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Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation since 03/19/2018 in all areas

  1. 37 points
  2. 32 points
    As the season draws to a close, and we're all getting nervous (or cocky) for that last game, let me say thanks to all the good people (and some of the bad ones) on these forums. It's been good, and I've been lucky, but most of all, I honestly want to thank you guys for some great discussions, insights, advice, trolling, and of course some of the best gifs. See you on Sat/Sun/Mon, and see you next year in this roller coaster!
  3. 32 points
    Listened to Rush and now I have 19 bats and no pitching.
  4. 30 points
    I could just make this easy and list my roster this season.
  5. 30 points
    With the MLB regular season almost upon us, I figured I'd better get my 2018 Top Prospect list out before the attention gets shifted onto the MLB action. I believe this is my 3rd top 100 list I have released, and I have had requests from other community members to do one again so I'm finally delivering! I have included a rough prime projection for each player as well as an estimated ETA. I tried to not include prospects that have cemented their roles in the majors, so guys like Scott Kingery, Dustin Fowler and Shohei Ohtani are not on the list. Note that I place an emphasis on upside, namely power and speed guys, while also prioritizing closeness to the majors when the value is close. Positional value is also taken into consideration at times. Feel free to ask questions or drop a comment, always happy to discuss! Without further ado, onto the list: 1. Ronald Acuna – ATL - .285/.338, 27 HRs, 23 SBs – ETA Early 2018 2. Victor Robles – WAS - .287/.342, 19 HRs, 33 SBs – ETA Late 2018 3. Vlad Guerrero Jr. – TOR - .298/.385, 30 HRs, 4 SBs – ETA 2020 4. Eloy Jimenez – CHW - .272/.336, 36 HRs, 3 SBs – ETA Late 2019 5. Kyle Tucker - HOU - .282/.343, 27 HRs, 16 SBs – ETA 2019 6. Nick Senzel – CIN - .291/.361, 23 HRs, 16 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 7. Forrest Whitley – HOU - 3.19 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 239 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2018 8. Bo Bichette – TOR - .292/.343, 24 HRs, 11 SBs ETA – Mid-Late 2019 9. Fernando Tatis Jr. – SD - .271/.340, 27 HRs, 13 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2019 10. Francisco Mejia – CLE - .294/.342, 18 HRs, 3 SBs – ETA Late 2018 11. Michael Kopech – CHW - 3.31 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 226 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2018 12. Brendan Rodgers – COL - .281/.331, 26 HRs, 6 SBs – ETA Late 2018 13. Royce Lewis – MIN - .278/.338, 18 HRs, 27 SBs – ETA 2021 14. Luis Robert – CHW - .271/.335, 21 HRs, 23 SBs – ETA 2020 15. Willie Calhoun – TEX - .280/.342, 26 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA Early 2018 16. Triston McKenzie – CLE - 3.40 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 205 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 17. Walker Buehler – LAD - 3.42 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 219 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid 2018 18. Mitch Keller – PIT - 3.48 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 181 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2018 19. Taylor Trammell – CIN - .274/.339, 18 HRs, 26 SBs – ETA 2020/2021 20. Gleyber Torres – NYY - .282/.358, 22 HRs, 7 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 21. MacKenzie Gore – SD - 3.39 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 212 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2021 22. Juan Soto – WAS - .292/.347, 23 HRs, 5 SBs – ETA 2020/2021 23. Jorge Mateo – NYY - .268/.335, 11 HRs, 46 SBs – ETA Late 2018/2019 24. Brent Honeywell – TB - 3.46 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 186 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid-Late 2019 25. Austin Hays – BAL - .282/.316, 25 HRs, 3 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2018 26. Austin Meadows – PIT - .284/.342, 18 HRs, 17 SBs - ETA Mid 2018 27. AJ Puk – OAK - 3.53 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 214 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2018 28. Jesus Sanchez – TB - .279/.327, 24 HRs, 9 SBs – ETA Late 2019/2020 29. Franklin Barreto – OAK - .278/.327, 18 HRs, 14 SBs – ETA Late 2017 30. Yordan Alvarez – HOU - .276/.352, 25 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA Late 2019 31. Jo Adell – LAA - .268/.328, 26 HRs, 19 SBs – ETA 2021 32. Anthony Alford – TOR - .272/.342, 17 HRs, 24 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 33. Jahmai Jones – LAA - .279/.338, 17 HRs, 19 SBs – ETA 2020 34. Kyle Wright – ATL - 3.51 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 189 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2019 35. Sixto Sanchez – PHI – 3.53 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 177 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 36. Ryan McMahon – COL - .271/.336, 24 HRs, 5 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2018 37. Miguel Andujar – NYY - .284/.327, 21 HRs, 5 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 38. Willy Adames – TB - .268/.346, 20 HRs, 8 SBs – ETA Late 2018 39. Carter Kieboom – WSH - .271/.352, 23 HRs, 3 SBs – ETA 2020 40. Colton Welker – COL - .286/.335, 21 HRs, 5 SBs – ETA 2020 41. Keston Hiura – MIL - .286/.340, 18 HRs, 6 SBs – ETA 2019 42. Hunter Green – CIN - 3.48 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 204 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2021 43. Franklin Perez – DET - 3.67 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 187 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid 2019 44. Nate Pearson – TOR – 3.51 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 222 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 45. Leody Tavares – TEX - .279/.327, 13 HRs, 22 SBs – ETA 2021 46. Keibert Ruiz- LAD - .285/.327, 16 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA 2020 47. Alex Verdugo - LAD - 287/.346, 17 HRs, 7 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2018 48. Luiz Gohara – ATL – 3.59 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 212 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Early 2018 49. Michel Baez – SD – 3.61 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 213 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 50. Kolby Allard – ATL - 3.59 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 166 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2018/2019 51. Jesus Luzardo – OAK – 3.55 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 190 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 52. Jake Bauers – TB - .278/.348, 17 HRs, 9 SBs – ETA Late 2018 53. Christian Stewart – DET - .255/.339, 26 HRs, 3 SBs – ETA Late 2018 54. Jhailyn Ortiz – PHI - .247/.333, 32 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA 2021 55. Heliot Ramos – SF - .251/.310, 25 HRs, 23 SBs – ETA 2021 56. Tyler O’Neill – STL - .258/.327, 29 HRs, 7 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2018 57. Monte Harrison – MIA - .261/.323, 23 HRs, 18 SBs – ETA Mid- Late 2019 58. Mike Soroka – ATL - 3.54 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 182 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2019 59. Austin Riley – ATL - .261/.323, 25 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA Mid 2019 60. Michael Chavis – BOS - .258/.318, 28 HRs, 3 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2019 61. Kyle Lewis – SEA - .268/.335, 25 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA Late 2019 62. Adrian Morejon – SD - 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 176 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2021 63. Jay Groome – BOS - 3.69 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 203 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2021 64. Corbin Burns – MIL – 3.73 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 181 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid 2018 65. Estevan Florial – NYY - .248/.322, 24 HRs, 23 SBs – ETA 2020 66. Tristen Lutz – MIL - .269/.335, 26 HRs, 1 SB – ETA 2021 67. Alec Hansen – CWS – 3.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 206 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid 2019 68. Justus Sheffield – NYY 3.72 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 184 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2018 69. Fernando Romero – MIN – 3.79 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 177 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid-Late 2018 70. Peter Alonso – NYM - .274/.324, 26 HRs, 1 SB – ETA Late 2019 71. Ian Anderson – ATL – 3.72 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 204 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 72. Chance Adames – NYY - 3.72 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 186 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid 2018 73. Cal Quantrill – SD - 3.71 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 179 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 74. Dylan Cease – CHW - 3.80 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 207 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 75. Matt Manning – DET - 3.77 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 213 K’s in 200 innings - ETA 2020 76. Luis Urias – SD .290/.342, 10 HRs, 9 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 77. Nick Gordon – MIN - .273/.329, 11 HRs, 13 SBs – ETA Late 2018 78. Jon Duplantier – ARI – 3.83 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 196 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 79. Adonis Medina – PHI – 3.