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Marques Colston 2013 Season Outlook


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#1 RMJ_12

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 12:49 AM

I'm just wondering.. does anybody like this guy??

#2 rraayy3

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 12:53 AM

I dont target him, but its usually because I already have Brees/Sproles/Graham on my team.

#3 RMJ_12

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 01:27 AM

View Postrraayy3, on 18 May 2013 - 12:53 AM, said:

I dont target him, but its usually because I already have Brees/Sproles/Graham on my team.
I have never targeted him either but I was surprised to see that he actually finished 11th at WR in my league last year (non-ppr).  Now he did only have 6 weeks in double digit points so that's probably why nobody "loves" him but it's always a plus to have Brees as your QB.  I just wonder when past leg injuries catch up with him

#4 ipg46

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 07:32 AM

I drafted him really late last year and started him every week. I also had Brees as my QB, and so I got a 12-point bump every time Colston scored a TD. Won that league. (Not because of Colston per se, but he was solid for where I drafted him.) Will probably still be a good value next year.
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#5 Ryan81

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 10:27 AM

There's just nothing I like about him. I really don't know why but I've never liked him.
"Sometimes you get the bear; sometimes the bear gets you." -Clay Othic

#6 Point Shaver

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 10:24 PM

A real boring player imo.

#7 crusoe

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Posted 18 May 2013 - 10:57 PM

With Colston, you know what you are going to get.  You will end the season with roughly 1100 yards and 7-10 TDs.  Not terribly exciting for upside, but his consistent floor at those numbers is pretty appetizing for those who like playing it safe.

Edited by crusoe, 18 May 2013 - 10:58 PM.


#8 Deadpool

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Posted 19 May 2013 - 12:03 AM

He's the guy you draft to offset your higher risk picks, to make sure you still have a consistent guy to play.
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#9 ZidaneValor

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Posted 19 May 2013 - 12:09 AM

I love him.  He always finishes just inside the Top-15, and he always goes about one round or $5 too low.

Last year, he went for $9 and $4 in my 1-PPR money-league auction drafts.  He is always forgotten about.

Edited by ZidaneValor, 19 May 2013 - 12:09 AM.


#10 Blu Exile

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Posted 19 May 2013 - 01:57 AM

His body is falling apart, but the guy always soldiers through it & produces. I agree, he is always forgotten & never talked about.

#11 Ryan81

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Posted 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
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#12 whysosaucy

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 04:39 AM

View PostRyan81, on 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM, said:

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
Really? I have seen him fall to the 5th and 6th round in a lot of 12 team mock drafts so far. If u stack 2rb's in the first 2 rounds, and go wr, wr in 3rd and 4th, and find Colston in the 5th I think its a great pickup. I just feel like there will be better wr's in the fourth, and you will get a chance at cruz, crabs, welker in the 4th. Colston kind is operating like a 2nd TE in the slot, which is getting him some good matchups. He's a lock for 1,000 yards.

#13 Ryan81

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 08:52 AM

View Postwhysosaucy, on 20 May 2013 - 04:39 AM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM, said:

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
Really? I have seen him fall to the 5th and 6th round in a lot of 12 team mock drafts so far. If u stack 2rb's in the first 2 rounds, and go wr, wr in 3rd and 4th, and find Colston in the 5th I think its a great pickup. I just feel like there will be better wr's in the fourth, and you will get a chance at cruz, crabs, welker in the 4th. Colston kind is operating like a 2nd TE in the slot, which is getting him some good matchups. He's a lock for 1,000 yards.
Yeah and that's the same ADP as the other WRs I listed.

