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Jake Peavy 2014 OutlookWill he stay healthy long enough to contribute?


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#1 Milk Me

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Posted 29 March 2014 - 08:54 PM

Noticed (or looked and found nothing...) that there isn't an updated thread for this guy yet.

In Boston, he'll have much better run support than he did to begin the year with Chicago last season. He also should have a nice IF behind him. While the days of a 9K per IP ratio are likely over, is it unreasonable to think he could pitch 180IP+ with an ERA around or below the 3.40-3.50 range, or would that be asking a lot from him?

I know he was sub-par last year, but given the circumstances.... I do admit I forget what type of injury issues he had dealt with, but know that he did have some nice outings while still in Chicago even though that team was a mess from day #1. I forgot how he fared once he got to BOS.... other than that little offseason story of his boat or world series float or..... whatever. (That's all I can think of when I hear his name right now, sadly.)

Anyway, he was limited in spring training but is evidently ready to start the season (I think I just read). His spring stats in 2 (or 3?) starts, despite being limited, were not bad by any means. Not that I put too much stock in it but when coming back from injury it's a little important and he had an issue with his finger early on if I remember. Assuming he cracks the opening rotation, anyone have any numbers they wanna throw down for fun?
He is a total enigma to me, to be honest, so it would be interesting to hear some insight on people who follow the Red Sox or know anything about his current status beyond the basics I shared. Numbers aside, I was just kidding (kind of- feel free if you want I guess).

Edited by Milk Me, 29 March 2014 - 08:55 PM.

Please delete/remove my two accounts from the forums via deletion or whatever will take them down permanently. I'd rather lurk than post and don't think this is the right message board for my tastes (as far goes contribution anyway). Thank you very much and cheers to the great touts and lineup posters over time- I'll still read your posts quietly when I have the time! ~milkme ala chatterbox or allen craig ala nick mitchell or whatever the F

#2 getthebosak

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Posted 30 March 2014 - 09:42 AM

He's so enigmatic with his heatlh that it's tough to predict but I think his ceiling is around what you stated as a mid 3 era pitcher, I think that era range is more likely to be hit then 180ip. The guy is just always hurt, and his biggest problem is he's such a beast he tries to play through when he should be resting. That inevitably compounds whatever he's dealing with and causes him to miss more time. I picked him up as a speculative add with Minor on the DL, but I'm hoping he gets off to a decent enough start that I can deal him before any injuries. He'll definitely have added run support, and more win opportunity with the socks of red as opposed to his luck with the white.

I project somewhere in the ballpark of 165ip with a 3.8-3.9 era. He'll have solid k/bb ratios but may be more homer prone.
10 team H2H 5X5

C- Jonathon Lucroy
1B- Adrian Gonzalez
2B- Kipnis
3B- Todd Frazier
SS- Jean Segura
OF- Justin Upton
OF-Austin Jackson
OF- Alex Gordon
UTIL- JD Martinez
UTIL- Eric Hosmer
Bench- Starlin Castro, Ryan Zimmerman, Oscar Tavares
DL-Joey Votto
SP-Max Sherzer, Mike Minor, Cole Hamels,Doug Fister, Corey Kluber, Jose Quintana
RP-K Rod, Casilla, Cody Allen

#3 MiggyRunsTings

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Posted 04 April 2014 - 01:22 PM

masterful 1st inning striking out the side.  triple by segura was fluke chopper down the line.  but his pitch sequencing was perfect.  good to see him looking sharp.
12-team Mixed H2H 5x5 (OBP) Keeper League (6 keeps)

C: Joe Mauer $18 (K)   
1B: Anthony Rizzo $12 (K)  
2B: Brian Dozier FA
SS: Dee Gordon FA
3B: Miggy Cabrera $41 (K)
IF: Pablo Sandoval $8
OF: Hunter Pence $13 (K)
OF: Justin Upton $38
OF: Khris Davis $11
OF: J.D. Martinez FA
U: Dexter Fowler FA

SP: Justin Verlander $24, David Price $23, Cole Hamels $17, Julio Teheran $11 (K), Ian Kennedy $1, Garrett Richards $1, Michael Pineda $1, Nathan Eovaldi FA, Michael Fiers FA
RP: Zach Britton FA, Jake McGee FA, Joaquin Benoit FA
ML: Kevin Gausman $1, Brad Miller $1
DL: Jose Fernandez $5 (K)

#4 itsmuddy

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Posted 04 April 2014 - 01:26 PM

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 04 April 2014 - 01:22 PM, said:

masterful 1st inning striking out the side.  triple by segura was fluke chopper down the line.  but his pitch sequencing was perfect.  good to see him looking sharp.

