BGDDYKWL

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  1. Melvin Gordon for Conner + Bell

    You laugh at my post and say Gordon is a "beast". Gordon has struggled to average 4 ypc his entire career and has some serious competition for snaps with Ekeler. Whoever the starting RB in Pitt is is THE guy. Gets essentially every touch. Conner, and Bell unquestionably will outproduce Gordon simply due to Ekeler.
  2. 2018 Streaming Defense Thread

    This is the key. Because their defense did absolutely nothing (fantasy wise) until VERY late in the game. And this was a fantastic matchup. Bad team, rookie QB, at home, short week, and they had like 3 points through 58 minutes.
  3. Conner/Edelman for TY? .5ppr

    WAY too much for TY. Edelman will produce at nearly the same level as Hilton as TY in a few weeks, and it's looking increasingly likely you're gonna have Conner starting for 10 weeks. 10 weeks of an RB1 is not worth moving a low-end WR2 for a high-end WR2.
  4. Melvin Gordon for Conner + Bell

    In a vacuum I make this deal, but you have Ekeler, so because of that I'd probably decline. People seem to have already forgotten how good Bell is. Gordon is not better than Bell when he returns, and I'm not sure he's even better than Conner. Ekeler could seriously eat into his workload.
  5. Kareem Hunt 2018 Outlook

    This is the absolute KILLER. The rushing numbers/usage doesn't concern me at all. The offense is explosive, a RB who plays that many snaps will produce. But Mahomes isn't going to all of a sudden turn into a guy who dumps the ball off. I realize we're talking a very small sample size, but people who drafted Hunt were expecting 50-65 catches and around 500 yards. If he goes for 20 and 150 that's a huge hit.
  6. Derrick Henry 2018 Outlook

    In a 10-team league it is a fair question. Especially if you're loaded at RB and your leaguemates aren't big on trades. I'm in a pretty competitive league, and have Ingram and Edelman (obviously out this week). Gio, DJax and John Brown were on waivers. I'd rather start any of them at flex this week over Henry, particularly in PPR. You're essentially holding Henry at this point to maybe start during a rough bye week or if Lewis gets hurt.
  7. David Johnson 2018 Outlook

    As a Cards fan (and a DJ fan), I hate to say it, but I think the only way we see the production we expected out of DJ is with both a QB change and coach replacement. It's astounding how bad this offense has looked. And not to derail the thread, but the talk about Bradford being this superstar type QB if only he could stay healthy was truly comical.
  8. James Conner 2018 Outlook

    Conner might be the single toughest guy to gauge trade value on in the entire league, and much of that is due to the points you outlined. If Bell comes back next week, Conner is just a high-value cuff, but it is conceivable Bell doesn't play a snap this year, in which case Conner is a locked in RB1. Personally, I wouldn't trade him for anything outside of a RB1 or a WR1. It's just too risky otherwise.
  9. Derrick Henry 2018 Outlook

    Unfortunately he's the classic guy you draft reasonably early, so you're pretty heavily invested, but if you did a blind look at his stats/production, and were also given info on his offense, Oline, etc., you'd drop him and never look back. But because of the investment, and the slim possibility he actually does find some way to turn into a high-end RB2, it's tough to flat out drop him. So he ends up just clogging your bench all year.
  10. Derrick Henry 2018 Outlook

    Exactly as mentioned, only way this guy really produces is on an absolute powerhouse offense. Otherwise he's barely worth rostering. You put him on like a top 5 offense and he's gonna be a high-end RB2. On this Titans team, he's not even startable once the byes come.
  11. Joe Mixon 2018 Outlook

    Conner was a no-brainer IMO and I actually reached for him very early (all things considered). After seeing what DWill did two years ago and the way Tomlin uses his RBs, I think it was safe to assume we'd have a RB1 if Bell decided to hold out. John Brown on the other hand is a good example of what I'm referring to. He's likely not a guy you'll ever start, it's highly unlikely his upside is higher than his best year with a better QB and more pass-happy coach, and his average in his three healthier years was around 50, 750, and 5. Sorry but I'd MUCH rather insure my RB2 than have Brown on my bench every week.
  12. Joe Mixon 2018 Outlook

    Oh he doesn't have Mixon's upside, no question about that, but realistically there are VERY few handcuffs who can produce the same numbers as the guy in front of them. Whoever backs up Le'Veon from year to year seems to be one of the few exceptions. Depends on who they are. I get what you're saying, not all cuffs are created equal, but in this case Gio is a very clear handcuff. We know he'll produce top 15 RB numbers. There just aren't that many cuffs who offer more upside (who wouldn't already be owned). If I roster my opponents' handcuffs, his star goes down, I likely have to make a trade (which as we know are tough in most leagues) to maximize the return. If I roster my handcuff and my guy goes down I'm still in good shape. I'd take (and did take) Conner all day long over Gio, no question there. And that's whether I own Mixon or not. But if I own guys with clear handcuffs I think you're playing a very risky game if you don't draft them. And we've gotta talk ceteris paribus here, meaning guys I could've drafted in the same rounds. So not a cuff like Tevin Coleman or Dion Lewis. Outside of Conner there are very few cuffs I'd rather have than Gio if I owned Mixon.
  13. Joe Mixon 2018 Outlook

    Two weeks is almost as bad as the Aaron Judge timeframe. I don't know why teams overpromise with this stuff. I'll also never understand why people don't handcuff their RBs (when there's a clear handcuff). I'm gonna own a 5th WR I'll never play over a guy who is a high-end RB2 in PPR? If you own Mixon and Gio you don't skip a beat with this news.
  14. Robby Anderson 2018 Outlook

    It's only one week but this was a VERY bad sign for Anderson IMO. One tough catch from a goose egg. He's gonna take a huge hit without McCown there. He was always dependent on long TDs, and as we know that's not like targets which are a much more reliable and stable predictor of success. I have a feeling he's on most waiver wires by the end of week 3 unfortunately.
  15. Chris Carson 2018 Outlook

    Carroll says Carson looked great in the preseason, blah blah blah. Carroll says Carson really took the lead and Penny looked rusty, which was clear as day, yet Carroll gave Penny as many touches...