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About roadawg

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  1. The Browns play in the NFL which is an extremely difficult and competitive league. They will be looking to score basically all the time. NFL is hard and teams wants to score 99% on all of their plays. If anyone thinks that they can easily and reliable pro-actively predict how the games on their schedule will shake out from a game flow perspective you are 100% delusional. I also recommend to quit your day job and bet on NFL games heavily, but I wish you good luck. Saying in August that Beckham won't get targets or looks because his team has an easy schedule is comical at best. The only way Beckham won't be on the field when they are trying to score a TD 99% of the time is when they are up 38-7 with 5 minutes left. And at that point I'd wager Beckham got his already. I dont know where people come up with this stuff.
  2. His profile looks a little like Baez in the high babip, LD%, GB%, pull %, but even more extreme in every sense. I think he is special, but no one is a .420 babip player. Hell Even Ichiro who probably was faster home to 1st, and a grand master at putting the ball in play either sharply on the ground or a hard line drive only had a career 338 babip. Tatis is really good but I'd bet money he isn't a .325 average player, in fact he probably wont sniff .300 career wise but on the bright side even when his batting average drops 30-40 points next year he's still a 35/35 guy, all while playing SS. That's a rare talent but I have no doubt regression is coming. Even still again, even with this regression coming he will be really good. He could negate some of this by not striking out 30% as well, which he most likely will drop his K rate as he gets older.
  3. define "a lot" Again the Hunt signing is cheap insurance and gives them options at the RB position. If Chubb is crushing it and the Browns are clicking, anyone who thinks they'll just hand over the RB reigns to a guy who hasn't play in 2.5 months is nuts.
  4. If Chubb is lighting it up and the Browns are 5-3 or 6-2 and the organization is on their way to a playoff berth they will not be making any drastic changes to the formula. Chubb will be entrenched as the clear lead back. If they are sinking or Chubb is playing poorly then you should be worried. The way I see it is you believe in the Browns this year or you don't. If they are winning and kicking a$$ you have little to worry about with Chubb's role in the offense. Especially a losing franchise like the Browns, if they find a winning formula I don't believe they will make any significant changes to the offense. I mean it's the Browns after all they could suck or mismanage their talent.
  5. There are countless players who don't end up where they are drafted every year, including top 10 guys. It's really not noteworthy but you keep going repeating the same thing over and over. You are full of solid analysis and I am really learning new things reading your stuff.
  6. There's a ton of players this year who haven't performed at their draft price. Nola isn't rare this year. in fact this year is one of the worst for busts or players getting hurt, not living up to expectations etc..
  7. Did Nola bang your gf/wife or something? what are you going on about all the time? Who said he was top 10?
  8. Good hitters develop power. The kid has a good stick. The power will come with time and in the shorter term, warmer weather.
  9. IMO odds are very low. I highly doubt any team would sit a likely or potential starter this deep into SP games. At this point hitters need to get their timing right and the windows is shrinking to get it done. Plus here is Mcmahon's slash line this spring - .412 .462 .765 1.226
  10. I'd bet he steals 20 with confidence. I would be surprised if he doesn't go 35/20. Kid is really good, he's #3 on my board.
  11. Coach speak. I wouldn't look too much into everything coaches say. It's not gospel and mostly just conversational BS'ing with a reporter etc. I don't get why people try to read between the lines with everything coaches say, its a waste of time.
  12. The Yankees are one of, if not the smartest organization's in baseball. This is relevant here for a few reasons: 1 - You don't know what their intent is for Bird playing with the A team 2 - Even if you knew the answer, it probably wouldn't impact their decision, or has any real weight on they are going to do. They are "auditioning" every day, both of them and will continue to do so well into the season. If I was an adviser, or anyone with decision making in this process I would kick you out of the room if your primary focus on why you came to either player was what freaking squad he played on during spring training. Anyway, I would be absolutely shocked if Voit isn't already by and large the player who will man 1B to start the year for the big squad if both healthy. I'd put the odds of Bird winning this job out of camp around 10%. The Yankees aren't stupid. Voit earned it, he looks great again while Bird hasn't proven he is the better baseball player. Think about it, how can the Yankees send down Voit right now? Who in the right mind would do that.
  13. He is slashing .279 .316 .489 This year at 23 yrs old with a .210 ISO. Look at his career numbers at every level and note he improved every year after stuggling the year prior. Cash and Co know what they have in this guy, he will develop into an above average MLB 3b. Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season Season Team G PA HR R RBI SB BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off Def WAR 2012 Yankees (R) 50 191 1 21 19 1 6.8 % 19.4 % .068 .288 .232 .288 .299 .285 80 2013 Yankees (R) 34 144 4 18 25 4 4.9 % 14.6 % .173 .358 .323 .368 .496 .405 152 2014 Yankees (A) 127 527 10 75 70 5 6.6 % 15.7 % .130 .302 .267 .318 .397 .327 99 2015 Yankees (A+) 130 520 8 54 57 12 5.6 % 17.3 % .120 .282 .243 .288 .363 .309 98 2016 Yankees (A+) 58 251 10 34 41 1 7.2 % 12.0 % .191 .289 .283 .343 .474 .379 139 2016 Yankees (AA) 72 319 2 28 42 2 6.6 % 13.2 % .092 .296 .266 .323 .358 .311 89 2017 Yankees (AA) 67 272 7 30 52 2 4.4 % 14.0 % .182 .338 .312 .342 .494 .367 126
  14. I agree, to those of us who watch the games its clear he has good stuff. He needs polish and better command. If he matures a bit he's going to be pretty damn good. He's the epitome if an upside SP IMO. Not a sure thing but why not hold a guy like this? He has the kind of upside to put you over the top if he figures it out. Until then he'll be up and down, but 100% still a must start unless you play with a bunch of jokers in a free public league.