Mahomet

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  1. Let's be real here: rookie rushing qb behind a terrible offensive line he's gonna have a minimum of 40 yards/game just from scrambles, aka Josh Allen.
  2. What's his ADP these days? QB8-9? That's ~ 20 ppg based on https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/reports/leaders/qb.php Let's give him 230 passing, 1 td, 55 yards rushing, and a rushing td every 4 games (0.25/g). That's...... 9+4+5.5+1.5 = 20 ppg. Rushing QBs are the Konami code. Does that per game projection seem generous or conservative to you? I'd say he's priced about right and has significant upside. Your mileage may vary.
  3. Think this is the year where you take a dart throw at Eifert, Reed, Walker, and Olsen in the 13th. If they don't work out, there's Fant, Waller, Herndon, Drissley, etc on the waivers. It's a garbage TE pool after H.Henry but it's a DEEP garbage pool.
  4. And let's be honest: if Gurley gets even 220 carries and 50 receptions he's still probably scoring 14 touchdowns minimum and that's enough for RB12. And that's probably his floor with a split load.
  5. Completely agree on Chubb. If he gets passing down work (which it looks like he will) he's gonna be top six. They'll move the ball well.
  6. Doubt M.Williams gets to 80 catches. He needs 12+ tds to be top 12 and HH is back. Week in and out you probably hate starting him because his production is so focused on TDs.
  7. ABs a HOF talent but his success is as a timing WR. He's had zero practice with Carr, who's terrified to challenge good coverage and has the lowest downfield throw % in the league (10.4 IIRC). I'd say 9 in 10 WRs who change teams mid-year have zero impact on that new team, with Amari Cooper last year being the exception. AB is effectively doing exactly that as he's a timing/route WR with no experience with Carr whatsoever. Throw in the fact that we know nothing about the severity of the injury, if it'll persist and Gurley him at any time, and the general lack of promise in Oakland, and that's a hard pass. Someone else's headache.First 3 rounds you can't win the league, but you sure as hell can lose it.
  8. Completely agree. The new thinking in personnel is position packages that don't telegraph your intent and can swap on the fly to maximize matchups. Having Horward on the field was driving Nagy nuts because he felt he was always showing his hand and not creating advantages. Monty is draft capital Nagy spent, fits the identity of his offense, and should only improve over the course of the year. The bears have a solid defense, they just need to control clock, minimize errors, and move the chains on O.
  9. Totally agree. He's a high upside flier, don't expect anything more. But considering the lack of depth on the team and his potential if he gets the RB1 gig, he's worth it purely as a handcuff. Hoping to pay about a 10th rounder for him, 12team superflex.
  10. While true, it's hard to give that inconsistency any weight now that McCarthy is gone. His poor usage of AJ was one of the reasons he was pushed out too. GB has a top 10 line, likely top six scoring offense, and seem to be using AJ in the passing game. That's about all you could ask for at his ADP. If he stays healthy, he's a great value.
  11. I think everyone's getting blinded by how awful last year was for Hyde (and it was, to be fair). Previously he was on a SF team that was bottom 5 in talent and yet Hyde put up numbers, both as a grinder and by catching a ton of passes (Shannahans first year I think). He was legit a PPR stud that year at a great value. KC has a system where my grandmother could put up RB2 numbers if given a chance. It's short-sided to argue that Hyde was garbage before KC when that's less true than 90% of the starters Reid has trotted out there and it's sort of irrelevant anyways. Fact is, Hyde has been valuable before, DW has not. Hyde is on the field taking reps, DW is not. What's the hold up in tossing a flier at CH? There's two other RBs on the team and a converted CB. THAT'S IT. This could be the greatest value in the draft.
  12. Ignoring the passing numbers and perfect RoS schedule, I'd expect around 55 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing tds per game. I don't think this is a generous projection, and that's a baseline floor of 8.5 points. Go pick him up NOW.
  13. Martin has six touches for 50 yards. How does Oakland have like three first downs?
  14. Can we get Buffalo against Oakland on a neutral site, and loser gets relegated to College Football? We could promote Alabama to the big leagues.
  15. You're assuming he wants to win. He does not. He knows exactly what he's doing. Sucks for the fans.