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Popular Content

Showing most liked content since 07/21/2017 in all areas

  1. 29 likes
    I just wanted to say thanks for running such an awesome website and awesome discussion forums for all walks of life who love sports, their teams and their fantasy teams, especially baseball, the great sport ever created! I love the input, speculation, banter, needling and surfing the wave of upcoming talent and projections, I would be lost in my leagues without it. You respect our 1A rights and squash out the fools' posts who don't respect the guidelines when need be without having to be the Gestapo about it. I know a lot of you don't get paid for your contributions on here and have to be den mothers sometimes but, all in all, this is the best site out there where you can check in and catch up on what's going on whenever you want. And all of you over-the-top fanatics who make your points cogently and repeatedly and sarcastically always keep me entertained:) I know this is a mainstream site but you guys keep it real and make it feel like a community that I am proud to be a part of. Thanks so much for keeping it going and for letting sportsfans everywhere speak their minds. Have a great day and God Bless and Go White Sox 2019!!!
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  3. 16 likes
    That collision would have killed Tulowitzski
  4. 16 likes
    Just a little perspective as we all refresh Twitter and other sources:
  5. 16 likes
    I was bored one weekend last summer and decided to do a breakdown of the mock that was conducted on the RW forum. I actually enjoyed doing it (as well as looking back to see how I fared in my predictions) so I figured I would give it a try again this year. Disclaimer: This is just the opinion of a guy on a message board, not a fantasy expert, so don’t take too much offense if I didn’t like your draft. The way I like to build a team doesn’t make it the right way, it’s just my preference. Balance is an approach that I’ve found to work for me in Roto so if you pick a DJ/Drummond-type category killer then I probably won’t love your draft. Best Pick: Tried to keep these in the top half of the draft who will exceed value or were a good fit. Best Value: Tried to find guys taken in rounds 8 and beyond who will surpass or smash their value. Worst Pick: Tried to keep these in the first 6 or 7 rounds because it would be too easy to nitpick a gamble/flier pick. If your worst pick is beyond round 6 it probably means I was a fan of your draft in general. My favorite drafts: unluckyshot, v1n5anity, Kaboom, young_styler My least favorite drafts: Process, hkchuchu, tongs Breakdown of drafts below: Process Best Pick: Trevor Ariza (Rd. 7, 77 overall) - Ariza is a model of consistency who has finished ranked 36th, 38th and 39th in the past 3 seasons while missing only 3 games total in that span. He's simply a steal at this spot and I have no idea how he fell this far. Best Value: Rajon Rondo (Rd. 8, 92 overall) - I really dislike Rondo as it seems he causes issues everywhere he goes. But the Pelicans made the move to go get him and it sounds like he will be their starting PG (Jrue shifting to SG) so he should have no problem beating this draft position value assuming everything goes as planned. Last year was a mess but two years ago he posted a top-60 season with SAC. Worst Pick: DeAndre Jordan (Rd. 4, 44 overall) - The first 3 picks were fine and you had a decent build going but then decided to tank FT% with this pick. Punting in roto typically (read: almost always) doesn't go well unless you're stacked elsewhere. Weaknesses: FT% - 3's - PTS Summary: It was all good after 3 rounds and thought you should have grabbed a Dragic/Bradley/Rubio in Rd. 4 instead of DJ. You followed the questionable DJ pick with two uncertain lottery tickets in Simmons and Ball. They could have good seasons but efficiency and TO's are likely to drag their value down, which will make it quite difficult for both players to exceed the value of where they were drafted. You're a lock for last in FT%. Even though you have Curry there is still a major shortage of 3's and points. Trust the Process they say. I don't think I can trust this process though. I think this is a bottom-5 team unless Simmons and Ball post top-60 seasons. unluckyshot Best Pick: Khris Middleton (Rd. 5, 55 overall) - Last year he was rusty and out of sync after missing over half the season yet still managed a top-65 finish in 30 mpg. Just two years ago he was a top-30 guy. I expect the minutes and production to tick back up and he should have no problem beating this draft position. Best Value: Seth Curry (Rd. 8, 90 overall) - He had some stretches last year with top-50 value and should get plenty of minutes at both PG and SG. He should exceed this value. Worst Pick: Trevor Booker (Rd. 9, 103 overall) - I had to go all the way to Round 9 to find a pick that I didn't like which speaks to how well you drafted in the first 8 rounds. Booker has very little competition and had some nice stretches last year but there isn't a ton of upside here. It's not a horrible pick or anything but I had to nitpick somewhere. Weaknesses: FG%? - no glaring weaknesses Summary: Extremely solid roto team with no glaring weaknesses that I can see. FG% could be a ? with guys like Bledsoe, DSJ, Saric, and Prince but I don't think it's a huge problem. Rounds 1-8 couldn't have gone any better and there weren't any picks I