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Everything posted by osb_tensor

  1. C.J. Anderson 2019 Outlook

    it's odd to discredit what he did when given an opportunity. should we discredit gurley's stats because the team and situation is perfect?
  2. 2019 Steamer Projections

    Up and running today at fangraphs. Haven't really had a chance to review them, but thought it might be beneficial to post a link. https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer This may be more appropriate in an already existing thread, not sure.. interesting projections: ohtani with 31 hr, 12 sb, and .272/.353 over 589 PA. Vlad jr: .306/.368/.511 with 550 PA. Wow! Soto with the 6th best wRC+
  3. T.J. Yeldon 2018 Outlook

    @Jags02 single-handedly driving the yeldon train.
  4. Paul Goldschmidt 2019 Outlook

    goldy actually started the season better than he ended it. mar/apr - 119 PA sept/oct - 99 PA it was May that killed fantasy owners
  5. Washington Redskins 2018 Outlook

    fantasy playoffs. the skins are one of those stash defenses because they have several good match-ups during the fantasy playoffs.
  6. Kris Bryant 2019 Outlook

    not particularly well.... came back on 9/1 and produced the following: .259/.354/.412, 2 HR, 0 SB, 9.1% BB, 32.3% K, 108 wRC+ (with a .385 BABIP) not horrible, but not 2nd round value, if that was the question/assumption.
  7. Josh Adams 2018 Outlook

    agreed. still though, if they auto-penciled in sproles as the #1, i'm leery of their ordering. sproles had less than 200 all purpose yards in 2017 and only 14 yds this season. how in the world did they come to the agreement that he's the defacto #1 going forward?
  8. Josh Adams 2018 Outlook

    any list that has sproles as #1 is probably not worth worrying over..
  9. Kapri Bibbs 2018 Outlook

    deep league, desperation only, bye week fill-in. yes, please, sign me up. he had a TD last week.. yahtzee!
  10. Top RB Handcuffs/Lottery Tickets

    kind of off-topic, but in the same realm. what is the general consensus on grabbing a random high-level handcuff vs grabbing the direct handcuff for your team/RB. example (not my team, just a hypothetical): if you owned saquon barkley, would you rather stash wayne gallman or spencer ware? if you owned zeke, would you rather stash rod smith or malcom brown?
  11. St. Louis Cardinals 2019 Outlook

    i don't know... harper would be great for STL, but i'm not sure it makes much sense. jose, fowler, bader, and o'neill are already a jam in the OF. if you add harper, that just compounds the problem and forces a trade. i would much rather see donaldson at 3b, pushing gyorko to 2b and wong to the bench, with money still left to spend on pitching. edit: to add a little bit onto this thought, gyorko and wong would make a pretty good platoon at 2b. gyorko hits lefties pretty good (career wRC+ 125) while wong is passable vs rightes (career wRC+ 99), but still better than gyorko (career wRC+ 94).
  12. Sammy Watkins 2018 Outlook

    https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2018/11/07/sammy-watkins-dealing-with-foot-injury/ According to Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network, wide receiver Sammy Watkins left last week’s game against the Browns with pain in his foot, and had an MRI. It’s apparently not a serious injury, but could complicate his status for this week’s game against the Cardinals.
  13. Odell Beckham Jr. 2018 Outlook

    how was he killing you with fluky points? i don't care if you traded obj or not, but to say that he was killing you when he's scored points is silly. maybe he won't continue to get those type points in the future, but you certainly benefited from them.
  14. Alex Reyes 2018 Outlook

    http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/official_info/about_mlb/rules_regulations.jsp Determining rookie status:A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the Major Leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a Major League club or clubs during the period of 25-player limit (excluding time in the military service and time on the disabled list). http://thecardinalnation.com/is-alex-reyes-still-a-rookie-or-not/ according to this article, MLB has confirmed that players must exceed the number(s) above to lose rookie status. Reyes has exactly 50 IP, and therefore is still a rookie by definition.
  15. 2018 QB Rankings

    now that chad kelly has been booted from the broncos, are there any other late season potential QB upgrades? it seems like most of the rookie QBs already have the job (rosen, allen, darnold, etc.), so barring injury i'm not seeing a lot of replacement possibilities due to performance. maybe cody kessler in JAX or alex tanney in NYG. any other obvious candidates? obviously, i'm talking deeper leagues where even lower ranked guys like bortles are rostered.
  16. Odell Beckham Jr. 2018 Outlook

    right or wrong, being a coach means doing whatever it takes to get the most production from your players. maybe with odell this entails helping keep his emotions in check.
  17. Chad Kelly 2018 Outlook

