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Stevan Ridley 2013 Season Outlook12.01.13 -- Stevan Ridley inactive for Week 13 against the Texans


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#1 smeeze

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Posted 03 May 2013 - 05:09 PM

Stevan Ridley showed up to the Patriots' conditioning program "looking like a house" after adding "a noticeable amount of muscle" in the offseason.
Beat writer Jeff Howe suggests Ridley "might be even more difficult to tackle" now. In 2012, Ridley finished seventh in the NFL in rush yards after contact while tying Reggie Bush and Arian Foster for the 11th most missed tackles among running backs, per Pro Football Focus' charted stats. As long as Ridley hasn't gained a ton of weight to slow him down, we're on board with additional muscle. May 3 - 11:41 AM
10 Team / H2H / 5x5

C Carlos Santana
1B Adrian Gonzalez
2B Brandon Phillips
3B Edwin Encarnacion
SS Starlin Castro
OF Ryan Braun, Jason Heyward, Melky Cabrera
UTIL Mike Napoli, Adam Eaton
BN Desmond Jennings, Dee Gordon, Billy Butler

SP Stephen Strasburg, Felix Hernandez, Chris Sale, Andrew Cashner
P Jordan Zimmermann, Matt Garza, Dan Straily, Drew Smyly
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RP Jim Henderson, Ryan Cook
DL Doug Fister
NA Archie Bradley

#2 Blu Exile

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Posted 03 May 2013 - 07:14 PM

Bernard Pollard ended this dude's career. He's probably still punch-drunk.

#3 pikerbkb

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 03:10 PM

Clown posts excluded, can't see him producing much better than last year unless he becomes more involved with the passing game.
Tom Brady
Arian Foster
Stevan Ridley
Eddie Lacy
Zac Stacy
Ben Tate
Da'Dick Rodgers
Josh Gordon
Marcus Wheaton
Nuk
Ladarius Green



Dynasty non-ppr
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24 player roster
No position limits

#4 Proteus

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 03:35 PM

The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.
QB: Ryan Leaf
RB: Lawrence Phillips
RB: Ki-Jana Carter
WR: Charles Rogers
WR: Desmond Howard
TE: David LaFleur
W/R: David Wilson
K: Ray Finkle(Einhorn)
D: Minnie

BN: Andre Ware/Jared Cook/Tony Mandarich/Curtis Enis/Travis Henry/Brian Bosworth/CJ Spiller/Trent Richardson

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#5 Coprolagnia

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 04:48 PM

I don't think it matters what RB they have, with the garbage time and all the short yardage TD opportunities the patriots get, any half decent RB should have a good season

#6 RMJ_12

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 07:52 PM

View PostProteus, on 04 May 2013 - 03:35 PM, said:

The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.
the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football under belichick.  not sure what you're smoking

#7 predator_05

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 08:16 PM

View PostRMJ_12, on 04 May 2013 - 07:52 PM, said:

not sure what you're smoking


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#8 dabeesta17

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
16-team keeper league (keepers in italics), long TD bonus, yardage bonuses, 5 rec = 1pt, 10 rec = 5 pts

#9 Proteus

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 09:06 PM

View PostRMJ_12, on 04 May 2013 - 07:52 PM, said:

View PostProteus, on 04 May 2013 - 03:35 PM, said:

The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.
the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football under belichick.  not sure what you're smoking

Maybe I'm imagining things, but I remember a lot of revolving door action in that backfield in recent years not just from game to game but within games. Guys getting yanked for no discernable reason at all.
QB: Ryan Leaf
RB: Lawrence Phillips
RB: Ki-Jana Carter
WR: Charles Rogers
WR: Desmond Howard
TE: David LaFleur
W/R: David Wilson
K: Ray Finkle(Einhorn)
D: Minnie

BN: Andre Ware/Jared Cook/Tony Mandarich/Curtis Enis/Travis Henry/Brian Bosworth/CJ Spiller/Trent Richardson

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#10 RMJ_12

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Posted 04 May 2013 - 10:18 PM

View PostProteus, on 04 May 2013 - 09:06 PM, said:

View PostRMJ_12, on 04 May 2013 - 07:52 PM, said:

View PostProteus, on 04 May 2013 - 03:35 PM, said:

The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.
the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football under belichick.  not sure what you're smoking

