WEIL3R

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Everything posted by WEIL3R

  1. He's averaging around 18 touches a game the last four games and only has two TD's on the year. It hasn't been pretty but I think you have to ride this out (not drop him) in standard and half PPR. I am starting him with Conner on bye, but he might have made it in ahead of Robbie Anderson or Hardman at flex even if Conner was playing. Not too excited about the NO matchup though. That said, I could easily see him with 60 yards and a TD.
  2. I need Jimmy Graham to get me 6 standard points. 60 yards or a TD. Figure there's about a 40% shot with Davante out. All my previous matchups were essentially decided before Monday night. At least it will make the game more interesting.
  3. Your username doesn't check out. I would have been really surprised to see him given a full load after a week of practice (particularly with Ekeler playing well), but I do see him being the main back either next week or the week after.
  4. If he doesn’t suit up for the Chargers, he doesn’t play again (unless he gets traded). He will perpetually have one year left on his rookie contract unless he reports around week 10.
  5. I thought MVS looked good. I felt the Packers were trying to scheme him the ball a bit and you could see his game speed. I think those signs are encouraging for his outlook. If he and ARod continue to develop their rapport, I think he could be a fantasy viable weapon. That will help Rodgers as well.
  6. He has the arm talent. I don't think there's anything wrong with having him as a backup QB. There is some potential there and he has shown flashes of being really good. I wouldn't bet on him being excellent this year, but I wouldn't be surprised either. He has the tools. He needs to remain more calm under pressure and improve his feel in the pocket.
  7. I think the hype train went something like this: -Glowing reviews in training camp -Split carries with 1st team offense (while Drake was healthy) -Drake gets injured, uncertain status for week 1 -Ballage looks to have clear shot at starting role (here is where things begin to turn) -Poor preseason performances, but Dolphins looked pathetic in general -Drake recovers sooner than expected I think he's still a hold in keeper leagues as Drake's contract is up after this year. If Ballage does well when called upon, he could be in line to be the 2020 starter. I don't have him in redrafts, but I would probably still hold for a week or two to see what kind of usage he's getting.
  8. Leonard Fournette Valdez-Scantlilng Darwin Thompson (will probably only hold in my keeper league, but want to see him week 1)
  9. To me high stakes starts at $500 buy-in. That being said my long time keeper league only does a $200 buy-in. We have some poors in our league, but I love them so it's okay.
  10. I would have agreed with you all summer. Now I'm not so sure. He's listed at both positions on all depth charts, but it's possible Penny or Amadi contribute to the return game as well. They don't really have anyone else.
  11. With McKissic cut, Lockett is in line to return both punts and kicks. Last year he returned punts and only returned kicks occasionally. He could be in for a monster year in return yardage leagues (I should say another monster year as he was WR7 last year in my league) unless they have Penny assist with kick returns.
  12. I'm not sure what you're asking, but Yahoo does allow you to have a starting roster spot designated as RB/WR/TE. You can customize your league to have a whole bunch of them if you like.
  13. He was splitting 1st team reps with Drake before Drake got hurt, so despite Ballage's mediocre preseason I would hold at least until after week 1 in redraft to see what kind of usage he is getting. I will probably give him a longer leash because it sounded like Ballage was impressing in practice and the only league I drafted him is a keeper league (Drake is most likely gone after this year).
  14. I draft best player available the first 4 rounds but adapt to what is happening in the draft. When Zeke was a clear top 4 pick, in my full point 10 team PPR league I drafted him 4th. I was thinking that I would take an RB in the second (or Kelce if he fell), but JuJu was available at pick 17 and I couldn't say no. I then got Fournette in the 3rd (who I had been considering at 17 along with Gurley). The draft is a dynamic thing and managers value players drastically differently, even in the first two rounds. My drafts never go according to ADP. Someone might reach for Mahomes or draft D. Henry at the beginning of round 2 because they don't think he will come back to them in standard and they believe he will be a top 5 RB this year, etc. Be prepared to change your plan.
  15. The worst WR I would potentially trade him for is Mike Evans (depending on rosters). Arguments could be made for AB, Thielen, and K. Allen, but I prefer Fournette over those players this year, particularly in standard. I've been hoping to get Fournette around pick 24-30, but am looking at him as early as 18. Cooper wouldn't come on my radar until the mid-30's. I've ended up with Fournette on all three of my teams and Cooper on one. The team that I drafted Cooper to was a 1 point PPR league and I drafted him 13 picks (at 37) after I drafted Fournette.
  16. He's the one RB I've been reaching a little for. I think he's in for a big year, despite owning him last year in what was a debacle.
  17. The hypothetical was based on Zeke missing four or fewer games. You don't get 0's in your lineup for the 1-4 weeks missed by Zeke in this scenario. If you drafted Pollard, who can still be had late as of recently, let's assume you get 75% of Zeke's production while Zeke is out. Let's assume Zeke averages 20 fantasy points per week in full point PPR. So for 1-4 weeks you get 15 pts/week from Pollard and then you're back up to 20 per week moving forward. You could easily argue his value as a top four pick in this scenario. It's just math!
