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Russell Wilson 2014 Season Outlook


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#1 mevins31

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Posted 22 February 2014 - 12:56 AM

I absolutely love this guy.

I think he'll be a Hall of Famer one day and win more Super Bowls than any QB in that draft.

I know he's a Seahawk and they're not a team that outwardly puts up QB numbers right now... but man are his numbers pretty two years in. Love watching this guy play and think he's incredibly safe for the next decade.
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#2 debrew81

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Posted 22 February 2014 - 08:25 AM

Where is your "Russell Wilson 2014 Season Outlook"?
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#3 WhatWouldDitkaDo

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Posted 22 February 2014 - 10:11 AM

I see Wilson repeating his top-10 QB performance like in this past season, but I'm not sure that he'll crack the top 5. Seattle is not a pass happy team. I think Wilson will improve his numbers a little from last year with Harvin healthy, but he'll finish similarly with about 3,500 yds, 30 TDs, and about another 500 rushing yds.

Team 1: Lacy Panties & Crabs (16-Team PPR IDP)
QB: Russell Wilson
RB: Matt Forte, Eddie Lacy, Pierre Thomas, Ahmad Bradshaw, Justin Forsett, Jerick McKinnon, Juwan Thompson
WR: Michael Crabtree, Roddy White, Michael Floyd, Mike Wallace, Justin Hunter
TE: Larry Donnell
LB: DeAndre Levy, Paul Worrilow, Jelani Jenkins, Demario Davis, Jerrell Freeman
DL: Corey Liuget, Sheldon Richardson
DB: T.J. Ward, Antonio Allen, Dawan Landry      K: Brandon McManus

 

Team 2: Yo Soy Fiesta (12-Team Dynasty PPR)
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: LeSean McCoy, Rashad Jennings, Fred Jackson, Carlos Hyde, Devonta Freeman, Lorenzo Taliaferro, Joseph Randle, Storm Johnson
WR: Jordy Nelson, Jeremy Maclin, Julian Edelman, Michael Crabtree
TE: Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce      K: Brandon McManus      D/ST: Detroit Lions
 

Team 3: Josh Gordon Chevy (12-Team Auction 0.5 PPR)
QB: Colin Kaepernick
RB: LeSean McCoy, Lamar Miller, Jeremy Hill, Matt Asiata, Isaiah Crowell, Lorenzo Taliaferro
WR: Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Terrance Williams, Josh Gordon
TE: Travis Kelce, Tim Wright      K: Brandon McManus      D/ST: Detroit Lions


#4 Ohwise1

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Posted 22 February 2014 - 10:51 AM

His fantasy numbers should improve with Harvin coming back and it's highly doubtful the defense repeats being THAT good. They'll still be top 5 D but they'll lose some guys to free agency. He's a true blue collar film room junkie like the manning/brees type so I expect him to legitimately improve his game every year

#5 buckeyestilidie

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Posted 22 February 2014 - 08:47 PM

I see him improving, but like ohwise said no way their defense is as good as it was this past season. Meaning less opportunities to score and have the ball in his hands. I think that'll wash with the fact Harvin coming back, but the always persistent "superbowl hangover" curse scares me. I'm also fearing him having such a good game in the super bowl raises his stock a little too high?

* 4 straight superbowl appearances
* 2 super bowl victories

2014 Jeremy Top Dustan Bottoms
QB:Luck
RB:Lacy
RB:Bell
WR:Bryant
WR:Cobb
WR:Floyd
TE:Walker
K:Parker
D:Lions
Flex:Ellington
Bench:Mason, Houston, Vereen, Ingram, Randle, Hillman


#6 Gains

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Posted 24 February 2014 - 09:38 PM

good floor and limited ceiling between the run game and D.

No reason he doesn't do as good as last year.
few reasons he could do better then last year. (mostly harvin uping his stats until he breaks down with his next injury)
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#7 abohnhoff

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Posted 25 February 2014 - 12:34 PM

I see him improving, but like ohwise said no way their defense is as good as it was this past season. Meaning less opportunities to score and have the ball in his hands. I think that'll wash with the fact Harvin coming back, but the always persistent "superbowl hangover" curse scares me. I'm also fearing him having such a good game in the super bowl raises his stock a little too high?


