Alex Cobb 2013 Outlook
#1
Posted 07 March 2013 - 10:58 PM
C (2) - Buster Posey, Mike Napoli
1B (2) - Adrian Gonzalez, Billy Butler
2B (2) - Ben Zobrist, Brandon Phillips, Neil Walker
3B (2) - Hanley Ramirez, Ryan Zimmerman, Mark Reynolds
SS (2) - Andrelton Simmons, Martin Prado
OF (4) - Andrew McCutchen, Matt Kemp, Matt Holliday, Sin-Soo Choo, Staring Marte, BJ Upton
DL (1) - Jose Reyes
SP (4) - Cliff Lee, Matt Cain, Gio Gonzalez, RA Dickey, Andy Pettitte, Alex Cobb, Wandy Rodriguez, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Scott Kazmir
RP (2) - Jose Valverde, Ernesto Frieri, Kenley Jansen
#2
Posted 07 March 2013 - 11:04 PM
To be honest though, I feel as if Archer holds the most upside of any of the back-end (4 and 5 guys) on the Rays' team (as far as starting pitchers who are ready or close to ready, anyway). I still cringe when I think about that Garza deal.... from the day it went down. Oh well, not to go off-topic. But he's another name to file away for draft day, as he is technically still in competition with Cobb for the 5th spot in the rotation for what it is worth. I do believe it is Cobb's to lose, and he should keep it....
I would project 10-15 wins and 150 ks if he can throw at least 170 innings this year. But I don't know how he'll hold-up or if he'll even hold onto the 5-spot (should he keep it through spring training, that is) all year.
He's an interesting flier for sure.
I am a Cubs fan and felt that the Garza deal was a really awful move (from the Cubs' standpoint), as I liked Archer a lot when the deal went down (and still do). Even though I
14-team/25-man (mixed) roster roto-auction redraft league [3rd Season, Defending Champ] (standard 5x5 scoring w/ OBP in place of AVG)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Brandon Belt, 2B Kelly Johnson, 3B Miguel Cabrera, SS Starlin Castro, IF Elvis Andrus, OF (4 starting OF slots, not position-specific) OF Gerardo Parra, OF Denard Span, OF Domonic Brown, OF Raul Ibanez, UTL Eric Chavez
BN: C,1B,3B Jordan Pacheo, 1B James Loney, 3B Juan Franncisco, OF Oswalda Arcia, OF Wil Myers [N/A]
P (8- any kind) SP Felix Hernandez, SP Hisashi Iwakuma, SP Shelby Miller, SP Mike Minor, R.A. Dickey, SP Johnny Cueto, MR Bobby Parnell, MR Jim Henderson
BN: SP Tim Lincecum
DL: (2 allotted slots at once): MR Ryan Madson
----
Team #2:
14-team/28-man (mixed) roster roto-snake redraft league [Inaugural Season] (7x7 scoring <R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, & SLG / W, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, & QS> and var. position-specific starting slots)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Adam Dunn, 2B Jason Kipnis, 3B Ryan Zimmerman, SS Jean Segura, CI Todd Frazier, MI Everth Cabrera, LF Gerardo Parra, CF Andrew McCutchen, RF Lucas Duda, OF Adam Jones, UTL Lorenzo Cain
BN: C,3B,1B Jordan Pacheo, 1B Lyle Overbay, RF Marcell Ozuna, LF,CF,RF Michael Saunders LF,CF,RF Justin Ruggiano
SP (2): Felix Hernandez (SP), Jose Fernandez (SP); RP (3): Joe Nathan (RP), Fernando Rodney (RP), Ernesto Frieri (RP); P (4- any kind) P Lance Lynn (SP,RP), P Brandon League (RP), P Kevin Gregg (RP), P Cory Gearrin (RP)
BN: Mike Minor (SP), Hisashi Iwakuma (SP,RP)
DL: (3 allotted slots at once) SP Brandon Beachy, CF Cameron Maybin
#3
Posted 08 March 2013 - 12:05 AM
Quote
Maddon has been consistent this spring that Cobb is in the rotation as the 4th starter. The 5th spot will be between Niemann and Archer, most likely Niemann if he isn't traded. Cobb is also starting to experiment with a cutter to use to lefties. While he says it feels great and that he has great control with it, it obviously is still a new pitch and will need to be monitored closely.
Man, Nick. We need to work on your post/word efficiency. It's a bullet point world.....
