jumper

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  1. Antonio Brown 2019 Outlook

    Brady's skills already seem in decline (not PFM in his last few games level of decline, but still declining) so I'm unsure if I'd pay the sticker price for AB on the Pats either. No, I'm not saying TB is no longer a quality NFL starter but the cliff could be coming at any point and he could completely crater any skill player on the team around him. One place where I could see him panning out and having a positive return would be DET with a bet that Stafford would fixate on him and the change in OC would revive the Lions offense. They have cap room also (around $36mm).
  2. Hard to trust KA the guy could get you a goose egg if he gets hurt first series. Then again it's not like RA is immune to that either just because it's RA and the Jets. Personally in 'ship week I'd prefer to take RA since he has a higher floor.
  3. 2018 Vent & Rant Thread

    Two words - best ball. Too bad many of the people on this site seem to hate the format and getting enough participants to fill league is a PITA.
  4. 2018 Vent & Rant Thread

    #1 suspect in "blame the coach" has gotta be Drake although I can think of plenty of other guys also. This is presuming of course you're talking about a coach who holds back a single player for no reason instead of being generally terrible and holding back his entire team (see Hue Jackson).
  5. Derrick Henry 2018 Outlook

    No and no. My worries revolve around whether reversion to mean from 50 and 30 point games is to a longer term trendline of 5-7 PPG or if he's truly broken out and can be a reliable 10+ PPG solid RB2 guy. It seems a serious stretch to think Henry has put it all together and will be a future RB1 guy but I guess stranger things have happened.
  6. Derrick Henry 2018 Outlook

    Depends on ADP but he's probably going to higher than I'm willing to spend. The history of jumbo RBs succeeding over the long term isn't that great. Could he be the next SJax or Eddie George sure, but his measurables and tape to date seems to lean more towards LeGarrette Blount. Recency bias means he'll probably get drafted higher in 2019 than he was in 2018 which was already too high IMHO (probably somewhere in the 4th round in a 12 teamer). I have no doubt someone will reach for him badly next year since there's likely to be a mad scramble for RBs in the 1st round; someone will probably draft this guy in the 2/3 turn area as their RB2 (or even god forbid their RB1 if they went WR or QB early).
  7. Josh Allen 2018 Outlook

    Yeah but add a seasoned vet WR or two like Golden Tate, Adam Humpheys, or Quincy Enunwa can Allen actually deliver serviceable passing stats too? I'm in the camp of folks who thought Allen would be a wasted draft pick but I'm wondering if he might wind up being a quality (although not elite) NFL starting QB. Seems like he's a great candidate to backup an aging Brady/Big Ben/Brees generation guy next year (especially if the schedules line up, like if Allen's plus matchups nicely aligned with Big Ben's away games). I'm not there yet with him being a QB1 prospect (except in deep leagues) but in 2QB leagues this guy should get a lot of play in 2019.
  8. Josh Allen 2018 Outlook

    I know the focus is correctly on this year for the moment, but longer term has anyone who's actually watched a Bills game this year gotten the sense that he can become a decent/serviceable passer if he gets some decent weapons? Not talking Mahomes/Brees good, just solid QB2 quality type guy absent the rushing yards?
  9. NFL Waiver Wire Thread 2018 Week 16

    Rams offense has been a hot mess lately. A few weeks ago any RB starting for LAR probably would have been considered a no-brainer RB1, but with the way Goff and company have been playing (the last couple weeks especially) I'm wondering if Kelly even has Flex value.
  10. At the draft, I ponied up for Kelce in all leagues this year and that paid off. In snake draft leagues I pretty much got the last spot each time and went WR/WR after others went RB crazy so I wound up with a lot of teams having a Julio/Nuk core and that turned out OK also. Basically if you ended up with 2 or more offensive players from KC this year then you probably made the playoffs.
  11. Disagree with this ranking. Talent is often not hard to evaluate and typically completely trumps the other factors with some guys (see T-Rich, Eddy Lacy, CMike, Doug Martin most years, etc). For example, probably very few will be rushing out to grab Ivory from the WW although he'll theoretically have great "opportunities" with Shady injured and a good matchup v. DET which isn't that great against the run (although it's somewhat better now after trading for Snacks Harrison). Likewise we see presumably great matchups turn out to be debacles all the time, see how a projected "good" matchup of PIT and OAK turned out for AB owners last week. Meanwhile presumable JAG guys like RB DeAngelo Williams (filling in for Lev Bell) and TE Gary Barnidge have career years despite having marginal talent. That's because you're missing a key selection criteria that might be just as important as the others: 4. Offensive scheme and coaching. That's how a replacement level player can be force fed touches and have great fantasy value, whereas a more "talented" player can be completely misused (see Gurley during the Jeff Fisher era) or put into a RBBC or denied touches (see Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore for example, although I have no shares of either). My ranking would be: 1. Scheme / coaching 2. Opportunity 3. Talent 4. Matchup
  12. Him plucking that low pass from hitting the turf was a beauty.
  13. Mark Ingram 2018 Outlook

    That would break the hearts of a lot of hopeful Lev Bell owners.
  14. Washington Redskins 2018 Outlook

    Or.... loaded pigskins (deep fried)
  15. Washington Redskins 2018 Outlook

    Just drop the "Red" part of the name and rebrand them as simply "The 'Skins." Problem solved as that's already a nickname currently used for them by just about everyone. It solves the PR problem yet it won't keep anyone who's not a talking head on TV from referring to them by the old name.