disagreed with. This team is definitely a contender and most likely a top-3 team. Young styler Best Pick - Mike Conley (Rd. 3, 28 overall) - Love Conley and after his top-25 finish last year he looks poised for another repeat season. The uptempo offense really helped him last year and he should have an even bigger role in the offense this year. Best Value - Patrick Beverley (Rd. 10, 117 overall) - What a steal this pick was. Bev isn’t a sexy pick but all he does is produce mid-round value. There is no reason to believe his role won’t be the same (or likely bigger) with the move to LAC. Loved this pick. Holmes in Round 12 was another nice upside pick. Worst Pick - Andrew Wiggins (Rd. 7, 76 overall) - Another year, another Wiggins overdraft. I don’t know what people see in this guy fantasy-wise. He added a 3 pointer to his repertoire last year which was nice but he’s still basically a 1 cat guy, PTS. In 3 seasons, he has yet to finish above 115 and the addition of Butler probably isn’t going to help him much. He’ll score points and maybe get to 1.5 threes/1.2 steals but that’s where it ends. Weaknesses - FT% Summary - This is a very nice roto build as there isn’t a huge weakness anywhere but you could have trouble with ft% with Dwight in there. Dwight is a roto DND list guy for me. He’ll drag down your FT% but you should still be a contending team. Top-5, probably top-3 is likely. Gordon was a semi-reach and you could have probably grabbed him in the next round but I don’t have a problem reaching for high-upside guys after the first few rounds. Nabbing two mid-round values in the 10th and 11th round was nice and R Jax in the 13th is a very worthy flier. If he can get healthy he’s a top-100 guy. Your late round picks were great. TOAA Best Pick - Carmelo Anthony (Rd. 6, 64 overall) - Never thought I’d be typing Melo’s name as a best pick but here we are. He had been annually overdrafted in every league known to man based on name value but now he’s being drafted appropriately. I don’t know what team he’s going to play with but this may not be a great value should he sign with HOU or OKC. But for now, as a Knick, this is a great pick in the 6th. Best Value - Derrick Favors (Rd. 9, 105 overall) - This could end up being the steal of the draft if Favors can get healthy. His days as a top-40 guy are probably over but he could end up top-60 if everything goes well. He’s still only 26. Round 9 is a good spot to take a gamble that could pay off big. Worst Pick - LeBron James (Rd. 1, 9 overall) - I’m a LeBron fan (in real life basketball) but he’s a DND for me in roto, especially in the first round. He’s more suited for H2H due to the FT% and TO. He has also only finished ranked top-10 once in the past three seasons. Weaknesses: FT% - AST - 3’s? Summary: You did a good job of grabbing low-TO guys as the draft progressed but didn’t do a whole lot to try and cover Bron’s FT% woes aside from taking PG13. This looks like a middle of the pack team with potential to be a little better if things go well with Favors’ health and a Monroe trade. Tongs Best Pick - Nikola Jokic (Rd. 1, 10 overall) - I’ll be honest, I didn’t love the value of most of the picks so it was hard to find a pick who I thought would beat their draft slot in the first 8 rounds. This is one that I think will beat his draft slot. He should take another step forward this year and finish as a top-10 guy. Best Value: Nikola Mirotic (Rd. 11, 130 overall) - The Bulls are an absolute mess but as we saw down the stretch, Mirotic can be very fantasy friendly when given the minutes. He’s a frustrating guy to watch (and own the past 2 years as well) but he could smash this value if he can get 25+ minutes a night. In the final 22 games, in 27 mpg, he ranked 41st overall. The upside is certainly present. Worst Pick: Markieff Morris (Rd. 6, 63 overall) - This one had me scratching my head. Kieff had a nice season last year and should maintain his current role. The bad news is that his role is as option #4 on the offensive end. I see little to no chance that Kieff exceeds this value and though you could have waited another round or two to get him. Weaknesses: STL - BLK - REB Summary: After 3 rounds, you had a very solid foundation in which to build upon. But then I didn’t quite understand the next 5 picks. Ibaka on the Magic would make sense in the fourth round but we saw his value take a major hit in TOR. He ranked 74th after his move to TOR. Elfrid took a nice step last year but he still has his flaws and his best case scenario is where he was picked. Valanciunas is an enigma and he was only ranked 82 after the Ibaka trade in 23 mpg - not good for his outlook this year. Hardaway is only a 3’s and PTS guy, although he is the most likely of these 5 picks to exceed his value. I don’t have a problem with the players as much as I do where you picked them. Maybe 1 or 2 of them exceed their value but I don’t see anyone beating their draft slot by a wide margin. Because of the lack of value with these picks I think this is a bottom half team that could finish at the bottom in STL and BLK, making it tough to compete. V1n5anity Best Pick: Victor Oladipo (Rd. 5, 59 overall) - Dipo was a major letdown last year and burned tons of owners who used a 2nd/3rd round pick on him. He’s got a ton of post-hype appeal this year on a new team where he should have the ball in his hands a ton. I think he’ll be a top-50 guy this year with upside for more. Best Value: Jeremy Lin (Rd. 9, 107 