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Everything posted by taobball

  1. Matt Ryan 2018 Outlook

    Because Ryan had 4 games of 300 Yards last year and two were against Carolina. Not saying he won’t perform against the saints, but Lattimore and the pass rush are legit at least. If he does have a bad game it wouldn’t shock me in the slightest after what we’ve seen thru 18 reg season games with sark
  2. Jordan Howard 2018 Outlook

    And saying Howard is better when running from shotgun is inaccurate. His YPC has been better on a much more limited sample. We don’t know over a larger sample if that will hold true for Howard or not. But the more accurate way to put it is that it hasn’t been a crutch thus far in his career and we have reason to believe it won’t hurt him moving forward.
  3. Jordan Howard 2018 Outlook

    The bigger concern than performance for standard leagues is: 1.) The willingness to get game planned out. 2.) The pass-heavy RZ. I wouldnt have predicted either of those things. The reverse is that his pass catching looks much better and through two weeks if you have gripes about Howard it’s actually more in Standard than PPR... people s--- on Trubiskys performance last night a lot, and while I won’t say it was good, Trubisky was 14/16 in the second half with a TD. He scored on every drive the offense stayed on schedule. The two he didn’t had a penalty or an early down quick sack. Nagy felt comfortable enough with Trubisky passing on first down to do it all night. Trubisky in the second half completed most of those passes and kept the offense on schedule. I’m not too worried as a Howard owner or panicking. Especially with the reception volume. And I think the TDs will come. But I also am certainly surprised by usage in first two games. Bears have had the lead for 99:53 of the first 120:00 of their season. They have been behind for 2:13. These conditions aren’t likely to continue unless the Bears go 13-3 and they’d seem to favor Howard, but have not.
  4. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    Yeah it seemed like Nagys direct game plan to win on the outside. Trubisky was 14/16 in the second half. They didn’t run much despite the lead. This was the game plan today. I don’t know when it’ll feature Burton more
  5. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    Trubisky made two bad throws to AR that resulted in INTs, but they weren’t bad reads. Trubisky missed him on an out. As a whole AR caught 10/14 targets. Can anyone actually explain how targeting AR hurt the offense?
  6. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    I won't say Trubisky looked good, but its different saying Trubisky looked good and that he has been probably unfairly knocked a bit. His clock and feet were way better in week 2. He wasn't sprinting out of the Pocket or releasing early nearly as much. He was still operating simple reads, yes, but he completed such a high percentage of his passes... why would he change? Trubisky was 10/14 when targetting AR. Neither pick was the result of a bad read where he was locked into AR, and both passes were completeable with better throws. Think he was 12/14 with a TD and 0 turnovers in the second half? Kept his eyes up better. I'mnot saying again that he's great, but he did take a couple noticable steps forward from week 1 to week 2, and the amount of s--- he gets is hilariously unwarranted.
  7. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    I mean sure. But in reality he had 0 Turnovers Week 1. You can debate the merits of fumbling on the last play on a 4th and Long if you wish. 1 INT was a shot play that was slightly underthrown, one was tipped at the LOS. Neither were possible without excellent defensive plays. He's not going through his progressions because he's not given progressions to go through. He did pretty much exactly what he was asked all day yesterday. Not saying one way or the otehr, but he did pretty much exactly what he was asked to do. The Bears really only had drives stop yesterday due to penalties or big negative plays.
  8. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    What in particular was innovative about Nagy's scripted offense to you? Looked more like a thousand college gimmicks that have mostly failed outside of the first drive to me. Seems like it might make more sense to try to get your young QB into an actual rhythm and give him the opportunity to actually make a decision the entire game instead of putting it all on you and then being surprised when he doesn't have it when the chips are down. But again, Nagy's been coaching ahead for 99+ of 120 minutes so far as a coach, so I guess if you don't think it's broke...
  9. Tarik Cohen 2018 Outlook

    Why does it have to be all or nothing with you people? FWIW he is absolutely NOTHING like Dion Lewis. It's like no one even understand what talents Dion Lewis has. He's more like Sproles than Hill, or Tavon for that matter. Always has been, and will continue to be when healthy.
  10. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    In terms of the scripted offense, the Offense has been almost entirely scripted. Mitch has been given very little to do. The Bears haven't tried to do anything different. They haven't felt like they had to. The Bears have played 120 Minutes of Football. They have been in the lead for 99 Minutes and 53 Seconds by my count. They've been trailing for roughly 2 Minutes and 13 Seconds. That is not indicative for a team wanting to have heavy passing volume, specifically with a young QB. The question is, if Chicago does have a top 3 Defense this year, does any of that change? FWIW, I think we'll see the offense consistently open up as the season goes along, but Nagy is running a much different offense than most people suspected. Burton still gets enough snaps and plays enough that in a position like TE that is so shallow, he's still worth sticking with. He's a yard away from having 2 TDs on the season, even if he does only have 5 Rec and a handful of yards.
  11. Trey Burton 2018 Outlook

    Mitch is not good at making it through his progressions. That said, a lot of what Nagy is doing is not designing plays for him to read the field but a single option. Nagys designing every play to go to one man right now. It’s a really gimmicky offense, and Nagy is operating it more like a former QB picking where he wants to throw than an OC developing his QBs. Nagy is using play calling to protect Trubisky and the fact that the Bears have been up for about 95% of the minutes they’ve played this year hasn’t exactly made him feel like changing anything.
  12. Bears are in a must win if they want to be a competitive team this year. We stack up poorly with GB. Excellent Tackle Play, Rodgers, good Run-D, really a hard matchup for a lot of teams. Seahawks are taking a s--- O-Line on the road with no outside weapons and a defense who’s greatest current strength is LB, and KJ Wright and Bobby Wagner are being replaced by someone off the street awaiting trial for insider trading. Russell Wilson is a top 2 QB to me when it comes to winning a game entirely by himself. We faced the other last week and we saw how that went. But the Bears football roster is so much more talented right now than the Seahawks outside of that position it isn’t even funny. One of the first steps in being a good team is defending home. First shot, and it should be a Bears W.
  13. 2018 Buy Low / Sell High Thread

