jumper

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  1. Andrew Luck 2018 Outlook

    Drew Brees has been the season-long QB1 more times than Luck has even cracked the top 10. Even if Luck comes back this year, you're paying a 8th round pick by ADP for him. A guy where even IF he were to somehow magically get better and be the QB1 this year would be worth the 3/4 round pick you would have spent on ARod instead. A guy whose best year ever (2014) had him finishing with the 13th highest QBR in the league. Sorry but you can have the dude, I don't want him and honestly I'll be happy when I see another team waste the roster space on him.
  2. New York Jets 2018 Season Outlook

    Don’t know if the jets really wanted Mayfield but getting Darnold is pretty nice too. At least they didn’t screw it up like CLE and BUF.
  3. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    Even muffing just one of the picks would have been an improvement but they made two consecutive bad picks.
  4. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    Mayfield is still a 1000x better pick at the 1.1 than Allen.
  5. Andrew Luck 2018 Outlook

    I bet you could still get a return on a Luck trade in dynasty involving an asset that's hugely more valuable than Luck in the foreseeable future, someone like Eric Decker or maybe even DeShone Kizer. The Colts being the Colts, they'll probably be the last to acknowledge Luck is cooked and never going to play another down but I suppose there's a non zero chance they use their 1.6 to draft Rosen.
  6. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    I do agree with this. If the Browns take Mayfield the Jets would be fine with either Darnold or Rosen IMHO. The Jets already put in all the stakes they were willing to put in going to 3 and it makes very little sense for them to move up to 1. Unless they're trying to get some other team like DEN, BUF, or ARI to move up to the 1.1 I don't see where saying Mayfield is in play at the 1.1 helps the Browns at all.
  7. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    "Trusting the process" and trusting a team like the Browns (or Jets) to successfully execute that process are two entirely different things. Borat from Kazakhstan could probably do better at the process than the Browns have the last couple decades.
  8. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    Seems like we will see a real life experiment this year on the premise. Rams seem determined to test the “cheap QB + expensive FA skill players = success” premise this year. Browns with their salary cap room and excellent draft capital could put that approach in hyperdrive if they hit on their QB pick on the draft. *If* their pick at QB is Goff level quality that’s a Super Bowl contender team in a couple years. If they hit on a Russell Wilson level player you gotta think they’re SB favorites once they add the other complementary pieces in the draft or FA (e.g. left tackle, another piece or two in the secondary, etc.). The Browns could absolutely flatten the rest of their division soon; might be the last season for Big Ben and Bell in PIT and BAL and CIN are fatally crippled by the limitations of their current QBs. The AFCN could look like AFCE soon with Browns playing the role of the Pats. Think about how weird that will feel should it come to pass.
  9. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    If you disregard salary cap implications, sure. In the real NFL and not fantasy, an MVP capable QB still in his cheap rookie deal probably would get traded for by most teams. An experienced QB with arguably better skills or at least physical traits (like Stafford) still wouldn’t offer the excess value in production that would offset the $60-70 million in cap savings over the next 3 years of Wentz’s deal.
  10. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    It's the Browns, of course they can really mess it up.
  11. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    Hue Jackson has already said on the record saying "obviously we're taking a QB early" or something like that. I think the talk about drafting 2 QBs in the 1st is nonsense as well, what I could possibly see is a WAS approach (draft RG3 and Cousins) where they draft Darnold and someone else like Lauletta later as an inexpensive bet/insurance policy. Or they could just get a FA like Kaepernick if Tyrod implodes.
  12. Cleveland Browns 2018 Season Outlook

    Getting back on topic, it would be very Browns-like to pick Allen with the 1.1 when he's obviously got the lowest floor of all the 'big 4' QB options (and probably lower than the second tier guys like Lamar Jackson, Mason Rudolph, and maybe even Kyle Lauletta) and IMHO the lowest ceiling of all the big 4 as well. But these being the Browns, that probably means like 5/4 odds he's the top pick. It's almost a 100% guarantee when you pick a guy for his "potential" based on measurables rather than actual production you're going to get a draft bust as a result. I guess seeing what happened to teams that picked "potential" guys like Greg Robinson, Justin Blackmon, Dorial-Green Beckham, E.J. Manuel, Vernon Davis, etc
  13. C.J. Anderson 2018 Season Outlook

    Same thing applies to Orleans Darkwa who I think might be even better than CJA. That's even before considering guys who are plausible starters like DMM and cheaper RBBC guys like Alf Morris, Sims, etc. I think all the idiot money has been spent with JStew and Chris Ivory being signed to big offers so CJA might need to settle for a smaller 1-year deal.
  14. C.J. Anderson 2018 Season Outlook

    Perfect? I'd say Tampa. Another possibility is that HOU admits their mistake and cuts Lamar Miller, then plugs in CJA since D'onta Foreman is both still hurt and not a feature back.
  15. New York Giants 2018 Season Outlook

    Good class but not 1983 or 1989 good; remember the later Barry Sanders, Derrick Thomas, Deion Sanders, Troy Aikman, Steve Atwater, Steve Wisniewski, Andre Rison and Eric Metcalf. The two Sanders alone would make that draft one of the best ones in history and I don’t see anyone on this class at that level IMHO.