overall) - Another guy who burned owners last year, Lin will come at a discount this year. The addition of DAR might make some people uneasy but DAR isn’t exactly a true PG so Lin should open the year as the starter. Even if he’s the 6th man, he should easily be a top-100 guy with upside for more. He was ranked 80th last year in just 24 mpg. Worst Pick: Chris Paul (Rd. 2, 14 overall) - I truly didn’t dislike any of your picks but I have to pick one so I guess I’ll go with the guy that has an injury history who went to a new team to play alongside a heavy usage player. On a per game basis, he’ll probably be top-15. It’s just a question of how many games he’ll play for you. Weaknesses: FG% - REB Summary: I thought you did a good job early on and then followed those picks with high upside guys in the mid to late rounds. A major weakness will be your FG%, with Noel and Warren being some of your only FG% boosters. I think this is a top half team but you’re likely looking at bottom-3 scores in FG% and REB which limits the upside of your team. Still, a top-5 finish is likely. Kaboom Best Pick: Jamal Murray (Rd. 7, 84 overall) - Huge Murray fan this year and as the season comes closer the higher his stock will rise. He should have no problem exceeding this value as the starting PG of one of the best offenses in the NBA. Best Value: Josh Richardson (Rd. 9, 108 overall) - Another post-hype sleeper that was banged up for a good portion of last year but was terrific down the stretch when he finally got healthy. Not very often can you find a 1/1/1 guy this late so this is a great pick. Worst Pick: Gordon Hayward (Rd. 3, 36 overall) - This is one of those times when I didn’t really dislike any of the picks you made in the first half of the draft so I choose the one who I think is least likely to return his value. In this case it’s Hayward. Last year was probably the peak of his fantasy value and he finished ranked 33 overall. I see his usage going down in Boston with all the other mouths to feed. He’ll be a great fantasy player again but I don’t think he will hit his draft value. Weaknesses: FG% - TO - BLK Summary: I liked the value of the picks you made and couldn’t really argue with many of them. There are a couple weak categories but I still think this is a top-half team. FG% looks like it’ll be low but this is a very solid build and you should contend. jay14bay/pumbaa Best Pick: Otto Porter (Rd. 4, 41 overall) - In terms of value, this is a great pick. Obviously a lot of his value is tied up in the TO category, so he is overlooked by most people. He makes a lot of sense in Round 4 for those owners who took Harden or Westbrook in the first round. His minutes and role are set in stone so I see an easy top-40 season ahead after he finished 22nd last year. Best Value: Pau Gasol (Rd. 9, 104 overall) - I don’t really like Pau this year at all but I also didn’t love the end of your draft. I could have gone WilChan here as well but I don’t see either he or Gasol shattering their draft slot value. Back to Pau, he was ranked 75th last year even though he only played 25 mpg. I doubt the playing time goes up this year but I still think he’ll be a top-100 guy and beat his draft slot. Worst Pick: Jrue Holiday (Rd. 5, 56 overall) - I like Jrue but I’m concerned about the addition of Rondo to go along with Cousins and Davis. There are a lot of mouths to feed on that team and I fear it’ll leave Jrue with less shots and less assists. He finished ranked 52nd last year and I don’t think he’ll finish top-60 this year. I hope he proves me wrong because he’s an easy guy to root for. Weaknesses: FT% - STL - AST Summary: I thought the first 4 rounds went pretty well and you had a pretty nice build going. In terms of value, I really couldn’t argue your first 8 picks. I think you would have been better off hunting for upside later in the draft as you settled on a couple bigs with uncertain roles/low minutes/low upside in Kanter and Boban. It’s kind of odd to think of a Harden-led team struggling in FT% but guys like Draymond, JJ, Chandler, and especially Capela are going to bring you down. This looks like a middle of the pack team to me. RDNC Best Pick: Thaddeus Young (Rd. 6, 71 overall) - I struggled to find someone taken in the first half of the draft who could beat their draft slot. Gallo probably could but he’s way too injury prone for me to condone taking in Round 4. Thaddeus should have an increased role with PG13 out of town. Even in a year where he was less than spectacular, he finished ranked 67th overall. I expect him to be a little better than that and end up as a top-60 guy. Best Value: Willie Cauley Stein (Rd. 7, 74 overall) - I think he’ll be a top-70 guy this year with upside for top-50 so he was a nice value in the 7th, especially because he was the first Center you selected. Worst Pick: Kristaps Porzingis (Rd. 2, 23 overall) - I like the Zinger but Rd. 2 is just too early for him. He has missed 10 and 16 games in his first two seasons and finished ranked 35th last year. I’d look at him mid-3rd but thought this was a pretty big reach. Weaknesses: FG% - PTS - 3PT - BLK Summary: I wasn’t a big fan of this draft. You could have gotten by with a strong second half of the draft but there were some head scratchers in there. You may have reached on Jackson. He should have opportunity but he has % flaws. JaMychal Green has very little upside and is basically a REB specialist. Smart is what he is, a steals guy who will be hurt by