Jump to content

Visit Rotoworld.comRotoworld Forums  
Rotoworld: MLB | NFL | NBA | NHL | NASCAR | CFB
Sports Talk Blogs: PFT | HBT | PBT | CFT | PHT
  Visit NBCSports.com

- - - - -

Vance Worley 2013 Outlook


  • Please log in to reply
26 replies to this topic

#1 ballfan4141

ballfan4141

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,045 posts

Posted 17 February 2013 - 04:19 PM

finished good a few years ago. had some good games last year but pitched through injuries and didnt have good stats. can he have >3.50 era this.

#2 CM52

CM52

    Veteran

  • Banned
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 270 posts

Posted 17 February 2013 - 04:26 PM

View Postballfan4141, on 17 February 2013 - 04:19 PM, said:

finished good a few years ago. had some good games last year but pitched through injuries and didnt have good stats. can he have >3.50 era this.

Yes, he could definitely have an ERA greater than 3.50.

#3 ballfan4141

ballfan4141

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,045 posts

Posted 17 February 2013 - 04:31 PM

I meant less than 3.50

#4 Travdaddy10

Travdaddy10

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 936 posts

Posted 17 February 2013 - 07:44 PM

View Postballfan4141, on 17 February 2013 - 04:31 PM, said:

I meant less than 3.50

Less than 3.50? Probably not. But he could have some good value pitching in Target Field behind a defense that could improve. I read in the paper they are looking at Florimon at SS for his defense. Jamey Carroll has a solid glove at 2nd. Morneau's always been solid at 1st. In the outfield they Parmelee and Willingham are liabilities, but Mastrionni in center is as fast as they get.
10 team H2H - Keep 4
C-Jesus Montero, 1B-Votto(keeper), 2B-Aluve, 3B-Headley, SS-Tulo(keeper), OF1-Kemp(keeper), OF2-Cargo(keeper), OF3-Choo, UT-Ike Davis
Bench-Tyler Flowers, Yonder Alonso, Brandon Belt, Matt Carpenter, Mike Moustakas, Austin Jackson, Jhony Peralta

SP1-Strasburg, SP2-Gio Gonzalez, SP3-Jordan Zimmerman, SP4-Matt Harvery, SP5-Brett Anderson, SP6-Peavey, SP7-Vargas
RP1-Chapman, RP2-Street
Bench-Lannan, Miley, Garland, Harrell, Hernandez(TB), Kazmir, Maurer, Peacock, Slowey, Cishek, Fiers, Fujikawa, League, Wily Peralta, Veras

10 team H2H - Keep 3
C-Wieters, 1B-Votto(keeper), 2B-Altuve, 3B-Zimmerman, SS-Tulo(keeper), OF1- Adam Jones(keeper), OF2-Choo, OF3-Ellsbury, UT-Craig
Bench- Ike Davis, Belt, Alonso, Rutledge, Lorenzo Cain, Kubel, Carl Crawford, Chooch Ruiz

SP1-Greinke SP2-Jordan Zimmerman SP3-Peavey SP4-Kyle Lohse SP5-Matt Harvey SP6-Josh Beckett SP7-Doug Fister
RP1-Greg Holland RP2-Mitchell Boggs
Bench- Volquez, Chris Tillman, Lackey, Maurer, Erasmo Ramirez, Griffen, Iwakuma, Happ, Kazmir, Rafael Betancourt, Hernandez(TB), Fujikawa, Corbin

#5 klove42

klove42

    On the Ballot

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3,780 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Jersey

Posted 17 February 2013 - 07:46 PM

I'm not to sure I would draft him in a standard mixed league but he will be a good streaming option when he pitches at home
No Days Off

#6 PRoSPx

PRoSPx

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 740 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 17 February 2013 - 09:50 PM

View Postklove42, on 17 February 2013 - 07:46 PM, said:

I'm not to sure I would draft him in a standard mixed league but he will be a good streaming option when he pitches at home

All depending on his spring but he has crazy upside.

Sure traded to The AL, but in a better pitcher's park.

#7 klove42

klove42

    On the Ballot

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3,780 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Jersey

Posted 17 February 2013 - 09:51 PM

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:50 PM, said:

View Postklove42, on 17 February 2013 - 07:46 PM, said:

I'm not to sure I would draft him in a standard mixed league but he will be a good streaming option when he pitches at home

All depending on his spring but he has crazy upside.

Sure traded to The AL, but in a better pitcher's park.