That's also got to be the first time I've ever seen someone get a triple down the left field line in fenway.
8 Team H2H Keeper

C-
1B- Jose Abreu
2B- Jason Kipinis
3B- Kyle Seager
SS- Jimmy Rollins
OF-  Ryan Braun, Jose Bautista, Adam Jones
UT- Billy Hamilton

BN- Matt Kemp
DL- Edwin Encarnacion, Troy Tulowitzki

SP- Chris Sale, Madison Bumgarner
RP- Glen Perkins, Sean Doolittle
P- Francisco Rodriquez, Aroldis Chapman, Zach Britton
BN- Hyun-jin Ryu, Julio Teheran, Cole Hamels, Gio Gonzalez, Garrett Richards, Hisashi Iwakuma, Jeff Samardzija, Doug Fister, Dallas Keuchel

DL-

#5 BxBOMBERs28

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Posted 04 April 2014 - 01:35 PM

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 04 April 2014 - 01:22 PM, said:

masterful 1st inning striking out the side.  triple by segura was fluke chopper down the line.  but his pitch sequencing was perfect.  good to see him looking sharp.
jinx

#6 MiggyRunsTings

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Posted 04 April 2014 - 01:41 PM

View PostBxBOMBERs28, on 04 April 2014 - 01:35 PM, said:

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 04 April 2014 - 01:22 PM, said:

masterful 1st inning striking out the side.  triple by segura was fluke chopper down the line.  but his pitch sequencing was perfect.  good to see him looking sharp.
jinx

i wasn't predicting future success just analyzing the 1st inning. he does seem to be falling apart control wise now sigh
12-team Mixed H2H 5x5 (OBP) Keeper League (6 keeps)

C: Joe Mauer $18 (K)   
1B: Anthony Rizzo $12 (K)  
2B: Brian Dozier FA
SS: Dee Gordon FA
3B: Miggy Cabrera $41 (K)
IF: Pablo Sandoval $8
OF: Hunter Pence $13 (K)
OF: Justin Upton $38
OF: Khris Davis $11
OF: J.D. Martinez FA
U: Dexter Fowler FA

SP: Justin Verlander $24, David Price $23, Cole Hamels $17, Julio Teheran $11 (K), Ian Kennedy $1, Garrett Richards $1, Michael Pineda $1, Nathan Eovaldi FA, Michael Fiers FA
RP: Zach Britton FA, Jake McGee FA, Joaquin Benoit FA
ML: Kevin Gausman $1, Brad Miller $1
DL: Jose Fernandez $5 (K)

#7 MiggyRunsTings

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Posted 04 April 2014 - 03:35 PM

very solid outing for fenway and a pretty decent offense.  his whip was uncharacteristically high so i'd expect that to get better.
12-team Mixed H2H 5x5 (OBP) Keeper League (6 keeps)

C: Joe Mauer $18 (K)   
1B: Anthony Rizzo $12 (K)  
2B: Brian Dozier FA
SS: Dee Gordon FA
3B: Miggy Cabrera $41 (K)
IF: Pablo Sandoval $8
OF: Hunter Pence $13 (K)
OF: Justin Upton $38
OF: Khris Davis $11
OF: J.D. Martinez FA
U: Dexter Fowler FA

SP: Justin Verlander $24, David Price $23, Cole Hamels $17, Julio Teheran $11 (K), Ian Kennedy $1, Garrett Richards $1, Michael Pineda $1, Nathan Eovaldi FA, Michael Fiers FA
RP: Zach Britton FA, Jake McGee FA, Joaquin Benoit FA
ML: Kevin Gausman $1, Brad Miller $1
DL: Jose Fernandez $5 (K)

#8 BxBOMBERs28

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Posted 04 April 2014 - 03:43 PM

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 04 April 2014 - 01:41 PM, said:

View PostBxBOMBERs28, on 04 April 2014 - 01:35 PM, said:

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 04 April 2014 - 01:22 PM, said:

masterful 1st inning striking out the side.  triple by segura was fluke chopper down the line.  but his pitch sequencing was perfect.  good to see him looking sharp.
jinx

i wasn't predicting future success just analyzing the 1st inning. he does seem to be falling apart control wise now sigh
jus messin with ya... I've seen so many times over the years where a SP will be cruising along until a poster comments in his player thread during the start and ruins it.lol. He kept the damage to a minimum tho.. not bad. Hopefully he only improves on this start.

