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About AJJones

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  1. Leonard Fournette 2018 Season Outlook

    I have a problem with this argument. If the expectation is to have 20 yard runs vs 40 yard runs based on alignment, given the personnel that is typically on the field in this kind of look, I would expect the standard deviation to widen also. You say earlier that you don't have this data, fair enough, but I think in a small sample "2 big chunk plays and nothing else" actually makes sense -- averaging out to about 20ish. Comparing the distribution of run plays vs prevent looks and traditional fronts would be a interesting study.
  2. Andrew Luck 2018 Outlook

    Great to see he is throwing a ball. Can he take a hit?
  3. Deshaun Watson 2018 season outlook

    Fair point. Outside of the first round, almost all of your picks should be a function of who goes before your next pick and not just some preconceived notion of where a player should go. However, if Watson is there in the 6th, my eyes are lighting up.
  4. Josh Gordon 2018 Season Outlook

    I think he will have consistency issues, but he is still going to be a target hog and a deep target hog in this offense. Think Terrelle Pryor's role but 100 times better player. Of course, this is tinted by the fact that I believe Landry just is not very good.
  5. Deshaun Watson 2018 season outlook

    I still think this argument is veering into where you should draft a QB, as opposed to where Deshaun Watson's fair value is. However, I would take Watson in round 5 or later without hesitation. Do we disagree?
  6. Deshaun Watson 2018 season outlook

    Every takes QB's where they take them based on their drafting strategy. None of this changes the fact that Watson should be drafted like a top tier QB, where ever they tend to go in your drafts.
  7. Deshaun Watson 2018 season outlook

    Terrelle Pryor, lol.
  8. Deshaun Watson 2018 season outlook

    Okay, so I know I said Watson had 40td upside and he does, but he is going too high for my taste. The hype is real.
  9. Deshaun Watson 2018 season outlook

    Is PaTD% "how many of their pass attempts went for touchdowns" on a percentage basis? Curious who that outlier is on the right with a high Y/A but low TD's.
  10. Lamar Jackson 2018 Season Outlook

    You said he was in a college offense. I think you meant to say he was playing against college defenses. They are very different statements. I understand your point better now though.
  11. Lamar Miller 2018 Season Outlook

    Poor man's Clinton Portis without the years in Denver. Yikes.
  12. Nick Chubb 2018 Season Outlook

    Chubb reminds me of Jamal Lewis. He will be a better pro than college player barring health. That is just my opinion though.
  13. Lamar Jackson 2018 Season Outlook

    We are specifically talking about the complexity of the passing concepts not his production. You are talking about the difference in talent between the NFL and College, which no one is debating. We are talking about the difference between Cam Newton's college offense and Bobby Petrino's. It is night and day. So again, as I and many other's have said, Lamar Jackson struggles with consistent accuracy and throwing outside the numbers to the sideline. In every other area he is quite good and despite the fact most of his highlights are 60 yard runs, that is not a knock. He is a more advanced passer than he is given credit for just because he is an AMAZING runner.
  14. Lamar Jackson 2018 Season Outlook

    He ran an NFL scheme in college.