garlando

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garlando last won the day on January 18

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  1. Luiz Gohara, LHP of the Braves, is one of my favorite current late-round sleepers for this year (NFBC ADP has Gohara at 291). Now a quick look at Roster-Resource doesn't have Gohara starting for the Braves right now, but the two guys ahead of him on the SP depth chart, Brandon McCarthy, and Scott Kazmir, don't have a strong track record of staying healthy and are getting older. At some point, you have to think Gohara gets a shot to build on his first exposure to the major leagues which he had last year in September which included 5 starts. In those 5 starts, Gohara pitched 29.1 Innings with a 4.91 ERA, a 9.51 K/9, a 2.45 BB/9, and a 0.61 HR/9. His rate stats look pretty strong at first glance, and that definitely helped support his FIP (2.91) and xFIP (4.05) being better than his actual ERA. Overall, a very impressive debut for Gohara and it has me very excited for what he could be in the future. Scouting reports on Gohara have really taken off since his trade from Seattle to Atlanta, often praising his electric stuff which is considered the best in the Braves minor league system which is incredible considering how much talent they have (Kolby Allard, Kyle Wright, Mike Soroka, Ian Anderson, Joey Wentz, Max Fried, Touki Toussaint). Gohara's stuff is highlighted by a grade 70 Fastball that has reached triple digits but comfortably sits 96-98 which makes him one of the hardest throwing left-handed pitchers in all of baseball. He backs that up with a 84 MPH slider that has received 60 grades, but was unbelievably good in his MLB debut last year as it was worth 5.1 runs above average in just 5 starts and elicited a terrific 25.71% whiff rate. He also has a changeup that he's worked into a fringe/average offering, but plays well off his elite FB velocity. Add in average control which he has taken big steps forward the last two years, and you have the makings of a potential high-end fantasy SP. Lets take a look at some of his plate discipline numbers to get even more hyped: - Gohara's Swinging-Strike% in his 5 starts was 13.4%. Among all pitchers who pitched at least 110 innings, a 13.4% swinging-strike rate would have in a tie for 7th with Chris Archer and Carlos Carrasco (ahead of names like Degrom, Strasburg, Paxton, and Greinke). - Gohara's overall contact rate was 74.1%. Among all pitchers who pitched at least 110 innings, a 74.1% contact rate would have ranked 21st best in the majors, just behind James Paxton and better than Sonny Gray and Rich Hill. - Gohara's Zone-Contact rate was 82.4% Among all pitchers who pitched at least 110 innings, an 82.4% zone contact rate would have tied Corey Kluber, Clayton Kershaw, Dinelson Lamet, and surprisingly Lance Lynn for 14th best in the majors. - Gohara's out-of-zone Contact rate was 50.9%. Among all pitchers who pitched at least 110 innings, an 50.9% out of zone contact rate would have ranked 5th in the majors ahead of Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, and Stephen Strasburg. This shows how tough of a time MLB hitters had against Gohara, and also illustrates how elite his potential is. Steamer like Gohara a lot too, as they are projecting him in 130 innings to post a 3.72 ERA with a 9.81 K/9. Those type of numbers play in almost every format. He just needs a chance to prove himself, and I think he will get a good chance this year! Finally, I found this in the Kiley McDaniel chat yesterday on Fangraphs and thought it was interesting: Frank: % chance that Gohara is the Braves best starter by the end of next season? Kiley McDaniel: A real chance. I think an underrated ability he has is to spot his slider to both sides of the plate and it’s more vertical than horizontal. Those two elements means he could be the rare guy that could succeed vs. RHH and LHH with just two pitches, though his changeup is fringy to average so he doesn’t have to
  2. https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/2018-fantasy-baseball-top-100-prospects-shohei-ohtani-ronald-acuna-ready-to-make-immediate-impact/ Another interesting list!
  3. Zack Cozart 2018 Outlook

