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Adam Laroche 2013 Outlook


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#1 Stanford410

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Posted 05 February 2013 - 11:44 PM

We all know Laroche was one of the best Free Agent pickups of 2012 because of his outburst. Some may say it was his only big power year however he has always hit 20+ home runs.

[for those who don't know, babip is batting average on balls in play]

in 2004(rookie season and had platooned with Julio Franco) 13 hr in 324 ab's(atl)
2005- 20 hr in 452 ab(atl) .328 babip
2006- 32 hr in 557 ab(atl) .319 babip
2007- 21 hr in 563 ab(pit) .318 babip
2008- 25 hr in 492 ab(pit) .308 babip
2009- 25 hr in 555 ab(3 teams) .328 babip
2010-25 hr in 560 ab(arz) .330 babip
2011-3 hr in 151 ab(wash, injured for 3/4 of season)
2012- 33 hr in 571 ab(wash) .298 babip

He had the lowest babip of his career last season, however hit the most home runs of his career last season as well. The power is there no doubt, but can he hit 30+ and return to the top tier of first baseman (top 5)?will he slide down to the edge of top 10, or be irrelevant for fantasy play this season? anyone have some projections? I dont see a big fallout + i think he will finish as the #7 or #8 1st basemen for 2013.

Im thinking around .265-.272 27-32 hr 99-107 rbi and 560+ ab's

Edited by Stanford410, 05 February 2013 - 11:45 PM.

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#2 The King Maker

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 01:39 AM

I have Laroche in every single one of my H2H leagues because he's a second half monster.

His career average OPS in the second half is .886, which from last year's overall numbers would put him right between David Wright and Josh Willingham from last year, or 13th overall. Last year, his numbers were slightly below average for him, for his second half, but still a very good number.

Another factor is the parks. He first really broke out with Atlanta, which plays neutral to LH batters in terms of power, but after being traded to Pitsburgh, his numbers took a hit because that is an extreme pitcher's park. I think he woud've been a consistent 30 HR guy, had he played outside of Pitt.

I think his overall value is as a good 1B, but he has exceptional value in the second half, especially for the price you are paying. And as long as he isn't hurt, he is consistent about the second half. The difference last year was really the fact that his first half wasn't horrible, which led to the across the board numbers spike. Given that he's in a good lineup, in a good park, I think he should replicate the numbers from last year.

#3 Stanford410

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 11:25 PM

I have Laroche in every single one of my H2H leagues because he's a second half monster.

His career average OPS in the second half is .886, which from last year's overall numbers would put him right between David Wright and Josh Willingham from last year, or 13th overall. Last year, his numbers were slightly below average for him, for his second half, but still a very good number.

Another factor is the parks. He first really broke out with Atlanta, which plays neutral to LH batters in terms of power, but after being traded to Pitsburgh, his numbers took a hit because that is an extreme pitcher's park. I think he woud've been a consistent 30 HR guy, had he played outside of Pitt.

I think his overall value is as a good 1B, but he has exceptional value in the second half, especially for the price you are paying. And as long as he isn't hurt, he is consistent about the second half. The difference last year was really the fact that his first half wasn't horrible, which led to the across the board numbers spike. Given that he's in a good lineup, in a good park, I think he should replicate the numbers from last year.

Im hoping he does. Im not really one to keep guys over the age of 30, but he may be the first.
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#4 BigPapi44

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Posted 06 February 2013 - 11:27 PM

Hitting clean-up with a good supporting cast, provided he stays healthy, I think he can equal his stats from last year.

#5 klove42

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Posted 07 February 2013 - 08:31 AM

ESPN is raking him so low... I think he is one of my must drafts this year. Even if his stats fall to .270 25 90 that is still great value for where he is being ranked.
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#6 ballfan4141

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Posted 10 April 2013 - 10:27 AM

no one cares about his 2 HRs.

