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Mid-season Trades


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#1 gungho

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Posted 19 September 2013 - 07:41 PM

Hi Guys,

Apolagies beforehand if i have posted this in the wrong section or there already is an existing thread.
Basically i would like your collective opinions on who you see being traded mid-season which could affect a players value.

Eg: Last season i lucked out on picking James Harden in the 3rd round only for him to be traded to the Rockets.

Thanks in advance!

PG: C. Paul, E. Bledsoe, P. Beverley
SG:
SF: K. Leonard, D. Green, E. Ilyasova

PF: P. Millsap, M. Morris, C. Frye, D. West
 C:  G. Dieng, G. Monroe


#2 DZaak

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Posted 19 September 2013 - 08:13 PM

Asik/Lin:
are the obvious choice. There are so many rumours going around about them. I do feel that they will keep Lin though unless the Rockets get a serious 3rd star, then they wouldn't have a problem giving him up.
Also, if any decides to take a late round flier or waiver wire pick up of whoever the Houston starting PF is, their value will drop if a big trade comes around. It seems the only position the Rockets would trade for is PF... which leads to my next player.

LaMarcus Aldridge:
With Millsap and J-Smoove finding new teams, Aldridge is the last of the rumoured PF's that the Rockets go after. Along side Dwight, LMA's efficiency greatly increases. While he would get less shots, the increased efficiency should keep his PPG at a similar level. His rebounds and FTA will go down however. So he should gain in 1 cat (FG%) while dip in 2.
I have a problem with believing he'll go to the Rockets anymore though. Would the Blazers want Asik/Lin if they have R-Lopez/Lillard? Agreed that Asik is tonnes better than Lopez, however don't see how lin would work.

Rondo:
Constant rumours of him being traded. If Celtics shoot for Wiggins, then the more lottery picks the better (which is what they'd trade him for). Most of the talk is him going to the Lakers, however his game is a horrible fit next to Kobe who needs a spot up shooter next to him (eg. D-Fish, Farmar). If he goes there, his value is greatly diminished once Kobe comes back. I like him in Lakers without Kobe though. Rondo to Gasol all day.

ESPN league : 9-cat, H2H, 16 Teams, 10 players per team (160 players deep)
PG: Lawson, R Jackson, Barea

SG: W Matthews, K Martin(IR), C Brewer

SF: Batum, MKG

PF: Duncan

C: A Davis, R Lopez

 


#3 vnmslsrbms

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Posted 20 September 2013 - 08:38 PM

I think it'd be nice to see Kobe change his game when he comes back (yeah I know he doesn't care) to be more a shooting guard and less ball dominant. He is actually very efficient as a spot up shooter. I don't have the stats, but when he's wide open, from what I've seen it's money. Could be wrong of course. Getting Rondo could change that. I don't know how it would work though since the Lakers don't have anything the Celtics want.

#4 christian

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Posted 20 September 2013 - 09:40 PM

Andre Miller or Nate Robinson: There will probably be some issues in Denver's backcourt among Miller and Robinson as they battle each other for playing time behind Ty Lawson. I'm guessing the loser will want out.

Courtney Lee: The Celtics could make good out of Lee to acquire a legitimate center. After all, the Celtics already have Jordan Crawford, MarShon Brooks, and Avery Bradley.

Arron Afflalo, Glen Davis, and/or Jameer Nelson: Orlando is clearly looking for young talent with potential. Afflalo, Nelson, and Davis do not fit those ideals. Trading them away will benefit the youngsters in Orlando's backcourt, Maurice Harkless and Victor Oladipo, and frontcourt, Tobias Harris and Andrew Nicholson, by opening up more playing time for them.

Isaiah Thomas: It looks like Thomas has once again lost his starting gig to Vasquez. It's clear the Kings organization doesn't want him while there are plenty of other teams that would love to have him as their clear-cut starter.

Marcus Thornton: His role always seems to be changing in Sacramento. Wtih Ben McLemore now on board, I think Sacramento would like to get rid of Thornton so they can start McLemore.