In ppr, I would easily take all of those receivers minus Bowe ahead of him. And if it came to that, I would probably just pass on both and pick a QB/TE/another RB.
"Sometimes you get the bear; sometimes the bear gets you." -Clay Othic

#14 DocJ

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 10:23 AM

View PostDeadpool, on 19 May 2013 - 12:03 AM, said:

He's the guy you draft to offset your higher risk picks, to make sure you still have a consistent guy to play.
This. It's like drafting CedBen as your RB2 when he was with CIN, it will never be a sexy pick but you can bank on him finishing in the position you drafted him for year in and year out.
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#15 whysosaucy

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 11:19 AM

View PostRyan81, on 20 May 2013 - 08:52 AM, said:

View Postwhysosaucy, on 20 May 2013 - 04:39 AM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM, said:

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
Really? I have seen him fall to the 5th and 6th round in a lot of 12 team mock drafts so far. If u stack 2rb's in the first 2 rounds, and go wr, wr in 3rd and 4th, and find Colston in the 5th I think its a great pickup. I just feel like there will be better wr's in the fourth, and you will get a chance at cruz, crabs, welker in the 4th. Colston kind is operating like a 2nd TE in the slot, which is getting him some good matchups. He's a lock for 1,000 yards.
Yeah and that's the same ADP as the other WRs I listed.

In ppr, I would easily take all of those receivers minus Bowe ahead of him. And if it came to that, I would probably just pass on both and pick a QB/TE/another RB.

I dunno in 12 team leagues, Crabs,Cruz,and Welker should all be gone by the end of the 4th

#16 Ryan81

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 01:17 PM

View Postwhysosaucy, on 20 May 2013 - 11:19 AM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 20 May 2013 - 08:52 AM, said:

View Postwhysosaucy, on 20 May 2013 - 04:39 AM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM, said:

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
Really? I have seen him fall to the 5th and 6th round in a lot of 12 team mock drafts so far. If u stack 2rb's in the first 2 rounds, and go wr, wr in 3rd and 4th, and find Colston in the 5th I think its a great pickup. I just feel like there will be better wr's in the fourth, and you will get a chance at cruz, crabs, welker in the 4th. Colston kind is operating like a 2nd TE in the slot, which is getting him some good matchups. He's a lock for 1,000 yards.
Yeah and that's the same ADP as the other WRs I listed.

In ppr, I would easily take all of those receivers minus Bowe ahead of him. And if it came to that, I would probably just pass on both and pick a QB/TE/another RB.

I dunno in 12 team leagues, Crabs,Cruz,and Welker should all be gone by the end of the 4th
I know. Check the adps. Colstons is 5.03

They typically go just before him with the other guys like Nicks, Amendola, Wayne etc. going just after him....
"Sometimes you get the bear; sometimes the bear gets you." -Clay Othic

#17 RespectMyAuthority

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 01:31 PM

It's inevitable that in some draft this year, he'll be sitting there at one of my picks and it'll seem like he's fallen way too far and that I need to draft him -- then Week 4 of the season, I'll continue to ask myself why I keep drafting this turd.  Consistency is the key to fantasy football, I don't want a guy who scores 40 one week, then 5 each of the next 3 weeks, I'd much rather have someone who scores 14 points a week and gives me the same 4-week total -- Colston is the 40/5/5/5 type; Dwayne Bowe & Reggie Wayne go in the same draft area as Colston and will give you fewer headaches with much more consistent production.

#18 theSPANKER

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 02:56 PM

View PostRyan81, on 20 May 2013 - 08:52 AM, said:

View Postwhysosaucy, on 20 May 2013 - 04:39 AM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM, said:

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
Really? I have seen him fall to the 5th and 6th round in a lot of 12 team mock drafts so far. If u stack 2rb's in the first 2 rounds, and go wr, wr in 3rd and 4th, and find Colston in the 5th I think its a great pickup. I just feel like there will be better wr's in the fourth, and you will get a chance at cruz, crabs, welker in the 4th. Colston kind is operating like a 2nd TE in the slot, which is getting him some good matchups. He's a lock for 1,000 yards.
Yeah and that's the same ADP as the other WRs I listed.

In ppr, I would easily take all of those receivers minus Bowe ahead of him. And if it came to that, I would probably just pass on both and pick a QB/TE/another RB.

