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About jorp

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  1. Baseball Prospectus 2019 Top 101 Prospects

    I laughed at: Nick Senzel, 3B/2B/SS?/OF?, Cincinnati Reds I have Senzel in my dynasty league, and every other month I'm trying to figure out where I should be slotting him in.
  2. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Fangraphs updated 2019 Steamer projections today. Pitchers prorated to 200 IP, sorted by WAR: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=19,d. Who's that guy ranked 19th overall? He obviously isn't getting 200 IP in 2019, but it's obvious Steamer is a fan. 3.58 ERA, 9.35 K/9, 2.26 BB/9 for rate projections.
  3. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Threw again on Wednesday. 5 innings, 8 H , 3 R, 6K, BB Didn't see it, but from gathering the reports online: Got knocked around a bit, including two runs in the first. Some of it was soft contact in there (some singles to 2B and SS) but gave up a few doubles. Was sitting 94-97 and touched 98. Most June and July reports had him sitting 90-93 and touching 95-96. Note that this was after a rain shorted game the week prior, so he might have been a bit more fresh this time around. He went 86 pitches. Didn't see anything on development of the breaking ball or whether the added velocity impacted command at all.
  4. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Paddack threw tonight, but the game was cancelled due to rain after throwing three innings. Struck out four in that time and got touched for two runs in the 2nd, including a home run
  5. Brendan Rodgers - SS COL

    Rodgers was put on the DL today with a hamstring strain. No timetable to return at the moment. Had a pretty lackluster start to his AAA stint before the injury (though in a small sample size of just 31 PAs).
  6. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    This was from yesterday's Klawchat: http://meadowparty.com/blog/2018/08/09/klawchat-8-9-18/
  7. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Honestly, if he develops a league average breaking ball that would be a great thing. It'll play up with the FB/CH combo. Fangraphs had the CB at PV/FV of 5/55 (haha). If it truly reaches a 55, then we're talking. I'm not too worried about the K rate drop yet. I wasn't surprised to see a drop when he moved to AA. The current drop is mostly related to his first few outings. He's gone 8K in 5.2 IP and 7K in 5.0 IP in his last two outings, both against Houston's Corpus Christi affiliate which is one of the better offenses in the Texas League. Hopefully he keeps that up (and finds that breaking ball along the way).
  8. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Interesting. I always check on reports after his games since I haven't been able to watch many and they almost all say his curveball is bad and he isn't throwing it much. It's my biggest concern with him. The fastball/change combo is obviously elite at this point. Good to hear any positive reports on the curveball development, because I think he needs that third pitch to excel at the higher levels.
  9. Razzball Ralph's Mid-Season Top 100 Update

    He's a very skinny pitcher who has been ranked in the Top 50 of most major outlets on the back of tearing up A and A+ with a high K rate, and missed a significant amount of time in his AA season due to an injury (which many scouts warned would be a concern given the slight build) along with a significant drop in his K rate at that level. That sentence above could be used to describe Carl Edwards Jr. pretty much word for word. He's always felt a lot like Edwards. Maybe slapping a "Carl Edwards" stamp on every skinny pitcher is wrong, but his career has yet to diverge from that of Edwards so the comparisons are going to keep coming. I could see a top-30 ranking from someone who is convinced Edwards will stick at SP, and could also see a 70+ ranking from someone who is highly concerned that he ends up as a reliever. Plus it was stated re: Gore that this lists tends to favor bats over arms anyway.
  10. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    A report from his debut that I saw someone post over on Reddit: http://baseball-farm.com/index.php/2018/07/08/chris-paddack-aa-debut/. Author seems to be a big Paddack fan. Nice to see that he threw his curve a lot more since he was hardly ever throwing it in A+. Still described as a "work in progress." Author thinks it is more than likely average and might have plus potential. I'm thinking there might be some bumps along the way as he uses it more to develop it.
  11. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Sure. I guess I expect the move to more advanced hitting to be a bigger deal than the park/league, especially given Paddack's current make up of essentially a two pitch FA-CH mix. I've seen a lot of guys do really well in A+ and not be able to make the big leap to AA, so I pay attention to that one more closely. Plus, any numbers he puts up I'll be considering in context to the park/league anyway. That's not to say I don't think he will succeed. I like Paddack. I own Paddack. I hope (and expect) for him to do well. If his FA-CH mix proves successful at AA I'll be even more hyped. If reports are that he starts adding a good breaking ball to that, I'll be psyched.
  12. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    I've been looking forward to seeing how AA goes. His great fastball-change combo obviously tore up A+, but reports on him improving his breaking pitches were underwhelming and he didn't throw them often at all (nor did he really have to). We'll get to see if the work on the breaking stuff will pay off enough to continue that success against more advanced hitting in AA.
  13. ESPN adds 200 minor leaguers to leagues

    Yep. We're doing it. See my previous post above yours. We're also probably not relying on the ESPN player pool any longer. It sounds in their release that they are going to do this randomly from time to time going forward and I don't want to play that "will they, won't they" game with them.
  14. ESPN adds 200 minor leaguers to leagues

    Ugh, this has caused all sorts of problems in our league. We always used only the ESPN player pool. You could pick up anyone at will as long as they were in the pool, and guys worth adding who got added to the pool upon call-up was infrequent enough that it wasn't a big deal and easily handled by the waiver process. Now you have a dozen or so guys that are getting added at once, and ESPN essentially saying that they're going to do this from time to time so it's now unpredictable and random. I think we're going to have a two round mid-season draft including the new guys and anyone not in the ESPN pool, finally go to not limiting the pool to ESPN's players, and just maintain a list with placeholders for those not in the pool. The draft going forward will be a true first year player draft, with the previous year's draft picks and int'l signings eligible. This is how I've wanted it for a while, but getting there this way has been a pain.
  15. Willie Calhoun - 2B TEX

    Yeah, I'm not terribly worried. He came around towards the end of his brief call-up last year before ending with a 5 game hitting streak, and even then it's a small sample size. This year he has been K'ing more than he has previously in the minors, but still below average K rate. For what it's worth, each of the last two years his April OPS was 100 points more more lower than any other month in the minors that season. (Coincidentally, his second "worst" month in both seasons was June: 2016 - .669 April vs .793 in June; 2017 - .823 April vs .924 June). Also, while the PCL gets a reputation as a crazy hitter's league, he has not been playing in hitter's parks. Here are the latest factors I can find for AAA parks: https://www.milb.com/milb/news/toolshed-stats-triple-a-ballpark-factors/c-208823408. So, Round Rock is 10-30% below average than depending if you use 2016 or 2014-2016. Eight of his fifteen away games have come at New Orleans (most pitcher friendly park in the league) and Memphis (also in the bottom half to near the bottom depending on the time frame you're using). He had one 7-game stint early in the season where he got to hit in the Colorado Springs and Las Vegas launching pads. That went unsurprisingly fine with an OPS of .867. Not trying to make excuses, but to put it in context.