Hayward’s arrival. Rozier probably won’t get drafted in 14 team leagues. And ZBo is a decent flier but even then, he has no upside other than PTS/REB. Sorry man, I wasn’t digging the end of your draft. I’m having deja vu again as I said the same exact thing about your draft last year. All you did was grab a couple mid-round values late and tie for 1st so what do I know? I think this is a middle-to-bottom half team though. COH Best Pick: Myles Turner (Rd. 2, 22 overall) - I don’t think he’ll shatter this value but I expect a top-20 season out of him this year. He broke out last year and with PG out of town, a full breakout is coming. Best Value: Darren Collison (Rd. 9, 99 overall) - Last year was a disappointment for Collison but he still turned in a top-100 campaign. His competition for minutes is Cory Joseph so he should get 27-30 minutes and return this value. Worst Pick: Russell Westbrook (Rd. 1, 3 overall) - If this were H2H I’d have no problem with the pick. But in roto I’m not a fan. Even after a historic season where he averaged a triple-double, he still only ranked 8th overall due to his horrific FG% volume and high TO’s. He was the most harmful player in FG% and 2nd most harmful in TO last year. It is very hard to mask those deficiencies in Roto. Weaknesses: FG% - AST - TO Summary: This was a pretty average draft to me and you’d need a lot to go your way in order to compete. None of your late picks were very inspiring and you locked up a bottom-3 finish in FG% with the JR Smith selection. He and Westbrook were the two most harmful players last year in FG%Vol. This is a middle of the pack team to me. Superjew Best Pick: Isaiah Thomas (Rd. 2, 24 overall) - IT had a breakout last year and finished top-12 thanks to increases in FG, 3PT and FT. With Hayward coming in, I’m not expecting another top-12 finish but he should still be a top-20 guy. Best Value: Harrison Barnes (Rd. 8, 96 overall) - Barnes reminds me of Wiggins in a fantasy sense in that their value is tied up in PTS but for some reason Wiggins always goes 30-40 spots ahead of him. In his first year in Dallas, Barnes turned in a top-80 season. There’s no reason to believe he can’t repeat that performance. Also liked the MKG pick in the 12th. Worst Pick: Zach LaVine (Rd. 7, 73 overall) - This is a good spot for a healthy LaVine, but he’s coming off an ACL tear and will almost certainly have limitations early on in the season. Seeing that he was the headliner in the Butler deal and the Bulls are going nowhere this year, they have no incentive to rush his progress or risk playing him too much too quick. I just hope he isn’t on a Chandler Parsons-type rehab schedule during the season. Too risky of a pick for me. Weaknesses: STL - 3PT - REB Summary: Pretty decent draft. Didn’t love the Gortat/LaVine picks at the 6/7 turn but aside from those I can’t really argue any of your top 9 picks. MKG was a nice pick in the 12th after his 84th overall finish last year. All in all, it was a pretty decent draft and this is a middle of the pack team with upside to finish in the top half. Hkchuchu Best Pick: KAT (Rd. 1, 6 overall) - He’s got the upside to finish in the top-3 this year. Butler may hurt him just a tad but he should be an easy top-8 guy this year. Great pick at 6. Best Value: Rodney Hood (Rd. 8, 91 overall) - I’m big on Hood this year with Rubio in and Hayward gone and think he can be a top-75 guy with health. I struggled to find a pick where I thought you got great value on though. Worst Pick: Devin Booker (Rd. 5, 54 overall) - The good news: Booker averaged 22 ppg, 3.4 ast, and 1.9 threes. Bad news: He still only finished ranked 129th on the year. I love watching Booker but his game isn’t built for fantasy just yet as his FG% and TO can really hurt your team. Similar to Wiggins, he’ll be overdrafted again this year. Weaknesses: FG% - TO - STL - BLK Summary: Obviously there were a few auto-picks in there but I’m not sure it would have mattered much. Your KAT-Butler start was awesome but then followed it up with reaches of DeRozan, DAR, Booker, Schroder and Gay. It’s never good when you’re relying on your Round 4-6 picks to do something they couldn’t do last year - finish in the top-100. This might be my least favorite draft. This is a bottom-3 team. Champion prediction: unluckyshot
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    What I'm not getting: -The logic behind "Balls A FOOT OR MORE OUTSIDE shouldn't fly 418 feet!". Here's Anthony Rizzo hitting a HR back in 2014 on a pitch that was 1.7 feet off the plate. -How "outside the zone" and "wasn't even in the zone" are two different things. -Why you didn't choose a more blatant example from this year of a HR that barely cleared the wall(there have been plenty). -How you are ignoring that what Napoli did is extremely difficult. -Why I'm still on this thread.
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    Um. I just watched it. Napoli *crushed* that hanging breaking ball. Yes, it was outside of the strikezone. But doesn't that make it all the more impressive? Not many major leaguers could hit that pitch out of the park, regardless of how juiced the ball is. To say that there was no skill involved is absolutely ridiculous-- that ball landed 20 rows deep in left-center field. If you want to make a point about HRs being easier this year, then there are so many better examples this year than the Napoli HR you are referencing. It's also subjective that easier HRs are necessarily bad.