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 175 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 80. Brandon Marsh – LAA - .270/.318, 19 HRs, 22 SBs – ETA 2020 81. Starling Heredia – LAD - .263/.334, 25 HRs, 7 SBs – ETA 2021 82. Kevin Maitan – LAA - .271/.342, 24 HRs, 4 SBs – ETA 2022 83. Mickey Moniak – PHI - .281/.338, 15 HRs, 18 SBs – ETA 2020/2021 84. Dane Dunning – CHW – 3.94 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 187 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid 2019 85. Chance Sisco – BAL - .274/.341, 14 HRs, 5 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 86. Danny Jansen – TOR - .276/.365, 15 HRs, 1 SB – ETA Late 2018 87. Albert Abreu – NYY – 3.80 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 212 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 88. Jose Albertos – CHC – 3.74 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 178 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 89. Anderson Espinoza – SD - 3.78 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 180 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2020 90. Bobby Bradley – CLE - .246/.329, 28 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA Mid-Late 2019 91. Carson Kelly – STL .268/.330, 16 HRs, 0 SBs – ETA Mid 2018 92. Pavin Smith – ARI - .286/.343, 20 HRs, 2 SBs – ETA 2019 93. Mitch White – LAD – 3.93 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 183 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Late 2019 94. Stephen Gonsalves – MIN – 3.94 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 174 K’s in 200 innings – ETA Mid-Late 2018 95. Brusdar Graterol – MIN – 3.88 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 187 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2021 96. Evan White – SEA - .273/.338, 18 HRs, 12 SBs – ETA 2020 97. Luis Medina – NYY – 3.84 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 215 K’s in 200 innings – ETA 2021 98. Akil Baddoo – MIN - .273/.349, 13 HRs, 18 SBs – ETA 2021 99. Touki Toussaint – ATL – 3.93 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 193 K’s in 200 innings 100. Nolan Jones – CLE - .273/.364, 22 HRs, 4 SBs – ETA 2020 HM’s: Ryan Mountcastle, Ryan Vilade, Garrett Hampson, Nick Pratto, Jorge Guzman, Sandy Alcantara, Jake Burger, Jose Siri, Lucas Erceg, Alex Faedo, Yadier Alvarez, J.B. Bukauskas, Isan Diaz, Lewin Diaz, Wander Javier, Alex Kirilloff, Andres Gimenez, James Kaprielian, Sheldon Neuse, Shane Baz, Lolo Sanchez, Esteury Ruiz, Gabriel Arias, Harrison Bader, Max Schrock, Randy Arozarena, Brendan McKay, Seth Romero, Yasel Antuna
  6. 26 points
    to all the big tough guys downplaying this as "not so bad" ... AYFKM? do you have daughters? nieces? would you feel the same if it were them? unf'nbelievable stupidity on display here ... wow
  7. 26 points
  8. 26 points
    College stats Michael Jordan: 17.7 PTS, 5.0 RBS, 1.8 AST, 1.7 STL, 0.7 BLK Buddy Hield: 17.4 PTS, 5.0 RBS, 1.9 AST, 1.1 STL, 0.3 BLK Not saying Hield will be Michael Jordan, but his floor is Vince Carter
  9. 25 points
    If you don't pick up Boban after 1 game and then drop him after the next, are you really playing fantasy basketball?
  10. 25 points
  11. 25 points
    These threads and this forum is becoming a joke. Everyone moans and whines about everyone all the damn time. A bunch of box score watchers. 1) Collins looked great last year 2) Collins looked great last night. 90 yards on 12 touches. Yes please. Making people miss and trucking defenders. What fans of his are seeing is a good talent performing at a high level *when given the chance. 3) I was on the Ravens forum last night and everyone was bitching about Harbaugh and MMs use of Collins. Local media will put it to the coaching staff. Last year the Ravens went 5-2 down the stretch when Collins was getting 18 carries a game. 4) last year Collins had 7 and 9 carries respectively in Ravens first two games. Ravens won convincingly in the first game and got blown out in the second. Almost identical script this year as last. Coaches, if wanting to keep their job, will get back to what worked for them. Ball control through a ground game and tough defense. Having Flaccco throw 55 times is a guaranteed loss. 5) Everyone who is calling this guy a bust is a child with no successful experience playing fantasy football. It’s been two damn weeks. There is no preseason anymore. I wouldn’t seriously judge a players situation until week 4 these days. 6) Everyone who is calling this guy a bust... here are some names that Collins’ week 2 performance would have outscored in week 1: Mixon (week 2), Mcaffery, Hunt, Fournette, Freeman, Cook, and Of course, Bell. Are all these guys bums too? Jesus, this place.
  12. 25 points
  13. 25 points
  14. 24 points
    Packers fan here -- much of my Packers prognostication turns out to be wrong (or, at least, if correct, it takes some time to reveal it as such), but I think the threat of Aaron Jones making Jamaal Williams unstartable or at best a flex play is misguided. I'll try to keep this short: training camp is chock-full of coachspeak that means little to nothing. Mike McCarthy is not immune to this, but he is among the coaches who is least likely to heap praise on an undeserving player, and he'll even occasionally call out underperformers through the media. Aaron Rodgers fits this mold as well: when there's someone he sees performing at a high level, he lets the media know; when he sees players underperforming, he also (usually subtly) lets the media know as well. Brief examples: following Davante Adams' rookie year (mostly uneventful outside of a few big games late in the year as he spent the season as the #3 WR behind Jordy and Cobb), McCarthy called Adams the "MVP...[of the offseason]" and, from the linked article: Of course, in 2015 Jordy Nelson tore his ACL in the preseason and the Adams hype-train took off, only to be derailed by a Week 1 ankle injury that hounded him all year, particularly brutal for a WR whose defining quality is his elite release skills from the LOS. He played at well less than 100% (limping off the field not uncommonly to get re-taped up), his ability to create separation suffered, he'd be inhuman if his confidence didn't waver, which directly or indirectly resulted in a lot of dropped passes, and many Packers fans and probably a good deal of analysts as well were ready to write him off as a bust already without taking these factors into account. Well, healthy Davante has had no problems with drops and has delivered on every ounce of promise, albeit more than a year later than hoped, that Rodgers and McCarthy saw in him. The only other "offseason MVP" McCarthy has publicly declared was DT Kenny Clark following his rookie season in 2016. Clark went on to finish 2017 as a top-10 DT (based on PFF) and one of five interior DL to finish top-21 in both run-stopping and pass-rushing (per PFF again). [Sidebar: I'm sure there are some quotes someone can dig up about McCarthy complimenting Brett Hundley and we can see how that turned out, though I personally don't believe we've heard the last of Hundley as a productive NFL QB...no doubt he performed worse than the Packers' coaching staff and I expected him to, and had more downs than ups (needing OT to beat the Browns and getting shut out by the Ravens and Vikings to name a few) but also showed some undeniable flashes (nearly beating the Steelers, showing the ability to perform in the clutch with his game-winning pass in OT against (sigh) the Browns, to name a couple) -- in short, considering some of the defenses he faced (7 of his 10 games where he got appreciable playing time were against top-10 defenses), an uneven performance like what he displayed in his first extended time as a starter isn't a death knell for his career; ask Goff, Peyton Manning, Marino, and many other. OK that was too long of a sidebar -- Hundley will be back, is my point, and it just might be as a starter somewhere.] The offseason has a lot of coachspeak, of course. And it's a lot more productive to listen to a coach speaking negatively about a player than it is to hear them say "best shape of their life" and other coaching platitudes. With that said, Mike McCarthy (and Aaron Rodgers) are generally much less susceptible to "coachspeak" or complimenting the play/development of players who are undeserving of it (e.g. Rodgers basically throwing shade at the three WRs the Packers drafted with how glowingly he complimented Jake Kumerow (and how he flat out mentioned the rookie WRs need to look at Kumerow to see how they need to perform in practice if they want to gain his trust, without which they will not succeed in the NFL). Back to coachspeak: you'll be hard-pressed to find a player McCarthy has been more vocally complimentary of this offseason than Williams. Quotes like (from here): As a side note, the only two other guys I've heard similar (though less extreme) statements about from McCarthy this offseason have been S Kentrell Brice and (***fantasy relevant***) Jimmy Graham (Rodgers has also been vocally complimentary of Graham; I can't recall to what extent this contrasts his public statements on Martellus Bennett last