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About jay14bay

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    NBA, Kings, Jimmy Buckets

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  1. Russell Westbrook 2018-2019 Season Outlook

    This is so untrue, what makes you say that? A 3 cat punt is not uncommon. In fact, I would say people often do it without knowing. Last year I dominated the regular season with a core of Westbrook, Boogie, and Dipo. Counting stats galore edit: Where is @apatas when we need him/her? This particular triple punt is their strategy 100%
  2. 2018-19 Sleepers and Busts

    Is that you DLo? Lin is not on your team anymore, you don't have to worry about him. Focus on Dinwiddie.
  3. 2018-19 Sleepers and Busts

    For Sacramento in particular, predicting their lineup is impossible, so yes I avoid those players unless at a huge discount. For example, we still don't know if Zbo will get moved, or if Joerger's love affair will continue and he will average 25 minutes per game for the first 2/3 of the season. Avoid.
  4. 2018-19 Sleepers and Busts

    Just to provide a counter-example, Jimmy Butler's age 22 season he was very raw and bad. Some people saw potential but nothing like what he became. I think the truth lies somewhere between saying "unlimited potential" and "we know his ceiling." He could improve offensively just by looking to be more aggressive, and that might turn into confidence in himself, from his coach, etc etc. An early second round finish would not be out of the question IMO.
  5. 2018-2019 Auction Values

    I guess we need to consider that these player values are very dependent on league settings. For example, league size (# of managers) and roster size both skew player values. Both larger league and smaller rosters increase the relative value of the top players, which is why I commented. What you are talking about is more of a standard league value, which I agree with on closer inspection. In my main league we have 14 managers and very small rosters (10 players). In our auction last year, Embiid went for $39 and Boogie was $53, and we had several studs in the 70's and 80s: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxO6Kb5Oa091WThyc093Q3VsSDg/view?usp=sharing
  6. 2018-2019 Auction Values

    Is your league a money league? Do you have any openings?
  7. 2018-2019 Auction Values

    The way I see it there are three possible outcomes to taking Embiid at first round (or first pick) value: Outcome A: He does not live up to his value and you over spent, which hurts your odds at victory. Realistically this has the highest chance of happening out of these three scenarios, since it is much easier to go down than up in the rankings. Outcome B: He meets first round value, meaning you got what you paid for. You are satisfied with your ROI but it didn't give you a significant advantage because you paid top price. I think this scenario has decent but not great odds of happening. Outcome C: He has an otherwordly Hakeem Olajuwon-Steph Curry hybrid season and it's the best pick you could have possibly made. This scenario has a very small chance of happening but would boost your odds of winning the league greatly. Considering these, I don't think it's worth it this year, but you could roll the dice and get paid for it.
  8. Fun thread I remember we had last year. I will start it off with a few: - Gallinari stays healthy, plays 75 games and has a top 35 9-cat season - Marvin Bagley struggles and is one of the worst lottery picks - Embiid is the #1 8-cat player on the season - Portland misses the playoffs (not so bold?) - Caris Levert breaks out, posts top 80 value
  9. Rotoworld Summer H2H Mock Draft

    James Johnson was a popular sleeper pick last year, if I recall correctly. he failed to live up to it, but I would think this year he has just as good of a chance to break out, as he should be in line for similar minutes (~27, off the bench or starter, doesn't matter). he's one of those guys when he is playing well, he's money. i like him at pick 117. wish he made his FTs more though.
  10. Efficiency

    this thread should be deleted for everyone's sake
  11. Rotoworld Summer H2H Mock Draft

    I have seen you mention that 3pm is easily the best cat to get in the later rounds, which I agree on, but doesn't that build put you way behind? Far enough that it seems hard to come back (other managers already strong in 3pm will obviously collect more in later rounds, too)
  12. The average fantasy managers love affair with PTS is well known and for that reason I think he will get over drafted. But if he fell to me pick 100 or later (not likely) I would take a chance on him, especially because at that point in the draft you are looking for lotto tickets and he could be that. But more than likely someone will take him in the middle rounds; won't be me.
  13. Jarrett Allen 2018-19 Season Outlook

    2010 Tyson Chandler with slightly lower fg% and higher blk
  14. Rotoworld Summer H2H Mock Draft

    agreed, although this build is always susceptible to losses against guard heavy punt fg%/to teams who will have a chance to win Pts, 3pm, assists, steals, and ft%. Of course to combat that the path of least resistance is to focus on steals.
  15. Rotoworld Summer H2H Mock Draft

    @StifleTower2 come on dude you have been otc for 9 minutes. let's get it moving