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    The Big Bat Theory

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Popular Content

Showing most liked content since 06/21/2018 in Posts

  1. 15 points
    What else is there to know? Tortuga? I'm in.
  2. 15 points
  3. 14 points
  4. 14 points
    I have 4 kids. I'm lucky to even be alive.
  5. 14 points
    Brandon Nimmo finally has enough PAs to qualify for NL leaderboards, which now look like this: OBP: Votto, .426 Freeman, .420 Nimmo, .407 SLG: Nimmo, .585 Freeman, .579 Suarez, .571 wOBA: Nimmo, .421 Freeman, .418 Arenado, .408 wRC+: Nimmo, 172 Freeman, 166 Belt, 157
  6. 13 points
    If I saw Bird on my wire..
  7. 13 points
  8. 12 points
    Guys, let's move on from this silly and tiresome exchange about the Yankees and who they used in the playoffs. Take it to PM or maybe the Yankees thread, but it's exhaustive and isn't interesting or informative at all.
  9. 12 points
    There's only 1 of those guys
  10. 11 points
    Most seasoned fantasy players understand how the deadline works with respect to bullpen arms moving at the deadline, but the market seems different this year. The superteam era has created a situation where there are a lot more teams selling, especially in the AL, but at the same time, the trend toward 8-man bullpens and the recognition of the third time through the order risk have led contenders with solid bullpens to try to improve even more. Like, it's conceivable that a guy like Zach Britton could end up behind 2 or 3 better relief arms on a team with a top 5 bullpen, which is going to have ripple effects on all the sellers who think they can flip their closer to get major prospects to turbo-charge their rebuild. There are more buyers *and* more sellers, but the roles that the buyers are looking to fill aren't the kind of roles that are going to fetch a massive prospect haul. It's easy to justify moving a Gleyber Torres type prospect when you're getting Aroldis Chapman to be your closer, but when you're just improving on your already capable ROOGY-ish middle innings guy and there are so many teams that would love to sell basically anyone in their pen for something of value, it seems like it's a buyer's market where the elite closers on bad teams might just stay put. Is the difference between Felipe Vazquez and Kirby Yates or even Jake Diekman really worth paying a premium for? The Braves and the Phillies are probably next after the Indians in terms of the need for bullpen help, and presumably could be filling 9th or 8th inning roles if they're serious about making a deep run. But after that, I see teams like the Dodgers, Mariners, Nats, Brewers, Red Sox, Cubs, D-Backs, Astros, and Yankees all dealing from a position of strength in trade negotiations. This makes San Diego's trade with Cleveland look very smart -- they beat the rush, and they got an impact player. If I were teams like the Pirates, Rangers, Reds, Tigers, and Mets with movable bullpen pieces, I'd be working really hard to get something even if the return is below what we've seen in previous years for bullpen help. It's just a different landscape out there right now.
  11. 11 points
  12. 11 points
    Hopefully they didn’t X-ray the wrong hand.
  13. 11 points
    Parker getting set before the pitch...
  14. 10 points
    everyone is wrong machado is being traded to the golden state warriors
  15. 10 points
    I believe he's referencing the argument you made in this thread.
  16. 10 points
    Hi axe. I'm a huge fan of yours. And because i care about your reputation, i'd like to inform you that 72.4% isn't in fact, rated 'gold', but 'diamond'. The graph is a different color, as is the actual rating. It hurts me to say this, but people will probably think you're a fraud. That's why I took the liberty of making your image more convincing. Free to use it when people question your exceptional accomplishments: Congrats on all the success and best of luck for the future.
  17. 10 points
    They went out and got two stud free agents at very reasonable prices. If the cost is that one of their young emerging players has to spend some time waiting for someone to get hurt, well, I think they'll take that if it means they make a nice run in the playoffs. I'd happily take that sort of butchery from my team.