year or Jared Cook the year before (though Cook performed when healthy; and if you ask Bennett, he wasn't healthy the entire season) -- and Rodgers has notably been critical of the trio of WRs the Packers drafted (though complimentary of Geronimo Allison) so he too is not one to dish out compliments when he doesn't feel they're deserved). So back to Jamaal Williams. As you're probably aware, he's far-and-away the best pass-blocking RB on the Packers' roster -- completely different ballpark than Jones or TyMont. Fifth-best in the NFL, as a rookie, last year, according to SIS. I mean, just look at this identification and execution of a difficult block of a free blitzer coming from as far from where he's lined up as possible. And believe me, you cannot underestimate how important pass-blocking is to a team that: A) has very recently seen what happens when their QB gets injured, and will prioritize players/schemes to prevent that as much as possible in the future, and B) runs a complex offense that has lost some key veteran offensive line cogs in the past few seasons (Lang and Sitton) whose continuity (along with the rest of the O-line) is an undeniable advantage in pass protection effectiveness. So there's reason to believe Williams is the preferable RB for the Packers to have in the game on 3rd-down passing situations (if they have a RB on the field -- can split TyMont wide, or keep Marcedes Lewis in to block if they're finding their O-line giving up a lot of pressure). Two more final thoughts: 1. I think Williams' skills as a RB are dramatically underrated. When you watch Aaron Jones, he seems to "pop" -- shot out of a cannon, some would describe it; more "explosive," certainly. Reminds me of Christine Michael during his brief time with the Packers (haven't watched a lot of him elsewhere) -- goes from 0 to 60 by the time he's got the ball, but seems to lack the vision to be a successful NFL RB. I love what Jones offers as a change of pace due to that "thunder and lightning" element he offers along with Williams. But a recent podcast I heard talked about Jordan Howard and why he's been so successful despite lacking the breakaway speed or, at least to my knowledge, freakish athleticism that gives him the elusiveness of guys like Kareem Hunt (or Jamaal Charles in his prime). The analyst on the podcast talked about how Howard knows how to run in traffic -- surrounded by bodies, some of whom are your teammates, most of whom aren't, but knowing how to move your body in relation to these other massive bodies (subconsciously predicting THEIR movements, while simultaneously physically breaking imperfect tackle attempts, etc.). I don't know if "vision" is the right word because that implies identification of cutback lanes (which a RB can also possess, but is not exactly what I'm talking about), nor is necessarily "patience" -- "feel" seems like a more accurate word. Essentially, Howard can get 3, 4, 5 yards per carry nearly at will due to his skills in this "feel" attribute, and I think Williams possesses it as well. Of course, an open running lane doesn't prevent him from getting a whole lot more than 3-5 yards, but (without looking up the stats and just going by intuition here) I feel like Howard is a guy who doesn't run for negative yardage all that often, and I think Williams shares this "feel" attribute of Howard's running style (though he's got more going for him than just that). (Side note: Williams and Howard have identical 40 times: 4.59 sec). I love Aaron Jones and think he plays a role in this offense when he comes back (I'm more skeptical of TyMont -- I think he's going to be more of a hybrid RB/WR this year than true RB, but that's pure speculation). 2. And one final thing: back when the Packers were producing single fantasy-relevant RBs (essentially one or two years of Lacy), remember what was a HUGE part of their game? Here's a hint. TL;DR: Draft Jamaal Williams and don't worry about him -- he's gonna crush it unless he gets injured.
  15. 24 points
    I know it’s small sample and meaningless, but that 162 game average ???: .339/.431/1.002 114 runs /29 HR/76 RBI/ 10 SB (Side note my wife walked by and asked who I was typing heart eyes to. I told her it was a 19 year-old’s baseball stats. I think she wishes I was cheating on her).
  16. 24 points
    Acuna was one of the most talked about and anticipated players in the minors before his call-up, and somewhat strangely I haven’t heard a ton about him since. Thought I would give a quick update on what his numbers are looking like under the hood! He’s currently hitting .260/.324/.450 with 4 HRs and 2 SBs in 111 PAs. He’s supported that line with an 8.1% walk rate and a below average 27% K rate and overall he’s posted a 111 wRC+ to this point. The K rate stands out in a negative way, and I’ll go into more detail later but I just wanted to point out that his swinging-strike rate is actually about league-average so the high K rate isn’t a bat-to-ball skills issue. Taking a look at Acuna’s batted ball data, the first thing that stands out is that he’s hitting a very low amount of line-drives at just 11.3%. That’s odd because all last year over 3 levels in the minors, he hit line-drives at an above-average rate and that was good because line-drives are the least likely form of batted ball contact to be turned into an out. Among hitters with at least 100 PAs, that ranks 4th worst in the majors and that’s arguably holding his BAPIP and therefore batting average down somewhat despite posting a reasonable .328 BAPIP currently. His groundball rate is sitting at 47.9% right now which is the 63rd highest in the majors. His flyball rate is at 40.8% right now and that’s a good mark and should let him rack up HRs with his plus plus raw power. Acuna is fairly pull focused, but not overly with a decent 42.3% pull rate. What is interesting is that Acuna is posting by far the lowest opposite field contact rate of his career at 15.5% when he’s typically averaged between low-mid 30% opposite field contact in the minors. The lowered opposite field contact rate has resulted in a very high 42.3% centerfield contact rate which ranks as the 16th highest mark in the majors right now and tells me that he’s on time a lot at the plate and not late to fastballs. Looking at Acuna’s quality of contact stats, it’s where he really shines! His 43.7% Hard Contact rate ranks 35th in the majors among those with at least 100 PAs and ranks ahead of names like Yoan Moncada, Nolan Arenado, Kris Bryant, and Gary Sanchez among others. He’s supporting that with a super impressive 93.8 MPH average exit velocity which ranks in a tie for 9th best in the majors with Giancarlo Stanton, Robinson Cano, and Matt Olson. According to Baseball Savant, his % of ball hit 95+ MPH is 52.1% and that ranks 14th best in the majors. He’s also barreling the ball at an above-average rate of 8.1% per PA which ranks 61st best in the majors. I also want to point out that his current 9.9% soft contact rate ranks as the 13th best in the majors right now. Essentially, when he makes contact, he hits it hard and that’s super impressive considering his lack of MLB experience and the fact that he can still add more strength as he matures more physically in the future. The power ceiling on him going forward is immense Let's take a look at Ronald Acuna’s plate discipline metrics: His out-of-zone swing% is 31.3% MLB average is 29.9% His zone swing % is 70.9% MLB average is 66.8% His overall swing % is 47.4% MLB average is 45.9% His out-of-zone contact % is 60.2% MLB average is 62.5% His zone contact% is 89.9% MLB average is 85.2% His overall contact rate is 78.3% MLB average is 76.8% His % of pitches seen inside the strike-zone is 40.7% MLB average is 43.2% His swinging-strike% is 10.3% MLB average is 10.6% As you can see, Acuna expands his zone slightly more than league average, and that’s not a great thing as his out-of-zone contact skills are about 2.3% worse than league average right now. The good news is he’s aggressive on strikes which tells me that he recognizes them, and is 89.9% zone contact rate is well above-average which shows that he doesn’t miss too many of them! I find it interesting that he’s seeing fewer strikes than league average, that tells me that either MLB pitchers are scared of him and showing respect, and/or they are trying to get him to chase and get himself out. Regardless, his swinging-strike rate is about average (actually 0.3 above-average) and that’s really impressive for a guy with that little MLB experience and for a guy with that sort of bat speed. That bat control combined with the very impressive quality of contact numbers is what makes him special IMO! If he can tighten his strike zone further in the future and force pitchers to come to him, he will hit a lot of HRs!!!! Honestly, there’s a ton to like about Acuna and I’m so excited to see how he does ROS and in his career. He’s got a special combination of crazy bat speed that generates really impressive quality of contact numbers, and bat control. Add in plus speed on the bases and he’s a 5 category player in fantasy with a huge ceiling! He doesn’t have any platoon issues or anything, and Statcast thinks he’s underperformed some with an xAVG of .269 and xSLG of .526 compared to his real-life numbers of .260 and .450. I think we’ll likely see some ups and downs over the course of this season, but the raw skills are undeniable and not many guys in fantasy have a higher upside.
