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sngehl01 last won the day on January 23

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About sngehl01

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  1. What I was afraid of. Seems like Carson is the overwhelming choice
  2. I am third in points but 0-2 thus far in my 10 team league. 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 FLEX (WR/RB/TE). NO PPR. Again, NON PPR. We can only roster 5 RB's. I have David Johnson, Barkley, L Miller, Collins, and Carson. Right now I play 2 RB in my flex spots. My WR are Thielen, Allison, M Williams, DeVante Parker. So, to add Breida I have to part with a RB. I think he's a bit of a home run swing compared to what I have. It's pretty clear Collins is going to be limited to the first 2 downs and not get much goal line work. Carson... well, who knows what they are doing in Seattle. If you're me, what do you do and why? Leave a link will return the favor.
  3. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    I don't think Collins is going to come swipe away goal line touches, nor do I think he needs to for him to get to the 8 TD's mark I had expected. Allen has converted 4 1yd td's between last season and the 2 games this year. Collins has none. I think it's safe to say carries on the 1-2 yard line will be Allen. I can concede Drake, but give me Collins over Shady. Much better tools, younger, better team, and not banged up. I partially worry about Collins putting it on the ground again. Because of this, I don't think Collins steals back goal line work from Allen. This has nothing to do with me not liking Allen. I think he's a fine play in PPR. It has to do with me thinking everyone is freaking out over 2 games from Alex Collins when I don't think they should be. That's all. I just wanted to be a dissenting voice so when a bystander comes and reads this he doesn't freak out and think everyone is bailing. There are reasons to be optimistic still. If this continues for 2 more weeks, I may very well cut him myself. However, I'm not there yet.
  4. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    That is another question entirely, and I do find it curious. However, for getting him in the fourth, I didn't expect a 3 down horse with all the goal line touches. I also didn't expect them all to go to Buck Allen either, though. I drafted Collins with dreams of 1200 total yards and 8-10 TD's in the fourth. Considering he had 6 TD in his last 8 games with 500 rushing yards approx and 160 receiving yards, I don't think that was a stretch. He was drafted as a flex, for me. If you drafted him at RB2, you better have loaded up elsewhere or you probably reached here.
  5. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    Again, you want to base your 2018 outlook on a 2 game sample? The reality is they were 2 games that had unique circumstances. They may have 20 touches, but Collins has twice the carries. Game 1 Collins was out because why put him out there? Last night, yeah, it's a tad concerning, but far from enough to make me worry. The reality is also Collins has been better with his touches. Allen has stumbled into a pair of TD's. Great for him. Give me Collins still. Not only that, but if Allen gets hurt, Collins is going to be a true workhorse. As it stands? He's still easily a flex play with high end RB2 upside. When I say workload for an RB, I talk strictly in terms of carries. For a guy like Collins, I care about 1st and 2nd down. Passing downs I expect a lot of guys to cede touches (especially around where Collins was drafted). Kenneth Dixon had 14 totes. Who do you think a dozen of those go to if it's not a 40-0 game in the third against the Bills?
  6. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    And we are in week 2. The talent has gone anywhere. Allen isn't a threat to get a 50:50 workload. He's been far more effective with his touches. I'm fine with what I've seen. If something better is on your waiver wire, by all means, make a move. I doubt that's the case.
  7. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    Excuses, or observation? You're going to contend that the game situation in week 1 had no bearing whatsoever on Collins usage? Uh, yeah, ok. And 24-6 != 40-0. And the Bills O != the Texans O. There was a 40 point gap against the Bills in the third (until 2:38 left). (at best 5 scores) Houston was down 21-6 at the half (2 scores). 24-13 at the end of the third (two scores) One game was an absolute blowout. The other was in reach. These are not the same.
  8. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    If Baltimore is going to constantly be up 40 points or down 20+, then yes, it's concerning. You don't draft 3 down backs at the end of the third/middle of the fourth. He had 90 yards last night on a pretty low touch total. Again, over reacting to a 2 game sample isn't going to do you any good. Capitalizing on owners who are? That's what's going to win championships.
  9. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    And you are living off small sample sizes. Collins is better than Allen no matter how you split it. I'd be interested in seeing actual DATA from the 1-3 yard line, not just guy feelings on what guys think. The numbers don't suggest Collins doesn't do well at the goal line. They do suggest he hasn't been blessed with opportunity, or an overwhelming amount.
  10. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    Y'all can keep pretending Buck Allen is so great in short yardage situations. Here are the #'s. It's clear who is more productive. I'm not going to chase those TD's, they will even out given time. Split Value Att Yds Y/A TD 1D Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD 1D Ctch% Y/Tgt Yards to Go career 36 161 4.5 3 24 11 8 48 6 0 6 4.4 Yards to Go 2017 30 151 5 2 21 6 3 23 7.7 0 2 3.8 Yards to Go 2018 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Split Value Att Yds Y/A TD 1D Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD 1D Ctch% Y/Tgt Yards to Go career 59 134 2.3 6 37 12 7 40 5.7 1 5 3.3 Yards to Go 2017 28 75 2.7 3 19 5 4 16 4 1 3 3.2 Yards to Go 2018 4 8 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0.5
  11. Alex Collins 2018 Outlook