*********
#4
Posted 08 March 2013 - 12:14 AM
As Patrick Bateman pointed out, Cobb is locked into the 4th spot of the rotation. But I thought the 5th spot was between Niemann, Hernandez (Carmona) and Archer. I think Odorizzi and Archer start the season at Triple A and wait for an injury/ineffectiveness.
C: Doumit ($2) & Pierzynski ($4)
1B: Hosmer ($15)
2B: Pedroia ($32)
3B: Machado ($5)
SS: A. Escobar ($10)
MI: Alexei ($16)
CI: Lawrie ($10)
OF: Bautista ($11) De Aza ($6) Saunders ($2) Trout ($5) N. Cruz ($18)
UT: Longoria ($35)
P: Wei-Yin Chen ($2) Milone ($1) Moore ($5) Brett Anderson ($1) Shields ($17) Nathan ($22) Mariano ($26) D. Holland ($5) Wade Davis ($6)
Bench: Moreland ($5) Wallace ($5) Dozier ($2) Bay ($5) Alburquerque ($5) Blanton ($2) Doolittle ($5) J. Fields ($2)
Minors: Bauer ($5) Mason Williams ($5) Paxton ($2) C. Correra ($2) Schoop ($2) Tyler Austin ($2)
DL: Soria ($5) Feliz ($2)
Unsigned: Brian Wilson ($2)
#5
Posted 08 March 2013 - 02:12 PM
Edited by David Light, 08 March 2013 - 02:13 PM.
#6
Posted 08 March 2013 - 02:51 PM
Patrick Bateman, on 08 March 2013 - 12:05 AM, said:
Quote
Maddon has been consistent this spring that Cobb is in the rotation as the 4th starter. The 5th spot will be between Niemann and Archer, most likely Niemann if he isn't traded. Cobb is also starting to experiment with a cutter to use to lefties. While he says it feels great and that he has great control with it, it obviously is still a new pitch and will need to be monitored closely.
Man, Nick. We need to work on your post/word efficiency. It's a bullet point world.....
I don't know what a Twitter is!
Good to know Cobb has the #4 and Archer has an outside chance at the #5. I really want to find a reason to stash Archer, because I think his strikeout upside could be very good (but he will experience bumps in the road with control, I'd say). I do think he's a nice name to file away for May and beyond, though.... even if he has a better shot just competing with Jeff N.
Safer pick would be Cobb then, but I like Archer's upside a lot more. And it makes me happy to see that Cobb is going to have the #4 to himself-- I swore I had read on rotoworld's main blurbs that Cobb was competing for the #5, but maybe it was an old report.
14-team/25-man (mixed) roster roto-auction redraft league [3rd Season, Defending Champ] (standard 5x5 scoring w/ OBP in place of AVG)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Brandon Belt, 2B Kelly Johnson, 3B Miguel Cabrera, SS Starlin Castro, IF Elvis Andrus, OF (4 starting OF slots, not position-specific) OF Gerardo Parra, OF Denard Span, OF Domonic Brown, OF Raul Ibanez, UTL Eric Chavez
BN: C,1B,3B Jordan Pacheo, 1B James Loney, 3B Juan Franncisco, OF Oswalda Arcia, OF Wil Myers [N/A]
P (8- any kind) SP Felix Hernandez, SP Hisashi Iwakuma, SP Shelby Miller, SP Mike Minor, R.A. Dickey, SP Johnny Cueto, MR Bobby Parnell, MR Jim Henderson
BN: SP Tim Lincecum
DL: (2 allotted slots at once): MR Ryan Madson
----
Team #2:
14-team/28-man (mixed) roster roto-snake redraft league [Inaugural Season] (7x7 scoring <R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, & SLG / W, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, & QS> and var. position-specific starting slots)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Adam Dunn, 2B Jason Kipnis, 3B Ryan Zimmerman, SS Jean Segura, CI Todd Frazier, MI Everth Cabrera, LF Gerardo Parra, CF Andrew McCutchen, RF Lucas Duda, OF Adam Jones, UTL Lorenzo Cain
BN: C,3B,1B Jordan Pacheo, 1B Lyle Overbay, RF Marcell Ozuna, LF,CF,RF Michael Saunders LF,CF,RF Justin Ruggiano
SP (2): Felix Hernandez (SP), Jose Fernandez (SP); RP (3): Joe Nathan (RP), Fernando Rodney (RP), Ernesto Frieri (RP); P (4- any kind) P Lance Lynn (SP,RP), P Brandon League (RP), P Kevin Gregg (RP), P Cory Gearrin (RP)
BN: Mike Minor (SP), Hisashi Iwakuma (SP,RP)
DL: (3 allotted slots at once) SP Brandon Beachy, CF Cameron Maybin
#7
Posted 08 March 2013 - 02:55 PM
PepperPot, on 08 March 2013 - 12:14 AM, said:
As Patrick Bateman pointed out, Cobb is locked into the 4th spot of the rotation. But I thought the 5th spot was between Niemann, Hernandez (Carmona) and Archer. I think Odorizzi and Archer start the season at Triple A and wait for an injury/ineffectiveness.
