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Everything posted by osb_tensor

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks 2018 Outlook

    so the season is over and the d'backs raw number of HRs dropped by 20% at home, comparing 2018 to 2017. interesting tidbits: the diamondbacks had two 30+ HR bats (goldschmidt and peralta). jake lamb ended up on the DL for most of the season, and contributed very little in the way of home runs. a solid HR producer gone. aj pollock actually saw an increase in home run production, with more than half of them coming at home. an increase to the overall numbers that was not expected. steven souza was a huge disappointment, contributing only five home runs in about half a season's amount of games. similarly to lamb, he was expected to produce HRs and didn't. i'm not 100% convinced that the humidor caused the full 20% drop in home runs, but i think it definitely made an impact. obviously more games at home will help ultimately show what effects the humidor has on home run production, but for the first season of installment this seems pretty close to what was expected/predicted. what does fantasy land think about diamondback players going forward? is chase field a consideration for fantasy players, or is it mostly a non-issue?
  2. Odell Beckham Jr. 2018 Outlook

    https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2018/10/17/17987530/misused-underused-players interesting write-up on obj's usage. WR Odell Beckham Jr., Giants Early in his career, Beckham emerged as one of the league’s elite deep threats; in 2015, he reeled in 96 catches for 1,450 yards while averaging 15.1 yards per catch, with six of his 13 touchdowns coming on passes of 20-plus yards (tied for third most, per Pro Football Focus). After inking Beckham to a five-year extension worth up to $90 million this offseason, the expectation was that the Giants made him the highest-paid receiver ever with that type of field-stretching, touchdown-scoring role in mind. That hasn’t panned out. Two weeks have passed since Big Blue View writer Dan Pizzuta put together this montage of the mostly ugly, inaccurate, and low-percentage deep shots Eli Manning has thrown to Beckham this year, and, well, there’s probably no need to update it because things haven’t gotten any better since. Beckham has caught just three of his 10 targets of 20-plus yards this year for a grand total of 78 yards (43rd leaguewide) and one score. His longest reception is 33 yards; he’s averaging a career-low 11.2 yards per reception (85th); and his average air yards per target is just 9.8 (64th)—behind, notably, Colts tight end Eric Ebron (10.0) and just ahead of Jarvis Landry (9.6), per NFL Next Gen Stats. A smattering of his targeted routes this year paints a picture of how the team has deployed its all-world receiver (green represents yards after the catch):
  3. Robbie Ray 2018 Outlook

    in 2017 ray dazzled with a K/9 of 12.11 and an ERA at 2.89. his FIP/xFIP stand at 3.72/3.49 so I don't expect a sub 3 ERA again this season. one item that's been mentioned before, and i do believe is of note is that he has one of the hardest contact rates of all pitchers in the league. filter by pitchers with at least 60IP, and ray ranks as #7 hardest hit pitcher with a 40.4% hard hit rate. he was successful despite this, and i'm not convinced it's a problem, but it's certainly worth noting. he's a pitcher for the diamondbacks, so there's also the possibility that a humidor will be helping his cause in the future. nothing is certain, but i think it's going to happen at some point. in 2016 ray had FIP/xFIP of 3.76/3.45 in 2017 ray had FIP/xFIP of 3.72/3.49 those are very consistent numbers from one season to the next.. his strikeouts were up a bit in 2017, while his walks were also up a bit in 2017 compared to 2016, but the major difference was his babip of .352 in 2016 vs .267 in 2017.. which i'm sure were a huge part of why his ERA fell from 4.9 in 2016 to 2.89 in 2017. i like ray a lot, but i think a lot of 2017 was luck driven and while i don't think he's a 4.9 ERA guy, i'm not buying him at a 2.9 ERA either. steamer projects 3.66 and i'm right there with them, split the middle and i think it's about right. i don't think he's in the tier with kluber, sale, and kershaw's of the MLB, but i do think he's probably in the next tier. maybe with some guys like carrasco, muccullers, darvish, archer, etc solid SP2 or true ace in 2018?
  4. 2019 First Rounders Discussion

  5. Chad Kelly 2018 Outlook

    so the score from sunday's game with the jets looks bad, but the keenum's number don't appear to be as bad as previous games. is the kelly countdown clock paused? or does boxscore scouting the game betray me with regard to keenum's performance?
  6. Khris Davis 2018 Outlook

