nromn

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  1. Ty Montgomery 2018 Season Outlook

    Also the fear of injury by the coaching staff, leading to a reduced role and less fantasy relevance.
  2. I guess that is where Im at also and part of the reason for my negativity. By the time I draft, if he is still healthy, I would consider him at his current cost. However, if he makes it healthy that long, his cost at that point won't be his current cost. And therefore, the headaches that come along with owning Reed will likely not be worth the cost at that point. I will have my eye on him though and maybe enough people will just have him written off.
  3. My thought as well. Picking up VD doesn't help the weeks he leaves early or is Q all week and ends up being active, but unproductive. If I do end up with Reed late, I would rather have a middle of the pack TE from another team I can plug in for the murky weeks to avoid the WAS situation altogether. I'll go into any thread I please, but thanks for your concern :) I don't spend big money on TE's, so if you have other recommendations for threads, I would really value your input.
  4. It all depends on your perspective. Sure he has immense upside, but what are the odds that he will consistently reach that upside this coming year? To me it seems far more likely Reed owners end up getting burned far more often from him leaving games early, being active on game day and playing through injuries but not producing (not to mention all the weeks he burns a bench spot causing you to scour from poor TE options on the ww), etc. So from that perspective, at this point, I don't feel he is "definitely worth the upside", all things considered. Of course I don't fault anyone for taking the risk and it may end up paying off. I may even myself come draft day if I don't have other high upside guys/injury prone guys and none of the other options excite me. But it will probably be more as my 2nd tight end, hoping he starts off hot and I can include him in a trade before he breaks down
  5. Cam Newton 2018 Season Outlook

    Hes definitely a guy I am targeting in my superflex league (and 1 QB leagues also for that matter). My superflex league is mostly Vikings fans, so I am hoping the addition of Turner (garbage) will drive his price down as I believe Cam can overcome NT.
  6. Ive been contemplating drafting him myself, but the main issue I have is that while I may get a few good weeks out of him....all the weeks when he is Questionable and wondering if he will play and/or be effective as well as all the weeks you are forced to designate a roster spot for him to recover from his latest owie(s) is not worth the upside imo (at this point its how I am leaning). At TE, I would rather have a reliable producer that can stay relatively healthy and am not forced hold onto another at his position and don't have to see him on my bench, while wishing I had one more spot to pick up XXX up and comer off the WW.
  7. Case Keenum 2018 Season Outlook

    I am also a Vikings fan and agree with most of what you said. One thing I will add is Zimmers philosophy of letting his defense win the game and only relying on the offense to do just enough and not screw it up. This really played itself out at the end of the regular season and into the playoffs. I see Denvers D on the decline, meaning they will likely lean on Keenum/The O more (though I don't follow them closely). Will he prosper and put up better numbers or will he buckle under the pressure of increased responsibility? I really like the guy so I am hoping he prospers.
  8. Julio Jones 2018 Season Outlook

    Well nothing is an absolute, but his RZ target numbers that the Julio supporters like to spew were greatly skewed by those junk jump balls in the EZ that they never connect on.
  9. Julio Jones 2018 Season Outlook

    I argued this last year as well. Its like they feel obligated to give him "RZ Targets" because he is a stud, so they run that stupid fade to Julio that never works. Then they use the other downs to run the plays they actually want to run down there. Figure out something different in the RZ for him. Its obvious if its going in his direction what route its going to be and it just doesn't look good and has a very low chance of succeeding.
  10. Pierre Garcon 2018 Season Outlook

    Is it Garçon or Goodwin that people will be targeting first?
  11. Julio Jones 2018 Season Outlook

    Fell for it last year. This year I will be throwing his name out early so someone else can drop a wad on him.
  12. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    I should have said closer to his numbers at the beginning/end of the year and ignoring the middle of the year complete duds. They could be right, but Im not willing to pay that price counting on it with Nagy gone and Reid back to calling plays...not to mention all the other changes surrounding him.
  13. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    This is exactly right. I never understand why people here put stock in FFB playoff week performance, like there is some logical reason they step up their game just for the fantasy playoffs and it is safe to assume they will continue that trend in the future. I do like to look at weeks 12-13 and on to see if a player tends to consistently tail off at the end of the year (AJG), but looking at weeks 14-16 and expecting magic those same weeks every year is silly. I agree with your argument about Nagy. He revived Hunt last year and I think people will be drafting him with the expectation of what he did weeks 14-16 will be his output all year. Too many changes around him in a negative way for me to feel comfortable paying that price.
  14. Lamar Miller 2018 Season Outlook

    This is the exact scenario I had in mind from last year. I had those two turds on a couple teams last year and it was a pain. 2 wasted spots for sure. Of course that's not always the case, but the recency bias has me probably just choosing one or the other (or none) come draft time.
  15. Derrius Guice 2018 Season Outlook

    Yes, I love seeing him on my opponents team, usually with a nice, red "IR" or "O" by his name.