Yeah I don't really think moving to the AL will hurt him that much just cause Philly is a hitters ball park and now he is in Target field.
No Days Off

#8 PRoSPx

PRoSPx

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 740 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM

View Postklove42, on 17 February 2013 - 09:51 PM, said:

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:50 PM, said:

View Postklove42, on 17 February 2013 - 07:46 PM, said:

I'm not to sure I would draft him in a standard mixed league but he will be a good streaming option when he pitches at home

All depending on his spring but he has crazy upside.

Sure traded to The AL, but in a better pitcher's park.

Yeah I don't really think moving to the AL will hurt him that much just cause Philly is a hitters ball park and now he is in Target field.

Yeah I'd rather take the hit in K's to have better ratios.

Plus The Twins organization have been so damn good at developing pitchers.  Their staff this year looks very unproven and shaky though.  So he's a for sure spot in the rotation so long as he is ready to roll come spring training.

I remember he had elbow troubles at the end of last year, anyone have some details on it?

#9 PRoSPx

PRoSPx

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 740 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM

Here is actually a very ironic article about him.

http://www.startribu...71.html?refer=y

#10 Stanford410

Stanford410

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,574 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:California

Posted 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:50 PM, said:

View Postklove42, on 17 February 2013 - 07:46 PM, said:

I'm not to sure I would draft him in a standard mixed league but he will be a good streaming option when he pitches at home

All depending on his spring but he has crazy upside.

Sure traded to The AL, but in a better pitcher's park.
Actually Target Field was a better hitters park than Citizens Bank last season...
http://espn.go.com/m...tats/parkfactor
you can sort through the tabs.

Edited by Stanford410, 17 February 2013 - 09:59 PM.

SF Giants Fan.

#11 ballfan4141

ballfan4141

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,045 posts

Posted 17 February 2013 - 10:04 PM

could his marriage thing hurt his value? lol. things like that can.

#12 PRoSPx

PRoSPx

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 740 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 17 February 2013 - 10:13 PM

View PostStanford410, on 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM, said:

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:50 PM, said:

View Postklove42, on 17 February 2013 - 07:46 PM, said:

I'm not to sure I would draft him in a standard mixed league but he will be a good streaming option when he pitches at home

All depending on his spring but he has crazy upside.

Sure traded to The AL, but in a better pitcher's park.
Actually Target Field was a better hitters park than Citizens Bank last season...
http://espn.go.com/m...tats/parkfactor
you can sort through the tabs.

Yeah for runs Target was a little higher.  But I tend to use HRs more as a guide which that was even surprisingly close.  But honestly the only reason it was even close was because of how bad Minnesota's pitching was last year and Philly had an above average staff.

#13 PRoSPx

PRoSPx

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 740 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 17 February 2013 - 10:14 PM

View Postballfan4141, on 17 February 2013 - 10:04 PM, said:

could his marriage thing hurt his value? lol. things like that can.

But at the same time finding the right woman can also put a guy over the top in the confidence/motivation department.

#14 PepperPot

PepperPot

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,054 posts
  • Location:Baltimore

Posted 17 February 2013 - 10:23 PM

Citizen's Bank is definitely a better hitter's park than Target Field.

Here's the article that Rotoworld posted a few weeks ago using Park Factors

http://www.rotoworld...rk-factors?pg=2
9 Team AL-Only Auction Keeper $260 Cap

C: Doumit ($2) & Pierzynski ($4)
1B: Hosmer ($15)
2B: Pedroia ($32)
3B: Machado ($5)
SS: A. Escobar ($10)
MI: Alexei ($16)
CI: Lawrie ($10)
OF: Bautista ($11) De Aza ($6) Saunders ($2) Trout ($5) N. Cruz ($18)
UT: Longoria ($35)

P: Wei-Yin Chen ($2) Milone ($1) Moore ($5) Brett Anderson ($1) Shields ($17) Nathan ($22) Mariano ($26) D. Holland ($5) Wade Davis ($6)

Bench: Moreland ($5) Wallace ($5) Dozier ($2) Bay ($5) Alburquerque ($5) Blanton ($2) Doolittle ($5) J. Fields ($2)
Minors: Bauer ($5) Mason Williams ($5) Paxton ($2) C. Correra ($2) Schoop ($2) Tyler Austin ($2)

DL: Soria ($5) Feliz ($2)
Unsigned: Brian Wilson ($2)

#15 SurlyRobot

SurlyRobot

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,812 posts

Posted 21 February 2013 - 12:40 PM

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM, said:

Plus The Twins organization have been so damn good at developing pitchers.  Their staff this year looks very unproven and shaky though.  So he's a for sure spot in the rotation so long as he is ready to roll come spring training.
Are we talking about the Minnesota Twins?  The ones that insist on all their pitchers pitching to contact and the best pro they've turned out in about a decade has been Francisco Liriano(you could argue Scott Diamond but that was less than a full season and he didn't even get to come up until there were several injuries)?  Am I forgetting someone significant? :huh:  Or are you talking about all the bullpen arms that moved on to different teams after the Twins refused to pay them?