  11. 13 likes
    The 150:1 Draft Strategy The long version: Each year my most important league, is the one I spend the least on. Arguably the least competitive league I'm in. It's the first league I ever played in and what originally got me hooked on fantasy football, or to be honest, football at all. It's a 10 team, PPR league with my closest friends, with a live (in person) snake draft. The buy in is a meager $30, a tenth of what I spend on other leagues each year, but it's the bragging rights that matter most. Through the years in this league, I've explored a lot of different strategies. RB>RB, Zero RB, 1st round QB, Streaming QBs, BPA, VBD, blah blah blah. You know what I've learned? None of them work and they all work. Any strategy in the world will fail, if you apply the wrong players. Any strategy in the world will work, if you apply the right players. Players win championships. Points win championships. Strategies don't. So the take away for me, was rather simple, but enlightening. I don't really care what position I get from the first 2-3 rounds, as long as they produce respectively to the price I paid. As long as you get 1st round production from your first round pick, you're going to be competitive. As long as you get 2nd round production (or better) from your 2nd round pick, you're going to be a just fine. Whether that's from a RB, a WR, a TE, or a QB it really doesn't matter... because points win games, not positions. Upon this realization, I also started noticing that the talent gaps in the first few rounds, are far smaller than those from the later rounds. That should usually correspond to your opinions on players as well. For example, realistically ask yourself, what's the difference between D.Freeman/L.McCoy and J.Jones/OBJ assuming they produce as expected? Likely minuscule. They're all first round picks for a reason right? They just play different positions. So when I was posed with this 'Best Player Available' strategy, I always questioned how do you decide who's better across positions? Now move down the board and ask yourself the same question. What's the difference between Cam Newton, Thomas Rawls, Zach Ertz, and John Brown, who are all being drafted directly next to one another? Chances are your opinions of these players and their potential production for the 2017 season are far more drastically spread apart than the D.Freeman/L.McCoy/J.Jones/OBJ comparison we made above. What does that mean? To me, it means that the 9th round is more important to building my team than the first round. Obviously this is an extremely odd perspective when you first hear it. It's going to appear very counter intuitive. But when you consider that your strongest opinions about players, and the largest production gaps between players within the same round, come later in the draft, it starts to make sense, that deciding between RB/WR/TE/QB in the 9th round is a much greater variance in fantasy scoring, than it is in the first round. So how do you turn this into a draft strategy, plan, or outline? You do the exact opposite of what common logic has told us to do for years. Common logic, says anchor your team around 3 studs early, and then use rounds 4-10 to build on that foundation. Making the reverse, to use the middle rounds as the foundation of your team, and use the first 3 rounds to build around the middle instead. This leaves us with an obvious problem. How do you build around the middle of your draft, if it hasn't happened yet? Oddly enough, the answer is the same for both trains of thought. Prepare for what's most likely to happen, but understand that often things won't go the way you plan. Have contingencies ready. Even people dead set on going RB early, need to know what to do if Antonio Brown falls to them. You can base everything you want on a dedicated plan, but once the draft starts, when **** hits the fan, you need to be ready. My draft for the league mentioned above is Aug 26th, we're ordering the Mayweather fight. Last year I finally won the championship, and 4 days ago, we set our draft-selection order using a 30 man Royal Rumble CPU event. As luck would have it, I also won the Royal Rumble and had first choice of my draft spot. So using the mentality above for my draft strategy, I'm going to attempt to walk you through how I made my selection, and how I've based my draft strategy for this league, in 2017. The first step, it to find an ADP that you trust and rely on. As mentioned, my league is a live draft, so there is no 'queue' of players that will manipulate the draft board. If you draft on Yahoo/ESPN it's very important to understand that their default rankings will largely dictate where people draft certain players and you need to take that into account. My site of choice is FFCalculator. That link will take you directly to an 'ADP' draft board for a 10 team, PPR league. To get to this yourself, you can navigate to the home page, select 'ADP'. From there select your scoring format, league size, and then ADP layout choice 'Draftboard'. The site allows you to 'click' on players and it will black them out. You can use this to either highlight players you want, eliminate ones you don't, or simply use it as a ranking sheet, and mark off players as they're drafted. For this example, I'm going to screen shot the image, and edit it, so that everyone can visually see my thought process, and what the draft board looks like to me when going through this process. Blacked out names = DND for me. (Added Kickers/Def just to remove clutter) Please understand that DND in regards to this forum, is almost always relative to their draft cost, not the literal meaning. So just because a player is DND at their price, doesn't mean I wouldn't draft them if they fell. Red Box = Target players. Players I think will have success relative to their draft cost. Untouched names, are players that really don't sway me one way or the other. It's rare to have a draft where you have confidence in every single pick, sometimes you're just taking the best of what's available to you, and you don't love them, you don't hate them, they're just whatever. Once I narrow down the board and isolate players I really want to own this year, as well as players I don't, you can almost immediately get a better feel for what's likely to happen for you in the draft. One of the fist things I look at are QBs and TEs, just because they're more straight forward. I'm fine with D.Brees at his price, I think Cousins