  17. 23 points
    Oh look it’s internet explorer checking in.
  18. 23 points
  19. 23 points
    DISCLAIMER: I'm not trying to excuse this play, but rather try to examine/analyze/critique it to explain what happened. In short/tl;dr: 1.) The play is an option design, not a downfield design. 2.) Trubisky was not staring down Burton. This is a misconception, and if he had seen him earlier in the play, it is hard to know how it would've played out for multiple reasons. 3.) Trubisky's biggest problem in the play was not failing to see Burton open, but rather failing to read the defense and realize that the Called Play had almost no chance of happening earlier. 4.) I also don't believe it helps that Trubisky keeps his head turned around for as long as he does. I don't know where he's supposed to stop this roll-out, but I think he went too far and looped too much. He needs to be tighter. First into the play design. This is really the first time in this play (something I'll cover later) in which Trubisky gets his head around to face the field. The play design here is obvious: it's a basic option design. Trubisky is playing off of Clay Matthews, hoping he can cut it inside or if Cohen can make it to the corner. If that doesn't work, Gabriel is running a safe route on the other side of the field. But the first two reads here are pass-out to Cohen or run it yourself, IMO, with the third being Turbo. I hate this play. I don't know if it's execution or Mitch's footwork, but I hate that he stops HERE. He's roughly 11 Yards from the LOS when he stops. He should be, IMO, keeping tighter to the 10 Yard line. This would force Clay Matthews to make a decision about whether he's going to dive on Trubisky or go after Cohen. You want Matthews to dive after you on this play. The goal of an option concept is to get the defense caught between two decisions, not to catch yourself in between these decisions. I don't know how this play is designed, so I don't know if Trubisky ran it the way he's supposed to. It makes more sense for me to either stop there, or follow a closer trajectory to the red line, staying closer to Clay Matthews and tempting him with bull rushing. Instead Trubisky goes an extra four yards south. That can't happen in this play design, and is the reason the play starts to fall apart IMO, as Trubisky has removed himself so much from everyone else. I'd also like to point out one more thing in this image as I transition to Burton on the play: I think this is what people miss the most about this play. This is the best point to know that Burton is going to be open. The left side of the defense is clearly trying to take away Gabriel's lane, and there's a big gaping hole in the middle of the field... BUT Trubisky, potentially through no fault of his own, has his BACK to the field. He can't know how the Defense is guarding Burton when he's got his back to the field. And again, note the safeties position that Burton is running towards. I think it's simply a misconception that Trubisky really even sees Burton. He's still clearly looking towards Cohen and the pylon of the end zone. I'll show it in the next image, but I believe that part of the reason the image looks SO bad is that the Safety is reading Trubisky's eyes, and following him to the Pylon. If Trubisky sees Burton, and pulls himself away to attack the middle of the field earlier, the safety may see it as well. But before moving on from THIS image, I think this image is actually what shows the real problem. For one, the DC ate Matt Nagy's breakfast on this call. It's a flat heavy coverage and the basic play design is to attack the left or right flat. But primarily, Trubisky needs to be a bit quicker at realizing that with 5 GB defenders in this very limited view towards the pylon, this entire play concept is going to fail. Again, the fact that his BACK his turned to the defense for so long I don't think helps him, but this play is pretty blown to the corner based on how GB is defending, and Trubisky ruins any chance of running it by drifting too far from the LOS. Later in the play he almost considers running, but doesn't think he can make it 14 yards to beat Clay. Maybe he could've made it 9-10. But as a mobile QB at the 3 Yard line, the last thing you want to do is be so far from the LOS that you don't even threaten the TD with the run. So again, play was doomed from the start. Bad call against this defense alignment. Trub probably should recognize that sooner. Look away sooner. But he also got his head turned around late and didn't want to improvise out of the design of the play. If he would've seen Burton earlier, he may have been able to get him the ball, but he wasn't looking that way. And I don't think the Safety does this if he isn't: The safety is breaking AWAY from the open Receiver. Now he doesn't see Burton, but presumably to me that is because Trubisky is still looking in that direction. This is the point of the play where, if he's going to make the throw, it is now. This is where he gets his opportunity. But if he were staring down or charting Burton's route, it would be one thing. But this is the first time the play design has allowed his head to get all the way to the middle of the field. If that weren't the case, I don't think the Safety Breaks so hard towards the pylon. He needs to take in the field better. But he wasn't staring down an open receiver standing in the end zone. I think Trubisky needs to diagnose this play a little quicker, but ultimately I think the biggest misconception is that he's looking at Burton. That camera angle just happens to catch the exact moment he can see Burton, but he hasn't been looking at him. He just brought his head back around. Could he take the shot? Sure. But for a young QB I understand why at this instant he decided to preserve the FG instead of risk the TD. I think he needs to make that pass a bit more instinctually, but ultimately I do think it comes down to the play design. Trubisky didn't want to exit the play design, and so he didn't. I don't think he got aided by having his back to the defense for so long. That's not a very comfortable spot for 3rd and 3. Not the brightest moment, but far from the farce the play seems when you actually review how it broke down. This is Madden logic run amok IMO. If Trubisky could see the whole field like we do on Tape, he'd have known how this play would develop. But he didn't see Burton until the absolute instant he would've had to release the ball. He would've had to see him and INSTANTLY thrown it. What's most likely to happen is that Nagy and Trubisky review this play, and the next time they run it Trubisky understands better that when the flats are looking tough, he needs to look for Burton/to the middle sooner in the progression, and not when it is already about to be too late.