  18. 9 points
    [There are reports emerging that allege that McCoy has engaged in domestic violence and animal abuse. This thread is not the place to debate the veracity of these reports, litigate the very sketchy details that we know right now, or make light of what appears to be a very sad situation all around. Until there's more clarity about what's going on, we assume you all are capable of reading Twitter, blogs, etc. to fill in the details and engage in whatever speculation you'd like, but if the quality of the early comments on this are any indication, we're going to need a bit of a cooling off period here before we have enough information to engage in a substantive discussion of his fantasy value. Consequently, the thread will be locked until further notice.]
  19. 9 points
    My buddy Tommy Tutone says 86.75309%
  20. 9 points
  21. 9 points
  22. 9 points
    Did I ever tell you guys about the time I traded josh Norman for Zeke and the right to f--- my friends hot gf? Just another genius move made whatever tf my username is on here
  23. 9 points
    Nope, same guy. Killing it at AAA
  24. 8 points
    Upon further review I think the Cardinals scapegoating arguably their best bat is a move that dog**** teams make. Hoskins, Hosmer and Harper all rate out as worse defenders than Martinez. Those guys never sniff the bench. Jose Abreu who has a similar body and has been a statue at first for years. His defense sucks, but Kolton Wong’s .210 average sucks and Martinez offensive WAR rating is higher than Wong’s defensive WAR rating. Cardinals whiffed badly here.
  25. 8 points
    Not sure if any have been determined yet. Post if/when there's announcements.
  26. 8 points
    I present the dichotomy of MLB General Managers, ladies and gentlemen. On the left hand, Dan Duquette, ignoring the international market, signing absurd contracts in the offseason (hello Alex Cobb), and barely fetching a top-100 prospect for his star player after curiously buying (sort of) last deadline. On the right hand, AJ Preller, heavily investing internationally, signing cast offs from other teams to team-friendly contracts, selling his players with team control left for elite prospects. It doesn't get much more stark than that.
  27. 8 points
    Calling it now: Oakland will pay for him next off-season. Lose Lynch, Martin, Jordy, and whatever other AARP members are soaking up cash, and go for broke on him. "We just couldn't establish the running game," Gruden will explain next year. "Bell, he's gonna put us over the edge, I'll tell ya what, man."
  28. 8 points
    Ran across it and thought it was interesting, he's pretty solid imo--esp when it comes to fantasy adjustments. https://razzball.com/top-100-prospects-for-fantasy-baseball-mid-season-2018/
  29. 8 points
    He added more drop to his changeup by changing the grip and it’s turned into an elite pitched. The whiff rate has doubled from last year. https://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfx.aspx?playerid=18498&position=P&pitch=CH
  30. 8 points
    And when he does take them people will do this to him
  31. 8 points
    Like others have mentioned, lots are already out and more are still to come! Fangraphs is out, Baseball America updates monthly, MLB Prospect watch updates monthly slightly but will do a big update with recent MLB draftees at some point, Razzball and Baseball Prospectus will have theirs out sometime soon I would think, Pitcher List has been releasing positional lists all last week and will do a top 150 bats and top 150 arms which come out this week. There are lots more publications too! Here are two I've found on Reddit fairly recently: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1j039UpwDApU6ElreFwaK-6xbp_EsRXNXyA-wvaLOa2Q/edit https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11m59fhAIu7-5N6nm9MLSMShu66nzmiiteM-vmC1VniI/edit#gid=719946736
  32. 8 points
    Don't go blaming official scoring because it negatively impacted your guy. Yeah, it may not be perfect, but it will help and hurt at random times. It's part of the game, so many judgement calls. I don't know how focusing on the 1 play changes the outcome of the game. I mean, right before Piscotty went yard Olson hit an absolute bullet right at Guyer in right. Two batters after Piscotty Semien drilled a ball to left for a long single. The at bat to Piscotty is Bieber in a nutshell. Gets a guy to 1-2, afraid to pitch outside of the zone, catches too much of the plate and there it goes. He's given up 4 HR in 6 starts. His HR rate is virtually twice of what it was at any stop in the minors. He gives up far, far, far too much contact. How you can't see that is beyond me. I love Shane Bieber. I love his potential, but come on man. The dude plays in the zone too much, and the major league level hitter is going to do more with that pitch than minor league guys. Not even mentioning the "new ball" and all that jazz. Bieber needs to figure out a way to limit contact. Whether it's refining a pitch, playing more outside of the zone, whatever, he's got to change something. I think he will. He's got good stuff, but he's got to stop throwing so many strikes all the time. If a