is a value in the 9th, I'd have no issues getting Cam in the 10th, if I miss out on all 3, I still have options in Stafford/Dak/Eli based on which one presents the best value late, and no matter what happens Tyrod is an awesome fall back plan in my opinion. (4pt Passing League) This helps me 1: Have contingency plans for the QB throughout the entire draft, so that anytime a QB doesn't make it to me, I know who and where my next target is. 2: As alluded to earlier, how do you decide who BPA between Brees and Carlos Hyde in the 5th round? By knowing what your realistic alternate options are later. If I take Hyde, there are all of the QB targets I mentioned. If I take Brees, my RB alternatives aren't quite as attractive to me. So that's how I would personally decide between RB vs QB in that round if I were on the clock looking at those 2 players. The same applies to Dez or Gronk in the 2nd round. There's no way to really decide which one is the 'best player available' without taking into account of what is 'most likely' to happen later. On the TE front, Gronk in the 2nd is great for me. Graham in the 6th is a complete steal I think, Rudolph and Ebron are great values, and I think Reed and Ertz are fairly priced. As far as team composition and construction, that offers me multiple options throughout the entire draft, to confidently address the TE position without concern. On the inverse, when I look at the board for target WRs... my highlighted players stop at round 8 with B.Marsh. That tells me that my confidence in WRs dries up very quickly for the 2017 season, and that I would be better off leaning WR early over a TE like Gronk. One you get familiar with the 2017 landscape, and get a feel for who you're targeting, where you're targeting them, and the positions they play, you should already have an idea of what's most likely to happen, or who's most likely to end up on your team most often. When you have the option to select your own draft position, the goal is to put yourself in the spot, that gives you the highest chance of drafting the most 'target' players possible. In odd rounds you want to be to the left of your targets, and in the even rounds, to the right. Logically that's the highest likelihood to land your players. Therefor based on above in the 3rd, I need to be left of Miller's ADP, in the 5th, Left of Hyde/Landry, in the 7th, left of Ingram/AP, in the 9th left of Cousins. The even rounds... there's a few, but mostly it just looks like I'm SOL, unless I look at the 10th spot, and hope DT, B.Marsh, and Rudolph fall in all 3. Because of this, it was fairly obvious I wanted to be on the left side of the board this year, more specifically the first 4 spots. Knowing I had only 3 targets in the first round, I just quickly eliminated the 4 spot, and left it to the top 3 spots. Any of these spots should allow me a good (but not guaranteed) chance to land Miller, Hyde/Landry, AP/Ingram, and Cousins, combined with a first round pick of AB or DJ/Bell, combined with hopefully one of Dez or Gronk and if I'm really lucky, both of them. I would normally do a few mocks from 1,2 &3 just to verify. I also did one at 10, just to ensure it went as terribly as I planned (it did). Ultimately I decided to pick 2nd, as it put me in a position to get the players above, and the only real shot of getting Gronk AND Dez, even though extremely unlikely. This would result in a 'dream team' (within a Snake's limitations) of: 1: <Unknown> 2: Dez 3: Gronk 4: Hyde 5: Landry 6: AP 7: B.Marshall 8: <BPA> 9: Cousins If that's the core of my team, I can then use the assumed player's I'll own, to dictate which way I should go in the first round. With WRs like Dez/B.Marsh/Landry, I'd feel perfectly fine with those 3 guys as my starters. I can't necessarily say I feel the same, entering the year with Hyde and AP as my Rb1 and RB2. With that in mind, I'm leaning RB in the first round. Resulting in a team that would 'optimally' look like this from the 2 spot of a 10 team PPR league: QB: K.Cousins RB1: L.Bell RB2: C.Hyde WR1: Dez WR2: B.Marsh Flex: J.Landry TE: Gronk Granted, not everyone will like that team, that's why you use your own 'target players' not mine. You're probably more concerned with how to use this, if you don't get to pick your draft spot. The answer, is pretty much the same way. We already determined above that 10th is likely the worst spot for me given my target players, so let's say I get stuck with the 10 spot. I'd start at the bottom of the draft and work my way up. (150th pick, up to the 1st pick; 150:1) 12th: Forte 11th: J.Charles 10th: Cam 9th: Rudolph 8th: B.Marsh 7th: T.Riddick 6th: Fitzgerald 5th: J.Reed/J.Graham 4th: Lynch 3rd: DT From here, it's a similar line of thought. Without even having a 1st or 2nd round pick, just by selecting your favorite players through the rest of the draft, how does your team look, and what do you still need? With a WR core of DT/Fitz/B.Marsh, I again would feel just fine entering the season with those 3 guys as my starters. My RB core would be Lynch, Riddick, and Forte. Not as strong. Given this construction, I'd be very interested in starting the draft with 2 RBs at the 10/11 wrap. Let's use D.Murray and Ajayi for example, but obviously Zeke/Gordon/Howard are options for those who prefer them. QB: Cam RB1: D.Murray RB2: J.Ajayi WR1: D.Thomas WR2: L.Fitzgerald Flex: B.Marshall TE: J.Reed/J.Graham While I obviously prefer the first option, because it allows me more 'target players' on my team, I still think the second options is a good team. The main take away, is allowing the players you know you want, and are most likely to end up with later in the draft, dictate who you draft early, rather than the other way around. The Short Version: You're far more likely to have stronger opinions and gaps in player projections in the later rounds. Therefore how you draft in the first 3 rounds, should be dictated by your pre-determined tendencies in the mid rounds, instead of allowing the first 3 rounds, dictate what you do in the mid-late rounds. Assuming everything goes right, the difference between AJ Green and Melvin Gordon(1/2 wrap) (in regards to how they effect your team) is not going to be measurable. I'm not convinced the same can be said of Brandon Marshall and LaGarratte Blount. (8/9 wrap) Good Luck! #Inb4TheLynchMob
  12. 13 likes
    Rhys Lightning summer love happened so fast
  13. 13 likes
    I went straight to the source. I hit a 2X4 over my knee.
