11 replies to this topic

[octapuss]

Luebke is due back around mid season. There was high hopes for this guy last year before the injury. I'm still holding on to hope he can be successful this year. Whats your take?

[Professor Turgeson]

I like him.  I'm just worried that he will not be effective until 2014.  Control is a major part of his game.  That's the last aspect of pitching to come back after TJ surgery.  More of a keeper/dynasty stash IMO.  .

[uspsjeter2]

Seems to me you have to write off this year. Any pitching he does has to be taken in the context of just being a moral victory in simply being on the mound. I hate it because he has shown real promise, I was all over this guy last year. But the good news is TJS guys tend to come back even better, and it makes him a sleeper again in 2014 because folks will probably forget about him or read into his late 2013 stats as his celing instead of his rehab-driven floor.

[klove42]

2014 is the year I will be targeting him. I have had this kid on my team the past two years, and I think he has a lot of talent, but unless the Padres are still in contention in June I don't think they rush him back. They could take their time with him and I don't realy know if I want to draft him if he doesn't really play till mid July

[FISH ON]

In Keeper/dynasty leagues with multiple DL slots, he's a good stash.  Redrafts, not interested until I see rehab results. He's going to be 28 next week, so he's not a young chicken anymore, but if he can fully recover, he has upside. Nice K rate with decent control, and pitching in the NL west helps, 3 of 5 are pitchers parks.
It'll be interesting to see if 2011 was for real, he never showed a  K rate  over 7 per prior. I'm not expecting SP1 -2 numbers in 2014, but as a #2-3, to compliment the young guns, I'll be happy. Will be monitoring his rehab closely.

[octapuss]

I am thinking of stashing him in my dynasty league, but i was hoping he could be productive this year. August or September? Are the Padres going to bring him back at all this season?

[Professor Turgeson]

Over/Under is the All Star Break IMO.

[uspsjeter2]

I'm sure they'll want him to pitch some if he's ready and right now there's no news I'm aware of regarding setbacks. But I think it's unwise to expect him to be productive this year. You can look at other returns from TJS for support, but I feel comfortable saying, like any good Cubs fan would, "Wait 'til next year.".

Edited by uspsjeter2, 27 February 2013 - 01:19 PM.

[Travis Burten]

I think he'll post solid numbers this year....something like a 3.75-1.25 with a decent K-rate.....2014, if he fully recovers and everything goes according to plan, he could put up 3.30-1.10 with like 8-9 K/9. Make no mistake, he is a great pitcher. I think top 25 this year if he was healthy going into 2013.

[uspsjeter2]

I certainly admire your enthusiasm for Mr. Luebke, Travis Burten, but I'd be interested to see you present some evidence that gives us hope for this year. TJS guys can certainly take the mound a year later, but I'm not aware of any instant success stories we can hang our hats on.  Even a C.Y. guy like Wainwright need a half-season to get his groove back. Thoughts anyone?

[parrothead]

 uspsjeter2, on 27 February 2013 - 01:33 PM, said:

I certainly admire your enthusiasm for Mr. Luebke, Travis Burten, but I'd be interested to see you present some evidence that gives us hope for this year. TJS guys can certainly take the mound a year later, but I'm not aware of any instant success stories we can hang our hats on.  Even a C.Y. guy like Wainwright need a half-season to get his groove back. Thoughts anyone?

Brett Anderson last year went down in June of 2011, had his TJ and was back in August and came back hitting the ground running, first 4 starts out of the gate averaged 6.5 innings per start and was 4-0 with a .62 ERA in those 4 starts.

Guy had a sub 3 ERA and 1.16WHIP when he went down last year, so the potential is there.  He likely wont be back until after the all star break, probably late July/Early August is what Ive read.

[MJG44]

i like cory a lot. gonna stash him on my dl in all my leagues.