I interpreted the defense comment differently than you...if the defense falters a little bit they may actually be behind in a few games. More passing opportunities and possibly less chances to run the ball the entire 2nd half.
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#8 buckeyestilidie

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Posted 25 February 2014 - 01:00 PM


I see him improving, but like ohwise said no way their defense is as good as it was this past season. Meaning less opportunities to score and have the ball in his hands. I think that'll wash with the fact Harvin coming back, but the always persistent "superbowl hangover" curse scares me. I'm also fearing him having such a good game in the super bowl raises his stock a little too high?


I interpreted the defense comment differently than you...if the defense falters a little bit they may actually be behind in a few games. More passing opportunities and possibly less chances to run the ball the entire 2nd half.

They only had really about 4 blowouts. Some were also against teams it'd be suspected against. I think it'll be a little give and take from both sides.

* 4 straight superbowl appearances
* 2 super bowl victories

2014 Jeremy Top Dustan Bottoms
QB:Luck
RB:Lacy
RB:Bell
WR:Bryant
WR:Cobb
WR:Floyd
TE:Walker
K:Parker
D:Lions
Flex:Ellington
Bench:Mason, Houston, Vereen, Ingram, Randle, Hillman


#9 youngrice

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Posted 25 February 2014 - 01:21 PM

I pains me to say it as a Niner fan but I really like Wilson. Just a all around good guy with his head on straight. Saying that I just couldn't not trust him as my fantasy QB. He just isn't asked to do enough every game and will have way to many down weeks for my liking.
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#10 IlliniGuy76

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Posted 25 February 2014 - 03:01 PM

I pains me to say it as a Niner fan but I really like Wilson. Just a all around good guy with his head on straight. Saying that I just couldn't not trust him as my fantasy QB. He just isn't asked to do enough every game and will have way to many down weeks for my liking.


In a one QB league he will be a mid to fringe QB1.

In a 2 QB league he's a very strong QB to draft.

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12 Team, PPR, Start: 2 QB's, 2 RB's, 2WR, 1 FLEX, 1K, 1 TE. Keep 6.
QBs: Wilson, Kaepernick, Schaub, Whitehurst
RB: Bell, Vereen, Sankey, Greene, FJax
WR: Floyd, Cobb, Cooks, Hopkins, Jennings, Baldwin
TE: Reed, Walker
K: Crosby, Suisham

15 Team, Non-PPR, redraft, Start: 2QBs, 2RBs, 3 WRs, 1 K, 1 D.
QB: Wilson, Ryan
RB: Ingram, Ellington
WR: White, Floyd, A. Johnson
TE: Cameron
K: Hauschka DEF: NE Pats

12 Team, $500 Cap/Auction/Dynasty League, PPR, 2 QB's, 2 RB's, 3WR, 2 FLEX, 1K, 1 TE.
QB: Brady ($92), Brees ($99), Fitzpatrick ($10), Hoyer ($7), Savage ($2)
RB: Lynch ($60), Woodhead ($16), SJax ($19), Cunningham ($1), McKinnon ($1), CJ Anderson ($1), McFadden ($7)
WR: Garcon ($35), Hopkins ($19), Thompkins ($7), J. Hunter ($4), BMarsh ($65), Tate ($8), Marlon Brown ($1) TE: D. Allen ($2), Ertz ($12), Reed ($5) K: Vinatieri ($1), Suisham ($1)


#11 gbill2004

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 04:50 PM

@bcondotta: Seahawks have just released a statement that Russell Wilson has filed for a divorce from wife, Ashton.
Competitive start 2 QB, 0.5 PPR, 12 team H2H deep re-draft league, all TDs = 6 pts. Roster below (starting spots in brackets):

QB (2) - Tony Romo, Colin Kaepernick, Shaun Hill, Michael Vick, Johnny Manziel
RB/FLEX (2) - DeMarco Murray, Doug Martin, Zac Stacy, Jeremy Miller, Carlos Hyde, Mark Ingram, Knile Davis
WR (4) - Calvin Johnson, Alshon Jeffrey, Michael Crabtree, Victor Cruz, TY Hilton
TE (2) - Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett, Austin Seferian-Jenkins
K (2) - Shayne Graham, Steven Hauschka
DEF (2) - Cleveland, New Orleans
IDP (4) - Lavonte David, Jared Mayo, Alec Ogletree, Curtis Lofton

#12 Proteus

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 05:01 PM

@bcondotta: Seahawks have just released a statement that Russell Wilson has filed for a divorce from wife, Ashton.


