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The Race to .200 - 2014 Edition


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#1 vornporn

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 06:44 PM

As of May 1st, these fantasy-relevant players are hitting under .200. Who will be the first to crack the magical barrier for good? Who will pull a B.J. Upton?

Curtis Granderson - .136
Mike Moustakas - .149
Carlos Santana - .151
Jedd Gyorko - .151
Chris Carter - .153
Raul Ibanez - .157
Pedro Alvarez - .172
Brad Miller - .174
Pablo Sandoval - .177
George Springer - .182
Chase Headley - .186
Brett Lawrie - .192
Carl Crawford - .194
Jhonny Peralta - .196
Will Venable - .198
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10 team 6x6 (OPS, K/BB) w/ two keepers

C - Derek Norris
1B - Freddie Freeman
2B - Robinson Cano (k)
3B - Nolan Arenado
SS - Xander Bogaerts
OF - Justin Upton (k)
OF - Bryce Harper
OF - Starling Marte
Util - Joey Votto
Bench - Ben Revere, Brandon Moss, Addison Russell

SP - Sonny Gray, Phil Hughes, Jacob DeGrom, Carlos Carrasco, Michael Wacha
RP - Aroldis Chapman, Luke Gregerson, Wade Davis, Jason Grilli

DL - Jose Fernandez


#2 AnonymousRob

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 06:45 PM

Love this thread. So much fun. Great work!
Want help in your A/C threads? Give details!!! Keeper/dynasty/redraft, ppr, league size, who is on your roster, roto/H2H, scoring system, etc.

#3 smeeze

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 06:51 PM

I really freakin hope it's Carlos Santana.

10 Team / 5x5 / H2H / $$$

 

C - Evan Gattis

1B - Edwin Encarnacion

2B - Jason Kipnis

3B - Manny Machado

SS - Jose Reyes

OF - Jose Bautista

OF - Jason Heyward

OF - Jay Bruce

UTIL - Marcell Ozuna

UTIL - Gregory Polanco

NA - Corey Seager

 

SP - Felix Hernandez, Chris Sale, Jordan Zimmermann, Gio Gonzalez

P - Chris Archer, Drew Hutchinson, Shelby Miller, Aaron Sanchez

P - Jesse Hahn, Trevor Bauer, Archie Bradley, Kevin Gausman

RP - Adam Ottavino, Miguel Castro, Tony Watson

DL - Hyun-jin Ryu, Drew Smyly


#4 KBronx17

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 06:51 PM

Gyorko and Granderson should come around sooner rather than later. I'll predict .245 and .230 respectively.

12 Team H2H Dynasty 8x8

C Travis D'Arnaud
1B Jose Abreu
2B Jose Altuve
3B Miguel Cabrera
SS Dee Gordon
LF Bryce Harper
CF Andrew McCutchen
RF Yasiel Puig
OF Jorge Soler
Util Lucas Duda
Bench: LF Chris Carter, RF Gregory Polanco, CF Billy Hamilton, C Yadier Molina, 2B Jurickson Profar, 3B Manny Machado, SS Jordy Mercer

Starters: David Price, Julio Teheran, Hisashi Iwakuma, Chris Archer, Henderson Alvarez, Marcus Stroman, Francisco Liriano
Relievers: Aroldis Chapman, Greg Holland


#5 jb_power

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 06:53 PM

I think these guys have a shot at finishing under the Mendoza line:

Curtis Granderson - .136
Mike Moustakas - .149
Chris Carter - .153
Carl Crawford - .194
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#6 THall0890

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:15 PM

First to .200? I'd bet Alvarez or Santana.