  20. 23 points
    Not sure stringing three Ks together is a good look.
  21. 22 points
    Cool. Tell us what you have for dinner later, too, please.
  22. 22 points
    I don't see the point in worrying about production, game scripts, learning playbooks, volume concerns etc. No one drafts Josh Gordon for safety. He is a complete dart throw lotto ticket. All owners need to hear is that he's off the Browns and with the Patriots. We weren't guaranteed anything on Cleveland so just enjoy the move away from the Factory of Sadness to a legit championship caliber organization with the best HC and QB of all time. His prospects for success have increased dramatically with the move alone in my book. Main thing to worry about for me is his anxiety issues. Anyone who's dealt with sobriety anxiety knows relapse is like the devil right around every corner. I give him crazy props on being clean and seeking mental counseling because that takes major courage and strength to face. You take a shot on Gordon because he's one of the most premier talents you've ever seen. He will win your league if he hits. If safety is more your thing I would trade him immediately because his value might never be higher right now. Otherwise, you hold onto Flash for dear life and accept the fact that you might go down with the ship.
  23. 22 points
  24. 22 points
    Well, he should undoubtedly dominate all the Dominicans and Puerto Ricans.
  25. 21 points
    I'll wait until Alvin Leaguewinner becomes available
  26. 21 points
    Another interesting week that transpired, here is a list of streamer options and potential breakout pickups who mostly have low ownership (under 35% owned) in Yahoo leagues. QB Baker Mayfield - Was one my last week's pickup addition. If healthy, Mayfield has an exploitable upcoming 4 game stretch. He could easily post QB1 numbers in that span. Gets Buccaneers, Steelers, Chiefs, and Falcons respectively before heading into a Week 10 bye. Great streamer potential with bye weeks kicking in. Mitch Trubisky - Streamer potential. Trubisky has back-to-back 300+ passing yards game and a combined 9:1 TD to INT ratio in that span. Gets a matchup vs slow Pats defense this week. RB Peyton Barber - Coming off bye, Barber posted his best game with 13/82 rushing and 4/24/1 TD receiving. More importantly, it seems Barber (not Ronald Jones) is still the primary back in this offense. Only owned 34% in Yahoo leagues, Barber needs to be picked up, if he was dropped before. Ito Smith - With Freeman heading to IR, it will continue to be Smith and Coleman splitting the load. Smith has scored a consecutive TD past 3 games, so ATL do like him in the red-zone. Think he gets a slight up-stick in touches moving forward, not by much, as he should hover around 9-15 touches a game. Marlon Mack - Colts backfield has been a headache all year long, but if healthy Mack is definitely the best rusher on this team. Mack had 89 rushing yards on only 12 carries past week. If Colts are smart I would think they dial up a bit more running plays to keep Luck (averaging 55 pass attempts past 3 games) a little more fresh and help limit Colts' defense time on field as well. Much more valuable in non-PPR leagues as Mack doesn't catch a lot and negative game scripts will favor Hines a bit more. Raheem Mostert - Interesting pickup as the journeyman posted a 12/87 rushing line out of the blue, with Morris and Breida active on MNF. 49ers are not going to have a true workhorse RB this year, as all three RB potentially could be involved moving forward. Don't expect him to usurp Breida's starting job, but given Breida's injury history, I think stashing Mostert over Morris at this point is the better play. Mostert offers that spark and big play ability in the run game like Breida that Morris doesn't. Duke Johnson Jr - Bench stash. Duke had his best fantasy game of the year with 2/36 rushing and 4/73 receiving. Still not enough touches, but made the most of them, especially after it was reported he was frustrated with his lack of touches this past week. Could potentially see a slight up-stick in touches, with Hyde struggling on the ground as of late. Duke could be low-end FLEX play in PPR with bye weeks kicking in. Nick Chubb - Deep bench stash. Chubb had 3/25 rushing past week, and Hue Jackson once again said he's gonna get more carries moving forward. Don't trust Jackson's word too much, but with Hyde struggling rushing as of late, Chubb could certainly push for more carries. Chubb has that breakaway speed that Hyde lacks, and Browns may want to control the clock a bit if Mayfield's sprained ankle is more serious than reported. Doug Martin/Jalen Rishard - Oakland is on bye this week, but Lynch is reported to have a potentially serious groin injury. If Lynch misses time, Martin should be the primary rusher going forward, while Rishard would resume his role as the pass catching RB and sprinkle in a few more carries. Gus Edwards - Posted 10/42 rushing compared to Collins 19/54 in NFL debut. Positive game script helped his number. Could be nothing, but should keep an eye on him. Frank Gore - Not a sexy add at all but became the oldest RB to rush for 100 yards in a game. Gore should continue to see 8-15 carries a game and gets a good matchup vs Lions defense this week. WR Marquise Goodwin - 45% owned in Yahoo leagues, Goodwin was dropped due to early injuries. 49er's best WR, an obvious must add/re-add after MNF explosion. Taylor Gabriel - Still only 25% owned in Yahoo leagues, Gabriel has 5+ targets every game this season and has back-to-back 100 yard receiving games. Him and Allen Robinson are essentially 1A and 1B WR options for this trending Bears offense. Jermaine Kearse - Posted 9/94 on 10 targets past week. With Enunwa's multi-week injury and Pryor hurt as well, I would not be surprised if Kearse leads the team in targets and catches moving forward. Could potentially be a WR3 in PPR leagues with Darnold's tendency to checkdown passes to his slot WR. Christian Kirk - Rosen's favorite target on a weak Cardinals team. Kirk posted 6/77 receiving past week and should continue to provide WR3/4 numbers in PPR. Albert Wilson - Exploded for 6/155/2 TD past week, Wilson has now seen 6+ targets past 3 games. Would not be crazy to assume he is the most viable/safe passing option on this unpredictable Miami team moving forward. Willie Snead Jr. - 7+ targets past 3 games. Snead has hauled in atleast 5/50 receiving past 3 games. Establishes himself as a solid floor, low upside WR3/4 in PPR leagues. Josh Reynolds - Streamer potential. With Cooper Kupp multi-week injury, the former 6'3 200lb Aggie is in prime position to replicate numbers similar to the Rams starting WR trio group in this high octane offense. Damion Ratley - Streamer potential. Another Aggie WR, Ratley had a great NFL debut corralling 6 of 8 targets for 82 yards. Rashard Higgins injury, Callaway's inefficiency, and Mayfield-Landry combo not in sync, Ratley could be in line for another solid game with a matchup vs. Bucs this week. Tyrell Williams - Classic boom-bust WR, Williams erupted in tune of 3/118/2 TD past week. Williams has exactly 3 catches in past 3 games, but what is more important is that Mike Williams is struggling (5 catches for 64 yards in past 3 games combined) so the opportunity to get a few more targets and solidify the #2 WR role is a possibility in a surprisingly run-first Chargers' offense. Tre'Quan Smith/Cameron Meredith - Saints WR who are now off their bye. Meredith offers the higher floor, while Smith gives you the boom-bust element in a WR. One of them may be able to cement themselves as the #2 WR passing option on a loaded team. D.J. Moore - Bench stash. 2 fumbles were killer to Panthers chances of winning past week, but should be noted he wasn't benched and proceeded to have 77 yards on 5 touches. A breakout is coming soon. TE C.J. Uzomah - Streamer potential. Posted 6/54 on 7 targets past week. Locked in for every down TE role, Uzomah has another great matchup this week vs Chiefs. Ricky Seals-Jones - 5/69 last game, Seals-Jones has now seen 6 targets in two straight games. He is a streamer at a weak TE position group.
