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StifleTower2 last won the day on July 26 2018

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  1. Strategy help

    Counter by dropping Mirotic from the deal.
  2. Anthony Davis Season Outlook 2018-2019

    Apparently out on AD. You should have offered him DeRozan and Mirotic.
  3. Anthony Davis Season Outlook 2018-2019

    You weren't not wrong about the advantage AD's owner has...that's why people play auction instead of snake. In 9 cat roto I'd MUCH rather have AD for $80 than any other first round player for $70. But at least in auction everyone has equal opportunity on bidding on him. I'm not playing snake anymore.
  4. Anthony Davis Season Outlook 2018-2019

    Fantasy basketball ninja which uses a standard deviation model similar but slightly different from bbm.
  5. Anthony Davis Season Outlook 2018-2019

    They’re not public leagues. All invitation only large buy in leagues. Most of my leagues are ran by and full of some well known players from this forum. All league safe, I just roll my winnings over from previous years for buy-ins for the next year. How many I play is based on how well I did the previous year. Last year was a down year for me so I’m in 12 this year. I’ve played up to 20ish.
  6. Will Barton 20018-2019 Outlook

    Playing through it isn’t smart and I wouldn’t recommend it but I was young and thought it was just a jam. If you’re a multi-million dollar star player then there’s more incentive for it to properly heal and you have significantly more access to medical care. But one COULD play through it and it would eventually heal albeit improperly.
  7. Will Barton 20018-2019 Outlook

    I agree. That's the problem with a broken toe. Technically, you could wrap it, and play through it. It will be very painful, and it won't heal correctly, but you could do it. I broke a toe when I played and I didn't even know it. Played through it and never healed properly. But you could also do everything correct and still have lingering pain for months. That's the issue with a toe. It isn't an injury to a necessary or major body part but it is going to hurt forever bc you're always on it.
  8. Anthony Davis Season Outlook 2018-2019

    I agree in part with Tom Chamber's arguments and some of the things that he said. However, even in 8 cat AD has a z score of 1.71 and Harden has one of 1.52. .21 is the value of Nurkic so you'd need Harden + Nurkic to equal AD + WW player. Also, something that no one has mentioned is AD's center eligibility. All things being equal, I will always take a center over a guard. The z score plus center eligibility put AD a tier above everyone else. One might subtract some of his value for perceived injury risk but Harden missed significantly more games than AD this season, so have a lot of stars. I've stopped paying attention to "injury risk" for young players who are currently healthy. If someone is actually injured to begin the season then I'll deduct some of his value, but otherwise I've stopped caring. I'm having one of my best seasons to date and I'm on pace to cash in everyone but one of my large buy-in leagues. If the season were to end today I would be looking at about 7K in prizes on the season. Although I've had a 10K gross season before, that was on more volume than this year, and my net this year will probably be my best yet. Ironically, I put less time in this year than others, and followed two simple strategies: 1) punt FT% and 2) Draft AD in auction leagues. I'm doing better in the AD leagues than the punt FT% leagues. When your entirety strategy consists of drafting one player and you still win you know the game is broken. DRAFT AD.
  9. Strategy help

    I did the same and concur with this analysis. Punt assists/steals and shed Smart's poor FG% in order to bed shore up your strong cats. Don't drop him though, he's too good for that. Teague has been an assists only guy who doesn't appear strong for your build but he has enough name recognition that after his last strong game maybe you can package the pair of them for a top 50 big. Maybe try for a two-for-one then pick up Holmes, giving you two bigs. I would keep Brogdon and Kemba though as they are PG eligible players who get most of their value from cats other than assists. If you can pull that off you'll also likely want help in points, threes, FT%. If you can really get someone like LMA for Teague/Smart in a two-for-one then pick up Holmes then you'd be overkill in FG%/Reb and under in points, threes, FT%. So then I would flip Gobert and a throw-in for someone like Lillard. Lillard is a top 5 player across points/threes/FT who is a realistic get for Gobert. Plus, shedding Gobert's negative FT, and gaining Lillard's positive FT% would be a complete game changer in that cat. So after all of that your ideal team would look like: PG: LIllard/Kemba SG: Brogdon/Lamb SF: Mirotic/Morris PF: LMA/Ibaka/Holmes C: AD/Wendell That would raise your team's z score from 1.77 to 2.10. But more importantly, it polarizes your values so that you're negative in assists/steals and absolutely crushing every other cat. If you can't make these trades then move the goal posts a little. Can't get LMA for Teague/Smart? Keep trying until you find someone who needs the assists and has a top 50 big to give. Can't get LIllard for Gobert, even if you throw someone else in? Try finding an owner who loves Gobert and has a points, threes, FT% anchor of similar value.
  10. Will Barton 20018-2019 Outlook

    No Malone knows exactly what he’s talking about he’s just hiding it from us.
  11. Your Best/Worst (So Far)

    Best draft pick: Vuc in 5 leagues. Worst draft pick: Drummond at 12. Best trade: Bledsoe, Gallo, and LouWill for Butler and Adams from a panicked Butler owner. Then flipped Butler, Roco, Adams for Lillard, DeRozan, Millsap. So basically Bledsoe, Gallo, LouWill, Roco for Lillard, DeRozan, Millsap. Worst Trade: Jrue Holiday and Thaddeus Young for Otto and Deandre Jordan. Best Add: Marcus Smart. Worst drop: Harrell.
  12. Overpay for AD? WHIR

    Big UNDERpay. AD has a zscore of 1.39 while Embiid has one of .6 and Dipo is .12. It would be a steal if you didn't get Otto, adding Otto and his .04 z score makes the deal filthy.
  13. Nikola Vucevic 2018-2019 Season Outlook

    22/11/3 with 3 blocks/2 steals/1 three on great percentages and it isn’t even the fourth quarter. Almost makes me feel bad I traded he and Redick for Durant in one of my leagues. Fortunately, I still have him in several others.
  14. Tomas Satoransky 2018-19 Season Outlook

    In one of my leagues the winner bidder paid $91 out of 100 FAAB for him. Turns out it was an underbid.
  15. 2019 Trade Deadline

    You're correct, it is the Magic so all possibilities are on the table, even the dumb ones. Hell, especially the dumb ones. Yet they're still somehow not the dumbest front office in the league.