    https://247sports.com/nfl/denver-broncos/Article/Chad-Kelly-arrested-for-criminal-trespassing-123704269/ "Officers responded to an address in the 3200 block of South Lincoln Street at 1:17 a.m. Tuesday in reference to a male standing outside a residence. While officers were responding, they received information that the male was inside the residence. Per the release, the male was chased out of the residence by an occupant and officers began to search the area. Shortly after, a male matching the description provided by the homeowner was found inside a black sports utility vehicle near Gothic Theatre. The male was identified as Kelly and taken into custody. Kelly was transported to Arapahoe County Jail and the investigation is ongoing." Kelly appeared in court on Tuesday and is no longer in custody as of publication time. The Broncos released a brief statement, confirming they're investigating the arrest. .... The Broncos held their annual Halloween party on Monday evening. Orlando Franklin of 104.3 The Fan speculates a domestic issue led to Kelly's arrest. “Chad's girlfriend was with him last night," Franklin said. "I don’t know if they separated throughout the night. But that’s what I’m being told right now. They had their annual Halloween party last night and he was pretty messed up out there.”
  18. Arizona Diamondbacks 2018 Outlook

    so the season is over and the d'backs raw number of HRs dropped by 20% at home, comparing 2018 to 2017. interesting tidbits: the diamondbacks had two 30+ HR bats (goldschmidt and peralta). jake lamb ended up on the DL for most of the season, and contributed very little in the way of home runs. a solid HR producer gone. aj pollock actually saw an increase in home run production, with more than half of them coming at home. an increase to the overall numbers that was not expected. steven souza was a huge disappointment, contributing only five home runs in about half a season's amount of games. similarly to lamb, he was expected to produce HRs and didn't. i'm not 100% convinced that the humidor caused the full 20% drop in home runs, but i think it definitely made an impact. obviously more games at home will help ultimately show what effects the humidor has on home run production, but for the first season of installment this seems pretty close to what was expected/predicted. what does fantasy land think about diamondback players going forward? is chase field a consideration for fantasy players, or is it mostly a non-issue?
  19. Odell Beckham Jr. 2018 Outlook

    https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2018/10/17/17987530/misused-underused-players interesting write-up on obj's usage. WR Odell Beckham Jr., Giants Early in his career, Beckham emerged as one of the league’s elite deep threats; in 2015, he reeled in 96 catches for 1,450 yards while averaging 15.1 yards per catch, with six of his 13 touchdowns coming on passes of 20-plus yards (tied for third most, per Pro Football Focus). After inking Beckham to a five-year extension worth up to $90 million this offseason, the expectation was that the Giants made him the highest-paid receiver ever with that type of field-stretching, touchdown-scoring role in mind. That hasn’t panned out. Two weeks have passed since Big Blue View writer Dan Pizzuta put together this montage of the mostly ugly, inaccurate, and low-percentage deep shots Eli Manning has thrown to Beckham this year, and, well, there’s probably no need to update it because things haven’t gotten any better since. Beckham has caught just three of his 10 targets of 20-plus yards this year for a grand total of 78 yards (43rd leaguewide) and one score. His longest reception is 33 yards; he’s averaging a career-low 11.2 yards per reception (85th); and his average air yards per target is just 9.8 (64th)—behind, notably, Colts tight end Eric Ebron (10.0) and just ahead of Jarvis Landry (9.6), per NFL Next Gen Stats. A smattering of his targeted routes this year paints a picture of how the team has deployed its all-world receiver (green represents yards after the catch):
  20. Robbie Ray 2018 Outlook

    in 2017 ray dazzled with a K/9 of 12.11 and an ERA at 2.89. his FIP/xFIP stand at 3.72/3.49 so I don't expect a sub 3 ERA again this season. one item that's been mentioned before, and i do believe is of note is that he has one of the hardest contact rates of all pitchers in the league. filter by pitchers with at least 60IP, and ray ranks as #7 hardest hit pitcher with a 40.4% hard hit rate. he was successful despite this, and i'm not convinced it's a problem, but it's certainly worth noting. he's a pitcher for the diamondbacks, so there's also the possibility that a humidor will be helping his cause in the future. nothing is certain, but i think it's going to happen at some point. in 2016 ray had FIP/xFIP of 3.76/3.45 in 2017 ray had FIP/xFIP of 3.72/3.49 those are very consistent numbers from one season to the next.. his strikeouts were up a bit in 2017, while his walks were also up a bit in 2017 compared to 2016, but the major difference was his babip of .352 in 2016 vs .267 in 2017.. which i'm sure were a huge part of why his ERA fell from 4.9 in 2016 to 2.89 in 2017. i like ray a lot, but i think a lot of 2017 was luck driven and while i don't think he's a 4.9 ERA guy, i'm not buying him at a 2.9 ERA either. steamer projects 3.66 and i'm right there with them, split the middle and i think it's about right. i don't think he's in the tier with kluber, sale, and kershaw's of the MLB, but i do think he's probably in the next tier. maybe with some guys like carrasco, muccullers, darvish, archer, etc solid SP2 or true ace in 2018?
  21. 2019 First Rounders Discussion

  22. Chad Kelly 2018 Outlook

    so the score from sunday's game with the jets looks bad, but the keenum's number don't appear to be as bad as previous games. is the kelly countdown clock paused? or does boxscore scouting the game betray me with regard to keenum's performance?