MFFL. 5 years of fantasy basketball experience.
12-team H2H dynasty, 8-cat, 3 IR, ESPN (LM) [since 2011-12] *2014 CHAMPION: 3-peat
G Chris Paul, Kyle Lowry, Goran Dragic, Rajon Rondo, Jamal Crawford, P.J. Tucker, Elfrid Payton, Shaun Livingston
F Paul Millsap, Serge Ibaka, Gordon Hayward, Nicolas Batum, Ryan Anderson, Robert Covington
C Marc Gasol, Pau Gasol, Al Horford, Kris Humphries, Steven Adams, Mason Plumlee
20-team H2H keeper (5), 8-cat., 1 IR, ESPN [since 2011-12] *2014 CHAMPION, 2013 runner-up
G Kyle Lowry, Mo Williams, J.R. Smith, George Hill

F LeBron James, Paul Millsap, Robert Covington, Shawne Williams

C Serge Ibaka, Robin Lopez (IR), Tyler Zeller, Jusuf Nurkic

14-team H2H keeper (5), 9 cat., Yahoo! [new] *Drafted (offline) July 2014, eighth pick in snake draft

G Brandon Knight, Jamal Crawford, Jose Calderon, Mo Williams
F Chris Bosh, Paul Pierce, DeMarre Carroll, Robert Covington, Shabazz Muhammad, Paul George
C Al Horford, Brook Lopez, Kris Humphries

30-team H2H points dynasty, 2 IR, ESPN [new] *Started w/ Mavs pre-free agency roster (Ellis, Calderon, Dalembert, Wright, Ledo, Mekel)
G Mo Williams, Shaun Livingston, Avery Bradley, Steve Blake, Bojan Bogdanovic, Ray McCallum
F Dwight Howard, Patrick Patterson, P.J. Tucker, Mirza Teletovic, Terrence Ross, Nikola Mirotic, Ryan Kelly (IR)
C Gorgui Dieng, Brook Lopez (IR), Bismack Biyombo


#5 vnmslsrbms

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Posted 23 September 2013 - 02:26 AM

I've tried it before, in fact trying to target players who might be traded for value. I've come to the conclusion that it's basically impossible to figure out who will get traded and who won't. It's easy to say who should get traded, but what we think almost never happens.

#6 KennyUrata

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Posted 23 September 2013 - 04:02 AM

I've tried it before, in fact trying to target players who might be traded for value. I've come to the conclusion that it's basically impossible to figure out who will get traded and who won't. It's easy to say who should get traded, but what we think almost never happens.


Yeah, Favors owner here. Got badly burnt holding onto him at the trade deadline expecting Al Jeff to get traded.

#7 Eleqtrique

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Posted 23 September 2013 - 08:38 AM

Alex Len should get plenty of opportunity when the Suns trade Marcin Gortat to a contender in need of a C before the deadline.
16-team H2H dynasty team (keeping all players) 
 
PG - Elfrid Payton, Marcus Smart, Shabazz Napier
SG - K.J. McDaniels, Nik Stauskas, Jordan Adams
SF - Kawhi Leonard, Otto Porter, Maurice Harkless
PF - Anthony Davis, Noah Vonleh
  C -Jusuf Nurkic

#8 KeyboardHero

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Posted 23 September 2013 - 09:42 AM

I've tried it before, in fact trying to target players who might be traded for value. I've come to the conclusion that it's basically impossible to figure out who will get traded and who won't. It's easy to say who should get traded, but what we think almost never happens.


making trades in the NBA is hard - CBA rules, direction teams are going in, assets for the trade, making contracts work etc. There is alot more talk than action, and alot of talk we never hear about that never pans out.

The only way I'd draft a player expecting a trade to improve his value would be as a very late draft pick (or the guy was already very good as is)

#9 teamshameless

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Posted 23 September 2013 - 03:05 PM

I agree with the general sentiment. I sometimes draft players because I think they might get a little bump if they get showcased for a trade, but it's generally late pics.

I may also give a little added weight to a player if I know their team is trying to move another player out of the way to give him minutes, but again, it's not that much. This is particularly true because it usually means you are going to have to suffer through months of mediocre and inconsistent play before the hammer drops. Considering the chances of a trade not happening, that is a lot of investment given the potential for payoff.

You have to speculate in order to win, but potential trades are kind of a reach.
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