Maybe I'm imagining things, but I remember a lot of revolving door action in that backfield in recent years not just from game to game but within games. Guys getting yanked for no discernable reason at all.
nevertheless, again the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football.  ridley finished 9th last year, hell BGE(far less talented btw) was successful finishing 15th in 2010, and 22nd in 2011 in an injury filled season

#11 pikerbkb

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 02:21 AM

View Postdabeesta17, on 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM, said:

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
It does seem logical that Vereen will get the majority of touches Woodhead leaves behind, but get real, the Patriots never indicated anything and Belejerk certainly never gives anything away. Plus, Vereen has to stay on the field to get these touches, something he had trouble doing. To your other staement, Vereen is a dynamic outside runner, but he will never match Ridley's power and explosiveness between the tackles. Barring injuries or fumblitis, Ridley's role and workload will not change and will probably get a slight bump. His experience and familiarity will the Patriot offense goes a long way to earning the trust of Brady and Belechick.

Edited by pikerbkb, 05 May 2013 - 02:22 AM.

Tom Brady
Arian Foster
Stevan Ridley
Eddie Lacy
Zac Stacy
Ben Tate
Da'Dick Rodgers
Josh Gordon
Marcus Wheaton
Nuk
Ladarius Green



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24 player roster
No position limits

#12 RMJ_12

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 02:34 AM

View Postdabeesta17, on 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM, said:

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about?  even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries.  plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

#13 smeeze

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 08:08 AM

I don't know why everyone is knocking Ridley's talent.  Sure, he has virtually no role in the passing game but he runs like a man possessed when he gets his carries.  The Patriots also led the league in 1st and goals last year and will likely challenge for that stat again.  As RMJ_12 mentioned, the team lacks WR talent and their TEs have had issues staying on the field.  The only way I can see Ridley losing carries is injury or if he puts the ball on the ground too much.
10 Team / H2H / 5x5

C Carlos Santana
1B Adrian Gonzalez
2B Brandon Phillips
3B Edwin Encarnacion
SS Starlin Castro
OF Ryan Braun, Jason Heyward, Melky Cabrera
UTIL Mike Napoli, Adam Eaton
BN Desmond Jennings, Dee Gordon, Billy Butler

SP Stephen Strasburg, Felix Hernandez, Chris Sale, Andrew Cashner
P Jordan Zimmermann, Matt Garza, Dan Straily, Drew Smyly
P Corey Kluber, Tanner Roark, Jenrry Mejia
RP Jim Henderson, Ryan Cook
DL Doug Fister
NA Archie Bradley

#14 dabeesta17

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 03:23 PM

View PostRMJ_12, on 05 May 2013 - 02:34 AM, said:

View Postdabeesta17, on 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM, said:

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about?  even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries.  plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.

Edited by dabeesta17, 05 May 2013 - 03:25 PM.

16-team keeper league (keepers in italics), long TD bonus, yardage bonuses, 5 rec = 1pt, 10 rec = 5 pts

#15 RMJ_12

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 03:55 PM

View Postdabeesta17, on 05 May 2013 - 03:23 PM, said:

View PostRMJ_12, on 05 May 2013 - 02:34 AM, said:

View Postdabeesta17, on 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM, said:

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about?  even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries.  plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.
why do you assume all of woodhead's touches go to vereen and blount and boldin are competing to cut into ridley's touches?  makes no sense

#16 dabeesta17

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 04:08 PM

View PostRMJ_12, on 05 May 2013 - 03:55 PM, said:

View Postdabeesta17, on 05 May 2013 - 03:23 PM, said:

View PostRMJ_12, on 05 May 2013 - 02:34 AM, said:

View Postdabeesta17, on 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM, said:

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about?  even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries.  plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.
why do you assume all of woodhead's touches go to vereen and blount and boldin are competing to cut into ridley's touches?  makes no sense

Because Blount and Boldin are 1st and 2nd down runners like Ridley. Neither of them are passing-down backs. When the Patriots were in a hurry-up offense (which is/was often), nether Ridley nor Boldin were ever in on those situations in 2012; and Blount has 21 total catches for his entire 3 year career. The only other 3rd down-type back on the roster is Leon Washington and he's there mostly for kick/punt returns.
16-team keeper league (keepers in italics), long TD bonus, yardage bonuses, 5 rec = 1pt, 10 rec = 5 pts