    I do like Cozart going into 2018, he finally was healthy for a full year and made adjustments in his swing which you can see here: The one on the right was from last year, and it's easier to see he lowered his hand placement and got shorter to the ball. The adjustments paid off as the results were there for Cozart. He slashed .297/.385/.548 last season with 24 HRs and 3 SBs in 507 PAs. That all was good for a 141 wRC+ which ranked second among all SS just after Carlos Correa. At first glance, his .312 BAPIP last year looks out of place so high compared to previous marks, especially considering his batted ball data largely was similar to past years. He did post a career-high 42.3 Fly-ball% but he was very close to that mark the last two years too with 39.9% in 2016 and 42.2% in 2015. The last two years, he has pulled the ball more with Cozart posting a career-high 48.9 Pull% and a career-low 16.5 Oppo%. That more pull heavy approach likely has helped him reach new highs in HRs, and if that continues, it helps the belief that he can be a consistent 20+ HR guy. In theory, the pull-heavy approach should also lead Cozart to see more shifts, but he hits enough LDs to think he can avoid those shifts cratering his BAPIP. Also want to point out that Cozart has hit the ball harder more often the last two years, jumping from 25.4 Hard contact% in 2015, jump to 2017 and he posted a 30.8 Hard contact%. That's 30.8 Hard contact% isn't very good (ranked 108th in the majors among qualified hitters) but he hits enough flyballs to maximize his power. I don't think there's much more power upside though, and in fact I think we could see some regression in terms of power. Cozart posted a 15.6% HR/FB rate and that seems high considering his Hard contact % and his below average 85.80 average exit velocity (MLB average is 87.32). I think based on his profile, upper teens is a better representation of what he's capable of in terms of HRs in a similar amount of PAs. Where Cozart really shines is his very much improved plate discipline numbers, let's take a look! His out-of-zone swing% was 24.4% (28.9% in 2016) MLB average is 30%His zone swing % was 60.4% (66.4% in 2016) MLB average is 65%His overall swing % was 40.9% (47% in 2016) MLB average is 46%His out-of-zone contact % was 71.2% (65.1% in 2016) MLB average is 66%His zone contact% was 92.2% (91.6% in 2016) MLB average is 87%His overall contact rate was 85.4% (83.2% in 2016) MLB average is 80%His % of pitches seen inside the strike-zone was 45.8% (48.4% in 2016) MLB average is 45%His swinging-strike% was 6% (7.9% in 2016) MLB average is 9.5% As you can see, he made big gains across the board and he now looks like a stud in terms of plate discipline! He now chases rarely, forcing pitchers to throw multiple strikes and that means more opportunity to find HIS pitch and make a pitcher pay for a mistake. And when he does get that pitch, his contact rates are so strong that he's likely doing something positive with that pitch. This makes me believe that his OBP gains are for real, and makes him a pretty ideal player to hit in front of a guy like Mike Trout for the Angels. Cozart doesn't have any sort of platoon issues, and I don't think that the move from Great American Ballpark should be as bad as people suggest as he did hit the exact same number of HRs on the road as he did at home. He was a bit better at home than on the road overall (148 wRC+ at home compared to 132 wRC+ on the road) but that's not significant enough for me to believe leaving Great American Ballpark renders him a poor hitter. Overall, I see a guy with SS/3B eligibility that has great contact skills, great plate discipline skills, and some power that he has worked to maximize. He could hit in a great spot in a pretty solid lineup. He may even throw in a couple of stolen bases too. For fantasy, that's a pretty attractive piece at his current ADP range (Fantrax ADP has him at 206). I'm going to project him for a .278/.370, with 19 HRs and 4 SBs. That makes for a solid MI option in most formats.
  4. Rafael Devers 2018 Season Outlook

    No doubt Devers held his own, which is very impressive considering how young he is. For reference, here is how he stacks up against all 20-year-olds that reached the majors since 2000 and recorded at least 110 Plate Appearances in that first taste of the majors: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=110&type=5&season=2017&month=0&season1=2000&ind=2&team=0&rost=0&age=14,20&filter=&players=0 My point though was that I felt that Devers carried some risk at his current ADP and the plate discipline numbers showed why. Essentially, if you're taking him between 91-133, you're expecting him to contribute at a high level and the data I found showed that he may not be quite ready to do that quite yet. Still believe in him as a player, liked him as a prospect, and think he's a future stud. Perhaps this year though, if you're thinking about a 3B around the 91-133 mark in a draft, that perhaps there are better bets in terms of floor and ceiling (Would rather Travis Shaw for this year for the same price for example).
  5. Rafael Devers 2018 Season Outlook