  27. 21 points
    Was expecting: What I got instead:
  28. 21 points
    Mike Clay‏Verified account @MikeClayNFL FollowFollow @MikeClayNFL More BREAKING: Browns tried to release Josh Gordon, but accidentally filed paperwork signing him to a 5-year, $94 million extension.
  29. 21 points
    There are some brutal takes here. There’s a post on the previous page that provides some good color to what actually happened yesterday. Dixon wasn’t a threat in the least to Collins’ touches yesterday. All of his touches and I think all his snaps came after Flacco, Collins, and a bunch of other starters were pulled 5 minutes into the 3rd. It was 40-0. 40. 0. There’s a division road game Thursday. Pretend that Dixon didn’t see the field because that was going to be the case if the game were competitive. Buck Allen saw a lot of work but we knew a second back was going to see action. Or at least you should have known that when you drafted Collins. Collins saw 18-22 touches over the last half of the year last year. That’s what you’re looking for and he was on pace to get that outside of the fumble* and the blowout. Collins saw 6 carries prior to his fumble then was benched for 2 drives and Buck saw a 3rd drive in the 2 minute drill which would have been his role anyways. Collins also had a 14 yard run negated by a hold, a negative run negated by an offsides, and a botched handoff from Flacco. That’s 6 touches (9 attempted) in the first quarter+ of action. Then he sat because of the fumble/game situation. Then came back out in the second half and saw 2 more touches on the first 5 snaps of the second half before it was 40-0 and he along with lots of other starters were rested. That’s 8 touches (11 attempted) in 23 minutes of game action. Another hot issue for Collins was red zone usage. He had the 7 yard td run. He was in the next time they were inside the 10 as well. And he was in on another series inside the 10 where he caught a pass, had a run, then was in for a td pass to Boyle that was negated by a penalty. He was also in as described in that other post for Buck’s td plunge. Sometimes they pitch that ball wide to Collins after a fake to Buck but there was no way they were going to do that in the conditions yesterday. In summation, his usage was tracking to be the exact same as last year, plus he was in the game for the vast majority of the touches inside the 10. And Dixon didn’t have any run with the starters. These are good things.
  30. 21 points
  31. 21 points
  32. 20 points
    Oh crap this Rotoworld forums platform just turned the headings into light peacock blue. My eyes are burning trying to read this stuff. Help! Is there a way to go back to old school with heading for threads you can read in like BLACK????
  33. 20 points
    > not specific to your team > lists entire team and goes into depth about team Take your dumb a** to the AC forum.
  34. 20 points
    Comparing WR workloads to RB workloads? With a name like Matthew Berry, I'm not surprised.
  35. 20 points
  36. 20 points
    The advancing field of cybernetics begins to produce basketball-capable automatons. Due to a blind spot in the CBA, teams are able to purchase as many robots as they can afford, as they are not required to pay them a salary. Not a single human makes the all-star game, and, as machine learning and neural networking improve strategies and execution to previously incomprehensible levels, by the end of the season no team plays a human in its regular rotation. LeTron J4M35 wins MVP.
  37. 20 points
    I don't think there 's a whole lot to see here on this injury. Tim Riordan, a producer on SiriusXM Fantasy, attended the game NH game yesterday and said that Vlad Jr was in the dugout and moving around good. At one point, he dropped a ball over the dug out rail and hoped over the rail to grab it. That said, because he dropped the ball, the Blue Jays have sufficient rationale to hold him back till 2019.
  38. 20 points
    Let's get our ducks in a row before real baseball begins. Let's try to line up the handcuffs / next-in-line guys. Knowing who to grab makes a big difference when the news comes down that someone's hurt or being removed, and grabbing some of these guys now (as roster space allows) helps save FAAB and headaches later. Below is what CloserMonkey says, but I'd like a debate about who's really next up - especially from locals and homers who may have heard more about how the bullpen stacks up. For example, the Monkey points to Dyson and Watson in SF, but this board (myself included) seems to think it'll be Strickland (supported by local articles and beat writer guesses). AL EAST - Closer (Next/2nd) - thoughts Yankees - Chapman (Betances/Robertson) - I have no idea who Boone would go to here, and most of them are probably owned anyway. Red Sox - Kimbrel (Kelly/Carson Smith) - Both are having strong springs, as is Matt Barnes(15/3 K/BB in 9IP). I doubt they'd go to Smith just returning from TJS. Orioles - Brach (O'Day/Givens) - I wonder if Givens is really the 2nd in line here as O'Day always gets mentioned but never seems to get the role. Blue Jays - Osuna (Tepera/Loup) - Keep an eye on Deck McGuire here (former 1st Round pick; 13/1 K/BB in 10 IP this spring; No ER allowed; 0.56 WHIP) Rays - Colome (Romo/Alvarado) - watch out for Alvarado. Converted SP whose stuff is playing up in the pen (14/3 K/BB this spring in 10 IP). AL CENTRAL - Closer (Next/2nd) - thoughts Indians - Allen (Miller/Otero) - I'd be floored if Otero closed. Keep an eye on Nick Goody here - really solid for them last year. Tigers - Greene (Wilson/Stumpf) - Alex Wilson has been pounded this spring, and I know nothing about Stumpf. Joe Jimenez has the goods if he can control the BBs. Royals - Herrera (Maurer/Keller) - Maurer pitched better than his surface stats last year in SD, but Keller is a 22 YO converted SP (Rule 5 pick) with a good spring. Twins - Rodney (Reed/Hildenberger) White Sox - Jones/Soria (Minaya) AL WEST - Closer (Next/2nd) - thoughts Athletics - Treinen (Hendricks/Petit) - I feel they're mentioning Petit because there's no one else to mention. Casilla still lurks and wants the gig. Astros - Giles (Devenski/Harris) Angels - Parker/Bedrosian (Middleton) - Parker's been torched this spring; I still think Bedrosian ultimately lands the gig, but it might take time. Rangers - Kela/Diekman/Lincecum/Leclerc - Place your bets (gut says Kela gets first shot with a short leash; Leclerc has had a good spring; Lincecum looms?) Mariners - Diaz (Nicasio/Vincent) - Nicasio was really good last year. If Diaz struggles for a stretch, Nicasio may not give it back NL EAST - Closer (Next/2nd) - thoughts Mets - Familia (Ramos/Swarzak) - CloserMonkey noted as a committee (coachspeak?). Familia healthy? Ramos walks too many. Swarzak was filthy last year. Phillies - Neris (Neshek/Morgan) - Also noted as a committee; Neshek doesn't want it IIRC; Morgan - meh. Watch Edubray Ramos here (17Ks in 8.2 IP this spring) Braves - Vizcaino (Minter/Ramirez) - Minter looks like a LHP version of Kimbrel, and his health may be best served in the 9th. This might not take long. Marlins - Ziegler (Barraclough/Steckenrider) - two very good RPs behind Ziegler, but Ziegler could also hold the gig all year. Who knows? Nationals - Doolittle (Madson/Kitzler) - Kintzler's success as a closer last year and Madson's age make me wonder if Kintzler is really next in line. NL CENTRAL - Closer (Next/2nd) - thoughts Cubs - Morrow (Cishek/Edwards) - Cishek has done it before, but Edwards may have Maddon's trust (if he's not walking a bunch of dudes). Justin Wilson's there too. Cardinals - Leone/Lyons/Gregerson - Keep an eye on Jordan Hicks here. Flamethrower with triple digit heat is jumping from just 8 games at Hi-A. Pirates - Rivero (Kontos/Feliz) - I'd be shocked if Feliz wasn't the handcuff here if Rivero struggles at all Brewers - Knebel (Barnes/Hader) - Hader is young/inexperienced, so the Brewers may default to Barnes first, but Hader has the goods (17/3 K/BB in 9 IP this spring) Reds - Iglesias (Jared "Bull" Hughes/Hernandez) - The Hughes page makes the joke for me. They're forgetting Lorenzen; Quackenbush was a thread favorite before. NL WEST - Closer (Next/2nd) - thoughts Dodgers - Jansen (Fields/Alexander) Rockies - Davis (Shaw/McGee) - Ottavino has done it before in Colorado with aplomb. He could work his way in there ahead of newcomer Shaw and LHP McGee Giants - Melancon (Dyson/Strickland/Watson) - lots of discussion last few pages; my money is on Strickland eventually winning out DBacks - Boxberger (Bradley/Hirano) - Monkey points to Bradley as next, but I think they like him as the fireman (and he's said he likes it too). I think Hirano is next up. Padres - Hand (Yates/Stammen) - I think Maton is probably 3rd in line here over Stammen, personally.