Yeah, Odorizzi is who I was thinking of as well. I don't believe Carmona (sorry, can't think of him as Roberto Hernandez-- in my mind, Roberto Hernandez is that old guy who closed for a million years and reminded me of Jose Mesa!) is in the running at this point, but I had read a report the Rays "liked what they see" or something. I also saw he got torched, unless I'm just getting confused with another pitcher with a similar name (perhaps a farm guy on their team I am unaware of).
I would agree with you in that Archer and Odorizzi begin the year in the minors. Dunno the specifics without looking up Carmona's deal, but if he can be cut without much loss, I would think the Rays would do that... they have enough depth where they don't need a guy like him as a long-man, taking up space on the roster. Just my two cents. (If his contract is guaranteed, obviously he's going to be put in long-relief if he doesn't win the #5, but still. That was a signing I never liked.)
14-team/25-man (mixed) roster roto-auction redraft league [3rd Season, Defending Champ] (standard 5x5 scoring w/ OBP in place of AVG)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Brandon Belt, 2B Kelly Johnson, 3B Miguel Cabrera, SS Starlin Castro, IF Elvis Andrus, OF (4 starting OF slots, not position-specific) OF Gerardo Parra, OF Denard Span, OF Domonic Brown, OF Raul Ibanez, UTL Eric Chavez
BN: C,1B,3B Jordan Pacheo, 1B James Loney, 3B Juan Franncisco, OF Oswalda Arcia, OF Wil Myers [N/A]
P (8- any kind) SP Felix Hernandez, SP Hisashi Iwakuma, SP Shelby Miller, SP Mike Minor, R.A. Dickey, SP Johnny Cueto, MR Bobby Parnell, MR Jim Henderson
BN: SP Tim Lincecum
DL: (2 allotted slots at once): MR Ryan Madson
----
Team #2:
14-team/28-man (mixed) roster roto-snake redraft league [Inaugural Season] (7x7 scoring <R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, & SLG / W, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, & QS> and var. position-specific starting slots)
C Willin Rosario, 1B Adam Dunn, 2B Jason Kipnis, 3B Ryan Zimmerman, SS Jean Segura, CI Todd Frazier, MI Everth Cabrera, LF Gerardo Parra, CF Andrew McCutchen, RF Lucas Duda, OF Adam Jones, UTL Lorenzo Cain
BN: C,3B,1B Jordan Pacheo, 1B Lyle Overbay, RF Marcell Ozuna, LF,CF,RF Michael Saunders LF,CF,RF Justin Ruggiano
SP (2): Felix Hernandez (SP), Jose Fernandez (SP); RP (3): Joe Nathan (RP), Fernando Rodney (RP), Ernesto Frieri (RP); P (4- any kind) P Lance Lynn (SP,RP), P Brandon League (RP), P Kevin Gregg (RP), P Cory Gearrin (RP)
BN: Mike Minor (SP), Hisashi Iwakuma (SP,RP)
DL: (3 allotted slots at once) SP Brandon Beachy, CF Cameron Maybin
#8
Posted 10 March 2013 - 01:00 PM
#9
Posted 12 March 2013 - 03:44 PM
C: Salvador Perez
1B: Freddie Freeman, Eric Hosmer
2B: Chase Utley, Jedd Gyorko
3B: David Freese, Will Middlebrooks
SS: Troy Tulowitzki, Ian Desmond, Josh Rutledge
OF: Andrew McCutchen, Bryce Harper, Chris Davis, Norichika Aoki, Domonic Brown
SP: Cliff Lee, Yu Darvish, Chris Sale, Kris Medlen, James Shields, Julio Teheran
RP: Joe Nathan, Sergio Romo, Huston Street, Casey Janssen, Mitchell Boggs
#10
Posted 13 March 2013 - 12:49 AM
Big Tuna, on 10 March 2013 - 01:00 PM, said:
Decent control, decent strikeout rate, pitches evenly against LHB and RHB, got better in the second half. But what's special about this guy is his elite ground ball rate of 59%. Of course that makes him more susceptible to BABIP, but TB has a pretty good defense. His spring performance is encouraging. Perhaps shows that he is beyond being a rookie and is ready to take the next step.
