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F@ndemonium

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  1. Dynasty Altuve deal for depth? WHIR

    Based on the lineup & rotation of your counterpart, one has to wonder if they are asleep at the wheel or perhaps just have an extremely strong minor league system (if farm exists)? Typically, from my experience, its a losing proposition to be on the "4" part portion of a four-for-one trade. In the context of team need I suppose your peer should at last entertain that offer. Hampson, McNeil & Wood are solid assets to own, though playing time of the two two-baggers and injury concerns for the latter are risk factors that a savvy adversary would weigh. Wood's velocity decline last season is glaring, as is the hard hit rate ascension to a career worst 37.9% and the less ideal pitching environment he faces this season. Personally speaking, I'd need less risk & higher ceiling secondary pieces if I'm moving Altuve (and receiving Ozuna as the centerpiece of the return) The offer is not insulting, however I would not be anxious to accept if on the receiving end. A quarter & three Nickels doesn't equal a dollar
  2. Degrom v Severino difference?

    I would hesitate making this move personally. Hypothetically you could acquire a piece greater than what the opposing owner would likely include to bridge the gap with the saved capital, as similarly to yourself, most would view these arms on relatively the same tier. The NL East is, dare I say, a tougher environment on arms than even the once feared AL East this season. Even more-so if Harper or Machado signs with the Phils. The Yankees are also a better run producing team than the Amazins', so if "wins" are incentivized then advantage Severino again. Scoring & contract length comes into play as well but overall the Severino deal seems like much better value here. What an additional piece would look like depends on your teams roster construction & team need, but for myself, it would have to exceed the type of player that the $30 lost team salary would net. GL
  3. Below are some pointers to share RE: Prospects Snag high ceiling talent wherever you can. Often the players closer to debuting will be selected first, however high ceiling players that are farther away carry a fair amount of helium and/or trade value, so make them priority. I tend to use prospects as assets or trade chips to get larger deals completed, as its easy to replenish farm systems with talent emerging annually. Don't navigate away from moving farm talent. Don't hesitate to also snag players closer to the show who may offer lower ceiling. Less risk with a shorter path to value. Not every player has to be a "stud" Many former high profile talent ultimately land in this bucket if they hit a stumbling block during their ascension into the higher minors. Take advantage of the lessened hype, and obtain those who will produce statistically sooner rather than later. Also, assume failure among your prospects. Be realistic in acknowledging that all your minor leaguers will not reach their optimum ceiling. Overvaluing prospects is often a losing proposition. RE: MLB The better path taken during a start-up is to have a strong mix of youth and veteran talent, however if your peers drastically reach on younger talent, then have no reservations about snagging the highly productive 30 and above crowd, and accelerate a path toward being your leagues inaugural champion. Its more important to be "Good" than "Youthful". Don't have visions of constructing a team to dominate for the next decade of every star that is 25 & under. Too many variables season-to-season. Streamline a gameplan, with a championship in focus, and stick to it. Best of luck to both you and your new league
  4. Dyansty trade for Nola

    Depends on your team direction and the scoring settings. If your rebuilding, then certainly explore this. If your looking to compete this season than it would be a "pass". Points league is probably a pass regardless of direction as well. So a few variables to consider. In a vacuum, Nola carries more value since he produces the immediate return. That puts you in the driver season of negotiations. Prospects fail, even the best of them, so asking for surplus prospect value (Rodgers, Franco, Kiriloff) is justifiable. Assuming that your league has a balanced scoring system, I would try to acquire a high level pitching prospect or young arm with upside at the MLB level as the third piece, while forfeiting one of the sticks (i.e. Rodgers). Keeps your positions more balanced, and gives you a potential replacement for the lost Nola value. GL
  5. Which Prospect should I draft?

    I'd be happy with adding any of the following, in the order below: 1) Garcia (Wsh): Advanced beyond his years...More power to come as he matures. Will fill the stat sheet nicely in his hay-day. 2) Larnach: The jewel of last years draft class. Sweet southpaw swing that generates easy plus power. Future fantasy stud that performed well at multiple levels during '18 pro debut 3) Lavigne: Power hitting prospect with eyes on Coors is always worth putting on the radar, and you may have a void (or Voit) at 1B. Friendly offensive environment of the Pioneer League inflated his numbers some, but his wRC+ ranked second among the leagues qualified hitters. 4) Edwards: Makes solid contact, has a stellar eye (more walks than strikeouts) and can flat out fly on the base paths. Not likely to ever hit for much power, but ultimately we can dream on a .290 average, 10-12 home runs and 50 SB in a perfect world. 5) Diaz: Solid, but not spectacular skill set. 20 HR upside, an above average BA, and a few stolen bases. Ranked higher than most due to proximity to the SHOW. Will contribute this season. GL with your decision!
  6. If your willing to part ways with Vlad, it would behoove you to communicate his availability to entire league before settling on any one deal. The helium and trade market that he currently demands is outrageous (almost comical) and will almost certainly create a bidding war among several owners. Your also in the drivers seat if you emphatically believe that you will not be competing till next year. No reason to accelerate any negotiations, since your teams clock is 2020. Plenty of time to field and identify the best offer. I'm with @parrothead in that you should shoot for the stars. While Machado is certainly a favorable return , and one that you may ultimately circle back to.... play the field before being quick to hit accept with such a coveted asset. It will also allow you to (hopefully) see where Machado lands so you can make a more educated decision in the end! GL
  7. Albies trade - Dynasty