    I'm in agreement with @osb_tensor about Devers, that while I like his potential based on his minor league track record, but for 2018 alone at his ADP, I think he's a risk. The main reason why I feel this way is his plate discipline numbers from last year's sample at the major league level: His out-of-zone swing% was 38.5% MLB average is 30%His zone swing % was 68.6% MLB average is 65%His overall swing % was 50.7% MLB average is 46%His out-of-zone contact % was 63.8% MLB average is 66%His zone contact% was 82.6% MLB average is 87%His overall contact rate was 75.2% MLB average is 80%His % of pitches seen inside the strike-zone was 45% MLB average is 45%His swinging-strike% was 12.4% MLB average is 9.5% As you can see, he's an aggressive swinger who chases often (MLB pitchers will look to exploit that) and his contact rates across the board are all below MLB average at this point including his swinging-strike rate. Now, that doesn't mean that he won't improve on these numbers as he gets more experience at the major league level, he very likely will. To me though, with his ADP range of 91-133, the risk level of finding out if he can improve those numbers this year is high. I also want to point out that Devers hits a lot of groundballs (49.1% at the majors, 55.6% at AAA, 43.7% at AA in 2017) and his 8.09 Avg Launch Angle (MLB average is 11.83) helps show his lack of loft which may limit his power upside some. Good news is, Devers hits the ball hard (34.5% hard-hit rate and above average 89.89 average exit velocity) and that should help him maximize his HR/FB rate. Also want to mention that Devers posted very strong numbers against left handed pitchers at the major league level, with a .400/.474/.600 line which propped up his numbers. It did come with a super high BAPIP (.581) and a very bad 29.8 K% so I'm guessing that won't continue. His platoon splits in the minors were fairly small, and I do think he's capable of hitting lefties but just not at that level. Overall, I see some downside to Devers and will project a line of .268/.320, with 23 HRs and 2 SBs
  6. Travis Shaw 2018 Outlook

    Travis Shaw is coming off a breakout 2017 where he slashed .273/.349/.513 with 31 HRs and 10 SBs (119 wRC+) which was good for 63rd overall and the 5th ranked 3rd baseman on the ESPN player rater. His season included career-best 9.9% Walk and 22.8% K rates which are both decent, showing that he has a quality approach. At first glance, his .312 BAPIP last year is higher than his MLB and minor career averages, so let's take a look at his batted ball data to see we can see if it's sustainable growth. His Line-drive rate stayed pretty much the same at 19.9%, but he did trade some flyballs for groundballs as his GB% spiked to a career-high 42.5% and his Flyball rate fell to 37.6%. In theory, that trade for groundballs should help his BAPIP as groundballs do have a lower chance of turning into outs compared to flyballs, especially when you either have speed (which Shaw does seem to have a bit of) and/or hit the ball hard (which show does). This increase in groundballs is also helped by the fact that Shaw does use all fields, and that is shown with what has been a very stable orientation of hits throughout his career (career 39.8 Pull%, 33.9 Cent%, and 26.2 Oppo%). A real big change in 2017 was his quality of contact as Shaw dropped his soft contact% to a career-low 15.8% (2016 he posted a 21.9% rate) and raised his hard contact% to a career-high 37.1%. That 37.1% hard contact% is very impressive, and actually is the 34th highest among qualified hitters, ahead of names like Gary Sanchez, Nolan Arenado, George Springer, Joey Votto, and Anthony Rizzo. His 15.8% soft contact% also ranks highly as it is tied with Jose Abreu and Chris Taylor for 41st best in baseball among qualified hitters, better than names like Christian Yelich, Andrew Benintendi, Jose Ramirez, and Daniel Murphy. This all shows that Travis Shaw barrels the ball consistently, and that helps him to make the most of his contact and power upside. Speaking of power, Travis Shaw posted a 20.5 HR/FB% (note that 20%+ is elite) to reach 31 HRs in 606 PAs. The strong hard contact rate + an above average 88.52 MPH avg exit velocity (mlb average is 87.32 MPH) show that he does have very legitimate power and that he should be able to consistently post high HR/FB rates, but I'm also not sure how much more ceiling there is in the HR department unless he hits more flyballs (which would likely drop his BAPIP and therefore his batting average). Assuming similar approach, I think 35 HRs would be his absolute ceiling at this point. Let's take a look at Shaw's plate discipline numbers: Shaw swings 0.7% less at pitches outside the zone than league average Shaw swings 1.5% more at pitches inside the zone than league average Shaw's overall swing rate is 0.9% less than league average Shaw's contact% on pitches outside the strike zone is 1% better than league average Shaw's contact% on pitches inside the strike zone is 0.9% better than league average Shaw sees fewer pitches in the strike zone than the league average by 2.4% Shaw's swinging strike% is 0.6% better than league average Overall, his plate discipline numbers are very sound, and there's no glaring weakness that opposing pitchers can exploit. He doesn't chase a lot (which shows why he achieved a career-high walk rate in 2017), he swings at things in the zone, and he makes better contact than league average. All looks good! Actually, I feel his K% should actually drop a little this year considering his strong plate discipline numbers. Finally, let's look at Shaw's speed which was very welcome last year. Shaw was actually a perfect 10 for 10 in SB opportunities last year. Scouting reports don't indicate a great speed tool, but he has shown efficiency on the bases in both his major and minor league career so you have to think that he knows when to run and makes the most of his wheels. It's hard to project more than the 10 that he swiped last year, but I would think anywhere from 5-8 would be a perfectly reasonable expectation. Overall, I see a guy who made changes in his swing (details on it can be found here: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/travis-shaw-breakout-hitter-and-contrarian/) whereby he focused on hitting hard, low line-drives and ground balls, which helped him keep the bat in the hitting zone longer. The result was positive, as he cut his K%, raised his BAPIP, and still hit enough flyballs and barreled the ball enough to hit 31 HRs. Add in his speed and defense and he was worth 3.4 WAR last year. His Power/Speed combo is what makes him interesting to us fantasy players though and my research has shown that Shaw has a good chance of repeating what he did last year. I can see perhaps, even more K% gains next year based on his strong plate discipline numbers. For 2018, I'm going to project a .275/.351 batting average/OBP with 29 HRs, and 7 SBs, with some additional upside in power possible. He makes for a solid starting 3B in all formats.
  7. Josh Bell 2018 Outlook