Part of why the numbers look so bad at Target Field was the players that were playing on the Twins.  If no one on your team can hit any home runs and you play half your games at the park, obviously that'll deflate the numbers.  It was always obvious that was the problem because opposing teams had zero trouble hitting home runs at Target Field(part of this was also due to the Twins' putrid pitching staff I will admit).

Back to Worley, he's probably just a home streaming option at best.

#16 PepperPot

PepperPot

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,054 posts
  • Location:Baltimore

Posted 21 February 2013 - 01:05 PM

View PostSurlyRobot, on 21 February 2013 - 12:40 PM, said:

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM, said:

Plus The Twins organization have been so damn good at developing pitchers.  Their staff this year looks very unproven and shaky though.  So he's a for sure spot in the rotation so long as he is ready to roll come spring training.
Are we talking about the Minnesota Twins?  The ones that insist on all their pitchers pitching to contact and the best pro they've turned out in about a decade has been Francisco Liriano(you could argue Scott Diamond but that was less than a full season and he didn't even get to come up until there were several injuries)?  Am I forgetting someone significant? :huh:  Or are you talking about all the bullpen arms that moved on to different teams after the Twins refused to pay them?

Part of why the numbers look so bad at Target Field was the players that were playing on the Twins.  If no one on your team can hit any home runs and you play half your games at the park, obviously that'll deflate the numbers.  It was always obvious that was the problem because opposing teams had zero trouble hitting home runs at Target Field(part of this was also due to the Twins' putrid pitching staff I will admit).

Back to Worley, he's probably just a home streaming option at best.

Johan Santana
9 Team AL-Only Auction Keeper $260 Cap

C: Doumit ($2) & Pierzynski ($4)
1B: Hosmer ($15)
2B: Pedroia ($32)
3B: Machado ($5)
SS: A. Escobar ($10)
MI: Alexei ($16)
CI: Lawrie ($10)
OF: Bautista ($11) De Aza ($6) Saunders ($2) Trout ($5) N. Cruz ($18)
UT: Longoria ($35)

P: Wei-Yin Chen ($2) Milone ($1) Moore ($5) Brett Anderson ($1) Shields ($17) Nathan ($22) Mariano ($26) D. Holland ($5) Wade Davis ($6)

Bench: Moreland ($5) Wallace ($5) Dozier ($2) Bay ($5) Alburquerque ($5) Blanton ($2) Doolittle ($5) J. Fields ($2)
Minors: Bauer ($5) Mason Williams ($5) Paxton ($2) C. Correra ($2) Schoop ($2) Tyler Austin ($2)

DL: Soria ($5) Feliz ($2)
Unsigned: Brian Wilson ($2)

#17 2ndCitySox

2ndCitySox

    Hall of Famer

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,757 posts
  • Gender:Male

Posted 21 February 2013 - 01:16 PM

View PostPepperPot, on 21 February 2013 - 01:05 PM, said:

View PostSurlyRobot, on 21 February 2013 - 12:40 PM, said:

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM, said:

Plus The Twins organization have been so damn good at developing pitchers.  Their staff this year looks very unproven and shaky though.  So he's a for sure spot in the rotation so long as he is ready to roll come spring training.
Are we talking about the Minnesota Twins?  The ones that insist on all their pitchers pitching to contact and the best pro they've turned out in about a decade has been Francisco Liriano(you could argue Scott Diamond but that was less than a full season and he didn't even get to come up until there were several injuries)?  Am I forgetting someone significant? :huh:  Or are you talking about all the bullpen arms that moved on to different teams after the Twins refused to pay them?

Part of why the numbers look so bad at Target Field was the players that were playing on the Twins.  If no one on your team can hit any home runs and you play half your games at the park, obviously that'll deflate the numbers.  It was always obvious that was the problem because opposing teams had zero trouble hitting home runs at Target Field(part of this was also due to the Twins' putrid pitching staff I will admit).

Back to Worley, he's probably just a home streaming option at best.

