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Johan Santana 2013 Outlook


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#1 gbill2004

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 05:40 AM

Thoughts/projections for Johan this season? Can he regain his former elite form?
Competitive start 2 QB, 0.5 PPR, 12 team H2H deep re-draft league, all TDs = 6 pts. Roster below (starting spots in brackets):

QB (2) - Tony Romo, Colin Kaepernick, Shaun Hill, Michael Vick, Johnny Manziel
RB/FLEX (2) - DeMarco Murray, Doug Martin, Zac Stacy, Jeremy Miller, Carlos Hyde, Mark Ingram, Knile Davis
WR (4) - Calvin Johnson, Alshon Jeffrey, Michael Crabtree, Victor Cruz, TY Hilton
TE (2) - Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett, Austin Seferian-Jenkins
K (2) - Shayne Graham, Steven Hauschka
DEF (2) - Cleveland, New Orleans
IDP (4) - Lavonte David, Jared Mayo, Alec Ogletree, Curtis Lofton

#2 MOFUGGER

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 07:14 AM

Not a chance. He's no better than a middle of the road starter, at best. I think you'll see some decent games but I think his best days are farrrrrrrrrrrr behind him. When I see "shoulder" I generally run away.

#3 Jay85

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 08:55 AM

I have him and now i will just drop him...

TEAM A - 10 team H2H - 6pt Td League
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RB - Zac Stacy & Toby Gerhart TE - Larry Donnell
W/T - Michael Floyd  W/R - Brandin Cooks  K - Adam Vinatieri  DEF - New England
BN - Jay Cutler, Sammy Watkins, Eddie Royal, Fred Jackson, Stream, Stream 

 

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QB - Jay Cutler  WR - Alshon Jeffery, DeAndre Hopkins 
RB - Jamaal Charles & LeSean McCoy TE Stream
W/T - Brandin Cooks  W/R - Eric Decker  K - Stream  DEF - New England 

BN - Chris Johnson, Alfred Blue, Carlos Hyde, Darrin Reaves, Stream. 


#4 elrey

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 10:12 AM

If you take away his last 5 starts last season where he was obviously pitching hurt he had a 2.76 ERA, was striking out a batter an inning and he threw a no-hitter so the talent is still there. He's one of the smartest pitchers in the league, has great command and his change-up is still deadly so if he pitches healthy I can see a 3ish ERA and a 8.5 K/9 which is excellent value given where he is being drafted. The big question of course is his health.

Edited by elrey, 22 March 2013 - 10:15 AM.


#5 gbill2004

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 10:19 AM

Whats his current health like? Whats his velocity looking like in camp?
Competitive start 2 QB, 0.5 PPR, 12 team H2H deep re-draft league, all TDs = 6 pts. Roster below (starting spots in brackets):

QB (2) - Tony Romo, Colin Kaepernick, Shaun Hill, Michael Vick, Johnny Manziel
RB/FLEX (2) - DeMarco Murray, Doug Martin, Zac Stacy, Jeremy Miller, Carlos Hyde, Mark Ingram, Knile Davis
WR (4) - Calvin Johnson, Alshon Jeffrey, Michael Crabtree, Victor Cruz, TY Hilton
TE (2) - Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett, Austin Seferian-Jenkins
K (2) - Shayne Graham, Steven Hauschka
DEF (2) - Cleveland, New Orleans
IDP (4) - Lavonte David, Jared Mayo, Alec Ogletree, Curtis Lofton

#6 elrey

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 10:21 AM

Whats his current health like? Whats his velocity looking like in camp?


He's going to start the season the the DL but he's only expected to miss a start or two. Haven't read any reports on his fastball

#7 ludawg23

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 10:37 AM

He'll probably be pretty good the 1st half of the season...unload him before the 2nd half starts.

After that no hitter last year, he fell apart but he still knows how to pitch.

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#8 Cmilne23

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Posted 22 March 2013 - 11:57 AM

I remember posting in the Johan thread after he threw it being skeptical of him being able to survive the 134 pitch outing. It appears he was not able to survive. So hopefully the Mets are much more cautious with him this season and keep him around 100 pitch counts.

#9 dman27

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Posted 25 March 2013 - 12:19 AM

I drafted him as a last pick... I have faith in him, he's a smart pitcher with the experience. I'm just waiting for yahoo to change him over to a DL spot already!! So I can grab another starter for the first couple of weeks!

FOOTBALL Yahoo 12 Team 0.5PPR
QB: Peyton Manning
WR: Larry Fitz, Calvin Johnson, Cecil Shorts III
RB: Darren Sproles, Trent Richardson

TE: Vernon Davis
Flex: Chris Ivory
K: Nick Novak
DEF: SD
Bench: Carlos Hyde, MJD, Torrey Smith, Bobby Rainey, Eli Manning, Andre Holmes

 


#10 dman27

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Posted 25 March 2013 - 01:01 AM

correction he's out another 6 weeks, so consider him back early May... but If you have DL slots, it can't hurt to stash him!