    People are freaking out far too much after being only 2 games in. He looked great last night. TD's will come. 10 all purpose TD's more than achievable still. TD's are about as unpredictable as they come (see Julio Jones, 2017). Easy to hate on Collins now, but he's looked good. Two awful situations so far (going up huge and going down huge early). Very few backs in the league have the job all to themselves. If collins was a sure fire 3 down back with no Buck Allen he'd have been going in the second pretty easily. I'm not shaken. If I didn't own him in both of my leagues I'd be trying to buy low on him.
  12. Jose Ramirez 2018 Outlook

    You said 20, so I assumed ESPN and ran with it agreed though.
  13. Alex Bregman 2018 Outlook

    Remember how great Trevor Story has been this year? Bregman has been very good for an extended period. Since AS Break 2017 Bregman : 212 games, .303 BA, .309 BABIP, .389 OBP, .552 SLG. 11.5 BB%, 12.2 K%. 67 2B, 41 HR, 147 R, 141 RBI, 19 SB Other guy : 206 games, .303 BA, .315 BABIP, .386 OBP, .575 SLG, 11.8 BB%, 17 K%, 44 2B, 52 HR, 135 R, 156 RBI, 3 SB Other guys is Nado. Bregman more than makes an argument to be selected where he is, and possibly earlier. When it comes down to it, I'd rather be picking 8th-10th so I can take Bregman with no regrets. Drafting him over a guy who has done it year in year out is a hard pill to swallow, and he has to keep it up to justify it. But I think what he's doing this year is legit. Why wouldn't it be? He's doing everything you love to see in a hitter. His BB:K being over 1 is rare. Some of those 2B may find their way over the fence next year. He has more than legitimate 35 HR pop, and could creep towards 40. As guy who will chip in 10-15 SB and give you a .300/.380/.550 line to go with it and 100/100 R/RBI. He should definitely be taken in the first next year in 12 team leagues. Betts, Lindor, Trout, JDM, JoRam, Arenado are the only guys I have = or > than Bregman. Otherwise, I'd take him. I know some guys will throw a guy like Benintendi, Judge, Yelich or Acuna into that mix. However, for me, they have the same questions as Bregman does (repeatability) as well as questioning how low is their floor vs how high is their ceiling, AND considering they play OF. Ideally, I"d be picking 8th and have Bregman fall to me there, then my 2nd rounder would snag one of those 4 OF. There's no way he will be available a couple of rounds later, nor should he be. He's a great hitter and appears to be a high floor/high ceiling guy, which is the definition of a first round pick.