sngehl01

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sngehl01 last won the day on January 23 2018

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About sngehl01

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  1. Big Trade

    I say no. Seems like a very weak return, IMO. Arcia, Tellez, and Buttrey are fodder in this deal, IMO. I'd want a good third piece. Honestly, I think it needs to be a really good third piece. I wouldn't take Buehler and Lewis for Story alone. Then you're giving up Vazquez too? Honestly, I wouldn't entertain this owner with trade talks. This is a really wide gap IMO.
  2. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    Magic 8 ball, will the Yankees win the AL?
  3. Vince Velazquez @Fuzzy_Slippers
  4. trying to post gif

    figured it out. whoops
  5. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    Yeah Ottavino was all they were missing. Put a hundo on it for me too.
  6. Madison Bumgarner 2019 Outlook

    I agree with parrothead. #'s have trended down 2 seasons in a row. Maybe it's due to the injuries he had, maybe it's due to just losing stuff. I don't know but I won't be making the gamble most likely. I would rather draft Folty or Taillon at that spot, if all 3 are available.
  7. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    Since Machado has come into the league he's been worth 34 WAR over 7 seasons (926 games, which is ~6 seasons worth of games once you count off days). Since Harper has come into the league he's been worth 27.4 WAR over 7 seasons (927 games, weird how close it is to Machado...) To "break even" on a 300 million $ contract @ $8mil per WAR a guy would have to give you 37.5 WAR in 10 years. 2 things though: 8 mil per WAR is extremely low, and the cost per WAR rises on an annual basis. These guys have done this from ages from 19 to 25. Does anyone want to seriously argue that we've seen there best, and they won't be worth a contract of that size? There's some obvious risk (injury that degrades performance or whatever), but good lord there's some serious surplus value sitting there. Both of these guys could very well provide 45 WAR in 10 years in their prime years. Even lowly 'ol Adrian Gonzalez was a 40 WAR guy from ages 26-34 (2007-2016 seasons), 10 years. Just a random named I grabbed from a hat from that era. Grab any # of all star caliber players and look at what they did from ages 25/26 to age 35. Adrian Beltre was a 54 WAR guy from age 26-35. Kevin @$*%(@$ Youkilis was a 31 WAR guys that age range. Curtis Granderson 39.8 WAR... How in the world are teams not JUMPING at the chance to lock in a guy at this level and age for 10 years and a pretty modest price? Miggy was 48.5 WAR those years. Pujols was 62 WAR. The sky is the limit. No, these guys aren't Pujols in his prime. Or Miggy. But a 30-35 WAR floor for 10 years for those guys is pretty low expectations. These are some elite talents who we are just now getting to see at an age where guys approach their prime.
  8. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    I think that's a cheap cop-out. This isn't just Manny, it's Harper too. Again, you could say the same thing about him. What's aggravating is so many people push the narrative that the contract isn't worth it, and their comps are 10 year deals given to guys at age 30/31, not 26/27.
  9. 2018-19 Off-Season and Hot Stove Thread

    At this point teams have to be considering dropping a 2/70 deal on one with an opt out after 1 or something crazy. Getting these dudes at this age is just nuts. It really infuriates me. I am not a Machado fan, far from it. But how these guys aren't getting paid is beyond me. The owners are raking in money hand over fist, these are guys you should want on your ballclub for years to come. Not guys who are virtually blackballed. It's bizarre.
  10. Jose Ramirez 2019 Outlook

    Mookie Betts pop-ups were up in 2017 too. We saw how that worked this year. Correlation is not causation. Yes, babip was down because pop ups were up. But what approach changes happens to bring the IF pop ups down? The dude is a legit pro bat, he has access to this data too, and I'm sure work will go into "fixing" this.
  11. 100% go Cole. He's a great value and a top end arm. Too much risk with the other guys, even for $1. Sure, Wheeler may be a great buy. But to get an ace like Cole, you're going to pay a ton. There will be plenty of late option cheap arms to throw darts at.
  12. It sounds like you are trading to gain an extra keeper spot. If I"m following right, you are making a trade so you get to keep 8 guys, and he keeps 6. The second sentence answers your own question: you are allowed to keep up to 7. You are trying to keep beyond that. So, yes, against the implied rules. Instead of assuming things are OK if they aren't in the rules (especially when trying to be sneaky), I'd go about assuming they aren't allowed.