FOOTBALL Yahoo 12 Team 0.5PPR
QB: Peyton Manning
WR: Larry Fitz, Calvin Johnson, Cecil Shorts III
RB: Darren Sproles, Trent Richardson

TE: Vernon Davis
Flex: Chris Ivory
K: Nick Novak
DEF: SD
Bench: Carlos Hyde, MJD, Torrey Smith, Bobby Rainey, Eli Manning, Andre Holmes

 


#11 RotoRaysfan

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Posted 25 March 2013 - 06:18 AM

http://hardballtalk....-pitch/related/

I've said it before, but it bears repeating - when it comes to labrum reconstruction, it's usually a career-killer. Add him to the long list of guys who just never come back the same way afterwards. Usually, a DL spot is one that carries almost no risk, but there are likely way better options to carry on the DL than Johan, given the above.

At least the Mets can buy him out after this year.

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#12 MOFUGGER

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Posted 25 March 2013 - 10:02 AM

I just kicked him to the curb in a 14 team, deep roster dynasty. No regrets.

#13 Ben Edelman

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Posted 26 March 2013 - 01:54 PM


Whats his current health like? Whats his velocity looking like in camp?


He's going to start the season the the DL but he's only expected to miss a start or two. Haven't read any reports on his fastball


Ha ha ha ha ha. "Only expected to miss a start or two". This is like the guy who pumps and dumps penny stocks.

If he were a hitter (e.g. Carl Crawford), this would be a totally different conversation. But as a pitcher, his odds of a comeback and really returning to form are incredibly slim. The last starting pitcher I can remember returning to elite form after a two-year outage was Curt Schilling 1994-1995. A few relievers have done it as well (Brad Lidge, Jason Isringhausen)

I'll put his over/under at 95 IP and 5.5 W this year. They will probably be 95 quality innings, but you can likely get just as much out of Mike Adams or Kenley Jansen as you will out of Santana.

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Min: Bryant, JP Crawford, Piscotty
 


#14 pfresh

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 06:01 PM

"Re-tears his shoulder. Season ending surgery is likely"

Almost drafted him. Glad I didn't.

NFL 2014 12-Team League    9th pick Overall Redraft     Record: 4-2        Going for the 3-Peat.. Going to be hard
QB: Aaron Rodgers
WR1: Vincent Jackson         WR2: Julian Edelman            WR3: Kelvin Benjamin
RB1: Demarco Murray          RB2: Zac Stacy
TE: Vernon Davis                      Defense: San Francisco         Kicker: Matt Prater
Bench: Anquan Boldin, Mark Ingram, Matt Asiata, Owen Daniels, Branden Oliver, Justin Hunter
NFL 2014 10-Team League    3rd pick Overall Redraft      Record: 3-3       Going for the Repeat
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WR1: Keenan Allen                  WR2: Victor Cruz  Emmanuel Sanders     WR3: Wes Welker   OBJ

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Bench: Ray Rice, Josh Gordon, Knowshon Moreno, Ronnie Hillman, Branden Oliver, Torrey Smith, Ryan Tannehill


#15 Neymar

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 06:03 PM

Wow. I'd imagine his career is more than likely finished.

#16 baltimore_boy

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 06:04 PM

It's a shame that this will likely end his career. He was really promising earlier in his career and it's a shame that this is how it will end.
Bring back Ray!

#17 novaeagles21

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 07:04 PM

Definitely a shame. This guy's no hitter last year was one of the highlights of the season, but can't help but feel it also contributed to hasten his demise.

Edited by RotoRaysfan, 28 March 2013 - 08:36 PM.
Mets rotation discussion moved to Mets 2013 thread....

12 Team H2H (AVG, OPS, R, HR, RBI, NSB, RC - IP, K, W, QS, ERA, WHIP, K/9, SV)

C:   Salvador Perez
1B: Anthony Rizzo
2B: Chase Utley
3B: Mike Moustakas
SS: Elvis Andrus
OF:   Mike Trout
OF:   Justin Upton
OF:   Yoenis Cespedes
UTIL: Carlos Gomez
Bench : Ryan Howard, Martin Prado, Oscar Taveras

P:   Felix Hernandez, Matt Moore, Jon Lester, Jeff Samardzija, Alex Cobb, Julio Teheran, David Phelps, Andrew Cashner
RP:   Greg Holland, Ernesto Frieri, Bobby Parnell, Heath Bell, David Hernandez
DL:   Michael Pineda, Cory Luebke

#18 HAzE024

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Posted 29 March 2013 - 02:36 AM

RIP

#19 trojans888

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Posted 29 March 2013 - 03:59 AM

Definitely a shame. This guy's no hitter last year was one of the highlights of the season, but can't help but feel it also contributed to hasten his demise.


As a Mets fan it was well worth it.

#20 Fantasy Fiend

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Posted 29 March 2013 - 04:57 AM

"Re-tears his shoulder. Season ending surgery is likely"

Almost drafted him. Glad I didn't.


Somebody kept him in my keeper league for $1. Feel bad for them lol.