  39. 19 points
    Buxton is like a Thursday night with the boys. You know you got work in the morning, you tell yourself eh I'll just have a pint, quick snack... 3 hours later you're 2 shots and 5 pints deep throwing your buddy in the bushes for fun. Buxton has contact issues, inconsistent approach, hasn't shown us much, and we say we're not interested... but by the end of spring all you see is the athleticism, the past hype, and thought it could magically be the year and we'll probably invest more than we should. Why? Because it will be fun as hell... and Shin Soo Choo will be our AM Tylonol.
  40. 19 points
    Shall we commence in prayer, for Spencer Ware, to handle that hammy with care? I can't imagine the coaches would dare, to rush back a player, that just wouldn't seem fair.
  41. 19 points
  42. 19 points
    Well he sucks in good weather...so I can’t imagine he’ll be any better today.
  43. 19 points
    If you draft Josh Gordon when he is playing on the Browns with Tyrod Taylor and then drop him when he gets traded to the Pats and Brady I think you need to re-evaluate your draft strategy.
  44. 19 points
    Kerryon does not have the tackling skills to be out there yet...They need players who can stop pick 6's on the field
  45. 19 points
    Le’Veon Bell as a handcuff for Conner
  46. 19 points
    Tonight we have the first official NFL kickoff. I try to have a rough rankings heading into preseason and then make major adjustments over the next 3 weeks, in preparation for my money drafts. Feel free to share yours, argue mine, call me names, whatever. Anyone who can make a strong case for a player being too high or too low, will be taken into serious consideration and likely have direct impact on my rankings, if you can provide a compelling argument. *Yahoo Default Scoring with 1PPR* In past years I've tried to explain my ranking philosophy, this year I think I found a way to make it visual for people to see. Take a look at the QB column, I have the first 12 ranked straight up. From there I've split the remaining QBs into 2 columns, Upside vs Reliability. There are multiple mentalities on the QB position, mine is fairly straight forward, if I don't have a top 5 QB, then I want 100% upside, 0% floor. In these scenario's in the past, I've always ranked highly volatile QBs higher than highly reliable QBs. Rivers is a low end QB1 nearly every year, but if I'm waiting on QB, I'm not interested in safe, boring, etc. Give me the guy with the 10% chance to jump into the top 6 this year out of nowhere. IF that doesn't work out... I'll go find Rivers production off the waiver wire from Bortles, Carr, Eli, etc. For me it's simple, if I wait on QB I want a lotto ticket, not a reliable low ceiling producer. If you are the type of player who prefers the latter option, there's absolutely nothing wrong with that. Instead of debating Rivers vs Tyrod in a ceiling/floor discussion I'm just going to split my ranks into a 'ceiling' column, and a 'floor' column, and rank them within their 'classification'. If you like safer, reliable, and consistent weekly low end production, go down the right column. If you prefer the risk/reward mentality and want to roll the dice with high variances, go down the left column. If you disagree with my columns, let me know why, I'm all ears. A strong argument could be made that Smith, Stafford, and Big Ben should be in the right column rather than separated above it. Since we're talking QBs, I'm likely higher on Cam and Cousins than most. Cam has had an outlier high and an outlier low in my opinion. Outside of those 2 years, he's basically a consistent top 4 QB. The addition of McCaffrey seemed to help a lot last year. The return of Olsen is welcomed and an argument can be made that Cam has the best WR corps of his career for 2018. (Steve Smith aside) I would like to hope CJA is an improvement in the run game over J.Stew but I'm not holding my breath. Cousins going to MIN gives him an array of weapons he's never had before between Cook, Rudolph, Diggs, Thielen, and hopefully Treadwell can finally pay dividends on that 1st round investment. In any other year, Rodgers would be in an Elite tier by himself. But Rodgers has never been Rodgers without Jordy. We've seen Jordy go down and tank Rodgers' season, we've seen Rodgers go down and tank Jordy's season. I've been a huge Rodgers supporter in the past, and still think he's the best 'thrower' of the football in the league right now, but the loss of Jordy is simply an unknown that's enough to drop him out of his own tier, but not enough to drop him from the #1 spot. I'm ranking Luck as if he's 100% right now. I'm ranking Wilson as if Baldwin doesn't miss a game. Some might say I'm down on Watson, I get it, I won't fight you. I'm notorious for disregarding statistical outliers and short term success, in favor of track records... but can't deny the upside that exists. He's my 4th ranked QB, but is a DND because of the reality of how a draft room works. He'll never be on the board when Cam/Cousins aren't, so he'll never be on my team. Nature of the beast. I don't foresee any issues with the TE ranks. I'm sure some will take issue with ranking him 12th overall, but last year, in only 13 games he scored 225 points, 17.3 PPG. There are only 3 WRs and 8 RBs in the game that scored more than him on a weekly basis. But there are plenty of breakout WR and RBs every single year. There are no Gronkowski's to be found in the late rounds or on the WW mid season. Positional PPG advantages win fantasy matchups. Just to drive this point home, Gronk scored more points per game last year than Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, and AJ Green, at a position where you can NOT find that production anywhere else. All 3 of these WR's continue to be drafted higher than Gronk though. Wide Receivers Keenan Allen deserves to be higher in his tier, but is automatically put to the bottom of it due to his injury risk. Just how I do it. Larry Fitzgerald is a similar outlook, he deserves to be higher, but due to his age, O line, new QB, I just put him at the bottom of it. I'm ranking Hilton as if Luck is 100% healthy, will adjust accordingly based on preseason and how Luck's arm/body responds. Cooks... I assume many will disagree with this one. For 3 years straight he's averaged 120 targets, 76 receptions, 1100 yards, and 8 TDs, despite being traded, multiple offenses, 2 (albeit great) QBs. I didn't buy it last year when people thought the sky was falling because of the trade, and I don't buy it this year. I don't think he has the upside he had previously, and I understand that Kupp has a cult following, but I think Cooks should easily lead the WRs of this team, and see no reason he shouldn't continue to produce, unless Goff takes a step backwards, which is very possible. Josh Gordon. Should be #1 overall, must be a typo. Thielen and Hill. I don't feel comfortable with either of these WRs but their production can't be denied. I have Diggs too low, Cousins spreads it around so much I'm not convinced he can make a single guy top 12. I'm ranking Baldwin as if he's 100% healthy. Everyone loves his year end fantasy totals. I despise his week to week roller coaster rides, that's just personal preference and for each individual to decide what type of week to week volatility they are willing to endure from their 2nd/3rd round pick. Adams. I just don't see what everyone else sees. This started in 2015 when Jordy went down in preseason. Adams ADP jumped into the 3rd/4th round if I recall, and I thought people were crazy. You don't just replace Jordy Nelson and say 'good enough'. He sucked that year. 2016 he 75/997. Not impressive, but when you score 12 TDs it vaults you into rare territory. 