Categories: 7 x 7 (R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OPS, K) x (W, K, ERA, WHIP, SV, HLD, QS)
C-Wilin Rosario
1B-Freddie Freeman
2B-Jose Altuve (16)
3B-Brett Lawrie (16)
SS-Jean Segura
LF-Starling Marte
CF-Lorenzo Cain
RF-Michael Morse
UTIL-Jason Heyward (10)
Bench-Lance Berkman, Christian Yelich
DL-Jose Reyes
SP-Clayton Kershaw, Madison Bumgarner, James Shields, Gio Gonzalez (7), Alex Cobb, Jose Quintana
RP-Jonathan Papelbon, Bobby Parnell, Greg Holland, Trevor Rosenthal, Ryan Cook, Brian Matusz
DL-Brandon Beachy
#11
Posted 13 March 2013 - 06:07 AM
Silvertsunami, on 12 March 2013 - 03:44 PM, said:
That K/BB ratio is very impressive even if it is spring training that stat is making him rise up my draft board.
#12
Posted 13 March 2013 - 08:01 AM
David Light, on 08 March 2013 - 02:12 PM, said:
That may be the case but his walks per 9 decresed from 3.9 BB/9 to 2.6 BB/9, and his k's per 9 increased from 6.3 k/9 to 7.0 k/9....those are two big factors for me when drafting young mid-late round talent.
C - Jesus Montero
1 - Billy Butler
2 - Jose Altuve
3 - Evan Longoria
SS - Jed Lowrie
OF - Josh Hamilton, Alex Gordon, Carl Crawford
Utill - Carlos Gomez
Bench - Will Myers, Marco Scutaro, Jurikson Profar, Adam LaRoche
DL - Mark Teixiera, Andrew Bailey, Cory Hart, Chris Carpenter
SP - Steven Strasburg, Adam Wainwright, Jeff Sarmarzjda, Zack Grienke, Ian Kennedy,
Jose Quintana, Edwin Jackson, Fransisco Liriano
RP - Addison Reed, Ernesto Frieri
#13
Posted 13 March 2013 - 08:10 AM
146 IP / 9 W / 3.93 ERA / 1.35 WHIP / 113 K / 6.98 Ks per 9
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#14
Posted 13 March 2013 - 11:41 AM
Every draft is different, honestly, and someone tried to sneak him through early in the auction when everyone had a lot of money, but still...
#15
Posted 21 March 2013 - 05:31 PM
#16
Posted 21 March 2013 - 05:43 PM
BxBOMBERs28, on 21 March 2013 - 05:31 PM, said:
Risky #4. More like a #6 to me, with upside sure.
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#17
Posted 21 March 2013 - 08:33 PM
BxBOMBERs28, on 21 March 2013 - 05:31 PM, said:
Absolutely. He was a major sleeper before ST. I will reach for him if I have to.
~ Jose Fernandez
#18
#19
Posted 21 March 2013 - 09:15 PM
JFS171, on 13 March 2013 - 11:41 AM, said:
Every draft is different, honestly, and someone tried to sneak him through early in the auction when everyone had a lot of money, but still...
Went for $6 in my 12 teamer too - the buzz is palpable
Champions 2007, 2009, 2012
C - R. Doumit ($1)
1B - B. Butler ($33)
2B - R. Cano ($26)
3B - A. Beltre ($18)
SS - B. Zobrist ($22)
OF - C. Gonzalez ($11), M. Trout ($7), R. Braun ($58)
Util - C. Headley ($4), S. Choo ($14), S. Marte ($4)
Bench - A. LaRoche ($11), J. Morneau ($2)
SP - M. Bumgarner ($23), J. Zimmermann ($19), H. Iwakuma ($2), I. Kennedy ($6), T. Hudson ($9), A. Pettitte ($1), W. Chen ($1), A. Cashner ($1)
RP - T. Wilhemsen ($8), A. Reed ($8), D. Hernandez ($1), K. Uehara ($1)
#20
Posted 21 March 2013 - 11:22 PM
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