En Votto Veritas

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Posts posted by En Votto Veritas


  1. RosterResource has the new lineup as:

    Lindor-Mercado-Santana-Puig-JoRam-Franmil-Kipnis-Perez-Naquin

    I think JoRam and Santana may get flopped as the former is on complete fire, but either way you look at it that 1 through 6 is disgusting.  I think Santana benefits the most from all this as he's already a super patient hitter but now he's gonna see a lot more good pitches to hit.


  2. 39 minutes ago, einstein2u said:

    All he does is hit.  This kid every day?

     

    He's started the past ten games and is hitting .348/.414 over the past month with 89 ABs, usually at 3B or 2B.  The highest he seems to hit in the order lately is 6th, but with this type of production it's only a matter of time before he gets some looks near the top of the order.  That said, hitting as he does behind Kepler, Polanco, Cruz, Rosario, and Sano should lead to some RBI opps.


  3. 2 hours ago, lavaman said:

    This rook goes 0-3 today. 0-4 yesterday. 0-3 the day before that. 0-2 before that.

    Someone tell me why he's not drop-able right now?!  lol Seriously, any good reasoning out there, besides 'it's a small sample size'?

     

    If you're going to drop a player after 12 ABs then you have a bigger problem than that player's performance. 


  4. I agree with @tonycpsu on the HRs. It's never wise to bet on an increase in any stat that isn't backed up by historical numbers or swing change. I see McNeil as a 15-20 HR guy, and his AVG should fall from .330 as well, but it should be noted that he has a full season of ABs now (over 2 seasons) and is at .330. .300 seems like a low projection, a floor perhaps, and .315 a safe bet. 

    I have him in a 16 team league that counts lots of stats so he's much more valuable, as he would be in a points league. Standard 5x5 though, tony may be correct in having him right around 75. 

     


  5. 42 minutes ago, roscobangs said:

    This is guy is ridiculous. Where does he get drafted next year? 3rd round?

     

    Depends on the league settings. He's gonna end up with meager-ish counting stats, maybe 15 HR, 70 RBI, 90 R, 10 SB,  but with a .330 AVG that's a top 50 player in standard 5X5 leagues. 3rd round is picks 24-36 so maybe a bit early in a 12 team league. Deeper leagues and points leagues is a different story though. 

    • Like 2

  6. I'm getting a vintage Grady Sizemore vibe with less walks.  If he stays in the 2-spot between Lindor leading off and either Santana or hopefully JoRam, this could be a big 2nd half for him.  I think a final line of .275/.330 with 15-15 is reachable.

    • Like 2

  7. 2 hours ago, Ads7633 said:

    So, where do we rank him rest of season at 3B? 

    Top 5 3B ROS IMO. There's no 5x5 threat like him at the position. Arenado and Bregman will give him a good run, but JoRam seems back to form. He was a consensus top 5 pick overall this season and I see no reason why he won't play that way the rest of the season. 

    • Like 2

  8. 2 hours ago, Jyeatbvg said:

    Another ding dong tonight. I'm actually starting to value him as a consensus second rounder, can someone convince me otherwise? Entering his prime years, finding his power stroke, elite lineup, scarce position...only knock is lack of SBs but if the power is real I'm taking him ahead of Machado, Bryce, Altuve and other guys.

    I'm a huge Bogaerts fan but SS is not scarce. On the contrary, it is likely the deepest position this season and will be heading into next. I agree that I'd take him ahead of those you mentioned though and think a late 2nd round pick is merited due to his solid floor. 


  9. 2 hours ago, dicka24 said:

    I think the thumb must be bothering him still.  The key is whether or not it's something that can heal over the Allstar break, or if this is something that's simply going to linger till the offseason.  My hope is that it's the former and we get a monster second half from this guy, my gut tells me it's the latter and he's going to be underwhelming the rest of the way.

    This.  I fear at his age and with recurring injuries he won't be able to get healthy enough to produce at a viable level for most leagues.  He's not going to hit HRs or drive in a lot of runs, so it all comes down to making contact, running hard, and stealing bags.  A thumb injury impacts two of those three things and age doesn't help the third.  Bummer because I really like the way he plays and was rooting for him this year.

    As I look it over though, he's on pace for nearly 40 doubles and 100 runs with 20 bags to boot.  Those are solid numbers.  Get healthy Cain!


  10. I think selling high on Bell is smart.  He's come down after a bad June but is still a top 10 player, and I doubt he finishes the season that way.  Polanco is similar in that I like him a ton as a hitter but don't think his second half mirrors his first.  Jo Ram has all the peripherals in line but just can't seem to get the hits he needs.  He's still running and taking walks though so I think he can finish strong.  Votto is a complete gamble but my username should say it all.