    For a points league, Albies offers significant value (power/speed blend), however the volume of secondary assets your giving up here maybe a bit excessive. Don't wanna sell those complimentary pieces short. Decision is dependent on roster construction, but if you could complete the deal while holding O'Hearn and/or Barreto then I would proceed forward. Myers, Honeywell and Castro for Albies & Manning seems closer to fair market given Albies second half struggles. While you don't want to let small parts hold a deal up (which I consider O'Hearn & Barreto to be), I'd probably inquire about subtracting a piece from your side or adding a piece on the other side prior prior to green lighting this.
  8. The Struggle Is Real!! WHIR

    I concur. Bregman is the play here. Not as detrimental to your cap & will contribute with more regularity. Also factor in that the NL East is an extremely strong hitting division, with the infusion of talent on the Phillies (furthermore if they sign one of the "big 2"), Nationals and Braves. I don't see deGrom replicating last years production. Take the high profile bat, at the cheaper price point!
  9. Sixto Sanchez (RHP-MIA)

    With the Phillies having eyes on contending, and Miami in an obvious rebuild, with little in the pipeline in terms of front-line starting pitching....todays trade would seemingly accelerate his clock to the majors. Questions about the elbow still persist, and I fear TJ could be in the not-so-distant future which clouds future speculation, however its encouraging that he passed the physical today. If he proves healthy, then its quite the haul for the "Fish" today!
  10. Is This Trade Fair?

    ^ I agree....Its certainly more justified in deeper formats (was thinking more 14+), however its typically never a good sign if your the one giving up the top three assets in a deal regardless of league size.
  11. Deep Dynasty Draft Strategy

    Aside from firmly grasping the settings, theres also something to be said about identifying the personalities of your peer group to determine team direction. Through networking/communicating with fellow league mates you can identify what players/positions are over/under valued, and proceed accordingly. Also nice to build rapport to assist in future trade negotiations. As previous contributors mentioned, the psychology in a dynasty is often (to a fault) synonymous with placing surplus value on youth. “Contenders” & “Rebuilders” will often covet similar players, age 27 or below, which saturates the market, and creates greater acquisition value opportunities within veteran talent. Being north of 30 years old is not a death sentence….Don’t be afraid to take the elder statesman to accelerate your clock towards capturing a league championship. At least one owner in every dynasty league tends to put meteoric value on acquiring the “next big thing”, so capitalize off that inflation. Players will often carry more helium as a minor leaguer, than what they ultimately materialize into at the professional level. If you own a coveted prospect, explore trade options to optimize value. The minor league pool is bottomless. There will always be opportunity to backfill if you do your due diligence. Hope this helps!
  12. bregman trade

    Your not joking, the Bregman team is in pretty rough shape....keeping Newcomb...eww I'd favor the Bregman side, but I'd be inclined to think that Team 2 could afford to throw in one or two of their minor leaguers to offset the difference (considering they can only keep 3). Fisher shouldn't be near keeper status in a keep 3 farm league. A deal of McKenzie, Kieboom, Hoskins & Chapman for Bregman would certainly be equal out value on both sides. Just hope that your not Team 1! LOL
  13. Keeper Advice

    Bogaerts Albies Taillon Haniger Muncy Chapman (is this Aroldis or Matt? )* * If its Aroldis is a no brainer, if its Matt then I'd be more hesitant. 3B is plenty deep and he is coming off two off-season surgeries, thumb and shoulder, so I'd proceed with caution. Porcello is undervalued on a strong Red Sox team and is solid value. Not sure Mejia will see enough consistent at bats in SD to justify keeping him. That could change if he's moved to the Marlins. As it stands now I'd debate between Porcello and Chapman with that final spot.
  14. 2019 "Deep" Sleepers

    Whats the consensus view on Blue Jays RF Chavez Young? Had a breakout season last year and looked good in doing so, yet getting little notoriety. Solid wheels and gets on-base at an impressive clip. Worth keeping an eye on.
  15. Greinke trade - Dynasty

    Depends on your team focus. Foltzy's high pitch count tendencies limits some of his luster in a QS league.. He is likely due for some regression as well. Greinke's "stuff" can still play up despite the diminished velocity, as illustrated last year. Unless Rooker improves his contact rate, he will likely end up on the short side of a platoon. If your looking to compete this year I'd stick with Zack, however if not, then Foltzy & Rooker's ceiling upside is worth the risk.