  14. 13 likes
    0 for 2 doc. Start calling you Doctor Bird-Hoskins with all these 0 fers piling up.
  15. 13 likes
    All those inactive and dummy teams who drafted Dyson and Treinen are in great shape right now.
  16. 13 likes
    Hey everyone. Just a late night reminder. I don't want to have to post the big long reminder of what this thread is for so I'll just say this. For this next 24 hours there will be lots of posts in this thread. If you can make sure that each one of your posts either has a comment backed up with some facts, or a quote from a baseball writer, manager etc... or you have a specific question, that would be really helpful. Let's try and limit the venting, game day discussion, what a trade has done to your team posts, to zero for the next day or so. We are all guilty of coming in here and venting or celebrating, the life of chasing saves is a hard one, but let's keep the ship lean while we search for the latest and most crucial trade deadline closer info. Thanks.
  17. 12 likes
    Reece. It's pronounced Reece.
  18. 12 likes
    Rush 2112 would not approve of this approach
  19. 12 likes
    How I feel after doing all that research on Sammy Watkins for 2017...
  20. 12 likes
    Tyler Clippard- not in the hall of fame
  21. 12 likes
    When Melky Cabrera serves as a source of excitement, it's time to try drugs.
  22. 12 likes
    "Face it Fry: Baseball was as boring as Mom and apple pie. That's why they jazzed it up." ―Leela "Boring! Baseball wasn't.. Hm. So they finally jazzed it up?" ―Fry
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    @shakestreet, we don't need daily updates of Hoskins' average. If you have a new argument to make, please do so. Repeating your point about his low batting average isn't helping anyone here, and is just going to provoke fights.
  25. 11 likes
    Devers homers off Yankee closer chapman 103 mph pitch to tie the game in the 9th..... enough said, if there were any doubts still in your mind, erase them. THis guy is for real. Devers is first left handed batter to homer off Chapman in 6 years....
  26. 11 likes
    Thanks for the update. Please keep us posted.
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  28. 11 likes
    You autodrafted in a league, you're JAG fantasy player
  29. 11 likes
    I actually tried to add him in my CBS league, and the site kept asking over and over, "Are you sure you want to add D. Dahl?" until my computer caught fire.
  30. 11 likes
    David Dahl arriving in Colorado
  31. 11 likes
    When they went to hand it to him, Moises Alou jumped in the way and it fell to the carpet.
  32. 11 likes
    Sell high IMO, probably won't get another ring ROS.
  33. 11 likes
    Carlos Hyde has 415 career carries. David Johnson has 418 career carries. Carlos Hyde has 9 runs of 20+. David Johnson has 9 runs of 20+. If Hyde isn't a dynamic runner, then according to your analysis, neither is David Johnson.
  34. 10 likes
    Random but this is based on draft location figured I would share. My league is full of college friends all in the mid/late 20's so every year, I try to plan the draft somewhere cool and out of the ordinary since we have our whole lives to draft in one of our basements. After years passed of renting a lake house, weekend long camping trip, this year I came up with an idea to draft at a Minor League Baseball stadium in CT and get a suite for the day/night. It was only $450 and they were so accommodating. We were granted early access to the stadium, our champion threw out the first pitch, and our league got a shootout during the middle of the 3rd inning, we had a waiter that came with a round of beers (frequently). We were able to bring in our draft board, laptops, etc. Just wanted to share this experience because it was a very inexpensive and unique and I certainly recommend it!
  35. 10 likes
    He's been red hot and batting in the top of the lineup regularly. I think this guy is suffering from having the most generic latin name possible. If his name was Edwin Magnificio, he'd be at least 10% more owned.
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    16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
  37. 10 likes
    Yes, I was overseas for about 18 months. When I came back I couldn't remember my password and the email associated with the account is one I no longer used. So I started fresh. It might take me a minute to get 100 posts.