    One of my favorite players going into next year! Some more info: Using a minimum of 500 plate appearances, Bell was one of just 15 hitters last year to have a strikeout rate below 20%, a walk rate above 10% and still have a slugging percentage over .460. Of those 15 players, only Josh Bell, Mike Trout, George Springer, Yasiel Puig, and Kris Bryant are under the age of 29. Bell is the youngest of the group at 25 years old.
  8. MLB.com top 10 RHP list

    Whitely has gotten so much helium since mid-last season and deservedly so! The other name I thought was really interesting is Sixto Sanchez at 10 with a 70 grade fastball, 55 Curve, 55 Changeup, 60 Control. Just comparing to where he was ranked on MLB.com Prospect watch 2017 mid-season, he jumped past a bunch of pitchers including Kyle Wright, Mike Soroka, Cal Quantrill, Franklin Perez, and Yadier Alvarez.
  9. Toronto Blue Jays 2018 Outlook

    To be fair, Granderson should pair nicely with Pearce as a platoon bat with his .343 wOBP, 114 wRC+ vs RHP. (and the 14.6 BB%). He's also a pretty good corner OFer still so his $5 Million price tag does have some value. Definitely not an acquisition full of upside though, and if management were to come out and say "we have limited resources, and will not be able to make any more upgrades" then I'd be upset as a fan. Shi Dividi was reporting as of yesterday that the Jays still have roughly $15 Million to spend this offseason. So this shouldn't be the end of the offseason moves for the Jays.
  10. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    Austin Meadows is the guy you are referring to. He hasn't played in the Majors yet but he is among the top OF prospects in the game, and he should be close to the majors. Meadows had a disappointing year in AAA between injuries and lack of performance, but he's been graded highly by scouts for years and produced before that so there's good reason to believe he can bounce back and contribute at the major league level soon enough.
  11. Javier Baez 2018 Outlook