  18. I agree with that. The fines are typically an illusion anyway and are waived once the player shows up. However, I think everyone has a bit of recency bias in our minds from Bell and this is a very different situation (ie. Gordon has less leverage). It's still unusual for a holdout to drag out very far into the regular season. I don't begrudge Gordon from trying to get paid while he's still a very productive RB, but it sounds like the offer is pretty fair ($10-$11 million per year). Worst case scenario is he shows up week 9 or 10 (depending on the Chargers bye week this season). Well, the technical worst case scenario is that the Chargers further punish Gordon at that point and put him on the roster exemption list for a couple games, but that would be harming them as team. But they have done it before with Vincent Jackson so who knows.
  19. Gus, Hill and Jackson can all have some involvement and there is still 20 touches out there for Ingram. Ravens led the league in rush attempts last. They averaged close to 35 rushes a game. If Ingram gets only half of the carries (let's round down to 17) and adds in 3-4 receptions per game, he is looking at 20+ touches. Some question whether he can handle that much, but I see no reason why he can't. They paid Ingram to be the primary RB. Gus should still be involved, maybe even moreso if they are in a blowout win and need to run out the clock in the 4th. But a breakdown like this seems reasonable: Ingram - 17 carries Edwards - 8 carries Lamar - 7 carries Others - 2-3 carries Hill should get some involvement in the passing game, but there should be plenty of touches to go around. I don't think they want Lamar running the ball close to 150 times again. I expect it to be closer to 100-115.
  20. It's important to note that both Gordon and Zeke are still under contract (unlike when Bell held out), so they have to play this year (or retire). If they don't play, they will still have the same amount of years on their respective contracts in 2020 as they did to start 2019. And they will be a year older and made no money in 2019. Bell was in a unique situation where the franchise tag language was ambiguous regarding situations where the player didn't play the entire season. Bell would have had to be kept at a much higher franchise tag pay rate in 2019 (based on average top QB pay rates) than his tag price in 2018 (based on average top RB pay rates). Steelers were never going to pay that. Completely different situations.
  21. Well, the pick won't be "lost". Unless he pulls a Luck and retires, worst case he is back for their 9th game (week 9 or 10 depending on their bye). If he holds out longer than eight games, then he won't get credited for playing this year and he will still be under contract for two more years after this one. If Zeke's camp is more transparent than Bell's and they say from the beginning that they plan to hold out until week 9 or 10, then Pollard would probably have some value to the Zeke manager. At this point it still seems improbably that Zeke won't be playing at or near the start of the season. It's not worth alienating your star running back who is still under contract for two more years and subsequently eligible to be franchise tagged for a third. I only drafted Zeke in one of my three leagues and I was able to get Pollard quite late (pick 137). Full point PPR. I like having him in case there is a holdout (and because he is now the clear cuff), but I don't expect him to be the starter for week 1 (though it is in the realm of possibility).
  22. Last night I got him in round 6 in my 10 team PPR league (pick 57). I already had Zeke, Fournette and Ingram but I couldn't pass him up at that point. If all four RB's are healthy when he comes back, I figure I can just swap one for a top WR or TE. As others have said, he has to come back by week 10. My only concern is if his replacements are doing incredible then he might not get a full workload when he comes back, but that seems unlikely.
  23. While that's correct, I think predicting his usage when he does come back it another variable to consider. Everyone is just assuming that he is going to come back and jump into the primary back role. And while I still think that is the most likely scenario, there could be other factors that develop. Maybe Ekeler or Jackson excel to a point that they usurp some of his carries (more so than normal). Maybe bad blood develops between Gordon and members of the team during the holdout. Maybe Gordon comes back and he isn't in game-ready shape (unlikely). If Bell had come back before week 10 of last year, it was unclear what his usage was going to be due to Conner's strong play and some dissension among players regarding Bell's holdout. Conner had won over the locker room. Something similar might occur with Gordon, though I still wouldn't bet on it.
  24. The article is correct, but I hope it's common knowledge by now in 6 point passing TD leagues. The elite QB's command a bit of a premium and running QB's are devalued a bit. The effect is less dramatic amount the middle tier QB's because there is less differentiation between passing TD production.
  25. I think he's a sleeper in standard scoring return yardage leagues. Last year he was a top 25 WR in that format through 8 games (averaging 10.2 points per game). In those first 8 games it looks like he had 252 receiving yards, 643 return yards and 4 TD's. If his role expands on offense and he's still returning kicks at the same clip (which is possible with how bad the Dolphins are...more points allowed equals more kick returns), he could even provide value in other return league formats. Hard to see the value in non-return yardage leagues though.