  38. 10 likes
    I know he's young and he will have his ups and downs but I love this kid. He has only had 25-30 ABs so far but they have been very impressive. Farrell is "gushing" over him. He called him a rare player and even complimented his defense so far. http://nesn.com/2017/07/john-farrell-gushes-over-rafael-devers-labels-rookie-as-rare-player/ His 25 or so at-bats have been impressive,” manager John Farrell told reporters prior to Monday’s game. “He’s been balanced, he’s been under control, he’s been calm, he’s shown power, he’s shown good discipline. It’s extremely rare, so is being in the big leagues at 20,” Farrell said. “It’s the best way I can describe it, he’s a unique talent. But the bat speed and the calmness combined with the power, and the overall approach, those are things I don’t think you teach. That’s hand-eye coordination and instincts to stay behind the swing and drive the pitch where it’s located. For a young hitter, that is rare.” “With Rafi, what stood out was his first-step quickness on defense,” Farrell said. “That has been better than anticipated or advertised. He’s been very good at third base. He’s started the front-end of multiple double plays, he’s ranged far to his glove side, he’s done a very good job all the way around.”
  39. 10 likes
    Just proves he throws a catchable ball . . .
  40. 10 likes
    Shirley McLAIN. My grandmother passed 3 days ago. My favorite team name this year is dedicated to her, Shirley Lain. I will use Shirley McLAIN for the foreseeable future in atleast two leagues I'm in. I love you grandma.
  41. 10 likes
    Many of us...probably very few are here because we care about 2018.
  42. 10 likes
    Guess what Rosenthal's inspiration is for the foregoing? Yep, Peter King's MMQB piece of how Shanahan pounded the table for Williams. Here is what Rosenthal wrote about Hyde in Rosenthal's column today entitled "NFL Training Camp: Thirteen Potential Surprise Cuts": "Coach Kyle Shanahan was going to be "sick" and dreaming of rookie Joe Williams if the team didn't draft him, according to the MMQB's Peter King. So general manager John Lynch wound up trading up to get a guy in Williams who wasn't even on his draft board. Compare that investment -- emotional and otherwise -- with the team's lukewarm appraisals of Hyde this offseason. A talented and extremely elusive runner, Hyde has one year left on a contract signed three head coaches ago. He's admittedly the biggest long shot to lose his job on this list, but Shanahan and Lynch are just starting their extreme makeover and have proven they are ready to act with conviction." Lukewarm appraisals? Here are Lynch's actual words: "I . . . can tell you that we're really high on him and what he might be able to do in this offense. We think he can be a highly productive player, but we're eager to see." Now Shanahan's actual words: "Any talented running back fits your offense. There’s not one type of running back that you need. If you’re a skilled runner, you know how to hit the right gaps, you run through arm tackles and when they block it for 2 (yards), you still get 4 (yards), which means you’re running hard. Carlos has that skill set, and I’m looking forward to working with him.” “We’re inheriting a tough, talented back.” “I’m looking forward to getting with him because I know he’s a solid back. I know he had a great college career, and I believe we can get a lot more out of him.” In comparison to these statements, you won't find a single word uttered by these two men that can be reasonably interpreted as questioning their faith in Hyde. All the while, Hyde takes all, and I mean all, the first team reps. With Peter King's help, we can now see the FF journalistic community for what it is -- lazy rumor mongers whose click through rates are far more important than their commitment to delivering real information. Hopefully, there are plenty of folks out there who swallow this journalistic horse s--- so that those of us who know better can benefit from the hit Hyde's ADP takes as a consequence.
  43. 10 likes
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    High fives all around for my minor league board bros!
  45. 10 likes
    I really need saves but I stashed Madson and Kela
  46. 10 likes
    Are people really serious? He just had a 10 game span where he went 9-0 with a 0.87 ERA, and a 1.85 FIP. For almost everyone, that's likely the best stretch for a pitching pick up you've EVER had. Guys, he can have 2 or 3 bad games, it's ok. He's AWESOME. But he's not an ace. Every single pitcher has bad games, even the aces. Wood is a locked in SP1 and I'll need a lot more than one, or even two bad starts to even start to think otherwise.
  47. 10 likes
    Every league is different. In mine, guys getting saves don't get dropped. Guys who might get saves in the future are mostly already owned. I own Dyson across all my leagues because no one wanted him when Melancon went down, but I'm not sure Melancon is returning this year ... and I think Dyson has some leash. Bad teams get saves too. Firmly holding.
  48. 10 likes
    I'm so sick of seeing these whiny posts countless times every month. Go punt then. I don't care and I'm not commenting on anything else about this. Just trying to discourage these useless comments.... This is not the place for venting or discussing your opinion on league settings...
  49. 10 likes
    I vote for aluminum bats next year.
  50. 9 likes
    If Jerry Jones ever wants the circus to stop in Dallas he could send a strong message here and tell Elliott he's serving that suspension and that if he ever gets in trouble again he won't have to wait for the NFL to suspend him because Jerry do it himself. Jerry has enabled (embraced) the sideshows down there for so long and it certainly hasn't helped matters any.