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Showing content with the highest reputation on 04/23/2018 in all areas

  1. 10 points
    OPS, wOBA, wRC+, etc. are not helpful when checking your standings but they are predictors of who is for real and who is not. In this case Kingery vs Franco. RBIs and AVG are good, they help us win fantasy games, but they are also volatile to small sample size. For instance, AVG doesn't stabilize until 910 AB. whereas OBP (460), SLG (320), ISO (160) stabilize in half or less time. So it is essentially not indicative of anything until there are multiple season consistency -- even then it's hard to judge based on players adapting. Kingery is 35th in the majors in avg exit velocity. He is absolutely scorching the ball. This is higher than Hanley, Mookie, Ozuna, Rizzo, Trout, etc. If you want to look at RBI, best run and pick up/trade for Jed Lowrie, Preston Tucker, and Denard Span. They are top 20 hitters in the MLB. In fact, Preston Tucker is beating Trout in RBIs right now -- I think a one-for-one trade of the two would go over real well. Past performance is not indicative to future performance, especially with RBI. Give up on Kingery at your own peril.
  2. 6 points
    Still super early, but Mitch Haniger is looking like a stud and I could make the case that he’s a likely entrant to the upper echelon of OFers in the game fantasy wise and real life (currently tied for 12th in WAR). He’s currently slashing .314/.390/.671 with 7 HRs and 1 SB in 82 PAs. That line is supported by a strong 11% BB rate and a very solid 20.7% K rate. The K rate is supported by a 10.1% swinging-strike rate which would be slightly above-average as the MLB average last year was 10.5%. That start so far has been worth a 185 wRC+ which ranks 11th overall in the majors at the moment, and 6th among OFers. Now the question is will this sort of production continue? I am here to tell you yes and here is why! Taking a look at his batted ball numbers, I’m really digging his launch angle and how often he makes airborne contact. He’s currently hitting fewer groundballs this year compared to last (down to 34.5 from 44% last year) and hitting more of both line-drives (up to 21.8% this year from 19.3% last year) and fly-balls (up to 43.6% this year from 36.7% last year). More line-drives, in theory, should help his BAPIP as it’s the form of contact that has the least likelihood of being turned into an out. And more flyballs obviously is good for power, especially when Haniger is smashing the ball like he is! Haniger has always used the whole field well, and that is continuing this year with a current 40% pull rate, 41.8% centerfield rate, and an 18.2% opposite field rate. That use of the whole field helps him sustain a solid BAPIP as it’s not easy to utilize the shift against him. Now let’s get into the fun stuff…his quality of contact numbers! Haniger is currently sporting a 43.6% Hard hit rate so far which currently ranks in a tie for 26th best in the majors with Freddie Freeman. That 43.6% mark ranks 10th among OFers so far. Now the Hard Contact rate is likely to go down some with a bigger sample, but for reference, a 43.6% hard-hit rate would have ranked 5th in the majors among qualified hitters last year behind just Joey Gallo, Aaron Judge, Paul Goldshmidt, and Corey Seager. That 43.6% hard contact rate this year is supported by a well above-average 92.9 MPH average exit velocity (MLB average is currently 89.03) which ranks in a tie for 25th best in the majors so far with Yasiel Puig and ranks ahead of names like Marcell Ozuna, Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, and Rhys Hoskins. In addition to that, according to Statcast data, 52.9% of his contact has been 95 MPH or higher which is crazy and ranks in a tie for 19th best in the majors so far. He’s also barreling balls with high consistency with his Barrels per Baseball event ranking 30th best in the majors, and his Barrels per plate appearance ranking in a tie for 22nd best in the majors. To add even more, his 12.7% soft contact rate is currently tied for 27th best in the majors. Those are elite quality of contact skills he’s showing so far and that's what has me believing that what Haniger is doing is legit! Bench heat is looking awesome, and my suggestion is to buy high if you can!
  3. 4 points
    Now tell me if you think Ron Gardenhire knows what any of this means ?
  4. 4 points
    ANYONE who tells you that you should take Torres over Seager - you should NEVER listen to their fantasy advice ever again. Corey Seager is a guy who finished third in MVP voting two years ago at the age of 22, and has been a two-time AS. If you're interested in picking up a guy who might not finish the year on the ML roster for a guy almost guaranteed to put up .300/25/75-85 go for it. Torres isn't going to sniff that type of production this season.
  5. 3 points
    Experimenting with some streaming today as I have had some injuries/drops - so roster spots opened up and I know I will need to chase my opponent in some pitching cats this week. That said, go Buehler, Folty, and Stratton.
  6. 2 points
    Watching it in person right now. My amateur scouting report of what I’ve seen so far: fastball is sitting 90-92. He can reach back for 93-94 at times. Works down in the zone with a lot of sink and generates a lot of ground balls. Change up sitting 78-82 with lots of movement as well. Haven’t seen him use it to righties yet. Slider is sitting 85-87 and getting swings and misses from righties. Got bailed out by a surprisingly spry Joey Bats at third turning an impressive double play. Looks polished and ready for the show.