    Javier Baez is coming off a 2017 season where he hit .273/.317/.480 with 23 HRs and 10 SBs. He did so while posting a poor walk rate of just 5.9% and an awful K rate of 28.3%. Baez made the rough approach/contact rate work though as he posted a roughly average 98 wRC+ which was the 10th highest among Shortstops. His BAPIP on the season was .345 which was the highest he's posted in his two full major league seasons. It's somewhat surprising that his BAPIP went up when looking at his batted ball figures. First, his line-drive rate fell by 4.1% to 15.4%, ultimately those line-drives became groundballs (GB% up 4.6% to 48.6%) and when combined with a more up the middle approach (career-high 38.1 cent%) he made it work. Generally, groundballs turn into a higher % of outs compared to line-drives so you'd think his BAPIP and therefore average would fall, but I guess Baez's speed helped him turn those groundballs into base hits. Also note that Baez's pull% dropped 5.7% to 39.9% and when you add in just a 36% flyball rate 32.4 Hard Hit%, you sort of question how he's going to hit a new level in the power department. It's the hard hit% that concerns me as he's tied with Chris Taylor and Josh Harrison for 89th in the majors among qualified hitters which is good but not great, and when you add in that his avg exit velocity was 87.85 (mlb average is 87.32), you wonder how sustainable a 19.7% HR/FB rate is (20%+ is elite) and it makes you question how much more ceiling there is, if at all, HR-wise unless he makes changes. 20-25 HRs seems like the ceiling at this point. I also want to point out that Baez makes a ton of soft contact too (21.3% in 2017) and tied for 18th worst in the majors last year with Tim Anderson in that category. Baez does hit lefties well, hitting .315/.353/.581 against them last year, good for a 132 wRC+ compared to a .258/.304/.443 against righties which was good for an 85 wRC+. Making improvements against righties should be a priority for him. Let's take a look at his plate discipline numbers for Baez, they do paint a picture of why he makes so much poor contact and why his contact rate is so low. His out-of-zone swing% was 45.1% MLB average is 30% His zone swing % was 72.6% MLB average is 65% His overall swing % was 56.2% MLB average is 46% His out-of-zone contact % was 52.7% MLB average is 66% His zone contact% was 77.8% MLB average is 87% His overall contact rate was 65.8% MLB average is 80% His % of pitches seen inside the strike-zone was 40% MLB average is 45% His swinging-strike% was 18.6% MLB average is 9.5% As you can see, his aggressive nature is getting taken advantage of by pitchers, as he sees far fewer strikes than the average MLB hitter. He chases a ton, which likely contributes to his poor quality of contact. He also really struggles to make contact even when he does see strikes. Just looking at his plate discipline numbers paint a picture of an overmatched hitter. There has to be a lot of gains across the board for me to believe he can be a .291 hitter like he was in the 2nd half. There's a lot of Batting Average risk riding on his BAPIP. The redeeming skills for us fantasy players are he does have some power and the speed (10 for 13 last year on the basepaths, 28 for 37 in his career) which we all value highly. Would like to see him run more as I think he does have the ability to steal 20 simply based on the efficiency. Overall, I think he's a fine MI option, but one that does carry some significant risk, especially where he is being taken in drafts (Fantrax ADP is 125th overall) For this year, I'm going to project Baez to hit .264/.311 with 23 HRs and 13 SBs.
  12. Colin Moran 2018 Outlook

    Just adding some more to @brockpapersizer's great info on Colin Moran. I do see some upside in Moran for a few reasons! 1st, he hit .308/.373/.543 in AAA last year with 18 HRs in 338 PAs, good for a 133 wRC+ which tied with everyone's favorite sleeper prospect Willie Calhoun. Note that Moran posted very solid 9.2 BB% and 16.3 K% in AAA which show he has a strong approach and quality contact skills. Moran's batted ball profile in AAA is pretty darn sexy too, with a 26% Line-drive rate, a 33.7% ground-ball rate, and a 40.2% fly-ball rate. That's a TON of line-drives (for reference, a 26% LD rate would have been the 5th highest in the majors last year) which is awesome for his batting average as line-drives are the best contact outcome for BAPIP. That 40.2% Fly-ball is also going to help him maximize his power potential. Especially when you mention that he's 6 foot 4, 204 lbs and that he posted a well above-average exit velocity in his small sample in the majors last year (Moran posted a 91.89 MPH avg exit velocity, MLB average is 87.32). If you believe in the fly-ball revolution, I think he's an easy guy to buy into as the changes in the minors look pretty darn legitimate. Overall, I see a guy that has good contact skills, has a quality approach and eye, he emphasizes airborne contact which should help him to maximize his power upside which could be 20-25 HRs easy, and he should be in a position to play pretty well every day. Looks like a potential sleeper to me that you'll likely be able to grab super late in drafts or off the wire in the majority of leagues. I like the acquisition of Moran for Pittsburgh!
  13. Maikel Franco 2018 Outlook

