BleedRedsRed

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  1. Buster Posey 2018 Outlook

    Went to my first game at AT&T (beautiful park) and was let down that he didn’t start and was utterly shocked when the Giants were down 5-3 with guys on 2nd and 3rd with one out and Bochy sent A-Jax up to pinch hit in the 9 spot. I get not wanting to burn your backup catcher but that could have been a game changing moment. He must have really needed the day off.
  2. Amir Garrett 2018 Outlook

    The Reds are not going to easily give up on Bailey. Throwing away 44 million over this season and the next is a tough pill to swallow.
  3. Cincinnati Reds 2018 Outlook

    Looks to be the great ex-Cardinal, Tony Cruz. Hopefully Tuck can do his best Sal Perez impersonation and just catch 85% of the time. Happy for Mes though, he may not be an all star but he has too much offensive potential to be the back up on a 100+ loss team.
  4. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    Well, I'm only talking about Votto's table setters and to be honest I think he is better off with Hamilton(9)/Winker/Peraza than Pitcher/Hamilton/Cozart. Yeah this years #2 hitter has not been playing way over his head like last years, but the comparison of the two specific players is what I am getting at. Joey Votto's fantasy numbers are not really suffering all that much for not resigning Cozy and plugging in Peraza. Yeah the lineup isn't performing well so far but I don't think Joey's fantasy stats are going to be damaged at all this year by the relatively weak 6/7/8 guys in the order. We'll see, but now that Suarez is back they will hopefully just plug him in to that #2 spot and good things will happen.
  5. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    I think people are overrating Cozart’s improved plate discipline over an absolute career year though... he is a better hitter than Peraza but I just think his 2017 OBP is eschewing how this is being looked at. I don’t think it’s faulty logic to say that stacking up slightly inferior OBP small ball players in front of a slugger is better for that particular players fantasy stats. This isn’t about what is best for the Reds, it’s all about how Joey’s counting stats work in relation to lineup construction.
  6. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    Peraza has a career .311 OBP, take away Cozy’s HR from his OBP last year (career .304 OBP by the way) and he was on base for Joey maybe .330? Peraza has speed and won’t drive in runs. I’m not saying that Peraza is a better offensive player, I’m saying Cozart’s power batting in the 2 spot actually hurts Votto’s fantasy numbers.
  7. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    I suppose but I’m at the game and just watched Joey hit a 3 run bomb because Peraza is fast and beat out a double play ball.
  8. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    Right but he’s also driving in guys that would still be there for Votto. Not saying the difference is in favor but I think it’s more or less a wash for Joey’s fantasy numbers
  9. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    Let’s also consider when discussing the loss of Cozy that a chunk of that oWAR comes from clearing the bases 23 times on homers from the 2 spot in the order directly before JV’s turn in the order. If anything I think fantasy Joey probably benefits from the speedy singles guy even if the OBP is lower just because he will be on the actual bases just as much when Joey is at the plate and is more likely to score on an XBH and leave any of the 8,9, 1 batters on than a guy hitting homers and doubles.
  10. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    I think earlier in his career he was less mechanics obsessed and more working off his pure athletic ability combined with baseball acumen. Now that he is over that 30 hill and saw what was happening to Pujols, a guy whose mechanics he idolized but didn't age gracefully, he made the conscious decision to go full tinkerer and this slow start is just a part of that. His last three years slash rates at April 21: .178/.258./.241 .210/.315/.500 .243/.341/.257 So, basically if he had hit 2 flyouts 20 feet further you would be less concerned because the slugging would be less unsightly? Don't get me wrong, I am afraid of decline eventually happening just like it did to Todd Helton (a player I find very similar in skillset to Votto) in his mid thirties. I highly doubt this is the year though, I expect Joey to keep on trucking until his next semi major injury which eventually happens to everyone who plays a sport their entire life.
  11. Luis Castillo 2018 Outlook

    Yeah I get that and it was the right thing to let him pitch in that spot but once it got to 9-2 with ducks on the pond and the heart of the order it is a very different situation.
  12. Luis Castillo 2018 Outlook

    From a real baseball perspective I don’t think it’s that wild. If you bring in Iggy even up 7 to put down Villar it also sets him up to come in the eight and face Cain, Santana and Shaw. Iggy is a guy who excels at coming in for multiple innings and when you are a team that has been on a string of seriously pathetic losses I would think slamming the door on the heart of the order their last time around is not a terrible idea. As a fan that has been watching the nightly struggle I just wanted an declaritive win instead of even giving the Crew even the slightest gasp of air. So, yeah put in Iggy.
  13. Luis Castillo 2018 Outlook

    What a fun thread Pretty much the best takeaway here. Price should have had Iggy warming up the second the bases got loaded and brought in after the two run single. There is no one else reliable in that pen, especially not Cody freaking Reed.
  14. Carlos Carrasco 2018 Outlook

    Martin apparently just has his number, he had all three of the Tigers hits.
  15. Homer Bailey 2018 Outlook

    Homer could end up alright but the upside is very little. At the very best I could see him possibly ending up in the 3.70/1.25 range and eating innings. Might be a useful stream here and there but definitely not a roto asset.