#1 $$$ ESPN 10-Team-Mixed-Pts (1-1)

C: D Norris, D Mesoraco (BN)
1B: M Cabrera
2B: D Travis, A Rendon (DL)
3B: C Davis, P Sandoval (BN)
SS: J Segura
OF: A Jones, S Choo, J Werth, C Dickerson (BN), C Yelich (DL)

UTIL: K Morales, M Semien

SP: A Wainwright (DL), J Teheran, S Gray, H Iwakuma (DL), D Fister, A Sanchez, A Wood, A Simon
RP: J Grilli, N Feliz, S Casilla

#2 Yahoo 12-Team-Mixed-Pts (2-0)

C: C Santana, B Posey (BN)

1B: E Encarnacion, L Duda (BN)

2B: D Travis, I Kinsler (BN), A Rendon (DL)

3B: P Alvarez

SS: M Semien

OF: C Gonzalez, A Jackson, Melky Cabrera

UTIL: A LaRoche, K Morales

SP: J Teheran, J Shields, M Tanaka, D Fister, S Greene, A Cashner

RP: H Rondon, J Grilli, J Familia, A Miller


#7 FouLLine

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:20 PM

Jhonny Peralta will beat everyone there by probably a full week. If not longer.

"Choosing between stats and scouting is like choosing between beer and tacos. In other words, its a choice nobody should have to make, since both are great and are perhaps even better when consumed together."

 

Leading The War against WAR, because somebody has to!


#8 FouLLine

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:21 PM

Jhonny Peralta will beat everyone there by probably a full week. If not longer.


He's so close already.

"Choosing between stats and scouting is like choosing between beer and tacos. In other words, its a choice nobody should have to make, since both are great and are perhaps even better when consumed together."

 

Leading The War against WAR, because somebody has to!


#9 Sun Tzu

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:21 PM

+1 for Paco...

10-team 5x5 ROTO re-draft

 

  C Devin Mesoraco

1B Miguel Cabrera

2B Ian Kinsler

3B Nolan Arenado

SS Hanley Ramirez

CI  Joey Votto, Eric Hosmer

MI  Jason Kipnis, Alex Guerrero

OF Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez, Charlie Blackmon, A.J. Pollock, Jimmy Paredes

UT David Ortiz

SP Matt Harvey, Cole Hamels, Jake Arrieta, Carlos Carrasco, Danny Salazar, Alex Cobb*

RP Jeurys Familia, Santiago Casilla, Tyler Clippard

 

"To Know Your Enemy, You Must Become Your Enemy" - The Art of War


#10 Heisenberg90

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:32 PM

B.J. Upton isn't on this list? My picture is my face right now.
Mixed 12 team H2H 5x5 Non-Keeper
Batters
C - Salvador Perez
1B - David Ortiz
2B - Matt Carpenter
3B - Miguel Cabrera
SS - Jimmy Rollins
IF - Chase Headley
OF - Jacoby Ellsbury
OF - Starling Marte
OF - Jay Bruce
Util - J.D. Martinez, Denard Span
Pitchers
SP - Stephen Strasburg, James Paxton,
Marcus Stroman, Ervin Santana, Jake Odorizzi,
Jose Quintana, Garrett Richards
RP - Joe Nathan, Steve Cishek, Sean Doolittle
DL - Anibal Sanchez, Gerrit Cole
RIP - Kris Medlen

#11 Gumbo_Ghost

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:38 PM

Yeah, Peralta feels like cheating since he's so close, but he's added 45 points to his average in the last 6 games.

David Freese is also close, at .193 and he has one of the highest career average of the group at .281

#12 kidtwentytwo

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 07:56 PM

Chris Carter is a prime candidate to stay under .200
Everybody panic

#13 kidtwentytwo

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 08:00 PM

Has anyone's career path taken a stranger path than Carl Crawford? He goes from Kenny Lofton in his prime to like 38 year old Mo Vaughn in the span of 3 years
Everybody panic

#14 SpecialFNK

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 08:00 PM

not many of those names look encouraging to me to make it past .200.

Sandoval looks like the most likely to me. I thought coming into the season that he would be closer to .300, so it's surprising to see him so low. .208 BABIP with 20.3 LD%.

#15 Gumbo_Ghost

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 08:21 PM

Has anyone's career path taken a stranger path than Carl Crawford? He goes from Kenny Lofton in his prime to like 38 year old Mo Vaughn in the span of 3 years


He really did fall off the face of the Earth.
That's why I think it's funny when people talk about L.A's 4 OF problem.