hitter knows a guy has a tendency to always be in the zone, they are geared up to swing constantly. More balls going to be in play, more chances for hits (even unfortunate ones) and more chances for the ball to leave the yard. Bieber is giving up too much contact (especially hard contact) right now. Plain and simple. Again, I think he can do something about it. You don't have to get so emotional about the "Shane Bieber is trash and it doesn't matter how many mistakes his team makes" blah blah blah. 4 other guys pitch in that rotation too. I don't think the fielders are packing it in on days Bieber throws. Bieber could have a very solid major league career, he just needs to hone is his craft some more. Right now, you can expect up and down starts, in the future, he may be a safer play in general. If he gets a ground ball out of Piscotty in the sixth he likely goes 7 still (facing the bottom of the order) if it results in a DP with Davis on first. He didn't. He caught way too much of the plate and an average major league hitter made him pay. So you can blame the fielders all you want, but he controlled his own fate in the sixth. No need to throw that good of a pitch to the 6th hitter in Oaklands lineup who is sitting on a 1-2 count.
  33. 8 points
    Don’t worry I’ll use stats for you. If you take Soto’s stats so far in the majors and expand it to 162 games you get this stat line: 96 runs 31 hr 93 rbi 4 sb .305 avg .420 Obp 108 walks 120 k the closest line I could find to this from 2017 was Jose Abreu at: 95 runs 33 hr 102 rbi 3 sb .304 avg .354 Obp 35 walks 119 ks In a standard 5x5 roto league using average Abreu was the #22 overall player last year and the #18 overall batter. Soto is also batting at the top of the nationals lineup, which is finally hitting like it should, and his counting stats are just going to get better as long as he sticks in the top 5. And finally to say he’s not a top redraft target is just plain stupid if you’re basing it off what’s he’s done so far. He’s nearly on a .300 100 30 100 pace at age 19. He’s just going to get better, so if that’s your base line I’ll draft him top 20 all day long to shoot for his ceiling which is most like going to be a perennial 40 hr threat with a top 5 league Obp, batting title contender and a monster in runs/rbis hitting in the heart of the nationals lineup. So please, keep saying he’s not that good.
  34. 8 points
    “Ohtani is one person in real life, but we’re going to split him into two people in fantasy, then treat him as if he’s one“ Gotta love those geniuses at Yahoo.
  35. 8 points
    He had A Stud in his name. I’m in. 🤫
  36. 8 points
    In the interest of saving you the trouble in the future and having the same discussion pop up in other player threads, let me explain why you're wrong. [ This is veering off topic from Seranthony, but I feel like this is coming up frequently enough that it demands a response. ] At the very least, we know that ESPN attempts to exclude inactive leagues from it's percent owned calculations. References to this here and here, with ESPN's Matthew Berry making an oblique reference to it here. Obviously this isn't going to be 100% accurate, but whatever their heuristic is for excluding inactive leagues, the numbers for players that were probably undrafted in ESPN standard leagues but are must-own now (and thus wouldn't be on a roster in most dead leagues) mostly make sense: Markakis (ADP 260) is at 95%, Newcomb (ADP 260) is at 92%, Hader (ADP 260) is at 87%, etc. You can argue that all of those should be closer to 100%, but clearly they're doing *something* to remove inactive leagues in ESPN, even if it's not perfect. I can't find any official info about whether Yahoo does the same (if anyone does Twitter and would like to hit up the @YahooFantasy account and ask them, that'd be great) but I'm seeing similar trends in their data. Yahoo's standard format runs a bit deeper with 12 teams to ESPN's 10, so it makes sense to look a little deeper in the ADP. How about Jed Lowrie? Drafted in about 3% of Yahoo leagues, now owned in 79% of them. Eduardo Escobar, drafted in 6% of Yahoo leagues, now owned in 84%. Max Muncy? Not drafted in Yahoo at all -- they don't even have an ADP for him -- owned in 67% of leagues. Again, he should be owned in more than 67%, but clearly there is signal in the noise. Or we can look at the inverse -- guys who were drafted but should be dropped in competitive leagues (redraft-wise, anyway). Corey Seager is at 36% owned on Yahoo -- factor in keeper and dynasty formats and leagues where people have enough DL slots to not bother dropping him and that I think you have a pretty low number of dead leagues counted in there -- certainly nowhere near the number that would make percent owned a meaningless metric. So maybe the ceiling on a mid-season breakout becomes 90% or 80%, but this idea that there's no merit at all in bringing up percent owned is simply not true. There is some value in it. Dead leagues need to be considered, but simply saying "dead leagues, LOL" in every thread where someone cites an ownership percentage is reductive and overly dismissive of people who may in fact have a valid argument.