#17 RMJ_12

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Posted 05 May 2013 - 04:25 PM

View Postdabeesta17, on 05 May 2013 - 04:08 PM, said:

View PostRMJ_12, on 05 May 2013 - 03:55 PM, said:

View Postdabeesta17, on 05 May 2013 - 03:23 PM, said:

View PostRMJ_12, on 05 May 2013 - 02:34 AM, said:

View Postdabeesta17, on 04 May 2013 - 08:54 PM, said:

I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.
ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about?  even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries.  plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.
why do you assume all of woodhead's touches go to vereen and blount and boldin are competing to cut into ridley's touches?  makes no sense

Because Blount and Boldin are 1st and 2nd down runners like Ridley. Neither of them are passing-down backs. When the Patriots were in a hurry-up offense (which is/was often), nether Ridley nor Boldin were ever in on those situations in 2012; and Blount has 21 total catches for his entire 3 year career. The only other 3rd down-type back on the roster is Leon Washington and he's there mostly for kick/punt returns.
and the 40 "carries" woodhead got cant go to ridley?  plus im not too worried about bolden getting many more carries than last season.  also i honestly dont even think blount makes the team

#18 Celticsbig3

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Posted 06 May 2013 - 12:20 PM

Why would anyone worry about Ridley? Dude is the best back in New England since Corey dillon, after showing flashes in year one he FLATOUT proved last year to be a feature back with potential to be elite in that category

Pats always have committed to the run, and when we have a feature back we will go with him, as has been proven last year with Ridley, 2010 with law firm (to an extent, due to his lesser talent), and especially with Corey in 04

Sure the offense is pass first and versatile but we always commit to the run, and when we have a number one back we have no problem letting him do his thing... Just hadn't had one in a while

Ridley should put up another 1200 yards and 10 td's this year, hell he mightt even run for MORE and even catch a few more passes too with welker and woodhead and lloyd out of the picture...

and vereen is another possible fantasy option due to his ability as a homerun hitter running and receiving the ball, he might put up big numbers as well as the #2 back and receiving option.... Very talented and productive rb duo in New England behind that monster offensive line.

Edited by Celticsbig3, 06 May 2013 - 12:21 PM.


#19 Gryfter

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Posted 08 May 2013 - 04:14 AM

people gotta understand the Pats more often than not plays into the second half of games with a lead... before Ridley's fumbling issues, he was on the field closing out games and gaining most of his yards... there were times where he was taken off the field or doesnt get the goal line carries in the first half; its more of the Pat's offensive system and possibly keeping Ridley fresh to close out games...

the only worry is his fumbling...
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QB: Romo
RBs: Bush, Stacy
WRs: Gordon, K.Allen
TE: Z.Miller
FLEX: Mathews
Kicker: Vinatieri
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Bench: Gio, Percy, Cooper, Crabtree, Gronkowski(IR)

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Bench: Campbell, Ridley, A.Brown, B.Tate, D.Johnson

#20 FFninja

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Posted 08 May 2013 - 08:44 AM

I was all about taking a chance on Ridley last year based on BJGE finishing as an RB2 the previous two years. At a price of a 6th round pick, I figured you were getting a high end RB2. Sure enough, that worked great. But this year, he costs a late 2nd/early 3rd and I can't fathom him getting more carries. For a guy who finished around RB11, you are pretty much paying for his ceiling if you draft him this year.

IIRC, Bolden got hurt last year so Ridley gained a few carries from that injury and now they've brought in Blount who was averaging 4.6 ypc on 385 carries on a HORRIBLE Raheem Morris team. Ridley managed a healthy 4.4 ypc last year, but that can't be too hard when you play for the Patriots. Also take into account that Ridley has 25 carries inside the 5 yard line and he's only amassed 8 yards and 8 touchdowns on those 25 carries. BJGE converted over 50% of his carries inside the 5 into touchdowns.

Despite a solid fantasy football season, Ridley is looking very replaceable (very much like his predecessor). Chances are that he hangs onto his job, but I think people are letting fantasy football cloud their judgment if they think he's got a rock solid hold on his job as a 1st and 2nd down runner (and goal line back). His stats are actually pretty mediocre, so if he fumbles and Blount, Vereen, or Bolden take over and start producing at a higher clip, there is little reason to believe BB won't let them keep the job.

Ridley has swung from a top redraft target in 2012 for me to a total DND in 2013.




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