The problem is, you have to live with a bench player making $20M. He's a 4th OF at this point, only the contract keeps him in the starting lineup.

#16 gbill2004

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 08:23 PM

Dan Uggla now hitting .196

Competitive 12 team league. Starting spots are in brackets; H2H and the RP category is S+H:

C (2) - Evan Gattis, Carlos Santana
1B (2) - Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Davis
2B (2) - Howie Kendrick, Brett Lawrie
3B (2) - Josh Donaldson, Xander Bogaerts
SS (2) - Ian Desmond, Jean Segura
IF (1) - Chase Headley, Kendrys Morales
OF (4) - Jason Heyward, Jayson Werth, Gregory Polanco, Travis Snider, Juan Lagares, Michael Saunders, Cameron Maybin

SP (6) - Matt Harvey, Carlos Carasco, Masahiro Tanaka, Michael Pineda, Colin McHugh, Drew Hutchison, Drew Pomerantz, Daniel Norris
RP (2) - Andrew Miller, Wade Davis, Tony Watson, Miguel Castro


#17 mudrummer

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 10:07 PM

not many of those names look encouraging to me to make it past .200.

Sandoval looks like the most likely to me. I thought coming into the season that he would be closer to .300, so it's surprising to see him so low. .208 BABIP with 20.3 LD%.


I think you're right most of this list will probably finish the year under .200 - no hope for any of them sell while you can...

"Fantasy baseball is the purest fantasy sport, because you have to do your homework. In football, you can have a good draft and luck your way into the playoffs, and from there, anything can happen," Funston says. "In baseball, you have to know the players, and you have to be able to recognize if a guy's just going through a two-week slump or if he's having a bad year. You apply a lot of your intuition that you've built up as a fan. It's doctorate level, in terms of fantasy. It's the advanced degree."

 

James Montgomery - Rolling Stone
 
 
12 Team, Roto, standard categories IP replacing K's

C: Gattis, Gomes
1B: Adams, Morales, Napoli
2B: Odor, Lawrie, LeMahieu
SS: Escobar, Miller
3B: Arenado, Moustakas
OF: Gomez, Dickerson, Byrd, J.D. Martinez, Pollock, De Aza
UT: Ortiz

SP: Scherzer, Lynn, Ryu, Hughes, Hutchinson, Peralta, Shoemaker, Peavy, Chase Anderson, Graveman, House, Minor
RP: Hughes, Jansen, Storen


#18 Masked Kid

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 10:09 PM

Lawrie's getting close ...

#19 becauseimhappy

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 10:13 PM

Myers going the other way

#20 merlin401

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Posted 01 May 2014 - 10:36 PM

ARRIVES SOON:
Pablo Sandoval - .177
Chase Headley - .186
Brett Lawrie - .192
Carl Crawford - .194
Jhonny Peralta - .196 (my prediction for first, not really even a fair bet)
Will Venable - .198

GETS THERE, BUT SLOWER DUE TO RIDICULOUS HOLE:
Carlos Santana - .151
Jedd Gyorko - .151
Pedro Alvarez - .172

GETS THERE...EVENTUALLY BUT BARELY
Mike Moustakas - .149
Brad Miller - .174
George Springer - .182

FAILS
Chris Carter - .153
Raul Ibanez - .157

FAILS BADLY:
Curtis Granderson - .136

16 H2H $ 7x7 (OPS, K's // CG's, K:BB)

C - R. Martin
1B - Encarnacion
2B - Betts
SS - Bogaerts
3B -  P. Alvarez 
OF - Brantley, Dickerson, L. Martin
UTIL - Duda

BN - M. Cabrera (OF), Semien (2B/3B/SS)

SP - Kluber, Harvey, Bumgarner, Carrasco, Pineda, Salazar, Lackey
RP - Melancon, Familia, McGee-DL

 

Minors - Bryant, Buxton, Correa





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