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A.J. Pollock 2014 Outlook


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#1 bbythepier

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Posted 09 February 2014 - 12:05 PM

Leadoff hitter for ARZ?
350 MiLB OBP?
1/2 BB/K ratio in MiLB?
30 SB in AA, 21 in AAA

Wow, forgot all about this guy. I'm on him like white on rice. Cheaper than a Starbucks cup of joe on a rainy Sunday morn.

#2 Patrick Bateman

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Posted 09 February 2014 - 02:14 PM

I guess the question for Pollock is how many PAs will he get?  He's not that productive in limited PAs like a Rajai Davis, so he'll need almost a full complement of PAs (575-600) to really matter in standard size leagues.  Maybe he starts running more but only 13 SBs in 575 PAs in the majors.  Could be a cheap source of runs if he gets a full-time job....
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#3 bbythepier

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Posted 09 February 2014 - 03:00 PM

Yeah, he's definitely not proven. Guess that's what makes him so cheap. Parra's elite RF defense and Ross' hip issues lead me to believe AJ gets his share in Cf. And I just looked at the back of DeAza's baseball card. He sort of struggled with SB attempts in his first 400 PAs.

Anyways, perfect $1 guy in my book. I went back to my 2012 mixed auction results and De Aza went for $2. Pollock obviously doesn't have the power, but I'm more interested in that 80R, 20 SB ceiling.

#4 mavsfan23

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Posted 09 February 2014 - 11:24 PM

Pretty good article here.

http://www.fangraphs...-parra-shuffle/

The author seems to think that AJ is headed for a platoon situation, but looking at his minor league splits he doesn't really look like a platoon type guy.
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#5 bbythepier

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Posted 22 February 2014 - 11:41 AM

View PostPatrick Bateman, on 09 February 2014 - 02:14 PM, said:

I guess the question for Pollock is how many PAs will he get?  He's not that productive in limited PAs like a Rajai Davis, so he'll need almost a full complement of PAs (575-600) to really matter in standard size leagues.  Maybe he starts running more but only 13 SBs in 575 PAs in the majors.  Could be a cheap source of runs if he gets a full-time job....

Just wanted to jump on some preseason thoughts. Eaton's SB attempts were limited due to Gibson's disdain for "giving up outs" (Source: ARZ mlb.com) Now Ventura is talking about manufacturing runs for CWS instead of playing for the 3 run HR. Since Pollack is basically still a rookie to Gibson, and he hasn't exactly earned the green light, I'm somewhat concerned about his actual SB attempts. He's so cheap, it's not an end game anyway.

Anyways, just a reminder how coaching philosophy can affect SBs. It's one narrative I actually pay attention to and read between the preseason lines.

#6 Floor Pie

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Posted 11 March 2014 - 02:02 PM

Wow is he on fire in the Cactus League!

I place little to no value on spring stats, but sometimes it does put people on my radar who would otherwise be in my blind spot.

Pollock showed some promise last year as a platoon player and strikes me as one of those guys who always gives everything he has and can be a real spark plug for the team.

He's moving into my end-of-draft-flier allstars.

#7 mavsfan23

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Posted 13 May 2014 - 07:13 AM

He's been playing pretty well lately. Last 2 weeks .370 with 2 doubles, a triple, 2HR, and 5SB. In only 27 at bats. The AB's are low, but if he keeps hitting like this that will increase. He's a 26 year old with a nice minor league track record.
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#8 UVA_Drew

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Posted 13 May 2014 - 08:38 AM

View Postmavsfan23, on 13 May 2014 - 07:13 AM, said:

He's been playing pretty well lately. Last 2 weeks .370 with 2 doubles, a triple, 2HR, and 5SB. In only 27 at bats. The AB's are low, but if he keeps hitting like this that will increase. He's a 26 year old with a nice minor league track record.

the at bats are "low" for the last two weeks because he missed 4 games due to a groin injury. He's played every game since he returned, and has been absolutely mashing the ball.  Power, average, and stealing.  Rough week with the Nats aces and Dodgers aces this week, but still someone who probably should be added.

Will see regular playing time until Trumbo comes back, then we'll have to wait and see what the do with the lineup.
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#9 IlliniGuy76

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Posted 15 May 2014 - 10:18 PM

I'm looking to drop Marcell Ozuna.  What do people think about this guy?  It seems like he's finally getting some consistent playing time and playing well.
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#10 GratefulPhan

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Posted 16 May 2014 - 06:16 AM

def more upside than ozuna...imo
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#11 doog71

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Posted 16 May 2014 - 09:46 AM

View PostIlliniGuy76, on 15 May 2014 - 10:18 PM, said:

I'm looking to drop Marcell Ozuna.  What do people think about this guy?  It seems like he's finally getting some consistent playing time and playing well.