  37. 8 points
  38. 7 points
  39. 7 points
  40. 7 points
    Oh god... it's another Axe Elf
  41. 7 points
    for the love of god why didnt IT just sign with the magic like he was supposed to!
  42. 7 points
    Third game in a row sitting. If they aren't going to play him, then just send him back to AAA.
  43. 7 points
    I dont think anyone expected him to be #1, just saw that as a possible outcome. I'll say it 1000 times, if you even get a top 20 player with your first round pick, thats good. Your first rounder is not the reason you're going to win most likely, its getting the WW and late round picks that are top 40-50 players that are the difference makers. Turner is 5x5 elite.
  44. 7 points
    For a guy who hates Harper so much, you sure do spend a lot of time in this thread.
  45. 7 points
    Max Muncy! That funky Muncy!
  46. 7 points
    Right!? Because he absolutely has control over that....
  47. 7 points
    Soto -- who won't turn 20 until Oct. 25 -- entered Friday with a stellar .318/.436/.564 slash line in 133 plate appearances. His park-adjusted OPS+ of 166 was well above the league average of 100 and tied for fifth among all players with at least 100 plate appearances, in the neighborhood of J.D. Martinez (173) and Freddie Freeman (161). It's also, at this point, a record for a hitter in his age-19 season or younger. Highest OPS+ by a teenager* Min. 100 PA, since 1901 1. 166 -- Juan Soto, 2018 Nationals 2. 146 -- Whitey Lockman, 1945 Giants 3. 139 -- Mel Ott, 1928 Giants** 4. 137 -- Tony Conigliaro, 1964 Red Sox 5. 132 -- Ty Cobb, 1906 Tigers** 6. 130 -- Jimmie Foxx, 1927 Athletics** 7. 122 -- Sherry Magee, 1904 Athletics 8. 119 -- Johnny Lush, 1904 Athletics 9. 118 -- Bryce Harper, 2012 Nationals 10. 117 -- Mickey Mantle, 1951 Yankees** *Age-19 season or earlier **Hall of Famer
  48. 7 points
    Yea, it's the human element fantasy ballers don't have to deal with. You have to remember, these are human beings, with emotions, and strong entrenched relationships with their organization. Especially guys like Braun who've been around the organization for a lot of years. Every aging/banged up player thinks he "still has it" and they can even become more on edge/sensitive when younger players are coming up taking their ABs. Then you have managers who are trying to juggle the constant tug of war between fielding the best possible team, keeping players motivated/hungry, and their personal relationships with all involved. In fantasy we don't know these guys from a hole in the ground. Every guys is one click away from being on waivers/on the bench. There's no human element to consider.
  49. 7 points
    For what it's worth, quote from an article posted last night: Kyle Tucker, OF, Astros: When I asked an Astros insider when Tucker will be called up, they simply texted back, “Very soon.” http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/ny-sports-fantasy-baseball-starters-20180622-story.html
  50. 7 points