Looks like the SB win gets bumped from his "best day ever" mantle.
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QB: Ryan Leaf
RB: Lawrence Phillips
RB: Ki-Jana Carter
WR: Charles Rogers
WR: Desmond Howard
TE: David LaFleur
W/R: David Wilson
K: Ray Finkle(Einhorn)
D: Minnie

BN: Andre Ware/Jared Cook/Tony Mandarich/Curtis Enis/Travis Henry/Brian Bosworth/CJ Spiller/Trent Richardson

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#13 CyberneticGhostOfXMasPast

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 06:05 PM

i have every intention of waiting for this guy as my QB in the yahoo pro leagues this year

hoping for 2 of RG3/Wilson/Kaep
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#14 GPWMC

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 07:52 PM

For some reason Wilson is dropping pretty low on any mocks I've done. Guys are simply more enamored with Luck, Stafford, Foles and RG3, in addition to the big 3. Even Cam Newton, Matt Ryan, and sometimes Tom Brady go before him. Last year I saw Wilson come off the board in the 6th!

I don't know how people can price him so low, but I suspect it's a carryover from the Percy Harvin injury risk, coupled with that "run-first" offense. I've seen Russell play when the Seahawks came to Toronto to play Buffalo during his rookie year, and one word can describe his play: smart. The guy is a threat everywhere and doesn't need stud receivers to put up solid numbers. Vision, speed, and versatility are Wilson's core competencies and these unlock the value of his supporting cast.

If Kaep was unleashed to his full potential, I think he'd be more valuable, however Wilson looks right now to be one of the best risk/reward QBs available.

#15 buckeyestilidie

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 09:55 PM

For some reason Wilson is dropping pretty low on any mocks I've done. Guys are simply more enamored with Luck, Stafford, Foles and RG3, in addition to the big 3. Even Cam Newton, Matt Ryan, and sometimes Tom Brady go before him. Last year I saw Wilson come off the board in the 6th!

I don't know how people can price him so low, but I suspect it's a carryover from the Percy Harvin injury risk, coupled with that "run-first" offense. I've seen Russell play when the Seahawks came to Toronto to play Buffalo during his rookie year, and one word can describe his play: smart. The guy is a threat everywhere and doesn't need stud receivers to put up solid numbers. Vision, speed, and versatility are Wilson's core competencies and these unlock the value of his supporting cast.

If Kaep was unleashed to his full potential, I think he'd be more valuable, however Wilson looks right now to be one of the best risk/reward QBs available.

I don't know if it was posted in this topic or not, but there's a mini group of Wilson, RG3, and Kaep and I want two of the three preferably Kaep and RG3, but I don't mind the idea of Wilson with one of them.

* 4 straight superbowl appearances
* 2 super bowl victories

2014 Jeremy Top Dustan Bottoms
QB:Luck
RB:Lacy
RB:Bell
WR:Bryant
WR:Cobb
WR:Floyd
TE:Walker
K:Parker
D:Lions
Flex:Ellington
Bench:Mason, Houston, Vereen, Ingram, Randle, Hillman


#16 FFCollusion

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Posted 24 April 2014 - 01:20 AM

For some reason Wilson is dropping pretty low on any mocks I've done. Guys are simply more enamored with Luck, Stafford, Foles and RG3, in addition to the big 3. Even Cam Newton, Matt Ryan, and sometimes Tom Brady go before him. Last year I saw Wilson come off the board in the 6th!