I like him over Ozuna. Pollock has across the board talent. Can contribute in R, HR, SB, AVG. Maybe not headed for superstardom, but can be a Victorino in his prime type player probably.
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#12 bigge2win

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Posted 17 May 2014 - 09:34 PM

Is he any different from Kole Calhoun for the rest of this season once Calhoun comes back from the DL? Obviously everyone loves Kole long-term, but these 2 guys don't seem far apart to me for 2014.

#13 fourstar

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Posted 17 May 2014 - 10:14 PM

All I know is I picked him up and played him for the first time today. He gave me the most production I've had from an OF in weeks
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#14 aifan27

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Posted 17 May 2014 - 10:49 PM

Shot to center!
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#15 FantasySportsEnthusiast

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Posted 17 May 2014 - 11:01 PM

Hope he gets to bat leadoff versus righties as well. Prado hasn't been anything special and Parra is a nice player but shouldn't be batting leadoff. Arizona is in a huge hole so hopefully they change things up a bit.

#16 oswald737

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Posted 17 May 2014 - 11:27 PM

View PostFantasySportsEnthusiast, on 17 May 2014 - 11:01 PM, said:

Hope he gets to bat leadoff versus righties as well. Prado hasn't been anything special and Parra is a nice player but shouldn't be batting leadoff. Arizona is in a huge hole so hopefully they change things up a bit.

Pollock actually hits considerably better against righties than he does lefties (admittedly smaller sample size against lefties). Potentially more interestingly, Pollock (.383 wOBA) actually hits righties better than Parra (.336 wOBA), More power as well according to the ISO splits. That said, I doubt Kirk Gibson would even know that....

Edited by oswald737, 17 May 2014 - 11:27 PM.


#17 IlliniGuy76

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Posted 18 May 2014 - 12:15 AM

View Postbigge2win, on 17 May 2014 - 09:34 PM, said:

Is he any different from Kole Calhoun for the rest of this season once Calhoun comes back from the DL? Obviously everyone loves Kole long-term, but these 2 guys don't seem far apart to me for 2014.

With Calhoun coming back this week - Pollock was going to be the guy on my roster I was going to drop.  I had planned on keeping Brad Miller as horrible as he has been simply because of fill-in position on off days.  Pollock is slowly changing my mind....
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League 1:  10 team, 6 keepers, H2H cumulative categories. 2013 Championship Winner
Offensive categories: R, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, SB, BB, BA
Pitching categories:  W, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, QB, BSV
C: Ramos  1b: Teixiera 2b: Harrison SS:  Escobar 3b: Carpenter  INF: Votto OF: Morse, McCutcheon, Kemp, Gomez UTIL:  Betts BN:  Segura, Solarte

SP: Arrieta, Stroman, Ventura, Kuechel, Kluber, Gio, Chavez, Peralta, Morton RP: Rosenthal, Rodney, Hawkins, Howell, Joba DL:  Fernandez, Wacha

League 2:  12 teams, 6 keepers, H2H - one win, 2013 Championship Winner
Offensive categories:  R, HR, RBI, SB, BA, OPS, H
Pitching categories:  W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP, K/BB, TB
C:  Rosario 1b: Morneau 2b:  Pedroia, SS:  Castro 3b: Frazier  OF:  Gomez, G. Stanton, Billy Hamilton UTIL: Adams, Calhoun BN: Gennett, Alvarez, Chris Davis  DL:  Pollock

SP:  Bum, Kluber, Ross, Archer, Stroman, Latos, Peralta, Roark RP: KRod, Cishek, Casilla MIN:  No one DL:  Garcia, Harrison, Lindstrom

#18 tingyangs6

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Posted 18 May 2014 - 12:54 AM

In deeper leagues, Pollock is a nice player to have. He has a little pop and steals in his game.
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#19 The Big Bat Theory

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Posted 18 May 2014 - 06:13 AM

^  Deeper?  Guy is white hot.  He's good to go in an eight team league at this point.

^ ^  Really?  Brad Miller?  Miss one day a week with Miller destroying you batting average or have AJ's week long production?  Hmmmm, what to do, what to do.

#20 FouLLine

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Posted 18 May 2014 - 10:12 AM

View PostThe Big Bat Theory, on 18 May 2014 - 06:13 AM, said:

^  Deeper?  Guy is white hot.  He's good to go in an eight team league at this point.

^ ^  Really?  Brad Miller?  Miss one day a week with Miller destroying you batting average or have AJ's week long production?  Hmmmm, what to do, what to do.

Exactly.  He over the past month has been raking.  I grabbed him everywhere I could a few days ago and couldn't be happier.




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