    Have we literally ever seen the Steelers use a timeshare? In probably 5+ years? Im not saying will or won’t, but don’t be so quick to ignore a clear philosophy. I wouldn’t be definitive what happens on return.
  14. Keelan Cole 2018 Outlook

    Who said anything about applying perfectly to production? Who said anything about using Lee's stats even as a baseline. Your argument was that it was hard to see how Cole would consistently produce in this offense. My argument was that a far less talented WR did it last year, that 3,687 Passing Yards for an offense isn't actually that few, and that there are actually very few data points that suggest that the Jags won't have a consistently WR1 for their team throughout this year. They did all last year until Lee went down. Cole is more talented than Lee. This is your thesis: I agree he won't throw 40 times a week. But he was 11th in the NFL last year in Passing Yardage playing for a historic and historically healthy defense with a great RB who looks like he's going to be as hurt or more-so throughout this year as last. Your argument is that hte volume won't sustain consistency. My argument is that the same volume sustained a less-talented Receivers consistency throughout all of 2017 when that player was healthy, and that projecting a QB who is coming off a 3,700 Yard season where he was 11th in Pass Yards to NOT have the volume to produce a WR2 really isn't all that statistically defensible. If you wanna argue Bortles throws for less than 3600, be my guest. But last year as a QB who targets WR over TE and HB seemingly, I'll take Bortles to have a WR2 this year. I've said it all offseason that I think the Jags #1 WR will be a mid-range WR3 at worse. Cole is showing greater talent to improve the projection. SO again, if you want to make me the argument that you want to make that this Jags passing attafck can't sustain a WR2 despite doing so for most of last year and having the 11th most passing yards for QB last year, be my guest. WR23 for Lee from Week 2 to Week 14.
  15. Keelan Cole 2018 Outlook

    Even when they're on the same team, same offense, have the same QB, and is a mathematical model based on how many Passing Yards the Jags had last year instead of you just completely being dismissive for reasons that are unclear other than... "well that's what I think." You keep dismissing things that don't fit what you want
  16. Emmanuel Sanders 2018 Outlook

    Yeah that's fine. It's just one opinion. Keenum seems to prefer Sanders. Differnet QB. Different system. Everything is pointing Sanders way IMO. We'll see how it goes. I don't think it's that unlikely, give what Keenum did just last year with his 7th round slot WR.
  17. Jordan Howard 2018 Outlook

    It depends on how defenses end up switching it up. Howard, as ridiculous as it may sound, abused the defense on Sunday night. He didn't do much on the catch, but it was essentially a HB Toss that got 8 yards multiple times. Nagy drew up too many first down screens. It was one of my biggest complaints of the game. But Howard's flat plays were realyl the only ones that were working because of how they were being defended. If Howard continues to see similar coverage, I think he'll continue to get some sneaky slip outs that function essentially as running plays, but help PPR substantially more.
  18. Emmanuel Sanders 2018 Outlook

    Honestly is it that absurd. This is clearly Sanders’ offfense. A top 15 finish is not unlikely
  19. Emmanuel Sanders 2018 Outlook

    Essentially this. If someone hitting nearly 100 Yards at the receiver position doesn’t float your boat, I’m not gonna argue it. I just think the expectation level is absurd and you’re gonna be let down a lot
  20. Emmanuel Sanders 2018 Outlook

    You're not being offensive. I just hope I'm not offensive when I say that I think you're being ridiculous in your expectations. ZOMG SANDERS WONT HAVE 1600 YARDS?? OH THE HUMANITY!!!!!!
  21. Emmanuel Sanders 2018 Outlook

    I'm sorry. You consider 4/96 a lame week 2? Yeah, your expectations are ridiculous.
  22. New York Giants 2018 Outlook

    Yes there is. The OLine still isn’t good. They will continue to struggle on the road in particular.
  23. Keelan Cole 2018 Outlook

    I don't see why it's that hard to believe. Marqise Lee had 56/702/3 last year in the same offense and only recorded a catch in 12 games. You expand that to 16 and you have 75/936/4. And I would argue Keelan Cole is more talented than Marqise Lee. The fact of the matter is that no Jaguars WR was fantasy relevant from Weeks 1-17 last year. But if Marqise Lee was healthy all of last year he wouldn'thave finished too far from a WR2, so i don't think it's that hard to believe Keelan Cole ends up a WR2. Blake Bortles had plenty of Passing Volume last year, regardless of the defense.
  24. Marshawn Lynch 2018 Outlook

    to finish... like Last year where his usage went up a lot after the bye, and on a full season he paced 270/1250/10 w/ 32/226 in the receiving game. There is no argument that isn't purely age based that says he'll slow down.
  25. Matt Breida 2018 Outlook

    Kyle Shanahan likes to run 2 back systems. He's also put guys like Freeman consistently in the RB1 class. Breida had 3 Receps today. If he can continue to develop that skill and do that consistently, he'll be a mid-RB2 with double digit carries and a seasonal 45-55 Rec. Something like Freeman's 2016 Volume of 227/54. That's not that unlikely to me. I don't think he's as good as Freeman either, but I also think Shanahan's a coach I trust to put him in good situations. Certainly having a huge game makes his 11/46 (4.2) against the Vikings look even better.