    Maikel Franco is entering 2018 after a disappointing 2017 season where he slashed just .230/.281/.409, with 24 HRs and 0 SBs in 623 PAs. All told, his 76 wRC+ was tied with Carlos Beltran for the 137th ranked in the majors. Looking under the hood, he had a 6.6 BB% and 15.2 K% which show that he isn't completely lost up there and his lack of success is BAPIP related. His Batted Ball figures show that he hits a fair number of groundballs (45.5%) and that likely isn't ideal considering his lack of speed (Note that he posted of the worst wRC+ I've ever seen when hitting grounders at -18 last year). If he can raise his launch angle (11.52 deg and MLB average is 11.83), he can hit more flyballs (36.7% in 2017) and enhance his power upside. I think that will be the key for Franco going forward. He is pull-happy which helps his power upside but hurts him too since he hits so many groundballs to the SS and 3B. He does use the opposite field enough (21.9% which is similar to Anthony Rizzo, Chris Davis, and Nelson Cruz) to give some hope for some BAPIP growth. Where Franco struggles is weak contact, as his 20.8 soft contact% which is tied with Giancarlo Stanton for 26th worst in the majors. The difference between Stanton and Franco is that Franco hits the ball significantly weaker...with Franco posting just a 30.9 Hard Contact% compared to Stanton's 38.9%. It's got to be frustrating for Franco because he has shown that he can sting the ball hard, as he has consistently posted above-average avg exit velocity (88.85 in 2017, MLB avg is 87.32). His 88.8 Average exit velocity in 2017 actually ties him with Nolan Arenado, Justin Upton, and Mike Trout to name a few. Where the difference is compared to his peers, Franco is super aggressive and his lack of plate discipline limits his ability to impact the ball consistently at the right angles. Looking at Franco's plate discipline, he actually made some gains in 2017 that I think are beneficial. He dropped his chase rate by 3% to just 1.5% worse than league average. He also improved his contact rate (79.1%, league average is 80%) and swinging strike rate (10.5%, league average is 9.5). His zone swing rate is a full 10.2% higher than league average which is just crazy, as he's essentially swinging at everything that's a strike. I think that his Franco's biggest problem, he's identifying strikes and swinging at them, but not all strikes are the ones you want to hit and where you can do damage. A quick look at his zone breakdown for exit velocity shows that Franco struggles down and away against righties, and high and in against lefties. He needs to learn how to take those pitches and look for pitches in his more productive zones. Also want to mention that he's historically struggled against the slider in his major league career (career 74 wRC+ against it, 55 wRC+ against it last year) and kinda the curveball (32.3 K% against the curveball in his career, but he's made big gains against it last year and slugged .563 against it). Overall, I see a medium floor power hitter that's still developing, with lots going for him, but his worst enemy is himself thanks to an aggressive approach. To me, Franco's upside is peak Adam Jones minus the SBs. The contact + aggressive approaches are similar with high-end but not elite power. Remember that Adam Jones took a few years to figure it out at the Major league level and I think Franco should be pretty similar. For 2018, Franco's BAPIP very likely has to go up (his .234 BAPIP was the 4th worst in baseball), and that will raise his batting average. If he can hit a few more flyballs instead of groundballs, that will help the BA and the power upside. Ultimately, I am going to project a .262/.316, with 26 HRs and 1 SB. If he can do that, he is 12 team mixed league relevant imo. He's not a guy I'm looking to grab everywhere, but I think he's a decent late round grab that could return decent value for where he's going (256th overall according to Fantrax ADP).
  14. Masahiro Tanaka 2018 Outlook

    Tanaka is a guy who I think could be underrated going into this coming draft season. Did you see what he did in the second half? Masahiro Tanaka’s 2nd half splits: 10.7 K/9, 1.65 Bb/9, 3.77 ERA, .229 BAA, 1.06 WHIP. Started using both his Slider (+4%) & Splitter (+3.9%) more than FB. Culminated in his playoff start vs Indians, 15 of his 92 pitches were FB. His fastball has long been fairly ineffective, and he decided to adjust in the same way that Trevor Bauer (who I'm a big fan of this coming season!) did in the second half, and throw his best pitches more often and throw his worst pitches less. Also of note in the 2nd half, Tanaka had the third best xFIP, a glorious 2.83, and a 2nd-to-only Kluber K/BB of 6.5. Pretty impressive stuff! If you believe he can continue to baffle hitters by pitching backwards and stay healthy, I think he's a guy who could return solid value around the 100th overall pick.
  15. Acuna's Trade Value

    In a dynasty, I would place his value around a top 50 overall overall player. For reference, I traded for him late last season and it cost me Andrew Benintendi.