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About osb_tensor

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  1. Nathan Peterman 2017-2018 Outlook

    An inept coaching staff is what's going on Buffalo.
  2. Trevor Bauer 2018 Season Outlook

    love the responses! i remember when this guy was a headcase with the diamondbacks a few year back. i recall he threw a ton of different pitches and refused to work with the catchers, basically shaking off everything they called for, wanting to call his own pitches, usually to his own detriment. i wonder if his pitch selection shows a little more maturity where he's actually listening to coaches and catchers and not trying to out think them. either way, good info on the curveball usage in the second half. the indians seem to have a knack for getting the most out of their pitchers the last few years and cleveland seems like a perfect place for him to flourish and grow. interesting tidbit i just noticed.. he's only 26 years old. same age as wacha, cole, stroman, teheran, and gausman. lots of time to grow for all of these guys.
  3. Jordan Montgomery 2018 Outlook

    cc, garcia, and pineda are all three FA, according to sportrac.
  4. after multiple seasons of under-performing based on his pedigree and hype, i feel like bauer finally began to live up to some of the expectations in the second half of 2017. he still ended the season with an ERA above 4, but from July through the end of the season he sported an ERA of 3.15 with a 10.15 K/9. His WHIP was still kind of iffy at 1.35, but advanced metrics pegged him as a 3.60/3.49 pitcher during that stretch. he continued his good play during the postseason by not allowing a single earned run over 8 innings and striking out 11 batters. i think he's a perfect candidate to fly under the radar a bit, based on last seasons overall numbers, and provide some value on draft day. i definitely think he can beat his steamer projections of 4.14 ERA and 8.95 K/9. anyone else?
  5. Jordan Montgomery 2018 Outlook

    guaranteed is probably too strong of a word this early in the off-season, but after tanaka, gray, and severino who else do they have? they'll need to pick up a SP or be forced to look at both chance adams and montgomery as starters. montgomery was surprisingly good last season, and i think he's solid, but that would be an awfully thin rotation to start the season with. edit: i guess chad green could be stretched out... seems like i read somewhere this was at least being discussed.
  6. Derrick Henry 2017 Outlook

    what an interesting conversation. what is the premise that's being discussed, whether henry is good or not? or whether henry is better than murray? or something different?
  7. Aaron Judge 2018 Season Outlook

    yes, it is. when someone specifically excludes seven days in a month to ensure the numbers meet specific criteria, that's hand selecting the data to meet a narrative.
  8. Aaron Judge 2018 Season Outlook

    but you could do that with any random grouping of days for any player.. i believe that's called cherry picking. for example, from 08/22 to 09/09 he hit .211. does that negate your claim of him hitting below .200 during a time-frame that included this smaller time-frame? also, i believe his high mark was 06/12 (game 59) when he was at .347. look i understand what you're saying. he had a long stretch were his average was crap. i get it.. but the whole point of an average is to get a typical number for a set of data, not to look for the worst possible scenario.
  9. Aaron Judge 2018 Season Outlook

    #FakeNews july .230 aug .185 sept .311
  10. Shohei Otani - SP/OF Japan

    i think @The Big Bat Theory hit the nail on the head with his answer... it would not be in Otani's best interest to share this information until after negotiations. i've not seen anything that mentioned a preferred team, so i'm assuming he's not said, and will not say, until after he signs.
  11. Shohei Otani - SP/OF Japan

    https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-hot-stove-shohei-otanis-japanese-team-says-it-will-post-him-this-offseason/ Seems like confirmation that Otani will play in the MLB next season. Still a few hurdles, but definitely heading the right direction.
  12. Martellus Bennett 2017 Season Outlook

    b-b-but everyone says he's a quitter and a p.o.s. surely no one on these forums would assign blame without knowing the whole story!
  13. in 2017 ray dazzled with a K/9 of 12.11 and an ERA at 2.89. his FIP/xFIP stand at 3.72/3.49 so I don't expect a sub 3 ERA again this season. one item that's been mentioned before, and i do believe is of note is that he has one of the hardest contact rates of all pitchers in the league. filter by pitchers with at least 60IP, and ray ranks as #7 hardest hit pitcher with a 40.4% hard hit rate. he was successful despite this, and i'm not convinced it's a problem, but it's certainly worth noting. he's a pitcher for the diamondbacks, so there's also the possibility that a humidor will be helping his cause in the future. nothing is certain, but i think it's going to happen at some point. in 2016 ray had FIP/xFIP of 3.76/3.45 in 2017 ray had FIP/xFIP of 3.72/3.49 those are very consistent numbers from one season to the next.. his strikeouts were up a bit in 2017, while his walks were also up a bit in 2017 compared to 2016, but the major difference was his babip of .352 in 2016 vs .267 in 2017.. which i'm sure were a huge part of why his ERA fell from 4.9 in 2016 to 2.89 in 2017. i like ray a lot, but i think a lot of 2017 was luck driven and while i don't think he's a 4.9 ERA guy, i'm not buying him at a 2.9 ERA either. steamer projects 3.66 and i'm right there with them, split the middle and i think it's about right. i don't think he's in the tier with kluber, sale, and kershaw's of the MLB, but i do think he's probably in the next tier. maybe with some guys like carrasco, muccullers, darvish, archer, etc solid SP2 or true ace in 2018?
  14. Rodriguez is not expected to return to pitching for six months after undergoing surgery to reconstruct the patellofemoral ligament in his right knee - Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports. (10/17/2017) so i guess we shouldn't expect him to pitch in MLB games until maybe may/june? best case scenario..