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About Maxcd99

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  1. I'll attempt to decipher the meaning behind the rather large gap between his FIP and xFIP, since I think it's worth addressing. So FIP and xFIP attempt to determine how a strong a pitcher performs when taking out luck based variables such as defense, sequencing, etc. The distinction is that FIP takes into account the amount of HRs allowed (in Soroka's case, 0) while xFIP factors a pitcher's allowed fly balls and prorates it to the league average HR/FB rate. His FIP is good, but its mostly bolstered by his HR allowed being at nil. If his flyballs allowed were to lead to HRs occurring at just an average rate, this shoots up more than a full rate. Essentially, Soroka's ability to limit HRs is luck based and not skill based. He's not preventing fly balls, he's just been lucky with them not going over the fence. Atlanta has a neutral to slightly pitcher friendly park as well, contributing to a slightly higher SIERA than xFIP at 4.12 heading into tonight. I knew about Soroka's pedigree coming up but I'm not the most fit person to say if he's historically has had a knack in preventing long balls, but the saber-metrics suggest otherwise. If you can get a good haul I don't see why you shouldn't sell, especially when he's flirting with a sub 1 ERA and is living up to his blue-chip prospect hype.
  2. I remember drafting him super deep in a dynasty league a few years back. I had since cut him, but remember him being super toolsy coming out of the draft with his hitting being a bit questionable. I haven't followed his minor league career but he's always had the speed and power to be serviceable in the majors.
  3. It's not necessarily that 28 is old. It's just that they would have more "prime" years if signed to 10 year deals next offseason. With Stanton, the Yankees are getting his age 28-38 seasons. With Machado and Harper, a team would be getting their age 26-36 seasons. I would much rather take Machado's or Harper's age 26-27 seasons rather than Stanton's age 37-38 ones. If Harper or Machado sign for ~$400M then my point on Stanton's contract being obscene is weak. While possible, I don't think a team will give up this much money unless they defer part of it like the Nats did with Scherzer.
  4. Not really. Considering it only took Kaprielian, Mateo, and Fowler to get 2.5 years of Gray, something among the lines of Frazier, Medina, and Thairo Estrada could definitely get done for 3 years of Stroman.
  5. Jacoby is owed a minimum of $68M for the rest of his contract but the Yankees got back $35M from the Stanton trade. The Marlins paying off half of Ellsbury's deal with the Yankees paying full price for Stanton is another way of looking at this deal.
  6. As a Yankees fan, it's great that Stanton was acquired to strengthen a World Series contending team, but this trade isn't nearly as nearly as much of a steal as it seems. Forbes has the Yankees having a team value of $3.7 billion. Stanton is being acquired for 265 million. ~7% of the Yankees entire value is being tied up to one player. Best case scenario, the Yankees get 3-4 prime years of Stanton, where he plays at an all-star level or better, and then becomes an average regular until inevitably playing below replacement value. At the very least, the Yankees are paying Stanton $25M+ per year until he's 39. Without a doubt, this contract will be Pujols-esque or worse. Having Stanton's mega deal will likely prevent them from going after Machado or Harper, who the Yankees would get two more prime years out of as 26 year olds. Additionally, Machado and Harper would likely sign for less money than Stanton's contract is worth, considering how unimaginable it would be for teams to fork up that much cash. Essentially, the Yankees inherited an obscene financial burden, and gave up an All-Star 2nd baseman (Castro) and a top 100 prospect (Guzman) only because they're too impatient for 2018 free agency. This isn't that great of a trade.
  7. These mocks are usually fun. I'm available as an alternate if needed.
  8. People on here are so quick to point out issues. I don't like to ever say there's a 0 percent chance of something happening, because there's always SOME chance, even in a situation like Robles, where that possibility is microscopic. Theoretically, yes, there is always a possibility. Realistically, however, there is no shot.
  9. There's zero chance he'd be called up this year. I'd imagine late 2017 at the earliest but most likely 2018. FIFY Like Tayne said, he's a 2018 guy at the earliest.. I think he spends all of this year in A and A+ ball, and if he does well 2017 will be AA/AAA. I don't think the Nats will rush this kid at all, but he's forced their hand a little bit with his dominance at each level. There's always the possibility something crazy could happen and they'd call him up, but yeah, it's pretty much zero chance. What crazy thing could happen that would justify possibly ruining the development of their top prospect who hasn't played a game above Low-A yet?
  10. That Greenville team is completely stacked. Espinoza, Devers, Moncada, Benintendi, and Guerra must be pretty difficult to face. All of them are arguably top 50 prospects (although it's a weaker argument for Benintendi) I'm surprised that he's already in A ball and he's only 17. The Urias comparison is an easy one to make considering how well both he and Espinoza have been despite their youth. If I had to make a guess, it looks like Esponoza will be up in late 2017 at the absolute earliest. He'd be in the majors at 19 just like Urias will be (assuming Urias will be up by midseason in 2016, which is a safe one to make). Seeing him pitch in 2018 is more realistic, maybe even 2019 if he takes a while to develop. Regardless, I'm very excited to see him develop. He's been receiving a ton of hype lately but the reports on him make it seem like it's well deserved.