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Everything posted by BigPapi44

  1. Travis Shaw 2019 Outlook

    I'd anticipate he'll mainly play 2B, but I do think this does hurt his ABs though not drastically.
  2. Trevor Larnach, OF, MIN

    I think he's got more value in OBP leagues, but I definitely see him moving up lists quickly.
  3. Fangraphs 2019 Top 100

    Interesting List. Looking at Top 35: May at 21, they obviously are sold on his performance last year. Lux at 23, for a non-fantasy list, seems high. Luzardo at 27 seems a bit low. They seem higher on Chisolm, at 31, then a lot.
  4. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    It is a good point. If he continues to dominate like he did last season, he might force their hand to give him a cup of coffee earlier than expected. Still, I tend to agree that there will be another year with a cap on his innings, which provided he gets through it okay this year, the gloves come off more in 2020. A lot will be determined by how well he performs and the Padres need for rotation help as the year goes along, imo.
  5. Daniel Murphy 2019 Outlook

    Seems pretty straightforward, has to stay healthy. If he can manage to do so, those numbers are not out of the question. I'm hoping he plays 140 games anticipating some extra days rest.
  6. Luke Voit 2019 Outlook

    While there's little doubt his BA will regress, I think that if Voit holds the job he's a good source of 30+ HR on the cheap. I also would like to see how he looks in ST.
  7. Corbin Burnes 2019 Outlook

    Well, the GM of the team indicated that they were looking at him as a starter this year. I suspect his role will get sorted out with Spring Training performances and/or injuries. Right now, I see him as the front-runner for the last rotation spot.
  8. Thoughts on him making the Brewers rotation and expectations of him this year and long-term.
  9. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    The only thing that is holding him back from developing as an Ace is a third pitch. He's also already had TJ surgery, so that is also something to consider long-term.
  10. Amed Rosario 2019 Outlook

    Need to give him some time and opportunity, imo. If you look at his numbers in AA and AAA, he had OBP's of .374 and .367 respectively, and that was like at 20-21 years old. Obviously adjusting to MLB pitching takes some time for most. He played all of last year at 22 years old, in New York, on a team that struggled. Hopefully they give him a chance to lead off in the spring and he can parlay it into a big season. Lowrie has not been a traditional lead off guy, so Nimmo would seem to be the only other option.
  11. Chris Sale 2019 Outlook

    They did also try and limit his innings in the second half of the season. I agree, there is risk, but depending on where he's available in your draft the reward could be greater. He's more valuable, imo, in a league that allows trades. I would not hesitate to get 15-20 starts or so out of him, then address another area of need. Of course, he would have to make it to that point without injury.
  12. Baseball Prospectus 2019 Top 101 Prospects

    To be clear, as far as my post was concerned the list is fine. There will always be some discrepancy between certain players, so issue there from me. I do find, however, that BP has increasingly in recent years taken a more aggressive approach with their rankings, which the poster above noted is more "look at me" mentality. That's been my impression of their list and the 'newer' prospect guys on the site as a whole since they lost KG and Jason Parks. Having listened to their Podcasts, that's my sense of them as well. Maybe it's a generational thing.
  13. Baseball Prospectus 2019 Top 101 Prospects

    Ya, since they lost Kevin Goldstein and then later Jason Parks it really has not had the same prospect content. I can't speak to the other articles, because I'm more interested in prospects, but it has lost a lot of appeal. Every list has it's own take, but I don't see how you include Tejeda at 83 and Seuly Matias at 52, but don't even include Gavin Lux. I agree with someone above, think a lot of this is 'look at me'.
  14. Gavin Lux - SS/2B LAD

    Dodgers valued him high enough, apparently, that they did not want to include him the package to the O's for Machado. Obviously, Lux is going to have to make some adjustments. In terms of fantasy value though, have to bet on the talent and who knows if he even remains a Dodger long-term. Much can happen such that worrying about a place for him because of being blocked or how they will utilize him may be irrelevant.
  15. IBW Prospect List

    Keep up the good work. Really enjoyed the analysis and projections, both for present and future.
  16. IBW Prospect List

    Did he forget to rank Michael Chavis?
  17. Deivi Garcia - RHP NYY

    They nailed it between 15-20 seconds, "he's the total package, it's just size". That's the only knock, the success rate of starters under 6'0 is just almost non-existent in the modern era. Pedro and Lincecum have been the exception to the rule.
  18. Deivi Garcia - RHP NYY

    He's listed at 5'10 and it's hard to know how 'updated' that is. I agree with you guys, there have been very few pitchers in the modern era, not named Tim Lincecum or Pedro Martinez, that have found a lot of success as a starting pitcher that are under 6 feet.
  19. Patrick Wisdom 2019 Outlook

    Worth a late round flier, imo, if there is no platoon even more so.
  20. Corbin Burnes 2019 Outlook

    Not sure: Per RotoWire News: General Manager David Stearns said Burnes will enter the 2019 season as a starter, Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports. (10/23/2018)
  21. Tyler White 2019 Outlook

    Bazinga! I actually laughed out loud at that one nice one @ST. STEVEN On White, like other guys have already mentioned he will have some real sneaky value if they don't go out and get another bat. If there is anything behind the Edwin rumors and that they were pursuing Cruz until he signed with the Twins, then it does not seem the 'Stros are all that comfortable with having him as a full-time player.
  22. Jeff McNeil 2019 Outlook

    Gents - Albeit a really good discussion on the Mets-M's trade and corresponding WAR value, this is a thread for Jeff McNeil. Given the recent trades and signings by the Mets, my outlook for McNeil has unfortunately soured. Obviously there are injuries and he could absolutely rake which would force the team's hand, but as it stands I do not see a path to regular playing time. Perhaps he will be used as a trade-chip in another deal for a starter or to strengthen them elsewhere.
  23. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    Seems like they intend to play him across the INF. Whatever value his bat adds would seem to be off-set by his likely below average defense if he does not have the arm/range at 3rd and has never played 1B. My hope was that Voit would be provided every opportunity to play 1B full-time, but figured Bird would still be in the mix. The signings of Tulo and now DJ have complicated that scenario.
  24. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    Ya, not sure I get this signing at all other than signing him to ride the pine or try and/or they try and play him at SS. My understanding though is that he does not have the range for SS, which is why he has played 2B.
  25. new prospect list- Prospects1500

    I'm not sure why they wouldn't if he is considered one of the top prospects by scouts and talent evaluators. What difference does it make if he is 'years away'? The point of the list is to identify the top prospects, regardless of proximity to their respective MLB teams. If proximity was the only consideration, the lists would mostly be composed of AA and AAA guys. There is inherent risk, I agree, with putting such a young player very high on the list, but again age and proximity is not the determining factor. If his talent, at least from respected scouts and evaluators, believe he should be ranked highly then that's where he should be. See Griffey Jr., Ken for further information about young kids and prospect rankings. If I recall he really was a young kid debuting in short season and with his showing began his meteoric rise and he was ranked by Baseball America quite high afterwards. The rest is history. Again, the ranking is based on his perceived talent and ability even if it takes 3 more years to get to the show.