 17 April 2013 - 04:27 PM

couldn't squeeze him into my lineup in time tonight because Gattis already played at Util...so, he'll hit 2 HRs...you're welcome!

Man I'm ready for him to catch fire b/c it is fun to watch when he does.

Edited by champy41, 17 April 2013 - 04:31 PM.

14 team non-keeper h2h money league, non-PPR, all TD are 6 pts

QB-Peyton Manning (Den - QB)
WR-Jordy Nelson (GB - WR)
WR-Eric Decker (NYJ - WR)
RB-Shane Vereen (NE - RB)
RB-Branden Oliver (SD - RB)
TE-Julius Thomas (Den - TE)
W/R/T-Ronnie Hillman (Den - RB)     
BN-Josh Gordon (Cle - WR) 
BN-Doug Baldwin (Sea - WR)
BN-Denard Robinson (Jax - WR,RB)
BN-Bryce Brown (Buf - RB)

K-Cody Parkey (Phi - K)
    
DEF-Detroit (Det - DEF)


#13 ballfan4141

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Posted 17 April 2013 - 04:36 PM

when I sit him he hit 2 HRs. maybe I will start him since you sat him but it prb. wont work.

#14 bturn10

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 08:05 PM

this guy needs to figure it out..3 strikeouts today, last one with the bases loaded..
12 Team H2H League

C - Salvador Perez
1B - Victor Martinez
2B - Daniel Murphy
3B - Pablo Sandoval
SS - Ian Desmond
OF - Mike Trout / Yasiel Puig / Hunter Pence / Alex Gordon
Util - Adrian Gonzalez / Corey Dickerson
BN - Christian Yelich, AJ Pollock, Ryan Zimmerman


SP - Chris Sale / Gio Gonzalez / Mat Latos / Jered Weaver / Kyle Lohse / Hiroki Kuroda / Ian Kennedy / Mike Leake
RP - Dellin Betances / Joaquin Benoit / Pat Neshek

#15 coleporter

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 08:39 PM

Tyler Moore time.
C Vogt
1B Jose Abreu
2B Altuve
3B Castellanos
SS Danny Santana
OF Puig
OF JD Martinez
Of Myers
UTL Ozuna

Bench:, Yan Gomes (7 Day DL), Calhoun, Baez
Multi-Position: Castellanos (OF, 3B), Santana (SS,OF), Vogt (C, 1B, OF) Baez (SS,2B)
SP: Alex Wood Teheran, Arrieta, Wada, Harang, Carrasco . RP: Rosenthal, Gregerson
DL: Doolittle, Goldschmidt

#16 Choo on Wieters

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 08:47 PM

El golden Sombrero.

I know he will get it together after the ASG, but can I wait that long...

12 team PPR

6-0 1st place

QB- Andrew Luck

RB-Matt Forte

RB-Ahmad Bradshaw

WR-Jordy Nelson

WR-T.Y. Hilton

Flex-Mohammad Sanu

TE-Julius Thomas

D/ST-Texans

K-Steven Hauschka

Bench: Mark Ingram, Cordarrelle Patterson, Ben Rothlisberger,

Pierre Thomas, Zach Ertz, Justin Hunter


#17 ballfan4141

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 09:49 PM

last year his stats were identical pre and post all star break for those thinking about the second half player he is.

#18 BigPapi44

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 09:54 PM

last year his stats were identical pre and post all star break for those thinking about the second half player he is.

Ya, but last year was an outlier than the norm. If you can, best to keep him on the bench first 6-8 weeks, then insert.

#19 Wombat

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Posted 27 April 2013 - 01:33 PM

Dude is unfathomably and comically awful right now. I had an open spot yesterday with the rain out and just sat him anyway to avoid his daily 0-4.

#20 ballfan4141

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Posted 27 April 2013 - 03:09 PM

dropping him. someone else can have him.