Experienced Rookie

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  1. Jerick McKinnon 2018 Outlook

    McKinnon is going to bust out. 3rd round is simply too high for this clown. He had opportunity time and again in Minnesota, and never did squat with it. Why should this be so different?
  2. Lamar Miller 2018 Season Outlook

    For sheer volume, Lamar Miller is way under ranked this year. Sure, maybe he slows down at the end of the season again. As long as he is getting his 260+ touches every season, it doesn't really matter what part of the season it comes in. Miller has been surprisingly consistent over his career, albeit not in flashy fashion. Grabbing him at the back end of the 5th round is a bargain.
  3. Leonard Fournette 2018 Season Outlook

    Fournette is in the perfect NFL scenario. He's a top 10 talent at the position, can play all 3 downs, plays for a running offense, and for a team with a premium defense.
  4. 2018 Rookie Draft Discussion

    Baker at 10 is good? I've seen his ADP as 2.02 recently.
  5. Pierre Garcon 2018 Season Outlook

    That's probably more about not wanting Marshawn than anything else. Plus, NOBODY in history has ever been excited about getting 2 middling players for one stud. EVER. It's just not sexy. I
  6. Pierre Garcon 2018 Season Outlook

    There is tremendous value in the SF WR position as far where both Garçon and Goodwin are being drafted. For instance, in MFL10 drafts, Garçon is an 8th rounder and Goodwin a 9th. Either one could potentially lead this team in targets, and I doubt there is a huge separation. I could easily see both guys having 70+ catches. That's a steal in the 8th round.
  7. Mitchell Trubisky 2018 Season Outlook

    I'd argue that for as average as Mitch looked in 2017, Goff looked even worse in 2016. Knowing that, and seeing the huge leap Goff made in his 2nd year gives me all kinds of hope for Mitch. Plus, that offense looks vastly improved over the s--- show of pass catchers they were rolling out there last year.
  8. 2018 Rookie Draft Discussion

    I hold picks 1.02 and 1.03 in a league where I really need the RB help. Thankfully the top end of this draft is littered with potential. I know I want Penny at 1.02, but I'm totally clueless on 1.03. I can't screw thus up though. This is too prime of a spot to be getting this wrong. Guice? Jones? Sony? Chubb? Hell, I don't know. Every one of them has question marks. I dont trust the Skins to effectively run the ball. I don't trust the Pats to feed one guy. I don't trust the crowded backfield in Cleveland. Check that...I don't trust Cleveland, period. I guess I lean towards Jones at 3 based on situation, but that doesn't mean squat. The stud pro caliber players always ascend, no matter how crowded the backfield. So who are they? Chubb looks the part, and his SPARQ score backs it up. Same for Guice, but not quite as impressive. Sony and Jones didn't participate at the combine, so that's anyone's guess. Does one consider the immediate future of the franchises as well? In Sony's case, that team and offense could be completely different in the near future. Bill and Tom could both be gone soon, and I don't know what that means potentially. It can't be good though.
  9. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    I never said Hunt averaged 13 per game in weeks 8-13. I said weeks 4-7. Dude had a bad stretch while still being the #4 fantasy RB, and everyone is looking for a life boat. The facts remain the same. Reid feeds 1 RB. Hunt is their far and away best option. Yes, the offense is changed, as is the QB. Whether that's good or bad is yet to be seen. Gurley had an offense change with a young QB last year too. It's not always a bad thing.
  10. Tarik Cohen 2018 Season Outlook

    4-5 catches puts him on pace for 64-80 end of season. He had 53 in a full season last year. 3 per game is a more realistic average unless you see a concrete reason for more targets this year.
  11. Ronald Jones 2018 Season Outlook

    You don't think Ronald Jones is better than Barber? You know who disagrees with you? The TB front office. I'm guessing they might know a few more things about Barber than you do. It's not like they spent a 4th round pick on a RB. They went early in the 2nd round to get their guy. Unless he's Bishop Sankey, this kid is getting work.
  12. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    The point that I was trying to make was that while 14-16 isn't likely to repeat, Reid's usage over the years showed multiple 3 game outburst of similar volume. You can also safely assume that Reid will feed one guy, cause that's all he ever seems to do. McCoy didn't get much till Westbrook got hurt. Spencer Ware didn't get much until Charles got hurt. I would assume that Hunt gets the same treatment. He's flat out better than Ware. 250 touches is his baseline for a healthy season.
  13. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    If you're someone who drafted Hunt last year and you DIDNT make the playoffs.....I promise you, that's on you and the rest of your team, not him. If your drafting is anything other than totally inept, you should have had enough of a team around Hunt where his ridiculous first 3 weeks were automatic wins for you. It's not like he just shut down after that either. Weeks 4-7 he consistently scored 13-14 points. What more do you want from the guy? To do that every freaking game?
  14. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    You've got to be kidding me, right? That's like a kindergarten level fantasy football assignment. Andy Reid is basically the Godfather of force feeding 1 RB and putting up massive numbers. Just go look at Brian Westbrook from 2006-2008. He had over 300 touches in 3 straight years. Westbrook always had 5+ catches with anywhere from 15-25 carries per game. In fact, the first year for game logs that I looked at was 2007. Had a 3 game stretch with 88 touches right in the heart of the season. Had another with 80 touches at the end. He also has an 86 touch 3 game stretch in 2006. Had an 84 touch 3 game stretch in 2008. Reid finally broke him in 2009. No worries though. Reid moves on to force feeding his next man up. LeSean McCoy. 2010 : 285 touches 2011: 321 touches 2012: 254 touches Had an 86 touch stretch in 2011. Then Reid gets canned by Philly. Pulls up stakes and heads to Kansas City. Will his pattern follow him? Tune in next week to find out... Jamaal Charles 2013: 329 touches 2014: 246 touches Guess he caught Charles too late in his career. Had to move on and find the next thing. Certainly, Reid couldn't keep up this luck of always having a transcendent 3 down RB to work worth, right? Or was it those RBs who were lucky to have worked with Reid? Spencer Ware. Yeah, that's right. Spencer freaking Ware. Reid took some time out of his busy schedule (and with Jamaal Charles injured) and decided to make this guy a thing too. In 14 games in 2016 Ware got 247 touches. Dude had 1360 yards. He also happens to suck. Kareem Hunt And we all know how this turned out. It wasn't just his week 14-16 run where he got fed either. Hunt had 113 touches through the first 5 games. So in summation and with the proper amount of grandstanding, I cede that the 92 touch stretch by Hunt to end the season is the paramount of Reid feeding a RB within those parameters. However, I think Ive done enough to illustrate that while one shouldn't make plans for a 92 touch 3 game stretch again, it's only a matter of time before the next 86 touch stretch. And when you're smoking your opponents for those 3 straight games, you're not going to worry about whether it was 92 or 86 touches, cause you're just going to be too busy counting the money.
  15. Kareem Hunt 2018 Season Outlook

    Weeks 14-16 are arguably the most important 3 weeks in fantasy football. Hunt went 78 carries, 362 yards, 3 TDs, 5.0 YPC, 14 catches for 88 yards and 1 TD through the air. He was an absolute animal in crunch time. The #3 RB in the fantasy playoffs averaging 25 points per game in 0.5 PPR.