    And none of the projection systems will project a .247 avg next season..
  7. Not sure about his medical status for 2018, but I thought this was humorous.
  8. after multiple seasons of under-performing based on his pedigree and hype, i feel like bauer finally began to live up to some of the expectations in the second half of 2017. he still ended the season with an ERA above 4, but from July through the end of the season he sported an ERA of 3.15 with a 10.15 K/9. His WHIP was still kind of iffy at 1.35, but advanced metrics pegged him as a 3.60/3.49 pitcher during that stretch. he continued his good play during the postseason by not allowing a single earned run over 8 innings and striking out 11 batters. i think he's a perfect candidate to fly under the radar a bit, based on last seasons overall numbers, and provide some value on draft day. i definitely think he can beat his steamer projections of 4.14 ERA and 8.95 K/9. anyone else?
  9. 2019 Draft Steals

    with a caveat related to playing time and/or off-season moves made by the team, garrett hampson could provide tremendous value in colorado. whit merrifield or trea turner type stats, only many rounds later.
  10. Chris Hogan 2018 Outlook

    i'm slightly confused on hogan's talent. i think it was last year they were talking about he had the nickname 7/11 because he was always open. now i'm reading that he can't get good enough separation to create space. what is his talent, blowing past defenders on the outside and creating space with speed alone? has something changed?
  11. Rodriguez is not expected to return to pitching for six months after undergoing surgery to reconstruct the patellofemoral ligament in his right knee - Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports. (10/17/2017) so i guess we shouldn't expect him to pitch in MLB games until maybe may/june? best case scenario..
  12. Josh Gordon 2018 Outlook

    this is why i said i "agree in theory." the comment i was responding to implied that teams focusing on gordon will open up more short game opportunities. he's not going to be left uncovered, obviously, but teams aren't going to make him a focal point of the defense's game plan if he isn't a proven/legitimate threat.
  13. Josh Gordon 2018 Outlook

    i agree in theory, but gordon has to be proven/believed to be a legitimate threat for this to work. i.e., brady must be able to get gordon the ball deep for teams to respect the threat.
  14. falling at #3 the fWAR leaderboard at 6.9, rendon put up arguably his best stats in the majors in 2017. items of note: OBP over .403 (highest of career) more walks (highest % of career: 13.9) than strikeouts (lowest % of career: 13.6) will be in age 27 season in 2018 iso of .232, (highest of career) handful of SB stellar defense, which means he's always in the lineup when healthy fantasy: i think rendon could be a candidate to make the jump into the 1st round discussion in 2019, assuming he duplicates or improves on 2017. he doesn't have any one tremendously elite skill, so i'm not sure he'll have the justification to make it to first round status, but it's worth talking about. real life: i think he's defiantly trending toward MVP candidate status in the future if he keeps it up. didn't he get some MVP votes in his first full MLB season? what's the downside to this guy? regression? a fluke? i don't see much change in his batted ball profile, swstr%, hard%, pull%, contact%, etc.. all seem fairly close to his norms. everything seems sustainable, or close to it, at first glance. edit: defiantly trending.. i'm leaving it.
  15. Josh Gordon 2018 Outlook

  16. 2018 Call Up Watch Thread

    Christin Stewart is the notable name.
  17. MLB.tv 2018

    that's super cool and all.. but I want to know what the problem was and why resetting the router fixed it.
  18. MLB.tv 2018

    What does this accomplish?
  19. standard scoring, dynasty league. in a vacuum, who has the better overall outlook: jerick mckinnon or corey davis?
  20. Fun Game: Yes or No

    yes to all three, but on value i think collins for adams is the best deal.

    i like kamara, but it's oh-so-close and i could see the argument for either.
  22. @Rapn4dlite04 you're posting in the wrong section. i assume you're posting here because (1) you're still new enough that you don't have the ability to post in the right forum, or (2) it was accidental. either way, use the link below to find the correct forum. http://forums.rotoworld.com/forum/26-assistant-coach-help-forum/
  23. Rotoworld Software Upgrade Questions and Feedback

    that should be the correct usage. for example: hxxps://twitter.com/jack/status/20?lang=en i post the link above, only with the xx replaced with tt and it automatically turns it into the below formatted tweet.