What u saying man?  I think Bowe is a great value pick this year and would take him ahead of Colston.
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#19 Robrain

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 06:36 PM

Even with Brees throwing for 5K regularly now, Colston surprisingly...lacks targets/receptions:

http://www.nfl.com/p...2495821/profile

I actually just detailed how targets/receptions factors into a receiver's ultimate upside in this reply, check it to compare the amount of receptions that other top WR's are regularly generating:

http://forums.rotowo...40#entry3505063

View PostHolben, on 20 July 2012 - 04:44 PM, said:

Jackie Battle...Better than Chris Johnson...

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#20 Ryan81

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Posted 20 May 2013 - 08:49 PM

View PostRespectMyAuthority, on 20 May 2013 - 01:31 PM, said:

It's inevitable that in some draft this year, he'll be sitting there at one of my picks and it'll seem like he's fallen way too far and that I need to draft him -- then Week 4 of the season, I'll continue to ask myself why I keep drafting this turd.  Consistency is the key to fantasy football, I don't want a guy who scores 40 one week, then 5 each of the next 3 weeks, I'd much rather have someone who scores 14 points a week and gives me the same 4-week total -- Colston is the 40/5/5/5 type; Dwayne Bowe & Reggie Wayne go in the same draft area as Colston and will give you fewer headaches with much more consistent production.
Gotta have that discipline. Happens to everybody in every draft when you come upon a player that has fallen in the draft yet you still don't want to draft them. But the temptation is there simply because they fell 10 picks past their ADP.

View PosttheSPANKER, on 20 May 2013 - 02:56 PM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 20 May 2013 - 08:52 AM, said:

View Postwhysosaucy, on 20 May 2013 - 04:39 AM, said:

View PostRyan81, on 19 May 2013 - 10:37 AM, said:

His ADP is higher than I expected. He's ADP is higher than Nicks, Amendola, Bowe, Wayne, Jordy, Wallace and he's going right after Welker, Cruz, Crabtree, VJax.
Really? I have seen him fall to the 5th and 6th round in a lot of 12 team mock drafts so far. If u stack 2rb's in the first 2 rounds, and go wr, wr in 3rd and 4th, and find Colston in the 5th I think its a great pickup. I just feel like there will be better wr's in the fourth, and you will get a chance at cruz, crabs, welker in the 4th. Colston kind is operating like a 2nd TE in the slot, which is getting him some good matchups. He's a lock for 1,000 yards.
Yeah and that's the same ADP as the other WRs I listed.

In ppr, I would easily take all of those receivers minus Bowe ahead of him. And if it came to that, I would probably just pass on both and pick a QB/TE/another RB.

What u saying man?  I think Bowe is a great value pick this year and would take him ahead of Colston.
I'm a little unsure on what to think about Bowe. Is he talented? Definitely. Alex Smith is what worries me. I don't think Smith will be a bust, it's just his style isn't going to help the stock of any WR. Plus they have Jamaal Charles who will see the ball a lot.

If it came down to me choosing between Dwayne Bowe and Marques Colston, I'd pick Bowe simply because Colston can have huge weeks to offset the stats of his less than stellar weeks. Thanks to RespectMyAuthority for pointing that out.

Colston had about 255 points last season in a ppr league. Not bad right? Let's take his 5 best games from last season:
Week 4: 9/153/1 - 30.3
Week 5: 9/131/3 -  40.1
Week 7: 7/73/1 - 20.3
Week 16: 10/153 - 25.3
Week 17: 5/52/2 - 22.2

That's roughly 54% of his points all packed into 5 games. So he gave over 1/2 of his production in less than 1/3 of the games he played. He also had 4 or less receptions in 9/16 games. So as much as people want to say he's a "safe" pick, I really don't think so. Yeah, his overall stat sheet at the end of the season is going to be nice and will hover around that 80/1100/10 mark but if you're wanting that consistent player to offset the boom/bust player you drafted as your WR1, I don't think Colston is it.
"Sometimes you get the bear; sometimes the bear gets you." -Clay Othic




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