  7. 2 points
    You're conflating reasons a player might lose playing time with reasons a player is more valuable in 5x5 roto. Managers don't particularly care about RBIs even if rotisserie owners do. Gabe Kapler isn't going to bench Scott Kingery because of his ranking on the ESPN player rater. The problem here is that you started out saying "Franco has been better" in real baseball terms, but are now leaning on a metric primarily of interest to fantasy owners.
  8. 2 points
  9. 2 points
    Just to echo above. There's no conceivable way that his ISO is staying at .099. He's actually hitting the ball harder this year at 44%. His Babip is in line with his normal. He's traded a little bit of FB% for LD%. His plate discipline is pretty much the same. Somethings gonna give.
  10. 2 points
    Appropriate GIF with the understanding that Happy went on to get that green jacket. Just wait for Yu to learn to putt. Then the league is f***ed. (nothing more to contribute than April, don't panic, etc.)
  11. 2 points
    No one thinks Charile Morton is going to finish with a 0.72 ERA 3X ERA is still sub 3 ERA. What exactly do you think Charlie Morton gets in a trade here? Its not going to be a top hitter or one the big ace's. Soo... All the data is out there now. Everyone one of your league mates have access to it. Being ahead of curve is no longer having more information. Its about correctly interpreting the right information and weeding out the noise. The question shouldn't be "has Charlie Morton been lucky/going to regress from a 0.72 ERA" Everyone knows the answer to that. The question is "is Charlie Morton going to be a great or really really good pitcher going forward and what can i realistically get for him"
  12. 1 point
    They're ranked close because they are close. Betts is probably the right answer, though I've spent my fantasy baseball career wanting elite 3B. When I get them, I win. When I don't, it seems like it's more of a struggle. I know it's not really that simple, but that's how it's gone for me. So personally, I could go either way. If your gut is saying keep Mookie, keep Mookie. Return the favor?
  13. 1 point
    The best buy lows/sell highs are the ones that aren't obvious, that no one sees. Problem is you start kicking the tires your leaguemate, if he's sharp, is going to think: Hmm, why's he's he so interested in (insert player name)?
  14. 1 point
    Just took a peek at the radar. It's certainly looking like a gamble with Folty as the rain is basically threading the needle just to the right of the city. They may be able to play if this holds but for how long depends on the current trend which looks somewhat promising.
  15. 1 point
  16. 1 point
  17. 1 point
    Atlanta’s offense is 4th I’m runs scored/game. They should (also?) scare you.
  18. 1 point
    Well, I mean I'd probably take Torres in an AL only league, but other than that, you're right.
  19. 1 point
    Try to get a better SP first, but a good trade for you anyway.
  20. 1 point
    They need a starter tomorrow, and that would be 3 days rest for Kopech, so I doubt he's taking that turn. Maybe the second start though?
  21. 1 point
    It would have been strange to call him up and force him to go on short rest.
  22. 1 point
    Hope Booker dynasty owners unloaded him in the brief excitement after CJ Anderson was released. Seldom-used sub and special teamer this year, roster bubble next year.
  23. 1 point
    Bregman seems a good one to me, especially in OBP leagues. His BB% is way up, and his K% is down. His BABIP is well under his career mark and his batted ball profile is the same. Bregman was always a really patient hitter in the minors, so I was wondering when his patience would show in the majors. His O-Swing% is below 20% right now, which is close to Joey Votto levels. Small sample size, but Bregman’s strengths is has always been his approach and contact skills. In this case I think he’s getting even better despite the stats not showing it yet and even though he made huge strides already last year.
  24. 1 point
    Guys like K-Rod, Joe Nathan, Heath Bell, Rodney, get a lengthy amount of rope because they're all-timers (or at least all-stars who have lengthy experience). The manager will usually go out on a limb for them irregardless of whom the manager is. A guy like Greene who hasn't even had a year of closing experience isn't going to receive the same benefit. Now I believe it's not so much that teams will pay more for a closer as much as they would paying a little bit more for a guy who has proven that he can handle high leverage situations. There's no higher leverage than the end game, especially in the playoffs or the end of the season. Some guys just can't handle it (cough Ken Giles cough) So I don't think teams are tripping over themselves to overpay just because a guy is closing, but a player who has proven he can pitch well in high leverage will get a little bump.
  25. 1 point
    Ausmus seemed to stick with K-Rod last year for quite a while when he was really bad for a long stretch, so to me he seems like the kind of manager that will give Greene every opportunity to succeed. He probably has a reasonably long leash. I don't think Greene being in the closer role necessarily adds much value in terms of trade, but the flip side is that if you remove him from the role now you're essentially saying he's not good enough to be used in high leverage situations, and that kills his value. If Greene loses the job because he can't stop bleeding runs in the 9th, he's not just going to drop one spot down the hierarchy and be an 8th inning guy - because if he loses the job that means he's not trustworthy at all. He'd lose all trade value, and create a depth chart issue in the Detroit bullpen where they're not only just promoting Jimenez to close, they'd have to promote everyone all the way up the food chain to backfill Jimenez.
