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Everything posted by thebrowns

  1. You are right about Pumphrey. I didn't mean to imply that Pumphrey and Penny are the same player. I think their first year could be similar. It's hard to tell until the draft, I could have said the same thing about Kareem Hunt last year (and would have been wrong). I just glanced at Penny's YouTube film against the number 11 run defense (Fresno St), number 16 RD (Northern Illinois), and number 17 RD (Boise St). The three top 50 run defenses he faced. He definitely flashes that same brilliance he had against lesser defenses. He can get around the corner and has potential to break tackles. I know he's big but he really looks like an upright runner. I like him; I don't love him. Good vision, nice strength, nice ability to get to the edge. Just want to see more, I think system is key for him. Here is some statistical info to go along with the videos. Top 50 Defense Rushing Receiving Special Teams YDS Car Avg Fum TD Rec YDS TD Punt yards avg Punt TD Kick Yards Avg Kick TD 11 Fresno State 69 15 4.6 1 0 1 9 0 - - 14.2 0 16 Northern Illinois 107 25 4.3 0 0 2 32 1 - - 28.7 17 Boise State 53 21 2.5 0 1 - - - - - 17 0 TOTAL against top defenses 229 61 3.8 1 1 3 41 1 0 0 20.0 0 10 other teams 2019 228 8.9 2 22 16 94 1 35 1 30.6 2 The three games he played against top 20 run defenses were at home. San Diego St was 1-2 in those games. NORTHERN ILLINOIS 28 @ SAN DIEGO STATE 34, 9/30/2017 BOISE STATE 31 @ SAN DIEGO STATE 14, 10/14/2017 FRESNO STATE 27 @ SAN DIEGO STATE 3, 10/21/2017
  2. I'm definitely moving him up on my list, he's showing out this week at senior bowl. Had good speed. Him and Ballage are big and quick and can catch. Qualities i like I my backs.
  3. I couldn't find my source on that one, I've dug a little more on outside analysis and think i might move him up. It does seem he may depend on fit. He could be like his predecessor pomphrey. RB Rashaad Penny SD ST "Good Vision ********Just looks average all around. Lacks lateral quickness and agility.****** | Mel Kiper: ""I think Penny could go in the second round, though he doesn't have the all-around game of Hunt. Penny is going to test well."" | DRAFT BLASTER: ""He checks off all of the boxes for what teams are looking for in a running back- size, speed, pass catching ability, pass protection and not only contributes but excels on special teams. He will most likely drop as teams could label him as a system guy."" | Josh Norris ROTOWORLD Jan 22: ""At his best, Penny is a one cut, hit the seam and go runner. His long speed is great for his size, and that frequently popped up on long runs. It is difficult for running backs to show their contact balance at all-star games, since defenders are not attempting to take ball carriers to the ground. However, that is my question with Penny, as is his reaction to well-defended fronts. Will he pick up what is blocked, create more, or lose yards by trying to do too much? And possibly most importantly, how is his pass protection?"" |"
  4. Landing spot will matter a lot after Guice. I truly think that Ballage is a complete back and that he has more tread on hoods tires than the other guys. This isn't my list of where i think guys will be drafted. Chubb could hold up like Gurley has, his tape pre injury is different from post injury. That could change. His vision is what makes him great and a knee injury doesn't affect that. I'll continually be adjusting my list. Walton and Coleman both look like complete backs. Johnson is small and injury prone. I'm just not sold on Penny. We haven't been through the combine or draft so this is still a cap shoot. I do have reasoning for where guys are and I'm just a little fluid early on in evaluation. I'm excited to watch more tape, especially on Freeman. He had nice vision and can change direction nicely which compensates for his average athleticism.
  5. I'm a little worried about Johnson's durability. Otherwise I'd be higher on him. I read mixed things on Penny, but a few have said he just looks average. I'm currently high on Ballage. I'm resisting the urge to go all in on Michel because i think he'll be good not great. My updated ratings: RB Saquon Barkley Penn State RB Derrius Guice LSU RB Kalen Ballage Arizona State RB Royce Freeman Oregon RB Ronald Jones USC RB Nick Chubb Georgia RB Mark Walton Miami RB Lavon Coleman Washington RB Sony Michel Georgia RB John Kelly Tennesse RB josh adams Notre Dame RB Kerryon Johnson Auburn RB Nyheim Hines NC State RB Rashaad Penny SD ST RB Akrum Wadley Iowa RB Ty Johnson Maryland RB Larry Rose III New Mexico St RB Darrel Williams LSU
  6. Good catch, for some reason I don't even have his school right on this list. TY
  7. You make an interesting point. If Mitch can make the Goff jump this would be a good spot. CHI certainly needs a WR1. He could have an interest there; why would Alshon want to go to Philly last year?
