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Everything posted by BlueJaysIn2030

  1. RIP Roy Halladay?

    This seems pretty out of no where. Did someone in this thread slam him?
  2. Toronto Blue Jays 2018 Outlook

    2017 went pretty much exactly like I expected... An old team got older, made a mistake is moving too quickly off of Edwin, and played to a paltry 76-86 record. Their offence went from being one of the best in baseball to one of the worst, the pitching wasn't healthy, and there were some manager errors from time to time (not something we're used to). For 2018: Players Signed (age) dollars (remaining years, including 2018) Troy Tulowitzki (32) 20,000,000 (4) Russell Martin (34) 20,000,000 (2) Marco Estrada (33) 13,000,000 (1) JA Happ (34) 13,000,000 (1) Kendrys Molasses (52) 11,000,000 (2) Steve Pearce (34) 6,250,000 (1) Justin Smoak (30) 4,120,000 (2) TOTAL: 87,900,000 Arbitration (age) Josh Donaldson (31) Tom Koehler (31) Marcus Stroman (26) Ezequeil Carrera (30) Aaron Loup (29) Nick Tepesch (28) Kevin Pillar (28) Roberto Osuna (22) Ryan Goins (29) Devon Travis (26) Aaron Sanchez (24) As bad as 2017 was, there were some good things: Sanchez, Osuna, and Travis all had "poor" or terrible (Sanchez, my god) years. Their arbitration cost should be pretty low. This team is old, but 2019 looks like it could be a good year if they handle 2018 right. I think they have 3 options here: 1) Trade Donaldson for a package of prospects and hope it pans out. The team will still be pretty old and this doesn't really make them competitive, but at least it "builds" for the future. 2) Sign Donaldson for 3 years and sign JD Martinez for 3 years, regardless of cost. In 2019 they'd have a lineup that has Donaldson, Martinez, Bichette, Guerrero Jr, Tulowitzki, Martin, Smoak, plus whoever else they grab. Potentially a healthy Osuna, a budding Teoscar Hernendez... Personally, I'd love to this happen. 3) Sell off the team and go the Astros/Cubs/Phillies route. Demolish it. Trade everyone and everything, including the lockers. 2018 Outlook: Bleak.
  3. Orlando Arcia 2018 Outlook

    OK, I love this guy. I think he has all the tools and is super underrated. He went relatively unnoticed last year because of a poor 2016 debut (55G, 4HR, 21R, 17RBI, only 8SB, .219/.324/.358). 2017 was a really good year for the young SS. He's only 23 and was a highly touted prospect coming up. The Brewers love the kid, and he showed flashes of why all season. He's a subpar defender, but his bat should keep him in the lineup. Last year he finished with 15HR, 56R, 53RBI, 14SB, .277/.324/.407. He was caught stealing 7 times, but that should improve (caught 8/23 times in 2016). He's quick and has some power, for sure. Steamer has him going 14HR, 53R, 58RBI, 14SB, .261/.312/.405 for 2018, but I think that's low. For some reason the system has him set for only 138 games, but he played 153 in 2017. His BABIP is projected to be under .300, but with his speed and contact rate it should be higher than that. I'm projecting him for 158GP with 14HR and 24SB. I can see him replicating his average from 2017 or being close to it (let's say .270-.275). He seemed to get more confident on the basepaths during the second half of the year (9SB - 3CS vs 5SB - 4CS), and while his average dropped a bit, it was still solid at .268. I think OBP skills are going to be the real deciding factor on how he does, but I can see him being above average he had more walks (19) in the second half than the first (17), in 86 fewer PA. So again, my projection is 158GP with 14HR and 24SB with a BA around .270-.275. If you can snag this guy late, definitely do it. The Brewers should be running like crazy, and Arcia is now entering his 3rd year (2nd full) as a true pro.
  4. Off-season buy low/sell high

    I think he's talking in a keeper/dynasty they'd be good gets right now if your 2018 season is already done based on current players.
  5. Randal Grichuk 2018 Outlook

    So if you've seen him play what made you think he wasn't good?
  6. RIP Roy Halladay?

    I think there can be a great discussion regarding athletes and how they deal with life after living in the spotlight for 10+ years. I don't think anyone in here is stupid enough to come in and be like "Doc was a total dick for using drugs".
  7. Chris Sale 2018 Outlook

    Heck, if he goes back to his "norm" he's still likely a top 4 arm: 220IP, 10.55K/9, 2.98ERA That's unreal. I always forget he's only going to be 29.
  8. Randal Grichuk 2018 Outlook

    Pillar is a pretty bad bat, it's well know. He's 29 and swings for the fences with 1 year of +WAR offence to his name. His OBP skill stink. How has Alford tanked? He has 8 MLB PA, and then he got hurt. He's also 23.5 years old... when did we start to write off players before they even get a full season on ABs in the MLB while also being under 25 years old? Do you mean a AAAA guy? Hernandez hit .278/.354/.493 with 22HR/21SB in 143G at AAA and is only 25 with 68 MLB games to his name.
  9. Toronto Blue Jays 2018 Outlook