  26. 1 point
    I would also stick with Belt as well. Hopefully he remains healthy this year and the power reaches its full potential. Thanks for the help with mine.
  27. 1 point
    I haven't researched into this, but from what I saw with 2 outs in that last inning of the last game, he was throwing a 1 hitter in Coors and all of a sudden he walks the opposing pitcher on 5 pitches without even swinging, and I believe they were all FB. He couldn't locate FB vs a pitcher to end the inning and keep his 1 hitter thru 5??? This was not Blackmon or Arenado, this was the pitcher... i think all is in the head, approach, instincts and lack of agressiveness/competitiveness. It's not like his stuff is not there. It's not like his FB is 89 mph. He Ks the pitcher and we're talking about him throwing 6-7 innings at Coors and delivering...
  28. 1 point
    Should be, but isn't, as evidenced by the 40% ownership.
  29. 1 point
    They have no choice. They've missed out on too many QB's in the past. They can't afford to miss out.
  30. 1 point
    Home Run to Strikeout ratio for 2018 update: 7 HR 6 ks
  31. 1 point
    Well it wasn't that bad. He got charged an extra hit and 2 extra runs on a fly ball that was lost in the sun. I didn't check velocity, but if anything I thought it was a good outing for pitching at Coors.
  32. 1 point
    The touch in the red zone is a thing of beauty, but the thing that impresses me the most about Keenum is his ability to make all these great throws when under pressure (Rudolph TD @9:46 in that first vid). Not many QBs are capable of doing that.
  33. 1 point
    I think today shut the buy low window pretty loudly, if it was still open at all...
  34. 1 point
    I'm with you, and really they have 4 losses so maybe they still do it
  35. 1 point
    Too many people view baseball like it is football. He had a handful of AB's, even Trout has bad stretches. This isn't football where you have a whole game to do something and where you only play 16 games a year.
  36. 1 point
  37. 1 point
    Is this a one-year or dynasty format? For one-year I stick with Belt. He'll provide decent pop and overall production. Zimmer still inconsistent, not fully developed and thus for this year he takes a back seat to Belt.
  38. 1 point
    It’s easy to forget that most players don’t sniff the bigs at age 20. It’s good on him to face a little adversity and overcome. At least mgmt has been transparent. Get hot and come up. So many players in the minors would love for that to be their situation.
  39. 1 point
    Starting tomorrow night per Dodgers Twitter page!
  40. 1 point
    Back in the leadoff spot. Currently ranked second overall in AVG Exit Velocity behind Nelson Cruz.
  41. 1 point
    Cubs warm up when the weather does
  42. 1 point
    0 walks last 2 starts. Dis kid gonna be good.
  43. 1 point
  44. 1 point
    J-Ram, Dozier, D.Gordon for sure. Murphy whenever he comes back will be better ROS, and Cano is too consistent to not put ahead of Albies. Then you have guys like Schoop, Merrifield, and LeMahieu you can make a case for. 2nd base is pretty deep. I think Albies will represent a clear profit, but it'll be tough for him to break into the top 5.
  45. 1 point
    Don't have a clue, because the guy who finished in first was the one guy who didn't read my post ^^^. Congrats to @LuSamSiam and @tongs for finishing 2nd and 3rd though, lol
  46. 1 point
    This is why I didn't bother drafting Trea, I knew all along Hoskins would run like the wind.
  47. 1 point
    Thankfully that eagle landed on James' non-throwing shoulder or else we'd be looking at a 4-6 week DL stint.
  48. 1 point
    Don't expect sophomore slump for Olson Twitter Ads info and privacy Put that exit velocity, launch angle and direction together and the results could be grandiose. Just take a second to admire Oakland's longest home run last year, a 483-foot jack Olson hit in Philadelphia during his September binge. Olson's two-run homer00:29Sep. 15th, 2017 Lingering questions do remain. Olson certainly wasn't on a lot of radars after slashing .235/.335/.422 in a full year of Triple-A in 2016, which included a .167 average and .250 slugging mark against lefty pitchers. One also wonders if Olson's high strikeout rate (28.7 percent) could be exploited as big league pitchers adjust. But the lefty actually struck out less against southpaws than he did against righties last summer for Oakland, and a player who swings as hard as Olson is bound to sacrifice some contact. The good news is that Olson's overall 70.5 percent contact rate (defined here as fouls and balls put in play per swing) beginning Aug. 11 -- the day he took over Oakland's first base job for good -- was on par with what mashers like Martinez (68.8 percent) and Stanton (68.2 percent) put up over the entire season. The A's jettisoned two other slugging first basemen who broke out in 2017 (Yonder Alonso and Ryon Healy) after what they saw from Olson. If the sophomore can repeat even most of what he did last summer, Oakland could have a budding star on its hands.
  49. 0 points
    he did the last 3 batters. got up to 95 mph reached 94 and 95 on consecutive pitches. so your take is wrong no one. He was fine. unless there was a Fip or Zip, or Wally Pipp i need to worry about