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Reggie Bush or Matt Ryan - Dwayne Bowe or Danny AmendolaWho do I keep...


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#1 bwebs13

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Posted 12 July 2013 - 01:47 PM

Thank you for taking the time to read my question, I have a somewhat long complicated series of questions/scenarios I would greatly appreciate your insight; first let me set up my dynasty league for you.

It’s a salary keeper league, 1/2 pt PPR, 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 DEF.

Our league is set up with 22.5 Million Salary cap, we have a 4 mil franchise tag and then 6 million mini cap to re sign our players.  Player’s value is equal to their average so Matt Ryan averaged 18 pts in our league so he is $1.8 (million).  Referring to it as million is somewhat unnecessary so let’s just refer to it as having $22.5 as our cap.

As of now my keepers are ($)

QB- M. Ryan (1.8)
RB - A. Morris (4 (franchise tag))
RB - MJD (.7)
WR - Julio Jones (1.3)
WR - Demaryius Thomas (1.3)
WR - Danny Amendola (.6)
WR - Alshon Jeffery (.3)

Total Sal currently is 12.5 Million.

Here now are my questions.

1) I also have Dwayne Bowe (.7) so I could keep him over Danny and then I wouldn’t be able to keep Alshon.  Now I feel that Danny has the higher ceiling IF healthy and as my WR3 I think the risk is worth it. But I also feel like Bowe could emerge as well, really wonder what your thinking is, and just let’s assume both players play a full season.  Also, keeping Jeffrey is a nice added bonus as he could emerge as a nice WR as well.

2) I also have Reggie Bush (1.7) I could keep him and then re sign Matt Ryan (him or Stafford will be the best QB’s avail).  In our league if you owned a player you can match the highest bid and keep him, with everyone having QBs already I feel like he wouldn’t go for much in the auction max would be 3 million, last year I paid 2.7 for him.  I think the value of Bush in the auction would range in the 4-7 million as more than half the teams need a RB 1 or RB2.  Now there is the risk my jerk friends could just bid him up high knowing my strategy, but again I think he would probably still be lower than trying to bid on Reggie or another RB1/2.  The way it looks now is that Reggie will be the best RB avail in the auction.  SO keeping Reggie as a backup in case MJD isn’t MJD and Alfred Morris was a 1 year wonder is a smart move, there is also risk in Reggie, I am a Dolphins fan so I followed him closely these past 2 years and I think he can be a RB1 with the right team and it would seem DET is definitely the right team for his skillet, but there is the risk of Leshoure stealing TDS… Keep in mind most teams are only keeping 2 WRs some only 1 so the majority of bids will go to the best WRs and RBs avail, we chose which player is up for auction at random, we do a rookie/free agent draft after auction for all the players that weren’t auctioned and the rookies.

3) Trade Reggie Bush for Payton Manning.  This is something that is on the table with someone who already has RG3 and Needs a RB1.  This would essential just replace Matt Ryan and give me an upgrade at QB for the year, I feel Payton could be the best QB in the NFL this year and probably the best Fantasy QB.

I feel very solid with my team already as is, but the scarcity of RBs avail and the weak demand for QBs leads me to think it would be wise to keep Bush and risk spending less in the auction on a QB over a RB3, allowing me to target other players possibly Gronk or Grahm.  The Average weekly pts in my league for the playoff teams was 115 pts, as of now my team AVG is slightly under that, so keeping bush as a security for MJD/Bye week replace/trade bait and saving money to pursue other high scoring players such as Gronk or Grahm would be wise.  As I type this email I more and more want to go with keeping Bush.

#2 Titan Up

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Posted 12 July 2013 - 03:03 PM

I think you should keep Bush and Ryan. Manning would be nice but week to week he won't offer enough of an advantage over Ryan to be worth it. RB depth is crucial and in a 0.5 PPR league a guy that can catch like Bush should be a safe RB2 with upside for more.

Why can't you keep Bowe and drop Jeffery?

#3 bwebs13

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Posted 12 July 2013 - 03:14 PM

View PostTitan Up, on 12 July 2013 - 03:03 PM, said:

I think you should keep Bush and Ryan. Manning would be nice but week to week he won't offer enough of an advantage over Ryan to be worth it. RB depth is crucial and in a 0.5 PPR league a guy that can catch like Bush should be a safe RB2 with upside for more.

Why can't you keep Bowe and drop Jeffery?

I cant really Keep Ryan and Bush, its really only 1 or the other.

Salary wise depending on what i do with with Ryan or Bush i cant keep Bowe and Alson, i take it you would keep Bowe over Amendola?

If I keep Bush i can keep Bowe and Jeffrey, if i keep Ryan its either Bowe or Amendola and Jeffrey.

#4 Titan Up

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Posted 12 July 2013 - 03:28 PM

I guess I mis-read your OP. Keep Bush then re-sign Ryan or Stafford if possible. I would keep Amendola over Bowe although I like both this year.

#5 bwebs13

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Posted 12 July 2013 - 03:35 PM

View PostTitan Up, on 12 July 2013 - 03:28 PM, said:

I guess I mis-read your OP. Keep Bush then re-sign Ryan or Stafford if possible. I would keep Amendola over Bowe although I like both this year.

Thanks i agree with you.

I like both WRs and can make an argument for both, i will wait as long as i can to see what happen during camp but i am leaning towards bush and amendola.