2017 he goes 74/885. Even worse, but again... double digit TDs. I think he has the situation to be a top 12 WR again, but I do not chase TDs, and I don't draft a WR 7th among his position who can't support my team on receptions/yards, because if the TDs don't come, you're SOL. There are still REALLY good WRs still available in the 2nd round, why take this risk. Especially when the best RZ threat in the league in Jimmy Graham is now a Packer. Part of this falls back on the concern with Rodgers and the Packers as a whole without Jordy. What happens when Adams see's better coverage, still no run game. Just too many potential outcomes for this kid to invest so much. Top 12 is very possible but if he goes 75/900/6 it shouldn't shock anyone given his production so far, and would put him at risk of falling out of the top 24 WRs for last year, and those who know the bigger picture know that 2017 and 2016 were already atrocious WR years in the grand scheme, 12.5 PPG is out of the top 30 on a weekly basis last year, would make him a WR4 in other years. 7th WR off the board, 19th overall... not a chance. The next tier is assumed #1 WRs of their own teams, in questionable situations, ranked by perceived upside. The following tier is #2 WRs on their own teams that have been reliable producers, but are unlikely to become the #1 WR of their own team. Garcon and KB are assumed #1s but in really questionable places given their teams. I'm too low on Marvin Jones probably. Beyond that it's pretty straight forward. Once the tiers stop they aren't in a specific order yet, I just haven't made it that far, or need to see more before I can accurately value them. I think Amendola is significantly underrated taking over the Slot role for Miami that Landry just produced the #4 WR season from. I'm hoping for a T.Pryor comeback. Nice lotto ticket in my opinion. Need to delete J.Matthews. Running Backs L.Bell has done nothing to lose the #1 spot in my opinion. Recency bias has pushed Gurley too high, slightly bloated by TDs. Bell gets more carries, more targets, and more catches, I value those more when predicting the future than TDs, 60 touches is a massive difference, holdout and contract mean nothing to me. Gurley is a beast but I'm not erasing that 1 down year, even if it wasn't his fault. DJ and Bell when on the field have produced at elite levels every time. DJ has never finished a full season as a starter. I can't rank Zeke higher than these 3 in PPR league, he just doesn't get used the same way (yet). Fournette at 5 is probably not the popular thing to do, but it's what makes the most sense to me. Injuries are a concern here as well. Barkley... I need to see him take a snap, we'll go from there. I don't think McCoy misses any time from the off field allegations. Bad team, Bad QB, bad WRs... who cares, McCoy has been an elite mainstay for a decade now. I understand wanting to get off the train a year early rather than a year late, but I think we've got another year minimum. I don't like Melvin Gordon. I just don't think he's as good as people think, but the volume is there, and he had a great season once he finally got going last year. Mark Ingram should be the same guy he's been for the last couple years. I went over the NO backfield at length last year with how many touches their are to go around. Kamara would wildly productive last year, and it didn't stop Ingram from being a top 6 back in the league. Bell got suspended 2 weeks and fell to the late 1st. Zeke got suspended 6 weeks and fell to the late 2nd. Ingram gets suspended 4 weeks and he's dropped all the way to the 5th??? By then he'll be my 3rd or 4th RB anyways, and the suspension doesn't even matter. Late season matters more than the early season. Everyone loves McKinnon, but I'm skeptical after seeing him fail so many times before. Understand the role, the opportunity, the spark score, and the effect of Shanny, but... Someone else can take that risk. I'm an Ajayi believer. Last years trade debacle negates the entire season for me. Giving him another shot. Lamar Miller is an enigma. I can't even. Howard is criminally low I suppose, but he reminds me of Alfred Morris. He doesn't catch the ball, lots of talk about not fitting into the new scheme, Cohen this. I'll pass but won't argue with anyone who wants to take him way earlier, I understand it. Mixon. Another player who everyone in the world but me seems to love. I've watched tape to try and see if I'm missing something, maybe my scouting sucks, but I don't see anything special. Improved down the stretch, but Gio is still there, and the Bengals haven't ridden a single RB in quite some time. Most likely to make me look dumb at seasons end. I was high on Hyde last year, ranking him top 10 at this exact time last season. Was laughed at, dismissed, ignored, etc. Top 10 RB. yes the injury risk is real. Yes the Browns suck, but... know who sucked more than the Browns last year? The 9ers, well until Jimmy G showed up at least. Although Jimmy G had no effect on Hyde's production. Duke will dominate 3rd down work, but I'm not convinced Chubb has any notable effect until he proves otherwise. Hyde won't get the targets/catches he got last year, but on paper the Browns team is really good, and if Hyde can stay on the field, I think he can easily be an RB2, currently going in the 8th round. Henry vs Dion. There's already too many pages on this. Long story short, it's a committee, and I believe they cannibalize each other. This is where the split happens, and in my big board we're looking at the start of round 5. Left side is the rookies, of which 2-3 will undoubtedly break out this year and become top 12-20 guys. Rounds 4-7 are the perfect time to take your pick if you want to take your shot. If you went WR/TE/QB early and need a reliable RB you cna count on to just get points every week, perhaps look at the right column. Many of the rookies have undefined roles as of today, I've listed them in the order I felt was clearest path to touches, for the time being. PreSeason will drastically alter this section of my rankings. Crow is way too underrated in my opinion. Lynch was a bit rusty last year, but his tape looks good, some advanced metrics he fared pretty well in, and the Raiders can't possibly be that terrible again. I don't know what's going on with Doug Martin, but Lynch could surprise some people this year if the offense doesn't implode again. Below that is a tier of 'role' players that I haven't quite sorted out yet into the overall ranks. Duke is too low. Dixon is the only BAL RB I'm interested in. Might not win the job till mid season, might not ever win the job, but I liked his tape a lot. Then we get into CoP backs, JAGs who would fall into more touches in the event of an injury, some pure handcuffs who have zero value until an injury, and the pure upside out of nowhere guys like Hines, Ballage. Looks like I forgot Gore. 2 of these 3 names are a good segway into why I'm not high on Drake. That should cover it for now. Again, this in an extremely rough draft, preseason will drastically alter this list over the next 3 weeks. The overall list is kind of just cut/pasted tiers to give myself an idea, which will also be updated as well with preseason, more research, TC reports, mock drafts, etc etc.
  47. 19 points
    More than 500 Major League Baseball players served in the military during WWII. Something most of us can’t really comprehend. We’ve heard the stories of Ted Williams and DiMaggio. But two actually died in battle. Elmer Gedeon and Harry O’Neill. A great day to remember them, and all who served and died for this great country. Happy Memorial Day.
  48. 19 points
    Anyone have any thoughts on the Milwaukee situation?
  49. 19 points
    The problem is that roto is boring AF. I want yahoo to let us start playoffs 1st week of March. That should eliminate most resting issues.