I don't know how people can price him so low, but I suspect it's a carryover from the Percy Harvin injury risk, coupled with that "run-first" offense. I've seen Russell play when the Seahawks came to Toronto to play Buffalo during his rookie year, and one word can describe his play: smart. The guy is a threat everywhere and doesn't need stud receivers to put up solid numbers. Vision, speed, and versatility are Wilson's core competencies and these unlock the value of his supporting cast.

If Kaep was unleashed to his full potential, I think he'd be more valuable, however Wilson looks right now to be one of the best risk/reward QBs available.


Also consider that Tate is now gone, so the Percy injury risk is even more detrimental, as the 'fall back' is... Uh... Sidney Rice?
Plus, the 'run-first' offense actually hurts him two-fold. Not only do they run, but they don't pass to the running back either, so he also doesn't get any help there.
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#17 mmrodri

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Posted 24 April 2014 - 09:15 AM


For some reason Wilson is dropping pretty low on any mocks I've done. Guys are simply more enamored with Luck, Stafford, Foles and RG3, in addition to the big 3. Even Cam Newton, Matt Ryan, and sometimes Tom Brady go before him. Last year I saw Wilson come off the board in the 6th!

I don't know how people can price him so low, but I suspect it's a carryover from the Percy Harvin injury risk, coupled with that "run-first" offense. I've seen Russell play when the Seahawks came to Toronto to play Buffalo during his rookie year, and one word can describe his play: smart. The guy is a threat everywhere and doesn't need stud receivers to put up solid numbers. Vision, speed, and versatility are Wilson's core competencies and these unlock the value of his supporting cast.

If Kaep was unleashed to his full potential, I think he'd be more valuable, however Wilson looks right now to be one of the best risk/reward QBs available.


Also consider that Tate is now gone, so the Percy injury risk is even more detrimental, as the 'fall back' is... Uh... Sidney Rice?
Plus, the 'run-first' offense actually hurts him two-fold. Not only do they run, but they don't pass to the running back either, so he also doesn't get any help there.


Doug Baldwin was solid-ish last year. Not comparable to Harvin by any means, but I consider him the more likely recipient of Harvin's targets if he goes down. Wilson and Baldwin seemed to build a rapport while Percy was hurt last year after Rice tore his ACL. I also have a feeling that Seattle might go with a WR early in the draft since they have such a deep roster elsewhere.
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#18 ajmyk

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Posted 04 May 2014 - 07:41 AM

I think his "current" ADP is crazy low.

He finished at #8 among QB last year, in the same run-fisrt team, clearly showed he has enough maturity to be a franchise QB, and he's constantly improving.

But in average, people are taking Foles, Ryan, RG3, Kaep, Romo and Cutler before him
He was better than all of them last year.

Andy Dalton may be a fluke. Wilson clearly isn't.

Edited by ajmyk, 04 May 2014 - 07:48 AM.


#19 TheToeStompers

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Posted 04 May 2014 - 09:46 AM

think Wilson's ADP shows how deep QB is this year.

Also that a lot of people are worried he has a lower ceiling than the group you listed ajmyk, any of them might break out for a top 5 fantasy year. That group all have some part of: a more talented, deep receiver corp; dynamic aerial offenses; or bad defenses that force the offense to keep pushing.

Wilson is very talented and might repeat his #8 finish, but its hard to hope for more. He's on a run first defense oriented team, with one talented often injured WR and a group of JAGs. His opportunities are just limited by his situation, he only attempted 407 passes last season. Of the top 20+ QBs only Foles threw fewer, and he didn't start a game till week 5.
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#20 mmrodri

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Posted 30 July 2014 - 03:35 PM

Where is everyone seeing Wilson go in mocks and league drafts? I'd like to target him, but QBs on average seem to have inflated ADP value on ESPN and superdeflated values on FFC.

ESPN had him as high as 53rd overall at one point (and I don't think he's much lower now) in their default/mock pre-draft rankings and I don't think he's worth that high of a pick. The earliest I'd really want to consider him (given the depth of the position from QB4-QB10 is in the 8th and I'd prefer to get to the 9th or 10th round to pick him.

If I could pair him with Big Ben somewhere in the 9th-12th rounds, I'd probably be really happy considering that during Wilson's week 4 bye Ben plays the Raiders.




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