Lonny Baxter

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  1. Baseball Prospectus 2018 Top 101

    To me with prospects this year there are two tiers. There are 10-15 players that best case are stars, worse case if they stay healthy, they are still solid major leaguers and then there are everybody else. I liked what the fangraphs article said The gap between prospect No. 5 on this list, Fernando Tatis Jr., and prospect No. 35, Corbin Burnes, is 30 spots, and there’s a substantial difference in talent there. The gap between Ke’Bryan Hayes (No. 56) and Leody Taveras (No. 86), meanwhile, is also 30 numerical places, but the difference in talent is relatively small. I don't think Mejia is anywhere near that top tier. The Indians catchers are not great and Mejia has had a year at AA but there is no talk about bringing Mejia up. It says a lot about what they think of his defense abilities.
  2. Baseball Prospectus 2018 Top 101

    They also seem too high on Francisco Mejia at 5 and JP Crawford at 14 Both seem to have fallen on many other lists recently. It is uncertain whether Mejia will stick at catcher and rating him higher than Eloy Jimenez, Senzel, Alex Reyes, Fernando Tatis Jr and Forrest Whitley seems particularly questionable.
  3. 2018 MiLB draft results thread

    It is one of those things I just don't see the other side of the issue. A first year player draft in a dynasty league is for players in their first year in a MLB organization. What difference does it make if Mikolas and Thames were playing in Asia or retired and cameback?
  4. 2018 MiLB draft results thread

    This is the second year. Thames was part of the initial draft.
  5. 2018 MiLB draft results thread

    I have an issue in my dynasty league and wanted to get opinions. I thought this would be the most appropriate place since it involves a 1st year player draft. The dynasty league that I am is in its 2nd year. We will be having our first 1st year draft shortly. I picked up Miles Mikolas a couple month ago when was rumored to be returning to the MLB. He previously pitched in a mlb organization for five years. He has enough innings to not even be eligible for the minors according to league rules. Tonight the commissioner drops Mikolas from my team with the explanation that Miles Mikolas is part of our upcoming draft. He is an International Free Agent and IFA rules apply. Thanks. The rules say ENTRY DRAFT: Each year we will have a 3 round draft sometime after major league baseball holds it's first year player entry draft. This draft will include players drafted in the MLB draft and all international players signed since the beginning of the previous RSD draft . Am I right to be upset that a player who was previously with a MLB organization should not be in a 1st year draft? Is anyone else in a dynasty league where Mikolas would be in the 1st year player draft?
  6. Oswaldo Arcia LF ARZ

    What you were called out for and now refuse to acknowledge, is when you said that Arcia could have been the centerpiece for a trade for Sonny Gray or Michael Fulmer. That was not anywhere close to reality. The point is that Arcia went to Japan because he could not get a MLB contract.
  7. Which prospects are you higher on than most people, and why?

    I think Hays a RF that may be able to play CF in an emergency but not on a regular basis.
  8. Which prospects are you higher on than most people, and why?

    Cedric Mullins. He does not seem to be on anyone's top prospect list but I think he will be the Oriole starting centerfielder and leadoff hitter in 2019. Mullins held his own in 2017 at AA after skipping high A, despite being plagued by hamstring problems. He is a very good centerfielder and Adam Jones will be a free agent after 2018 and probably should move to a corner outfielder position anyway. It does not hurt that Buck Showalter seems to be his biggest fan. Mullins is not going to be a star but 15 homer and 15 SBs with a lot of runs are realistic.
  9. D.J. Stewart - OF BAL

    Stewart is an interesting player. He looks more like someone from the company softball team than a major league prospect. However, he is more athletic than he looks. He has stolen 46 based over the last two years. Steward was a 1st round round pick in 2015 as an advanced college bat and looked like a bust in the NY Penn and Sally leagues. However, his stats have improved each step up the ladder . Stewart is a very patient hitter. I don't think the outlook for playing time for Stewart is great for 2018. Unless they pay most of their contracts or take on an equally bad contract the Orioles are stuck with Christ Davis at 1B and Mark Trumbo at DH. This means that Mancini is the LF. Adam Jones is still the centerfielder although he has lost range and probably should be moved to RF. Anthony Santander has to be in the majors for the first 44 games and Austin Hays is the Orioles best position prospect since Manny Machado came up in 2012. Cedric Mullins in another outfield prospect that was at Bowie in 2017. Mullins is a favorite of Buck Showalter. The Orioles should be in rebuild mode, but that does not seem to be happening. Even if they trade Machado, they are looking for major league ready players. It is entirely possible that they add another outfielder which would make it even more crowded for Stewart.
  10. Oswaldo Arcia LF ARZ

    LOL. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/12/oswaldo-arcia-signs-ham-fighters-japan-npb.html
  11. 2017 Vent & Rant Thread

    I had to start Andy Dalton because Jameis Winston's game was rescheduled due to the hurricane. It did not go well.
  12. Oswaldo Arcia LF ARZ

    Being DFAed by three teams and released by another team means that he was not good enough to be on either the 25 man or 40 man roster of four teams and those teams did not find their was enough value to trade him. In one case, the Twins were able to trade him to the Rays for a player to be named later or cash. The Marlins claims him off waivers from the Rays. The Padres claims him off waivers from the Marlins and the Padres released him in the off season. There is a difference between DFing and releasing but in terms of value for someone making close to the major league minimum, it is only a small difference in value. You seem to think that because Arcia has had a nice year in AAA in a hitters park, his value has significantly increased. It is not reality to think that Arica could have been a centerpiece for a trade for a pitcher like Gray or Fulmer. Is the same true for Christian Walker who was DFAed by three teams in 2017 and is having also a big year in Reno? If you are right, Arcia should either go into 2018 on the Diamondbacks 40 man roster and with a starting job for the Diamondbacks or fetch a nice return in a trade. If everyone else is right, Arcia will be fighting for a MLB job.
  13. Oswaldo Arcia LF ARZ

    I don't agree with you but fine. Earlier in the thread you were saying Arcia could be a centerpiece in a trade for Gray or Fulmer which is not close to reality. BTW if you don't think Reno is an extreme hitters park, check out Arcia's teammate Christian Walker numbers. This is Walker's third full year in AAA and first year in Reno. After two average years in Norfolk, he is crushing in Reno this year.
  14. Oswaldo Arcia LF ARZ

    To clarify Arcia was removed from either the 25 to 40 rosters of four teams in 2016 (Twins, Ray, Marlins and Padres). He is not on Arizona's 40 man roster. I am not arguing that if he was given a chance to play every day he might put up decent number. I am arguing that he has very little value. I used Pedro Alvarez as as example. Going into this offseason, he was a free agent coming off two production offensive years and could not get a MLB contract. Tyler O'Neill is a top prospect that was just traded straight up for Marco Gonzales The reason is that in this era of record setting homers and launch angles, there is plenty of good hit poor fielders. Pitching is in demand.
  15. Oswaldo Arcia LF ARZ

    I think you are way off on Arcia's value. He was released three times last year. Putting up big number in a sandbox in Reno does not do much to change his value. There is a trend in baseball where good hit, poor fielding players are not in demand. See the JD Martinez trade. See Pedro Alvarez not getting an MLB job after posting a 826 OPS last year. LOL at Arcia being a centerpiece for a trade for Gray or Fulmer.