  11. 3 hours ago, Johnny Tuttle said:

    I really worry about guys like this: while his OPS over the last two weeks has been good, he's been pretty mediocre this year: a .768 OPS with 7 homers and 5 SB feels really blah. (I play in BA/RBI leagues, too, but I refuse to evaluate players on inaccurate measures). 

    I'm getting tempted to cut bait on him once this current hot streak concludes: I can't see winning in my league with this scud in the lineup.

     

    Cesar is having an interesting year. 

    - Had a 'rough' April of .265/.330, but turned it on in May .327/.380.  June has been rough again .262/.310.

    - He got dropped from the top of the order early and has been hitting in the 6-7 hole for most of the season.

    - Has seen his walk rate plummet from a career average of around 10% to 6.4% this season.

    - Has also seen his strikeout rate plummet from 19% to 12%.

    - The lack of walks, which can be attributed to not hitting higher in the lineup and therefore not being asked to table-set, is hurting his OBP (.355 to .339).

    - His BABIP is down: .308 this season from .339 career and .315 last season, .353 in 2017.

    - His inflield fly rate has skyrocketed from 5.5% average to 12.3%.

    And yet,

    - His ISO is up from .104 to .145.

    - He's on pace to match last year's HRs and RBIs.

    - He's nearly on pace to match last year's Rs.

    - He's been much more efficient when he tries to steal (5 SB to 1 CS).  Career 76 SB to 34 CS.

    - He's hitting the ball as hard as normal, and spreading it across the field as normal.

     

    So yeah, interesting year.  As per my OP, if he gets the leadoff spot ever his runs will increase dramatically and his SBs, BBs, and OBP likely will as well.  Until then it is what it is.  But a guy on pace for .285 - 15 - 70 - 80 - 10 isn't a "scud."  He's a solid MI in deeper leagues and very valuable in points leagues.  Everyone has their place.

    • Like 2

  12. I think Alvarado may be one of the better second-half closers.  He's got filthy stuff, has little competition, and may be over whatever mental issues may have affected his pitching earlier in the season.  Rays handle pitchers well and he was a sleeper on many lists headed into this year.  If you're in a league that counts HLDs it's even better.

    • Like 1

  13. The Giants are in a weird spot.  It's their HOF manager's last season with the team so if they break it all down mid-way they are throwing in the towel on him.  Yet they also desperately need to do this and have some decent trade chips right now, Smith being the best.  Bumgarner is also on the table and could bring in a prospect, Panic as well, etc. 

    So it's hard to say.  I don't own Smith this year but if I did I'd ride it out--who knows, maybe they keep him all year and you have a top 5 closer.  If not, he could close wherever he's dealt.  But personally I think if he's dealt it'll be to a committee type situation (BOS/TB/MIL) or he'll set up for an established closer on a contender (CHC? remember they played MIL in the one-game wild card last season and saw Knebel-Jeffress-Hader wreck their squad.  Putting someone-Smith-Kimbrel would be nasty).


  14. This is a bummer for those who were hoping for him to make the rotation, but an excellent time to buy for those like me who want a high caliber middle-reliever with SP eligibility who will likely rack up holds and vulture saves for the rest of the season.  I like C-Mart's value here as whoever is holding likely was for him to be a starter.  He should be pretty cheap to acquire.


  15. I don't like the trade at all but "shady" it isn't.  Just bad.  You could argue that Cain is nearly waiver-wire fodder at this point, JoRam is SB only, and Noah is good but not producing like expected.  CJ is consistent, Albies could turn it around, Pham is $ and Woodruff could be an ace in the making.  So I don't think the trade is vetoable, if that's what you're asking.  It's ugly because yes the 1st place team is stealing a potential top 10 player and a top 10 pitcher, but just because it's ugly doesn't mean it should be kept in the shade.  If that makes sense.

    • Like 2

  16. 1. I like the Snell/Mookie trade for you.

    2. Chavis/Lucc/Pivetta are the obvious drop candidates whenever Judge/Clev come back, but I'd wait and see how the game unfolds in the meantime.  I find that often when a guy is coming off the DL another guy gets hurt and you can swap, no need to plan this type of thing.

    3. I'm hesitant about this trade.  Puig heats up with the weather and could match Marte's overall production, while I don't think Bassitt matches Soroka's production over the ROS.  Your lineup is pretty stacked and Marte gets you some extra SBs and possibly some 3Bs, but you did just get Betts.  Your SPs are good but not stacked, so why hurt the weak side of your team?

     

    • Like 1