#7 yaw62

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Posted 10 April 2013 - 12:01 PM

Apparently not...I was happy to have him in the lineup, even with a normal first half slump I will take anything positive in the first few months

8x8 H2H Category League 10-team Keeper (20 Keepers)

- Carlos Santana
1B - Paul Goldschmidt
2B - Jason Kipnis
SS - Troy Tulowitzki
3B - Chris Davis
OF - Ryan Braun, Jay Bruce, Ryan Zimmerman 

UTIL - Jose Abreu, Brett Gardner

BN - Gregory Polanco, Steven Souza

- Zack Greinke, Gerrit Cole, Corey Kluber, Masahiro Tanaka, Jose Quintana, Shelby Miller, Drew Hutchison, Shane Green, Drew Pomeranz

RP - Glen Perkins, Brad Boxberger, Jason Grilli

NA - Carlos Rodon


#8 Jay85

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Posted 10 April 2013 - 03:02 PM

Apparently not...I was happy to have him in the lineup, even with a normal first half slump I will take anything positive in the first few months

no one cares about his 2 HRs.


Hope he can continue and produce a good power for next few weeks so i can trade him..

TEAM A - 10 team H2H - 6pt Td League - Record 6-2
QB - Andrew Luck WR - Mike Wallace, Brandon Marshall
RB - Jamaal Charles, Fred Jackson TE - Coby Fleener
W/T - Sammy Watkins W/R - JOnes Gray K - Justin Tucker DEF - Green Bay Packers 
BN - Mychal Rivera, Charles Sims, Knile Davis, Matt Asiata, Allen Hurns, Andrew Hawkins 

 

TEAM B - 12 Team H2H - 4pt Passing Td League - Record 4-4

QB - Jay Cutler WR - Odell Beckman Jr, Dez Bryant
RB - Jamaal Charles & Eddie Lacy TE - Mychal Rivera
W/T - Jones Gray  W/R - Isiah Crowell Jr  K - Matt Bryant  DEF - Kansas City/ St Louis

BN - Charles Sims, Martavis Bryant, Ronnie Hillman, Knile Davis, Andy Dalton 


#9 Jmadtown

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 10:29 AM

This dude just hit the wire in my 10 teamer. He had 33 homeruns last year... Is he really sucking that bad?

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2013 Fantasy Baseball Champion-10 Team-H2H-5x5

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#10 SkinsNoles21

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 10:37 AM

I've watched a lot of Nats games so far and he's been hitting lasers all year. Before the 2HR game, he had a couple balls that would have easily been home runs in the warm weather (announcers said he could easily have 4 by now).

When he hit his first home run ... Showed a coach saying "about time" because he has been hitting well, just unlucky.

I like Laroche to repeat something similar to last year. Batting cleanup for one of, if not, the best team in baseball and feeling comfortable.

Weekly 12 Team 6x6 H2H Keeper

Bats:
C: Yan Gomes 1B: Victor Martinez 2B: Jose Altuve (K) 3B: Miguel Cabrera (K) SS: Ben Zobrist OF: Andrew McCutchen (K), Chris Carter, Starling Marte, Util: Josh Donaldson B: Yoenis Cespedes

Arms:
SPs: Corey Kluber (K), Jake Arrieta (K) RPs: Aroldis Chapman, Sean Doolittle Ps: Jeff Samardjiza, James Paxton, Danny Duffy B: Hisashi Iwakuma, James Shields, Wei Yen Chen, Shelby Miller, Yusmeiro Petit 


#11 bturn10

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 11:00 AM

yea i've watched most of his at bats...he's had a lot of good at bats and has hit a lot of balls hard, but right at people...he'll be fine and should be good for close to 30 homers and 100 rbi again, provided he stays healthy.

Edited by bturn10, 11 April 2013 - 11:00 AM.