  8. Yeah, they say that year four is the bump year for the system. According to Smith was top 5 in 2017. The issue I see with Mahomes beyond just learning the system is that he will turn the ball over more than Smith (almost everybody turns it over more than he does). Will there be enough production to make Mahomes worthwhile this year? I think he might still be stash guy.
  9. I'd love to see him in a stable QB situation. I don't think that is Baltimore. I don't know cap situations. Is there a favorable team he could land with? #LandryandCousinstoCleveland
  10. First, Alex Smith should be gone since Bob Sutton is back, right? Can't imagine they keep a coordinator like that and not give him some fresh blood on that side of the ball. Dropping $17mil is probably the easiest way to get young vets in there. Second, IF PMII starts what kind of production are we looking at FF wise? QB8-12 production? Is he a low-end starter in 1-QB leagues? I'm assuming not much changes with that young offense. Those receivers, Kelce, hunt (probably ware too?) should all be the same. The only place I see that they should improve on that side of the ball is the O-Line.
  11. Wow, he looked a little more agile than 4.56. He just seems sure-handed. You have me rethinking things for sure. I really see him thriving in the slot, I like his hands in traffic. But maybe I'll move him down on my list. Personally, I like guys like Dante Pettis, Deontay Burnett, Antonio Callaway, and Jaleel Scott better. I'm just working on finding position before they are drafted. Like CBS football and Walter Football things will change dramatically as we go through combine and the draft.
  12. His QB was definitely trash. I see Gallup as the WR9/10 in this class. Worth drafting to see if he lands in a good spot. Look at Alvin Kamara. Limited skill set, but was asked to do what he does and he excelled.
  13. This is a great video. Thanks! Could he have been more aggressive in the blocking? Maybe. They were running the opposite way. I only saw two drops. One was underthrown while he was in stride. He should have secured that TD at the end; he did a good job of catching the ball away from his body on the way down even with a defender's hand in there, he can't lose possession like that on a double catch. He showed the ability to catch the ball in traffic and to make good contact/fall forward. He's not a no. 1 but he could be a solid second receiver. I'm thinking he is a great 31st or later pick in dynasty. Would you slate him later than that?
  14. Awesome! I never saw Conley play, just picked him up in dynasty when Mahomes II was drafted, figured it would be good to grab a freak athlete for cheap (in contract league) knowing that I could have him sit for a year while he suffered under the throws of Smith. He ruptured his Achilles.
  15. I have kept him on my squad. My worries with Conley are 1) how will he come back? 2) can he figure out the mechanics of routes and catching? Gallup has great hands and I think he could exist alongside Hill and Conley. I think I'd really like to see Gallup in SF. Especially if Smith is back in KC (which would be dumb IMO)
  16. I didn't realize that 5 receptions for 81 yards wasn't "much". I think that's pretty good. You might have gotten to see the game; admittedly I'm just looking at a box score. I'd expect a mighty SEC team to shut down the top weapon for a lowly MWC team.
  17. This is the icebreaker for Gallup. Those of us who play Dynasty, especially contracts, are very interested in players who are available in later rounds and who can contribute immediately while flashing potential. Looking for JuJu Smith-Schuester types (fantasy production not playing style). Gallup is a 6'1" senior wideout for Colorado State. Below is a little info I've accumulated so far; the real magic is watching him play. He looks good. WR Michael Gallup Colorado St Steve Muench ESPN: "He shows deceptive burst after the catch, and it tends to take more than one defender to get him on the ground. A tough open-field runner with enough elusiveness to make a defender miss and the balance to bounce off contact, he also flashes the ability to make highlight-reel catches." DRAFT BLASTER: "Has a instinctive ability to get open, and to operate in space. An excellent “yards after catch” type receiver, particularly well suited for West coast offensives. Very agile with good hands. Will need to continue to work on both his route running and making separation at the point of the catch." ESPN Todd McShay@Senior Bowl: "Gallup looked like a natural pass-catcher early, and extended for a Mayfield