jorp

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About jorp

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  1. Razzball Ralph's Mid-Season Top 100 Update

    He's a very skinny pitcher who has been ranked in the Top 50 of most major outlets on the back of tearing up A and A+ with a high K rate, and missed a significant amount of time in his AA season due to an injury (which many scouts warned would be a concern given the slight build) along with a significant drop in his K rate at that level. That sentence above could be used to describe Carl Edwards Jr. pretty much word for word. He's always felt a lot like Edwards. Maybe slapping a "Carl Edwards" stamp on every skinny pitcher is wrong, but his career has yet to diverge from that of Edwards so the comparisons are going to keep coming. I could see a top-30 ranking from someone who is convinced Edwards will stick at SP, and could also see a 70+ ranking from someone who is highly concerned that he ends up as a reliever. Plus it was stated re: Gore that this lists tends to favor bats over arms anyway.
  2. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    A report from his debut that I saw someone post over on Reddit: http://baseball-farm.com/index.php/2018/07/08/chris-paddack-aa-debut/. Author seems to be a big Paddack fan. Nice to see that he threw his curve a lot more since he was hardly ever throwing it in A+. Still described as a "work in progress." Author thinks it is more than likely average and might have plus potential. I'm thinking there might be some bumps along the way as he uses it more to develop it.
  3. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    Sure. I guess I expect the move to more advanced hitting to be a bigger deal than the park/league, especially given Paddack's current make up of essentially a two pitch FA-CH mix. I've seen a lot of guys do really well in A+ and not be able to make the big leap to AA, so I pay attention to that one more closely. Plus, any numbers he puts up I'll be considering in context to the park/league anyway. That's not to say I don't think he will succeed. I like Paddack. I own Paddack. I hope (and expect) for him to do well. If his FA-CH mix proves successful at AA I'll be even more hyped. If reports are that he starts adding a good breaking ball to that, I'll be psyched.
  4. Chris Paddack - SP SD

    I've been looking forward to seeing how AA goes. His great fastball-change combo obviously tore up A+, but reports on him improving his breaking pitches were underwhelming and he didn't throw them often at all (nor did he really have to). We'll get to see if the work on the breaking stuff will pay off enough to continue that success against more advanced hitting in AA.
  5. ESPN adds 200 minor leaguers to leagues

    Yep. We're doing it. See my previous post above yours. We're also probably not relying on the ESPN player pool any longer. It sounds in their release that they are going to do this randomly from time to time going forward and I don't want to play that "will they, won't they" game with them.
  6. ESPN adds 200 minor leaguers to leagues

    Ugh, this has caused all sorts of problems in our league. We always used only the ESPN player pool. You could pick up anyone at will as long as they were in the pool, and guys worth adding who got added to the pool upon call-up was infrequent enough that it wasn't a big deal and easily handled by the waiver process. Now you have a dozen or so guys that are getting added at once, and ESPN essentially saying that they're going to do this from time to time so it's now unpredictable and random. I think we're going to have a two round mid-season draft including the new guys and anyone not in the ESPN pool, finally go to not limiting the pool to ESPN's players, and just maintain a list with placeholders for those not in the pool. The draft going forward will be a true first year player draft, with the previous year's draft picks and int'l signings eligible. This is how I've wanted it for a while, but getting there this way has been a pain.
  7. Willie Calhoun - 2B TEX

    Yeah, I'm not terribly worried. He came around towards the end of his brief call-up last year before ending with a 5 game hitting streak, and even then it's a small sample size. This year he has been K'ing more than he has previously in the minors, but still below average K rate. For what it's worth, each of the last two years his April OPS was 100 points more more lower than any other month in the minors that season. (Coincidentally, his second "worst" month in both seasons was June: 2016 - .669 April vs .793 in June; 2017 - .823 April vs .924 June). Also, while the PCL gets a reputation as a crazy hitter's league, he has not been playing in hitter's parks. Here are the latest factors I can find for AAA parks: https://www.milb.com/milb/news/toolshed-stats-triple-a-ballpark-factors/c-208823408. So, Round Rock is 10-30% below average than depending if you use 2016 or 2014-2016. Eight of his fifteen away games have come at New Orleans (most pitcher friendly park in the league) and Memphis (also in the bottom half to near the bottom depending on the time frame you're using). He had one 7-game stint early in the season where he got to hit in the Colorado Springs and Las Vegas launching pads. That went unsurprisingly fine with an OPS of .867. Not trying to make excuses, but to put it in context.
  8. Mike Soroka - ATL SP