Johan Santana

That was a while ago....
"Call your sons! Call your daughters! Call your friends! Call your  neighbors! Mark Buehrle has a perfect game going into the ninth!"-Hawk Harrelson

#18 PepperPot

PepperPot

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,054 posts
  • Location:Baltimore

Posted 21 February 2013 - 02:08 PM

View Post2ndCitySox, on 21 February 2013 - 01:16 PM, said:

View PostPepperPot, on 21 February 2013 - 01:05 PM, said:

View PostSurlyRobot, on 21 February 2013 - 12:40 PM, said:

View PostPRoSPx, on 17 February 2013 - 09:58 PM, said:

Plus The Twins organization have been so damn good at developing pitchers.  Their staff this year looks very unproven and shaky though.  So he's a for sure spot in the rotation so long as he is ready to roll come spring training.
Are we talking about the Minnesota Twins?  The ones that insist on all their pitchers pitching to contact and the best pro they've turned out in about a decade has been Francisco Liriano(you could argue Scott Diamond but that was less than a full season and he didn't even get to come up until there were several injuries)?  Am I forgetting someone significant? :huh:  Or are you talking about all the bullpen arms that moved on to different teams after the Twins refused to pay them?

Part of why the numbers look so bad at Target Field was the players that were playing on the Twins.  If no one on your team can hit any home runs and you play half your games at the park, obviously that'll deflate the numbers.  It was always obvious that was the problem because opposing teams had zero trouble hitting home runs at Target Field(part of this was also due to the Twins' putrid pitching staff I will admit).

Back to Worley, he's probably just a home streaming option at best.

Johan Santana

That was a while ago....

Well he said in the last decade, Johan falls within that time frame.
9 Team AL-Only Auction Keeper $260 Cap

C: Doumit ($2) & Pierzynski ($4)
1B: Hosmer ($15)
2B: Pedroia ($32)
3B: Machado ($5)
SS: A. Escobar ($10)
MI: Alexei ($16)
CI: Lawrie ($10)
OF: Bautista ($11) De Aza ($6) Saunders ($2) Trout ($5) N. Cruz ($18)
UT: Longoria ($35)

P: Wei-Yin Chen ($2) Milone ($1) Moore ($5) Brett Anderson ($1) Shields ($17) Nathan ($22) Mariano ($26) D. Holland ($5) Wade Davis ($6)

Bench: Moreland ($5) Wallace ($5) Dozier ($2) Bay ($5) Alburquerque ($5) Blanton ($2) Doolittle ($5) J. Fields ($2)
Minors: Bauer ($5) Mason Williams ($5) Paxton ($2) C. Correra ($2) Schoop ($2) Tyler Austin ($2)

DL: Soria ($5) Feliz ($2)
Unsigned: Brian Wilson ($2)

#19 PepperPot

PepperPot

    Superstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,054 posts
  • Location:Baltimore

Posted 21 February 2013 - 02:20 PM

I understand his point that the Twins' track record of development in regards to recent pitching prospects has been poor.  But I doubt they are really going to change Worley as a whole.

The main thing for Worley is his elbow.  While it's encouraging that all they had to do was remove bone chips, but as we have seen with other pitchers recently...that doesn't make you return to form.  If his elbow holds up, he should be fine.

I don't like him, because his k rate is at risk of regressing more considering his swinging strike rate has been 5.5% the past two seasons.  When you couple that with the move to the AL and the injury risk...I don't see him being anything more than a streaming option at home (like a previous poster said).
9 Team AL-Only Auction Keeper $260 Cap

C: Doumit ($2) & Pierzynski ($4)
1B: Hosmer ($15)
2B: Pedroia ($32)
3B: Machado ($5)
SS: A. Escobar ($10)
MI: Alexei ($16)
CI: Lawrie ($10)
OF: Bautista ($11) De Aza ($6) Saunders ($2) Trout ($5) N. Cruz ($18)
UT: Longoria ($35)

P: Wei-Yin Chen ($2) Milone ($1) Moore ($5) Brett Anderson ($1) Shields ($17) Nathan ($22) Mariano ($26) D. Holland ($5) Wade Davis ($6)

Bench: Moreland ($5) Wallace ($5) Dozier ($2) Bay ($5) Alburquerque ($5) Blanton ($2) Doolittle ($5) J. Fields ($2)
Minors: Bauer ($5) Mason Williams ($5) Paxton ($2) C. Correra ($2) Schoop ($2) Tyler Austin ($2)

DL: Soria ($5) Feliz ($2)
Unsigned: Brian Wilson ($2)

#20 Ned Ryerson

Ned Ryerson

    Allstar

  • Established Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 847 posts

Posted 21 February 2013 - 03:41 PM

I think he'll be alright if he stays healthy. I like him in that division.




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users