#9 MiggyRunsTings

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 11:06 AM

anyone trusting him at home against texas today?
12-team Mixed H2H 5x5 (OBP) Keeper League (6 keeps)

C: Joe Mauer $18 (K)   
1B: Anthony Rizzo $12 (K)  
2B: Brian Dozier FA
SS: Dee Gordon FA
3B: Miggy Cabrera $41 (K)
IF: Pablo Sandoval $8
OF: Hunter Pence $13 (K)
OF: Justin Upton $38
OF: Khris Davis $11
OF: J.D. Martinez FA
U: Dexter Fowler FA

SP: Justin Verlander $24, David Price $23, Cole Hamels $17, Julio Teheran $11 (K), Ian Kennedy $1, Garrett Richards $1, Michael Pineda $1, Nathan Eovaldi FA, Michael Fiers FA
RP: Zach Britton FA, Jake McGee FA, Joaquin Benoit FA
ML: Kevin Gausman $1, Brad Miller $1
DL: Jose Fernandez $5 (K)

#10 Cmilne23

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 11:07 AM

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 09 April 2014 - 11:06 AM, said:

anyone trusting him at home against texas today?

Starting him with -50% confidence.  I by no means am condoning others to follow my lead as Texas has historically owned him.  But I'm chasing a win vs. Robbie Ross.

#11 Palmetto08

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 11:13 AM

I'm sitting him today.  55 and sunny with a 15 mph NW wind FWIW

Edited by Palmetto08, 09 April 2014 - 11:14 AM.


#12 jb_power

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 11:17 AM

View PostPalmetto08, on 09 April 2014 - 11:13 AM, said:

I'm sitting him today.  55 and sunny with a 15 mph NW wind FWIW

Do you know the direction that the 15 mph NW is blowing ... i.e towards center ... towards home plate?

Edited by jb_power, 09 April 2014 - 11:17 AM.


#13 Elohtub

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 11:21 AM

View Postjb_power, on 09 April 2014 - 11:17 AM, said:

View PostPalmetto08, on 09 April 2014 - 11:13 AM, said:

I'm sitting him today.  55 and sunny with a 15 mph NW wind FWIW

Do you know the direction that the 15 mph NW is blowing ... i.e towards center ... towards home plate?

I was going to make a wise a** comment till i saw the i.e. part :D.    fenway sits on I90   left field backs to it so in theory a NW wind should be blowing in from left to right.   I was hoping to find a website that details this info as i feel it is so important when trying to analyze what the wind means.  Hopefully someone here willl know one.

#14 Posting In The Clutch

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 01:29 PM

View PostElohtub, on 09 April 2014 - 11:21 AM, said:

View Postjb_power, on 09 April 2014 - 11:17 AM, said:

View PostPalmetto08, on 09 April 2014 - 11:13 AM, said:

I'm sitting him today.  55 and sunny with a 15 mph NW wind FWIW

Do you know the direction that the 15 mph NW is blowing ... i.e towards center ... towards home plate?

I was going to make a wise a** comment till i saw the i.e. part :D. fenway sits on I90   left field backs to it so in theory a NW wind should be blowing in from left to right.   I was hoping to find a website that details this info as i feel it is so important when trying to analyze what the wind means.  Hopefully someone here willl know one.

http://dailybaseball...-bin/weather.pl
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#15 Palmetto08

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 01:29 PM

Quote

Do you know the direction that the 15 mph NW is blowing ... i.e towards center ... towards home plate?

I don't.  Was hoping a Red Sox fan would chime in

#16 dzemens

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 01:40 PM

Its blowing left field to right field. Not in or out.

http://www.baseball-weather.com/
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#17 MiggyRunsTings

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 04:08 PM

glad I rolled the dice. dudes dominating. everything seems to be working.
12-team Mixed H2H 5x5 (OBP) Keeper League (6 keeps)

C: Joe Mauer $18 (K)   
1B: Anthony Rizzo $12 (K)  
2B: Brian Dozier FA
SS: Dee Gordon FA
3B: Miggy Cabrera $41 (K)
IF: Pablo Sandoval $8
OF: Hunter Pence $13 (K)
OF: Justin Upton $38
OF: Khris Davis $11
OF: J.D. Martinez FA
U: Dexter Fowler FA

SP: Justin Verlander $24, David Price $23, Cole Hamels $17, Julio Teheran $11 (K), Ian Kennedy $1, Garrett Richards $1, Michael Pineda $1, Nathan Eovaldi FA, Michael Fiers FA
RP: Zach Britton FA, Jake McGee FA, Joaquin Benoit FA
ML: Kevin Gausman $1, Brad Miller $1
DL: Jose Fernandez $5 (K)

#18 Mexal

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 04:12 PM

View PostMiggyRunsTings, on 09 April 2014 - 04:08 PM, said:

glad I rolled the dice. dudes dominating. everything seems to be working.

Same. It was a last minute decision by me with Beltre out of the line up and glad I did. Mowing people down.

#19 johnsansomsmith

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Posted 09 April 2014 - 04:25 PM

Good call, me. When he's on, he's on. Of course this applies to every pitcher, but Peavy is better than most.

#20 ManRam24

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Posted 15 April 2014 - 04:10 PM

Facing his former team tonight.  Who is starting him?




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