12 Team H2H League

C - Salvador Perez
1B - Victor Martinez
2B - Brian Dozier
3B - Kyle Seager
SS - Alexei Ramirez
OF - Andrew McCutchen / Adam Jones / Starling Marte / Leonys Martin
Util - Alex Rios / Justin Morneau
BN - Rougned Odor, Micah Johnson, Marcus Semien, Anthony Gose


SP - Chris Sale / Johnny Cueto / Tyson Ross / Lance Lynn / Rick Porcello / Chris Tillman /
DL - Jose Fernandez
RP - David Robertson / Jonathan Papelbon

#12 champy41

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Posted 17 April 2013 - 04:27 PM

couldn't squeeze him into my lineup in time tonight because Gattis already played at Util...so, he'll hit 2 HRs...you're welcome!

Man I'm ready for him to catch fire b/c it is fun to watch when he does.

Edited by champy41, 17 April 2013 - 04:31 PM.

10 team yahoo money league (h2h-points)

C-Lucroy
1B-A.Gonzalez
2B-Dee Gordon
3B-Frazier
SS-Tulo
OF-Stanton, C.Gomez, Springer
Util-Brantley, Dozier
BN-Carter, L.Cain
DL-Pence

SP-Cueto, T.Ross, Carrasco, Pineda
RP-Rosenthal, Perkins, Rondon
P-Keuchel, T.Walker, Quintana, Pomeranz
DL-Jose Fernandez


#13 ballfan4141

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Posted 17 April 2013 - 04:36 PM

when I sit him he hit 2 HRs. maybe I will start him since you sat him but it prb. wont work.

#14 bturn10

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 08:05 PM

this guy needs to figure it out..3 strikeouts today, last one with the bases loaded..
12 Team H2H League

C - Salvador Perez
1B - Victor Martinez
2B - Brian Dozier
3B - Kyle Seager
SS - Alexei Ramirez
OF - Andrew McCutchen / Adam Jones / Starling Marte / Leonys Martin
Util - Alex Rios / Justin Morneau
BN - Rougned Odor, Micah Johnson, Marcus Semien, Anthony Gose


SP - Chris Sale / Johnny Cueto / Tyson Ross / Lance Lynn / Rick Porcello / Chris Tillman /
DL - Jose Fernandez
RP - David Robertson / Jonathan Papelbon

#15 coleporter

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 08:39 PM

Tyler Moore time.

C Gomes  

1B Jose Abreu

2B Odor

3B Arenado

SS Reyes

OF Justin Upton

OF Soler

Of  Eaton

UTL Pederson

Bench: Vogt, Danny Santana, Bryant, Devon Travis

Multi Position: Danny Santana (SS, OF)

SP: Harvey , Arrieta, Taijuan Walker,

Bench: Pomeranz, 

RP: Melancon, Cody Allen, Gregerson, Romo


#16 Choo on Wieters

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 08:47 PM

El golden Sombrero.

I know he will get it together after the ASG, but can I wait that long...

12 team PPR

6-0 1st place

QB- Andrew Luck

RB-Matt Forte

RB-Ahmad Bradshaw

WR-Jordy Nelson

WR-T.Y. Hilton

Flex-Mohammad Sanu

TE-Julius Thomas

D/ST-Texans

K-Steven Hauschka

Bench: Mark Ingram, Cordarrelle Patterson, Ben Rothlisberger,

Pierre Thomas, Zach Ertz, Justin Hunter


#17 ballfan4141

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 09:49 PM

last year his stats were identical pre and post all star break for those thinking about the second half player he is.

#18 BigPapi44

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Posted 23 April 2013 - 09:54 PM

last year his stats were identical pre and post all star break for those thinking about the second half player he is.

Ya, but last year was an outlier than the norm. If you can, best to keep him on the bench first 6-8 weeks, then insert.

#19 Wombat

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Posted 27 April 2013 - 01:33 PM

Dude is unfathomably and comically awful right now. I had an open spot yesterday with the rain out and just sat him anyway to avoid his daily 0-4.

#20 ballfan4141

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Posted 27 April 2013 - 03:09 PM

dropping him. someone else can have him.