pass down the seam during team drills even though he knew he'd get lit up. At 6-1, 198 pounds, Gallup flashed a solid release and good speed." Josh Norris ROTOWORLD Jan 22: "A really enjoyable watch. Gallup finishes every single reception with aggression. He wants to pick up the difficult yards, and often does. That is also his question, so much of his game is contested or in tight coverage. How is he at creating separation and sustaining it?" Alex Kozora STEELERDEPOT Jan 23: "Speed and a nice catch radius. Snag over his head on a zip by Baker Mayfield over the middle in team drills." I think that, unless he gets burried (Eli Rogers [i know he wasn't a rookie this year]), Gallup should contribute right away. He seems like a 2-5 round guy. I think he'll be 7-10pts a week standard by the end of the season. What do you think of Gallup so far? Where would be good landing spots? I think he could be money if he landed in Kansas City especially if that young QB starts. Others I thought of: Green Bay (wouldn't be great for 2018 production) Seattle Baltimore (don't love flacco but he probably can still get us some fantasy wr production) Oakland (is crabtree going to be there next year?) San Francisco (Could be a good opportunity to learn from Garcon, Jimmy G seems to have an ounce or two of talent)
  18. We are clearly far from finalizing our lists... here is my current top 50. I'm surprised you don't have Rosen or Darnold on your top 35; I'm sure my top picks will be surprising as well. I'm not impressed with what I've read regarding Bo Scarbrough, I've dropped him from my top 80 offensive players (my biggest league is a 16 team 5 round IDP rookie draft). 1 RB Saquon Barkley Penn State 2 RB Derrius Guice LSU 3 WR Courtland Sutton SMU 4 RB Nick Chubb Georgia 5 WR James Washington Oklahoma State 6 WR Calvin Ridley Alabama 7 RB Ronald Jones USC 8 WR Auden Tate Florida State 9 WR Equanimeous St. Brown Notre Dame 10 WR Christian Kirk Texas A&M 11 RB Rashaad Penny SD ST 12 RB Royce Freeman Oregon 13 RB Kalen Ballage Arizona State 14 RB Sony Michel Georgia 15 TE Mark Andrews Oklahoma 16 WR Richie James Middle Tennesse St 17 QB Lamar Jackson Louisville 18 WR Deon Cain Clemson 19 QB Josh Rosen UCLA 20 WR Anthony Miller Memphis 21 RB Akrum Wadley Iowa 22 WR DJ Moore Maryland 23 QB Sam Darnold USC 24 RB John Kelly Tennesse 25 WR Michael Gallup Colorado St 26 RB josh adams Notre Dame 27 RB Kerryon Johnson Auburn 28 WR Dante Pettis Washington 29 TE Dalton Schultz Stanford 30 TE Andrew Vollert Weber St 31 WR Simmie Cobbs Indiana 32 RB Mark Walton Miami 33 TE Dallas Goedert South Dakota ST 34 WR Deontay Burnett USC 35 RB Lavon Coleman Washington 36 TE/RB Jaylen Samuels North Carolina St 37 QB Josh Allen Wyoming 38 TE Adam Breneman UMass 39 TE Ian Thomas Indiana 40 WR Antonio Callaway Florida 41 RB Nyheim Hines NC State 42 WR Jaleel Scott New Mexico 43 WR Daurice Fountain UNI 44 WR Brandon Shed Hobart 45 WR Jester Weah Pittsburgh 46 QB Mike White Western KY 47 TE Tyler Conklin Central Michigan 48 TE Mike Gesicki Penn State 49 WR Deebo Samuel Washington 50 WR DJ Chark LSU 51 TE Troy Fumagalli Wisconsin
  19. Random thoughts, Josh Gordon, if he stays clean (big if), could be dynamic with Todd Haley there, even with a rookie qb (especially if it's Allen) Juju built some momentum and seems poised to take off in Pittsburgh. 58 catches/917yds/7tds
  20. No idea where he'll be for sure, i assume MIA, I was impressed by Landry this year. It's like when Hopkins tore it up with poor qb play. The situation can only get better there, presumably so will he.
  21. If you aren't sold on Sutton, he is big with strong hands and could thrive anywhere, is recommend trading down and get some value. Hard to go rb there without knowing fit and combine info. I got 1.10 and 1.12 for 1.03 last year. Imo it never hurts to see what you can get for moving back and grabbing best available of some guys you like instead of reaching. You might luck out and get two of them.
  22. That rotoworld report is wrong, it wasn't John Kelly. It's Todd Kelly.
  23. I'd love to see him go to Dallas. (I'm definitely not a cowboys fan)
  24. Fit makes a huge difference. I also assume that those taken in the first three rounds will fall into decent fits. Many dynasty leagues draft soon after the NFL. I like getting input along the process. Hopefully, no one is locked in on their rookie draft in January. Many of us have been working on this draft since our 2017 rookie drafts. #trusttheprocess
  25. I'm pretty excited about him too. I'm going too grab him in the 22-27 range. Good speed and catching ability.