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  1. Kyle Hendricks 2018 Outllook

    He was great from the windup, but struggled to locate from the strech all day. It was way too obvious, so Madden made a mistake leaving him in after the BH to start the 7th. Than the f...up reliever, who's job is to retire the runner(s) he inherits, let's both score. Hendricks' line is without the bad managerial decision and the f...up reliever job should have been 6 IP, 2 ER, 1.33 WHIP, 8 K, 1 Win
  2. Ramon Laureano 2018 Outlook

    Vlad vould throw just as well if not better. From the warning track to home. An this:
  3. Harrison Bader 2018 Outlook

    Batting against Junis. Everybody starting?
  4. Notable Shut-Down Candidates

    Wheeler is 28, and had 185 IP before. His arm is already built up to the point where he can go full season. If he is ok, there is no reason to shut him down. C.J. Wilson went from 70 IP reliever to 200 IP starter no problem. Same age as Wheeler now.
  5. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    Majority? Theres one way to put it. But you could say that JD Martinez plays OF nearly half the time. Still I give you points for effort Sure there is. 1b is a defensive position where you hide your defensively most challenged player if necessary. So you know that the guy is not that good. The OF not so much, where you expect your player to catch a routine flyball, and not make it an adventure. Im sure a good manager would rather take the 1b who is subpar, than have an OF who gives him the heart attack every time the ball is hit to him. The only question of course what sub par is, and what really bad is, where everyone has a different opinion. Fangraphs can measure whatever they want, if they create a mean to compare players to each other, cos that way what is sub par and what is bad will change when players change. My opinion is that only the expert eye can really tell, and Matheny thought Martinez can pass the eye test. Good enough for me. I watched him making some errors, and this newest "broomstick effort", and I thought he is ok, and no reason to bench him.
  6. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    On MLB.tv games are free so finally I could watch a labaled bad defensive play with replays. And I don't know what you smoking. This play is one of those 0 to 1% chance plays, for any 1b. But somehow now it is a play that a more agile 1b can make? This is crazy. And he didn't really move? Like what he does in this pic is somehow barely moving? "It's like someone planted a broomstick on the base and glued a glove to its side" Is that guy really seems to you that he is not moving? This is ridiculous. Full video (at 1.42.05) where everyone can see, that it was a difficult play, and he actually moved way much better than anyone expects him. https://www.mlb.com/tv/g530902/v4c2edc03-86ed-459f-a3d4-b75cd6c42b77#game=530902,tfs=20180722_182000,game_state=live
  7. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    There is a huge difference between 60% and 90%, and all those 7 can be 60-70% So that 90% can be pretty dang inaccurate too. Anyway, I did some math. Gyorko made 3 of 8 on 40-60% plus 6 of 10 on 60-90% plus 66 of 67 on 90-100% That is 75 of 85 10 playes he did not make equals 10 singles. Martinez 1 of 6 + 1 of 7 + 106 of 109 That is 108 of 122, equals 14 singles Give Gyorko 37 more 90-100% chances, cos just assume that Gyorko had bad luck by having to handle that many low chance plays compared to total plays. (real reason probably, that he plays 3b) So the difference is 4 singles. Now let's see adjusted hitting. Cards played 96 games (~60%) Give these players offdays (10%) Use data only when player started game Extrapolate to 162 team games (these are the number we can work with so it is what it is, projecting could be off just as well) Gyorko 68 Runs 77 RBI 139 hits 31 doubles 20 HRs 63 BB 293 Total bases on offense Martinez 63 Runs 99 RBI 167 hits 32 doubles 23 HRs 59 BB 327 Total bases on offense 34 Total bases on Offense equals 4 bases on defense? No. According to new Cardinals manager, 4 is more than 34! And still there is the case of those RBIs. (Sure that could be the result of situational hitting, or pure luck, or anything in between, but these are numbers we have.)
  8. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    Good info. Explaines why I saw that he is stiff, and couldn't see possible improvement.
  9. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    How? Cos the way I see it, it suggests that Lester had a really bad day and Carpenter had a great one, and non of these has anything to do with the Cards manager's decision playing Gyorko over Martinez. Who is 0/2 w. 2 BB, with Cubs pitching handing out 7 BB in 3+ Innings. Even Flaherty the pitcher has a walk. So how does this proves it to you that the new manager made the right decision sitting JM?
  10. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    I don't think that anybody would mistake his stiff movements to athleticism who seen him play. Or warm up. The debate is how much his bat is worth. For example I just looked up the Indians, and Encarnacion is a butcher too. -9,3 Defense, with not a really good offense so far. And the Phillies put Hoskins to LF where he is a butcher, compared to 1b, just to play Santana at 1b. They lose a lot of defense. So the question is, what is good hitting really worth? Appereantly not much in St. Louis, but a lot more elsewhere.
  11. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    Point was, that 3 is not such a huge number, that it could not happen. Sure. Still fail to see how is his 11 - 11.2 = - 0,2 is worse than Gyorko's 1,2 - 3,7 = - 2,5
  12. July Closer Thread 2018

    I would think, with him on the block as well, it would be unwise to put him in the closer role prior to the deadline. Just keep him in the comfort zone for a while and use him as little as possible.
  13. Post All-Star Break Rotations

  14. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    Sometimes looking at rate stats are misleading. But say if he would have 4 errors out 594 chances, than he could play? Because that would be an ok Fielding%. And actually it is only 3 plays in half a season. 3 And that is the reason you would sit your 2nd best bat on your team? Well he has 3 throwing errors so maybe he should eliminate throwing. Especially to 3rd base, which isn't easy for an average 1st baseman. I wonder how many made that throw this season.
  15. Jose Martinez 2018 Outlook

    Sure. But those are included in DEF on Fangraps right. As I mentioned above some of the best players are near the top of this list with pretty bad defense. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=np&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=c,4,54,199,58&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=5,a Would anyone sit Bryce Harper, Khris Davis, Charlie Blackmon, Jose Abreu etc... I wouldn't think so. You just made up that number? From what I've seen, hard to imagine that he is able to stretch at all But in my opinion, that is a plus for a first baseman, not a requirement. To be honest, I don't think that he can ever get better no matter what he does. He is a stiff.