    Fangraphs posted an interview with Soroka that's a fun read: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/a-conversation-with-atlanta-braves-prospect-mike-soroka/. Some good stuff at the end about how he has developed through the minors.
  9. Nick Senzel- 3B Reds

    Pretty different prospects. Moncada was (is) raw with great tools and contact issues. Senzel is considered the more polished hitter, but doesn't have the toolsy speed and raw power grades. Consider the Fangraphs scouting grades which give a present/future value on each tool: Moncada before 2017: Hit 30/60, Game Power 40/60, Raw Power 60/60, Speed 70/70 Senzel before 2018 (from their 100 list): Hit 55/70, Game Power 40/55, Raw Power 55/55, Run 55/50 So Senzel is considered the better hitter and is way closer to realizing that hitting ability than Moncada was at this time last year. That comes the expense of less potential power and less speed. It shows in the results. Moncada has struggled in the bigs for because of contact, which fits with that 30 PV on the hit tool. Moncada also had relatively high K rates at each of his stints at advanced levels (AA and above), with K rates of 28% or higher at each stop AA and above. Other than the brief 31 PA stint in AA so far (which is at 25%), Senzel has had K rates of less than 20% at each stop including 18% at AA (compared to Moncada 30%+ at the same level). That's not to say that Senzel won't fail, but they are very different prospects with different strengths and potential drawbacks.
  10. Forrest Whitley - RHP HOU

    Oh, I agree with you. I was reading the post I quoted as not believing that caffeine would be on a PED list. (It isn't on the MLB list, but is considered a PED in some spots.) Even if it was on the MLB list, caffeine doesn't really seem to really fit. Especially if you believe the reports that he took something to help him stay awake driving home after watching a game. That would be some terribly unlucky bad timing to get a random drug test before the caffeine cleared (which like you said, happens pretty quickly).
  11. Forrest Whitley - RHP HOU

    I don't see it on the list of MLB banned substances here: http://mlb.mlb.com/pa/pdf/prohibited-substances.pdf I know it is on the NCAA list (or was when I was in school anyway). It's a fairly high amount though. Like the equivalent of drinking 8 cups of coffee within a couple hours or something like that.
  12. Forrest Whitley - RHP HOU

    McKenzie is listed at 6'5", 165. That's a decent gap to Whitley's 6'7", 195. Interestingly, Whitley lost a ton of weight. I saw his Perfect Game profile from pre-draft had him listed at 250 lb and Fangraphs has him at 240 lbs. I dug some more and found this from last March: https://www.mlb.com/astros/news/qa-with-astros-prospect-forrest-whitley/c-219552462 "MLBPipeline.com: This obviously is the first time we've met, and I have to say that I'm really having trouble believing that you weigh anything close to the 240 pounds you're listed at. What's up with that? Whitley: I've lost a lot of weight as I've grown taller and learned to improve my body. I'm about 200 pounds now. But, yeah, not too long ago I weighed 260. The fact that he has had the weight before probably helps in showing that he could add the weight if needed.
  13. CBS 2018 Fantasy Baseball Top Prospects List

    This list is much better than the other one that Rotoballer did that was recently posted. (Because the guys I own are higher on this list of course.)
  14. Braves Penalties & Fantasy Effects

    The players do not have to return the bonuses they received.
  15. Braves Penalties & Fantasy Effects

    They cannot bid. If anyone isn't signed by May 1st, the Braves can resign them. Braves can't offer them a bonus though, so the players would be foregoing any additional money to stay.