    On Nov 1 2017, Trey Baughn put 4 Jays prospects in his top 100 for fantasy, 2018. Alford Gurrero Jr Bichette Jansen I doubt Vlad or Bichette care September callups, but it's definitely a possibility. I'm interested in how Alford does at ST... Really hope he cracks the lineup. Danny Janson is another guy I could making the roster.
  10. Randal Grichuk 2018 Outlook

    I still have hope Pompey can get up and do something. Honestly, I think an exciting lineup in 2019: Travis Bichette Guerrero Jr Alford Hernendez Pompey/Grichuk in the OF Pompey is still pretty damn young at 25, and he had his entire 2017 washed out with an injury. I don't think he's going to be a great MLB player, but honestly the speed should be good enough to keep him in the lineup if he can bring his pre-2017 AAA plate discipline up. Heck, even if he ends up being a guy with ~350PA in the MLB, holds a BB around 10% and Ks at 20%, I think he'd be great in that OF.
  11. Randal Grichuk 2018 Outlook

    I wasn't saying it was good that they go for those kind of guys. I think it's bad, really. But for the last like 5 years we'e had guys who hit HRs and only HRs... They all swing for the fences, with a walk rate or not. Management is just doing it again.
  12. Toronto Blue Jays 2018 Outlook

    I think if he's healthy he has a typical .300/30+HR season, but I don't see this team getting on base or scoring a lot of runs. I'd totally grab him in the 2nd though. There's also always a possibility he gets moved to a contender in July.
  13. Toronto Blue Jays 2018 Outlook

    Even if we went by WAR, look how bad this team is (going off of projections here, which I think is fair): Travis: 1.6 Donaldson: 5.9 Smoak: 1.8 Grichuk: 1.2 (his hasn't been updated, but I think he'll be around 1.5) Grandaddy: 1 Molasses: 0.3 Tulo: 2 Martin: 2.4 Pillar: 2.3 TOTAL: 18.5 If I went off of just oWAR, you're looking at: 39, pretty bad. The one thing this team has going for it is upside...If Travis is healthy all year, I really think we could see something awesome. Maybe Teoscar steals PT from someone and goes bonkers. Perhaps Alford proves he's ready and pushes Pillar out. Lots of different guys, lots of parts. This team should have some good depth of MLB ready guys for 2019, but this year is going to be rough... Which is OK with me. This should be a retool/rebuild year anyway. I honestly hope they move Donaldson at the deadline and get either some young MLB ready dude back or a real prospect with great upside back. But yeah, this is going to be a HR only team, like in years past, except with worse hitters.
  14. Randal Grichuk 2018 Outlook

    Which makes him the exact guy the Jays go for.
  15. RIP Roy Halladay?

    No... Like, the facts are the facts. Being on drugs or having drugs in your system doesn't really change things... if anything, it shows that he was obviously undergoing something very traumatic in his life.
  16. Trevor Story 2018 Outlook

    Ah I was just kidding around!
  17. Randal Grichuk 2018 Outlook

    Yup. I'm not like... super pumped about this, but I'm also pretty happy they made the move. I like Grichuk in the field (he isn't anything spectacular, but if you can get average defence I'm on board) and he should hit 20+ HR in the SkyDome. He's only 26, and I think this is his last year. A little sad to see Greene go (I was a fan), but this solves their biggest need. Still not a team that will do anything contention-wise, but getting a young slugger is A-OK.
  18. Trevor Story 2018 Outlook

    Nah, I think Rodgers is supposed to play 2B. Story looking so good he gets 2 threads, eh? I don't even think Mike Trout's thread has 2 pages yet.
  19. Yasiel Puig 2018 Outlook

    Uh, so this postseason has been amazing. He's 26 now, and he hit 28HR with 15SB in 499ABs in 2017. Toss in 72R, 74RBI, and a slash line of .263/.346/.487 .833OPS. It's been really fun to watch him this postseason, and he's been a catalyst for the Dodgers: 1HR, 6RBI, 1R, .467BA, 2BB to 1SO. How are you feeling about him in 2018? i can see a similar year to 2017, with maybe a boost in BA/R/RBI.
  20. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    Yup. I'd be all on the Yelich train if I were a team... He's young and you know that even if he doesn't improve he's a great baseball player.
  21. 2018 Bold Predictions

    Contreras will not hit close to 40Hr.
  22. New York Mets 2018 Outlook

    No he won't. His defence has been garbage for like his entire career.
  23. The Worst Franchise in Baseball

    @My Dinner With Andre you somehow misspelled San Diego Padres in your title
  24. Toronto Blue Jays 2018 Outlook

    Yeah, next they'll sign some minor leaguers and invite some wash ups. This season is going to be rough.